BACKGROUND:To evaluate the accuracy of National Early Warning Score(NEWS)in predicting clinical outcomes(28-day mortality,intensive care unit[ICU]admission,and mechanical ventilation use)for septic patients with commu...BACKGROUND:To evaluate the accuracy of National Early Warning Score(NEWS)in predicting clinical outcomes(28-day mortality,intensive care unit[ICU]admission,and mechanical ventilation use)for septic patients with community-acquired pneumonia(CAP)compared with other commonly used severity scores(CURB65,Pneumonia Severity Index[PSI],Sequential Organ Failure Assessment[SOFA],quick SOFA[qSOFA],and Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis[MEDS])and admission lactate level.METHODS:Adult patients diagnosed with CAP admitted between January 2017 and May 2019 with admission SOFA≥2 from baseline were enrolled.Demographic characteristics were collected.The primary outcome was the 28-day mortality after admission,and the secondary outcome included ICU admission and mechanical ventilation use.Outcome prediction value of parameters above was compared using receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curves.Cox regression analyses were carried out to determine the risk factors for the 28-day mortality.Kaplan-Meier survival curves were plotted and compared using optimal cut-off values of qSOFA and NEWS.RESULTS:Among the 340 enrolled patients,90 patients were dead after a 28-day follow-up,62 patients were admitted to ICU,and 84 patients underwent mechanical ventilation.Among single predictors,NEWS achieved the largest area under the receiver operating characteristic(AUROC)curve in predicting the 28-day mortality(0.861),ICU admission(0.895),and use of mechanical ventilation(0.873).NEWS+lactate,similar to MEDS+lactate,outperformed other combinations of severity score and admission lactate in predicting the 28-day mortality(AUROC 0.866)and ICU admission(AUROC 0.905),while NEWS+lactate did not outperform other combinations in predicting mechanical ventilation(AUROC 0.886).Admission lactate only improved the predicting performance of CURB65 and qSOFA in predicting the 28-day mortality and ICU admission.CONCLUSIONS:NEWS could be a valuable predictor in septic patients with CAP in emergency departments.Admission lactate did not predict well the outcomes or improve the severity scores.A qSOFA≥2 and a NEWS≥9 were strongly associated with the 28-day mortality,ICU admission,and mechanical ventilation of septic patients with CAP in the emergency departments.展开更多
目的:评估国家预警评分系统(national early warning score,NEWS)联合白蛋白预测急性心力衰竭患者不良预后的价值。方法:选取2015年1月至2020年12月入住宣武医院急诊重症监护室的急性心力衰竭患者共524例,按住院期间的预后情况分为预后...目的:评估国家预警评分系统(national early warning score,NEWS)联合白蛋白预测急性心力衰竭患者不良预后的价值。方法:选取2015年1月至2020年12月入住宣武医院急诊重症监护室的急性心力衰竭患者共524例,按住院期间的预后情况分为预后不良组及无预后不良组,收集两组患者的一般临床及生化指标,采用单因素、多因素统计分析,筛选预后不良的独立危险因素,结合ROC曲线计算敏感性、特异性。结果:524例患者中有278例发生预后不良,与无预后不良组患者相比,单因素分析显示预后不良组患者年龄较小,白蛋白水平较低,NEWS更高,NYHA分级较高(均P<0.05);多因素Logistic回归结果显示,NEWS越高,心力衰竭患者发生不良预后的风险越大,具有统计学意义(OR=1.34,95%CI:1.21~1.50,P<0.001);白蛋白水平越低,心力衰竭患者发生不良预后的风险越大,差异有统计学意义(OR=0.94,95%CI:0.88~1.00,P=0.038),NYHA分级越高,心力衰竭患者发生不良预后的风险越大,具有统计学意义(OR=13.01,95%CI:8.39~20.19,P<0.001)。绘制ROC曲线,预测不良预后的曲线下面积NEWS为0.77,白蛋白为0.61,NEWS联合白蛋白为0.79,联合指标的曲线下面积优于单独NEWS评分(Z=2.112,P=0.035)。结论:NEWS联合白蛋白在急性心力衰竭患者的不良预后中有一定的预测价值。展开更多
目的 探讨英国国家早期预警评分（national early warning score, NEWS）、改良早期预警评分（modified early warning score，MEWS）和急诊脓毒症死亡风险评分（mortality in emergency department sepsis score，MEDS）对急诊感染患...目的 探讨英国国家早期预警评分（national early warning score, NEWS）、改良早期预警评分（modified early warning score，MEWS）和急诊脓毒症死亡风险评分（mortality in emergency department sepsis score，MEDS）对急诊感染患者预后的评估价值，并探究新的评分方法。 方法 回顾性分析2016-01～2016-08就诊于清华大学附属北京清华长庚医院急诊科的215例感染患者，记录性别、年龄、既往基础疾病、就诊时生命体征、感染部位及相关实验室检验，分别进行NEWS、MEWS和MEDS，以进入研究后28 d生存情况分为死亡组与存活组，分析两组间各评分差异。为探究新的评分方法，进一步应用Logistic回归分析评估各因素与28 d预后的关系，并最终获得拟合方程。应用受试者工作特征曲线（ROC曲线）比较各评分系统及拟合方程对28 d预后的预测能力。结果 215例急性感染患者28 d 病死率为14.88%。死亡组NEWS、MEWS和MEDS均高于存活组。单因素Logistic回归分析显示，年龄、恶性肿瘤病史、心率、呼吸频率、收缩压、血氧饱和度（SpO2）、血小板、红细胞压积、血肌酐（serum creatinine, Scr）、肾小球滤过率（estimated glomerular filtration rate, eGFR）是28 d死亡的预测因素（P＜0.05）。NEWS、MEWS、MEDS和联合多变量建立的拟合方程对28 d死亡预测的ROC曲线下面积分别为0.881、0.757、0.935和0.954。NEWS与MEDS比较差异无统计学意义（P＞0.05），与MEWS比较差异有统计学意义（P＜0.01）。联合多变量后建立的拟合方程敏感度最佳，曲线下面积最大，优于MEWS（P＜0.01）及NEWS（P＜0.05）。结论 MEDS的预测能力同NEWS能力相当，优于MEWS。联合MEDS与心率、Scr获得的拟合方程的预测能力更优于NEWS和MEWS。展开更多
Background:Some COVID-19 patients deteriorate to severe cases with relatively higher case-fatality rates,which increases the medical burden.This necessitates identification of patients at risk of severe disease.Early ...Background:Some COVID-19 patients deteriorate to severe cases with relatively higher case-fatality rates,which increases the medical burden.This necessitates identification of patients at risk of severe disease.Early assessment plays a crucial role in identifying patients at risk of severe disease.This study is to assess the effectiveness of SUPER score as a predictor of severe COVID-19 cases.Methods:We consecutively enrolled COVID-19 patients admitted to a comprehensive medical center in Wuhan,China,and recorded clinical characteristics and laboratory indexes.The SUPER score was calculated using pa-rameters including oxygen saturation,urine volume,pulse,emotional state,and respiratory rate.In addition,the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC),specificity,and sensitivity of the SUPER score for the diagnosis of severe COVID-19 were calculated and compared with the National Early Warning Score 2(NEWS2).Results:The SUPER score at admission,with a threshold of 4,exhibited good predictive performance for early identification of severe COVID-19 cases,yielding an AUC of 0.985(95%confidence interval[CI]0.897-1.000),sensitivity of 1.00(95%CI 0.715-1.000),and specificity of 0.92(95%CI 0.775-0.982),similar to NEWS2(AUC 0.984;95%CI 0.895-1.000,sensitivity 0.91;95%CI 0.587-0.998,specificity 0.97;95%CI 0.858-0.999).Com-pared with patients with a SUPER score<4,patients in the high-risk group exhibited lower lymphocyte counts,interleukin-2,interleukin-4 and higher fibrinogen,C-reactive protein,aspartate aminotransferase,and lactate dehydrogenase levels.Conclusions:In conclusion,the SUPER score demonstrated equivalent accuracy to the NEWS2 score in predicting severe COVID-19.Its application in prognostic assessment therefore offers an effective early warning system for critical management and facilitating efficient allocation of health resources.展开更多
目的:探讨国家早期预警评分(national early warning score,NEWS)对急诊抢救室危重病人分流及该次入院期间短期预后预测的临床应用价值。方法:选取急诊抢救室收治病人803例作为研究对象,按照入抢救室第一次采集的生命体征进行NEWS评分...目的:探讨国家早期预警评分(national early warning score,NEWS)对急诊抢救室危重病人分流及该次入院期间短期预后预测的临床应用价值。方法:选取急诊抢救室收治病人803例作为研究对象,按照入抢救室第一次采集的生命体征进行NEWS评分。根据病人去向分为门诊留观组、普通病房组和重症病房组;其中入院病人根据该次入院治疗的转归情况分为好转组和死亡组。比较各组病人NEWS评分,并分析年龄、NEWS评分与病人死亡率的相关性。结果:803例病人中,门诊留观组145例、普通病房组481例、重症病房组177例,其中普通病房组、重症病房组病人的NEWS评分均明显高于门诊留观组(P<0.01),重症病房组亦高于普通病房组(P<0.01)。803例病人中658例入院进一步治疗,以病人此次入院后出院转归为观察终点,658例中好转组585例,死亡组73例,2组病人年龄差异无统计学意义(P>0.05),好转组病人的NEWS评分明显低于死亡组(P<0.01)。logistic回归分析显示,NEWS评分与病人死亡率呈正相关关系(P<0.05),而年龄与病人死亡率无明显相关关系(P>0.05)。结论:NEWS评分在急诊抢救室病人分流及结局预测中具有重要指导价值。展开更多
基金Capital Clinical Characteristic Application Research of Beijing Municipal Science & Technology Commission (Z171100001017057).
文摘BACKGROUND:To evaluate the accuracy of National Early Warning Score(NEWS)in predicting clinical outcomes(28-day mortality,intensive care unit[ICU]admission,and mechanical ventilation use)for septic patients with community-acquired pneumonia(CAP)compared with other commonly used severity scores(CURB65,Pneumonia Severity Index[PSI],Sequential Organ Failure Assessment[SOFA],quick SOFA[qSOFA],and Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis[MEDS])and admission lactate level.METHODS:Adult patients diagnosed with CAP admitted between January 2017 and May 2019 with admission SOFA≥2 from baseline were enrolled.Demographic characteristics were collected.The primary outcome was the 28-day mortality after admission,and the secondary outcome included ICU admission and mechanical ventilation use.Outcome prediction value of parameters above was compared using receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curves.Cox regression analyses were carried out to determine the risk factors for the 28-day mortality.Kaplan-Meier survival curves were plotted and compared using optimal cut-off values of qSOFA and NEWS.RESULTS:Among the 340 enrolled patients,90 patients were dead after a 28-day follow-up,62 patients were admitted to ICU,and 84 patients underwent mechanical ventilation.Among single predictors,NEWS achieved the largest area under the receiver operating characteristic(AUROC)curve in predicting the 28-day mortality(0.861),ICU admission(0.895),and use of mechanical ventilation(0.873).NEWS+lactate,similar to MEDS+lactate,outperformed other combinations of severity score and admission lactate in predicting the 28-day mortality(AUROC 0.866)and ICU admission(AUROC 0.905),while NEWS+lactate did not outperform other combinations in predicting mechanical ventilation(AUROC 0.886).Admission lactate only improved the predicting performance of CURB65 and qSOFA in predicting the 28-day mortality and ICU admission.CONCLUSIONS:NEWS could be a valuable predictor in septic patients with CAP in emergency departments.Admission lactate did not predict well the outcomes or improve the severity scores.A qSOFA≥2 and a NEWS≥9 were strongly associated with the 28-day mortality,ICU admission,and mechanical ventilation of septic patients with CAP in the emergency departments.
文摘目的:评估国家预警评分系统(national early warning score,NEWS)联合白蛋白预测急性心力衰竭患者不良预后的价值。方法:选取2015年1月至2020年12月入住宣武医院急诊重症监护室的急性心力衰竭患者共524例,按住院期间的预后情况分为预后不良组及无预后不良组,收集两组患者的一般临床及生化指标,采用单因素、多因素统计分析,筛选预后不良的独立危险因素,结合ROC曲线计算敏感性、特异性。结果:524例患者中有278例发生预后不良,与无预后不良组患者相比,单因素分析显示预后不良组患者年龄较小,白蛋白水平较低,NEWS更高,NYHA分级较高(均P<0.05);多因素Logistic回归结果显示,NEWS越高,心力衰竭患者发生不良预后的风险越大,具有统计学意义(OR=1.34,95%CI:1.21~1.50,P<0.001);白蛋白水平越低,心力衰竭患者发生不良预后的风险越大,差异有统计学意义(OR=0.94,95%CI:0.88~1.00,P=0.038),NYHA分级越高,心力衰竭患者发生不良预后的风险越大,具有统计学意义(OR=13.01,95%CI:8.39~20.19,P<0.001)。绘制ROC曲线,预测不良预后的曲线下面积NEWS为0.77,白蛋白为0.61,NEWS联合白蛋白为0.79,联合指标的曲线下面积优于单独NEWS评分(Z=2.112,P=0.035)。结论:NEWS联合白蛋白在急性心力衰竭患者的不良预后中有一定的预测价值。
文摘Background:Some COVID-19 patients deteriorate to severe cases with relatively higher case-fatality rates,which increases the medical burden.This necessitates identification of patients at risk of severe disease.Early assessment plays a crucial role in identifying patients at risk of severe disease.This study is to assess the effectiveness of SUPER score as a predictor of severe COVID-19 cases.Methods:We consecutively enrolled COVID-19 patients admitted to a comprehensive medical center in Wuhan,China,and recorded clinical characteristics and laboratory indexes.The SUPER score was calculated using pa-rameters including oxygen saturation,urine volume,pulse,emotional state,and respiratory rate.In addition,the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC),specificity,and sensitivity of the SUPER score for the diagnosis of severe COVID-19 were calculated and compared with the National Early Warning Score 2(NEWS2).Results:The SUPER score at admission,with a threshold of 4,exhibited good predictive performance for early identification of severe COVID-19 cases,yielding an AUC of 0.985(95%confidence interval[CI]0.897-1.000),sensitivity of 1.00(95%CI 0.715-1.000),and specificity of 0.92(95%CI 0.775-0.982),similar to NEWS2(AUC 0.984;95%CI 0.895-1.000,sensitivity 0.91;95%CI 0.587-0.998,specificity 0.97;95%CI 0.858-0.999).Com-pared with patients with a SUPER score<4,patients in the high-risk group exhibited lower lymphocyte counts,interleukin-2,interleukin-4 and higher fibrinogen,C-reactive protein,aspartate aminotransferase,and lactate dehydrogenase levels.Conclusions:In conclusion,the SUPER score demonstrated equivalent accuracy to the NEWS2 score in predicting severe COVID-19.Its application in prognostic assessment therefore offers an effective early warning system for critical management and facilitating efficient allocation of health resources.
文摘目的:探讨国家早期预警评分(national early warning score,NEWS)对急诊抢救室危重病人分流及该次入院期间短期预后预测的临床应用价值。方法:选取急诊抢救室收治病人803例作为研究对象,按照入抢救室第一次采集的生命体征进行NEWS评分。根据病人去向分为门诊留观组、普通病房组和重症病房组;其中入院病人根据该次入院治疗的转归情况分为好转组和死亡组。比较各组病人NEWS评分,并分析年龄、NEWS评分与病人死亡率的相关性。结果:803例病人中,门诊留观组145例、普通病房组481例、重症病房组177例,其中普通病房组、重症病房组病人的NEWS评分均明显高于门诊留观组(P<0.01),重症病房组亦高于普通病房组(P<0.01)。803例病人中658例入院进一步治疗,以病人此次入院后出院转归为观察终点,658例中好转组585例,死亡组73例,2组病人年龄差异无统计学意义(P>0.05),好转组病人的NEWS评分明显低于死亡组(P<0.01)。logistic回归分析显示,NEWS评分与病人死亡率呈正相关关系(P<0.05),而年龄与病人死亡率无明显相关关系(P>0.05)。结论:NEWS评分在急诊抢救室病人分流及结局预测中具有重要指导价值。
