Introduction: Pre-eclampsia is a major cause of maternal and prenatal morbidity and mortality, that complicates 2% to 8% of pregnancies worldwide. The aim of this study was to determine the predictive factors for pre-...Introduction: Pre-eclampsia is a major cause of maternal and prenatal morbidity and mortality, that complicates 2% to 8% of pregnancies worldwide. The aim of this study was to determine the predictive factors for pre-eclampsia in two hospitals in the city of Yaoundé. Methods: A case-control study was conducted at the Gynaecology & Obstetrics department of the Yaoundé Gynaeco-Obstetric and Paediatric Hospital (YGOPH) and the Main Maternity of the Yaoundé Central Hospital (MM-YCH) from February 1 to July 30, 2022. The cases were all pregnant women presenting with pre-eclampsia. The control group included pregnant women without pre-eclampsia. Descriptive statistics followed by logistic regression analyses were conducted with level of significance set at p-value Results: Included in the study were 33 cases and 132 controls, giving a total of 165 participants. The predictive factors for pre-eclampsia after multivariate analysis were: primiparity (aOR = 51.86, 95% CI: 3.01 - 1230.96, p = 0.045), duration of exposure to partner’s sperm Conclusion: The odds of pre-eclampsia increased with primiparity, duration of exposure to partner’s sperm < 3 months, personal history of pre-eclampsia and maternal history of pre-eclampsia. Recognition of these predictor factors would improve the ability to diagnose and monitor women likely to develop pre-eclampsia before the onset of disease for timely interventions.展开更多
Introduction and Aims: Pharyngostoma or pharyngo-cutaneous fistula is a frequent complication of totals laryngectomies and pharyngo-laryngectomies. Its incidence varies from one series to another from 13% to 58%. Mult...Introduction and Aims: Pharyngostoma or pharyngo-cutaneous fistula is a frequent complication of totals laryngectomies and pharyngo-laryngectomies. Its incidence varies from one series to another from 13% to 58%. Multiple risk factors are known. The data from our environment concerning this condition are few. Thus, in order to contribute to the study of this complication in our environment, we proposed to carry out this study, whose objective was to determine the predictive factors for the occurrence of pharyngo-cutaneous fistula or pharyngostoma after total laryngectomy and total pharyngo-laryngectomy in Yaounde and Douala. Patients and Methods: This was a retrospective, cross-sectional, descriptive study conducted in the 5 Ear-Nose-Throat (ENT) department of hospital in the city of Yaounde and Douala. The study took place between January 2009 and December 2020. All patients who underwent total laryngectomy or total pharyngo-laryngectomy with a follow-up of at least one month were included in the study. Incomplete records were excluded, as well as those of patients who died before one month of postoperative follow-up. Results: We selected 48 cases of total laryngectomies (TL) and total pharyngo-laryngectomies (TPL), and identified 37 cases of pharyngostoma. 45 men (93.8%) and 3 women (6.3%). The mean age was 56.4 years with extremes ranging from 37 to 86 years. Smoking and alcoholism were noted in 75% and 79.2% of our patients respectively. A tracheotomy before TL and TPL was found in 41.7%. 100% of the tumours found were T3 or T4. The surgery was in 34 cases (70.8%) TL and in 14 cases (29.2%) TPL. Pharyngostomas were observed in 37 cases among 48 patients operated on, i.e. a frequency of 77.1%. The average delay of appearance was 7 to 14 days. We had spontaneous healing with pressure dressing and nasogastric tube feeding in 35 patients (77.8%) and two patients benefited from pectoralis major flap treatment;the healing time was 21 to 30 days. We did not find any correlation between gender, age, tumour site of origin and locoregional extension and the occurrence of pharyngostoma. Preoperative tracheotomy and radiotherapy were not significant risk factors for the occurrence of pharyngostoma. However, preoperative anaemia (p = 0.02), LTP (p = 0.02), early complications (p 0.001) and lack of continuous saliva aspiration postoperatively (p = 0.03) were statistically significant predictors of pharyngostoma in univariate analysis. Conclusion: Pharyngostoma is the most common postoperative complication after TL and TPL. In our setting, the main associated risk factors identified were: preoperative anaemia, LTP, early complications and failure to continuously aspirate saliva postoperatively.展开更多
AIM:To evaluate predictive factors for postoperative visual function of primary chronic rhegmatgenous retinal detachment(RRD) after sclera buckling(SB).METHODS:Totally 48 patients(51 eyes) with primary chronic RRD wer...AIM:To evaluate predictive factors for postoperative visual function of primary chronic rhegmatgenous retinal detachment(RRD) after sclera buckling(SB).METHODS:Totally 48 patients(51 eyes) with primary chronic RRD were included in this prospective interventional clinical cases study,which underwent SB alone from June 2008 to December 2014.Age,sex,symptoms duration,detached extension,retinal hole position,size,type,fovea on/off,proliferative vitreoretinopathy(PVR),posterior vitreous detachment(PVD),baseline best corrected visual acuity(BCVA),operative duration,follow up duration,final BCVA were measured.Pearson correlation analysis,Spearman correlation analysis and multivariate linear stepwise regression were used to confirm predictive factors for better final visual acuity.Student's /-test,Wilcoxon twosample test,Chi-square test and logistic stepwise regression were used to confirm predictive factors for better vision improvement.RESULTS:Baseline BCVA was 0.8313±0.6911 logMAR and final BCVA was 0.4761±0.4956 logMAR.Primary surgical success rate was 92.16%(47/51).Correlation analyses revealed shorter symptoms duration(r=0.3850,P=0.0053),less detached area(P=0.5489,P<0.0001),fovea(P=0.4605,P=0.0007),no PVR(P=0.3138,P=0.0250),better baseline BCVA(P=0.7291,P<0.0001),shorter operative duration(P=0.3233,P=0.0207) and longer follow up(r=-0.3358,P=0.0160) were related with better final BCVA,while independent predictive factors were better baseline BCVA[partial R-square(PR^2)=0.5316,P<0.0001],shorter symptoms duration(PR^2=0.0609,P=0.0101),longer follow up duration(PR^2=0.0278,P=0.0477) and shorter operative duration(PR^2=0.0338,P=0.0350).Patients with vision improvement took up 49.02%(25/51).Univariate and multivariate analyses both revealed predictive factors for better vision improvement were better baseline vision[odds ratio(OR)=50.369,P=0.0041]and longer follow up duration(OR=1.144,P=0.0067).CONCLUSION:Independent predictive factors for better visual outcome of primary chronic RRD after SB are better baseline BCVA,shorter symptoms duration,shorter operative duration and longer follow up duration,while independent predictive factors for better vision improvement after operation are better baseline vision and longer follow up duration.展开更多
Objective: This study was aimed at identifying predictive factors of complications during vaginal delivery on scarred uterus. Methodology: During 9 months, from October 1st, 2015 to June 30th, 2016, a case control stu...Objective: This study was aimed at identifying predictive factors of complications during vaginal delivery on scarred uterus. Methodology: During 9 months, from October 1st, 2015 to June 30th, 2016, a case control study was carried out at the Yaoundé Gynaeco-Obstetric and Pediatric Hospital. Eighty nine women each with a single scarred uterus who presented with complications during delivery (cases) were compared to eighty nine others who had a successfully trial of scar (control) during the study period. Data were analyzed using the CSPro version 6.0 and SPSS version 20.0 softwares with statistical significance set at P Results: We recruited 2 groups of 89 women, aged 17 to 40 years, with an average age of 29.05 years. The majority of women with complications were married (50.6%) and unemployed (42.8%). Following univariate analysis, predictive factors of complications were: prematurity (OR = 7.4), post-term (OR = 13.7), no history of vaginal delivery on scarred uterus (OR = 4.3), inter-pregnancy spacing period greater than 60 months (five years) (OR = 2.9), History of caesarian delivery indicated for cephalo-pelvic disproportion (OR = 6.6), less than four ante-natal consultations (OR = 3.6), antenatal consultations done in a Health Centre (OR = 2.7), ante-natal follow up conducted by a nurse (OR = 2.4;IC = [1.2 - 4.7]), referral from a different health unit (OR = 4.4, IC = 2.0 - 9.4), a Bishop score less than 7 on admission (OR = 12.4, IC = 5.6 - 27.4), a meconium stained amniotic fluid (OR = 9.9;CI = [3.6 - 26.8]). After logistic regression, the retained factors associated with complications were post-term (aOR = 34.5), absence of vaginal birth after caesarian delivery, (aOR = 11.7), previous caesarean section indicated for cephalo-pelvic disproportion (aOR = 6.1), a bishop score less than 7 (aOR = 12.0), meconium stained amniotic fluid (aOR = 13.6). Conclusion: Predictive factors of complications can help anticipate negative obstetric outcomes.展开更多
AIM:To identify preoperative predictive factors associated with malignancy of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms(IPMNs) of the pancreas.METHODS:Between April 1995 and April 2010,129 patients underwent surgical r...AIM:To identify preoperative predictive factors associated with malignancy of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms(IPMNs) of the pancreas.METHODS:Between April 1995 and April 2010,129 patients underwent surgical resection for IPMNs at our institute and had confirmed pathologic diagnoses.The medical records were retrospectively reviewed and immunohistochemical staining for mucin(MUC) in pancreatic tissues was performed.RESULTS:Univariate analysis showed that the following five variables were closely associated with malignant IPMNs preoperatively:absence of extrapancreatic malignancy;symptoms;tumor size > 4 cm;main pancreaticduct(MPD) size > 7 mm;and lymph node enlargement on preoperative computed tomography(CT).Multivariate analysis revealed that the following two factors were significantly associated with malignant IPMNs preoperatively:MPD size > 7 mm [odds ratio(OR) = 2.50];and lymph node enlargement on preoperative CT(OR = 3.57).No significant differences in the expression of MUC1,MUC2 and MUC5AC were observed between benign and malignant IPMNs.CONCLUSION:MPD size > 7 mm and preoperative lymph node enlargement on CT are useful predictive factors associated with malignancy of IPMNs.展开更多
AIM To discover unknown factors associated with carcinoid syndrome(CS) with the goal of earlier diagnosis of CS.METHODS In this retrospective case-control study using United States administrative claims, patients(≥ 1...AIM To discover unknown factors associated with carcinoid syndrome(CS) with the goal of earlier diagnosis of CS.METHODS In this retrospective case-control study using United States administrative claims, patients(≥ 18 years) newly-diagnosed with gastrointestinal neuroendocrine tumors(GI NETs) without CS(controls) were exactly matched to patients with CS(cases) based on NET diagnosis date at a 3-to-1 ratio. Study index date was first CS diagnosis(controls: same distance from NET diagnosis as cases). The most observed conditions, excluding CS-associated symptoms/diagnoses, during the year before index date were assessed. Forwardstepwise logistic regression models were used to derive predictors, and were validation within another claims database. RESULTS In the development database, 1004 patients with GI NETs were identified; 251(25%) had CS and 753(75%) were controls. In the validation database, 724 patients with GI NETs were identified; 181(25%) had CS and 543(75%) were controls. A total of 33 common diagnoses(excluding conditions already known to be associated with CS) in the development database were entered in forward step-wise logistic regression models. In the final, validated logistic regression model, three factors prior to CS diagnosis were found consistently associated with higher risks for CS, including liver disorder [odds ratio(95%CI): 3.38(2.07-5.51)], enlargement of lymph nodes [2.13(1.10-4.11)], and abdominal mass [3.79(1.87-7.69)].CONCLUSION GI NET patients with CS were 2-4 times as likely to have preexisting diagnoses(i.e., liver disorder, enlarged lymph nodes, abdominal mass) than non-CS patients.展开更多
Objective:This study aimed to identify predictive factors for percutaneous nephrolithotomy(PCNL)bleeding risks.With better risk stratification,bleeding in high-risk patient can be anticipated and facilitates early ide...Objective:This study aimed to identify predictive factors for percutaneous nephrolithotomy(PCNL)bleeding risks.With better risk stratification,bleeding in high-risk patient can be anticipated and facilitates early identification.Methods:A prospective observational study of PCNL performed at our institution was done.All adults with radio-opaque renal stones planned for PCNL were included except those with coagulopathy,planned for additional procedures.Factors including gender,co-morbidities,body mass index,stone burden,puncture site,tract dilatation size,operative position,surgeon's seniority,and operative duration were studied using stepwise multivariate regression analysis to identify the predictive factors associated with higher estimated hemoglobin(Hb)deficiency.Results:Overall,4.86%patients(n=7)received packed cells transfusion.The mean estimated Hb deficiency was 1.3(range 0-6.5)g/dL and the median was 1.0 g/dL.Stepwise multivariate regression analysis revealed that absence of hypertension(p=0.024),puncture site(p=0.027),and operative duration(p=0.023)were significantly associated with higher estimated Hb deficiency.However,the effect sizes are rather small with partial eta-squared of 0.037,0.066,and 0.038,respectively.Observed power obtained was 0.621,0.722,and 0.625,respectively.Other factors studied did not correlate with Hb difference.Conclusion:Hypertension,puncture site,and operative duration have significant impact on estimated Hb deficiency during PCNL.However,the effect size is rather small despite adequate study power obtained.Nonetheless,operative position(supine or prone),puncture number,or tract dilatation size did not correlate with Hb difference.The mainstay of reducing bleeding in PCNL is still meticulous operative technique.Our study findings also suggest that PCNL can be safely done by urology trainees under supervision in suitably selected patient,without increasing risk of bleeding.展开更多
Although testosterone replacement therapy(TRT)is the first-choice method used worldwide for late-onset hypogonadism(LOH),clinical benefits are not seen in all cases.This study was conducted to determine the predictors...Although testosterone replacement therapy(TRT)is the first-choice method used worldwide for late-onset hypogonadism(LOH),clinical benefits are not seen in all cases.This study was conducted to determine the predictors of TRT efficacy for LOH.Fifty-six patients who visited our Men’s Health Clinic(Kawanishi City Medical Center,Kawanishi and Hyogo Medical University,Nishinomiya,Hyogo,Japan)between November 2003 and June 2021 with data available before and after TRT were enrolled.They were divided into responders(Group 1;n=45,accounting for 80.4%)and nonresponders(Group 2;n=11,accounting for 19.6%)based on the clinical response to TRT,including patient satisfaction.Factors noted before TRT included age,body mass index,aging males’symptoms score,sexual health inventory for men,luteinizing hormone,follicular-stimulating hormone,testosterone,free testosterone,prolactin(PRL),estradiol(E2),and testosterone/estradiol(T/E2)ratio in serum.For statistical analysis,a multivariable logistic regression model was used.Univariate analysis revealed PRL(odds ratio TORI:0.9624;95%confidence interval[Cl]:0.9316-0.9943,P<0.05),E2(OR:0.8692;95%Cl:0.7745-0.9754,P<0.05),and T/E2 ratio(OR:1.1312;95%Cl:1.0106-1.2661,P<0.05)to be predictive factors.Multivariate analyses showed that T/E2 ratio was an independent predictive factor(OR:1.1593;95%Cl:1.0438-1.2875,P<0.01).The present results suggest that a low value for T/E2 ratio may predict a reduced response to TRT.The T/E2 ratio threshold to predict nonresponders based on receiver-operating characteristics(ROC)curve analysis was shown to be 17.3.Although additional studies with larger number of patients are necessary,we propose the determination of serum E2 level and testosterone level prior to performing TRT.展开更多
Objective To describe the preoperative factors of prolonged intensive care unit length of stay after coronary artery bypass grafting. Methods From 1997 to 2009, 1318 patients underwent isolated CABG in our hospital. R...Objective To describe the preoperative factors of prolonged intensive care unit length of stay after coronary artery bypass grafting. Methods From 1997 to 2009, 1318 patients underwent isolated CABG in our hospital. Retrospective analysis was performed on these cases. Univariate and multivariate analyses展开更多
Objective The rate of post-operative complications has been increased with the changes in patients’age,prolonged duration,more severe and diffused lesions,and more patients with complications in recent years. We try ...Objective The rate of post-operative complications has been increased with the changes in patients’age,prolonged duration,more severe and diffused lesions,and more patients with complications in recent years. We try to identify the risk factors associated with prolonged stay in the intensive care unit (ICU) after coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) . Methods 1623 patients who received CABG surgery in Beijing Anzhen Hospital展开更多
The bidirectional association between type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM)and periodontitis is now well established,resulting in periodontal disease being considered as the 6th major complication of diabetes mellitus(DM)aft...The bidirectional association between type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM)and periodontitis is now well established,resulting in periodontal disease being considered as the 6th major complication of diabetes mellitus(DM)after cardiovascular disease,eye disease,neuropathy,nephropathy,and peripheral vascular disease.DM can worsen the virulence and invasiveness of pathogenic oral microbial flora aggravating the local inflammation and infection in those with periodontal disease.On the other hand,the chemical and immunological mediators released into the circulation as part of periodontal inflammation worsen the systemic insulin resistance with worsening of T2DM.Periodontitis if undiagnosed or left untreated can also result in eventual tooth loss.A study by Xu et al in the World Journal of Diabetes examined the predictive factors associated with periodontitis in Chinese patients with T2DM.The prevalence of periodontitis was found to be 75.7%in this study.Based on logistic regression analysis,the predictive factors for higher risk were low tooth brushing frequency[odds ratio(OR)=4.3],high triglycerides(TG;OR=3.31),high total cholesterol(TC;OR=2.87),higher glycated hemoglobin(HbA1c;OR=2.55),and higher age(OR=1.05)while higher education level was protective(OR=0.53).However,the most influential variables were HbA1c followed by age,TC,TG,low education level,brushing frequency,and sex on the random forest model(this model showed higher sensitivity for predicting the risk).A good understanding of the predictors for periodontitis in T2DM patients is important in prevention,early detection of susceptible patients,and intervention to improve periodontal health and enable long-term glycaemic control as observed by Xu et al.展开更多
BACKGROUND Postoperative adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE) has improved overall survival (OS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).However,the prognostic and predictive factors rem...BACKGROUND Postoperative adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE) has improved overall survival (OS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).However,the prognostic and predictive factors remain unclear.AIM To assess the prognostic factors and the predictors of PA-TACE benefit for OS in patients with resected HCC.METHODS Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the potential prognostic factors for OS.In order to assess the predictive factors of PA-TACE benefit,the interaction variables between treatments for each subgroup were evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards regression model.RESULTS A total of 378 patients (PA-TACE vs surgery alone,189:189) from three centerswere included after a propensity-score 1:1 matching analysis.Compared to the group receiving surgery alone,PA-TACE prolonged the OS rate in patients with resected HCC (P <0.001).The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system and ferritinto-hemoglobin ratio (FHR) were used as the prognostic factors for OS in both groups.Age (P=0.023) and microscopic vascular invasion (MVI)(P=0.002) were also identified in the PA-TACE group,while gender (P=0.027),hepatitis B virus(P=0.034) and albumin-bilirubin grade (P=0.027) were also selected in the surgery alone group.In addition,PA-TACE resulted in longer OS than surgery alone across subgroups [all hazard ratios (PA-TACE-to-surgery alone)<1].Notably,a significantly prolonged OS following PA-TACE was observed in patients with high FHR (P=0.038) and without MVI (P=0.048).CONCLUSION FHR and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages were regarded as prognostic factors for OS.Moreover,high FHR and the absence of MVI were important predictive factors,which can be used to assist clinicians in selecting which patients could achieve a better OS with PA-TACE.展开更多
AIM:To investigate the ratio of spontaneous regression of retinopathy of prematurity(ROP)and to explore the possible relevant predictive factors.METHODS:A retrospective review of 405 infants who were diagnosed with RO...AIM:To investigate the ratio of spontaneous regression of retinopathy of prematurity(ROP)and to explore the possible relevant predictive factors.METHODS:A retrospective review of 405 infants who were diagnosed with ROP and mother during pregnancy were collected.Stage,zone,and duration of ROP were recorded.Statistical analysis was performed on 51 possible predictive factors.RESULTS:Totally 356 infants showed spontaneous regression.The incidence was 100%,95.3%,and 22.7%in stage 1,2,and 3,respectively.The 13.4%of the ROP with plus disease eventually resolved spontaneously.All affected eyes of aggressive posterior retinopathy of prematurity(APROP)failed to spontaneously regress.The mean duration of ROP was 7.2wk in patients with spontaneous resolution of ROP.Days of mechanical ventilation(OR=0.981,95%CI,0.965-0.997,P=0.021),retinal hemorrhage(OR=0.173,95%CI,0.064-0.470,P=0.001),delivery pattern(OR=2.750,95%CI,1.132-6.681,P=0.025),maternal anemia in pregnancy(OR=0.142,95%CI,0.036-0.563,P=0.005),the stages(at initial diagnosis OR=0.183,95%CI,0.041-0.816,P=0.026;at final diagnosis OR=0.031,95%CI,0.006-0.167,P<0.001),and with plus disease or not(OR=0.005,95%CI,0.001-0.031,P<0.001)were independent predictive factors of the spontaneous regression of ROP.CONCLUSION:Most mild ROP can spontaneously resolve.Active treatment is still recommended for stage 3 ROP,zone I ROP,AP-ROP,and ROP with plus disease.Prolonged mechanical ventilation and concurrent retinal hemorrhage reduce the likelihood of spontaneous ROP resolution.The pattern of delivery and the mother's anemia during pregnancy can also affect the prognosis of ROP.展开更多
BACKGROUND With sentinel node metastasis in breast cancer(BC)patients,axillary lymph node(ALN)dissection is often omitted from cases with breast-conserving surgery.Omission of lymph node dissection reduces the invasiv...BACKGROUND With sentinel node metastasis in breast cancer(BC)patients,axillary lymph node(ALN)dissection is often omitted from cases with breast-conserving surgery.Omission of lymph node dissection reduces the invasiveness of surgery to the patient,but it also obscures the number of metastases to non-sentinel nodes.The possibility of finding≥4 lymph nodes(pN2a/pN3a)preoperatively is important given the ramifications for postoperative treatment.AIM To search for clinicopathological factors that predicts upstaging from N0 to pN2a/pN3a.METHODS Patients who were sentinel lymph node(SLN)-positive and underwent ALN dissection between September 2007 and August 2018 were selected by retrospective chart review.All patients had BC diagnosed preoperatively as N0 with axillary evaluation by fluorodeoxyglucose(FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography and ultrasound (US)examination. When suspicious FDG accumulation was found in ALN, the presence of metastasiswas reevaluated by second US. We examined predictors of upstaging from N0 to pN2a/pN3a.RESULTSAmong 135 patients, we identified 1-3 ALNs (pN1) in 113 patients and ³4 ALNs (pN2a/pN3a) in22 patients. Multivariate analysis identified the total number of SLN metastasis, the maximaldiameter of metastasis in the SLN (SLNDmax), and FDG accumulation of ALN as predictors ofupstaging to pN2a/pN3a.CONCLUSIONWe identified factors involved in upstaging from N0 to pN2a/pN3a. The SLNDmax and numberof SLN metastasis are predictors of ≥ 4 ALNs (pN2a/pN3a) and predictors of metastasis to nonsentinelnodes, which have been reported in the past. Attention should be given to axillaryaccumulations of FDG, even when faint.展开更多
AIM:To define the predictive factors of severe retinopathy of prematurity(ROP)and develop a nomogram for predicting severe ROP in southeast China.METHODS:Totally 554 infants diagnosed with ROP hospitalized in the Seco...AIM:To define the predictive factors of severe retinopathy of prematurity(ROP)and develop a nomogram for predicting severe ROP in southeast China.METHODS:Totally 554 infants diagnosed with ROP hospitalized in the Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children’s Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University and hospitalized in Taizhou Women and Children’s Hospital were included.Clinical data and 43 candidate predictive factors of ROP infants were collected retrospectively.Logistic regression model was used to identify predictive factors of severe ROP and to propose a nomogram for individual risk prediction,which was compared with WINROP model and Digirop-Birth model.RESULTS:Infants from the Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children’s Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University(n=478)were randomly allocated into training(n=402)and internal validation group(n=76).Infants from Taizhou Women and Children’s Hospital were set as external validation group(n=76).Severe ROP were found in 52 of 402 infants,12 of 76 infants,and 7 of 76 infants in training group,internal validation group,and external validation group,respectively.Birth weight[odds ratio(OR),0.997;95%confidence interval(CI),0.996-0.999;P<0.001],multiple births(OR,1.885;95%CI,1.013-3.506;P=0.045),and non-invasive ventilation(OR,0.288;95%CI,0.146-0.570;P<0.001)were identified as predictive factors for the prediction of severe ROP,by univariate analysis and multivariate analysis.For predicting severe ROP based on the internal validation group,the areas under receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)was 78.1(95%CI,64.2-92.0)for the nomogram,32.9(95%CI,15.3-50.5)for WINROP model,70.2(95%CI,55.8-84.6)for Digirop-Birth model.In external validation group,AUC of the nomogram was also higher than that of WINROP model and Digirop-Birth model(80.2 versus 51.1 and 63.4).The decision curve analysis of the nomogram demonstrated better clinical efficacy than that of WINROP model and Digirop-Birth model.The calibration curves demonstrated a good consistency between the actual severe ROP incidence and the predicted probability.CONCLUSION:Birth weight,multiple births,and noninvasive ventilation are independent predictors of severe ROP.The nomogram has a good ability to predict severe ROP and performed well on internal validation and external validation in southeast China.展开更多
BACKGROUND:Severe poisoning due to the overdosing of cardiac drugs can lead to cardiovascular failure.In order to decrease the mortality rate,the most severe patients should be transferred as quickly as possible to an...BACKGROUND:Severe poisoning due to the overdosing of cardiac drugs can lead to cardiovascular failure.In order to decrease the mortality rate,the most severe patients should be transferred as quickly as possible to an extracorporeal membrane oxygenation(ECMO)center.However,the predictive factors showing the need for venous-arterial ECMO(VA-ECMO)had never been evaluated.METHODS:A retrospective,descriptive,and single-center cohort study.All consecutive patients admitted in the largest ICU of Reunion Island(Indian Ocean)between January 2013 and September 2018 for beta-blockers(BB),calcium channel blockers(CCB),renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system blockers,digoxin or anti-arrythmic intentional poisonings were included.ECMO implementation was the primary outcome.RESULTS:A total of 49 consecutive admissions were included.Ten patients had ECMO,39 patients did not have ECMO.Three patients in ECMO group died,while no patients in the conventional group died.The most relevant ECMO-associated factors were pulse pressure and heart rate at first medical contact and pulse pressure,heart rate,arterial lactate concentration,liver enzymes and left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF)at ICU-admission.Only pulse pressure at first medical contact and LVEF were significant after logistic regression.CONCLUSION:A transfer to an ECMO center should be considered for a pulse pressure<35 mmHg at first medical contact or LVEF<20%on admission to ICU.展开更多
Background: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD) had become the most prevalent liver disease worldwide. Early diagnosis could effectively reduce NAFLD-related morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to combine th...Background: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD) had become the most prevalent liver disease worldwide. Early diagnosis could effectively reduce NAFLD-related morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to combine the risk factors to develop and validate a novel model for predicting NAFLD. Methods: We enrolled 578 participants completing abdominal ultrasound into the training set. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO) regression combined with random forest(RF) was conducted to screen significant predictors for NAFLD risk. Five machine learning models including logistic regression(LR), RF, extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost), gradient boosting machine(GBM), and support vector machine(SVM) were developed. To further improve model performance, we conducted hyperparameter tuning with train function in Python package ‘sklearn’. We included 131 participants completing magnetic resonance imaging into the testing set for external validation. Results: There were 329 participants with NAFLD and 249 without in the training set, while 96 with NAFLD and 35 without were in the testing set. Visceral adiposity index, abdominal circumference, body mass index, alanine aminotransferase(ALT), ALT/AST(aspartate aminotransferase), age, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C) and elevated triglyceride(TG) were important predictors for NAFLD risk. The area under curve(AUC) of LR, RF, XGBoost, GBM, SVM were 0.915 [95% confidence interval(CI): 0.886–0.937], 0.907(95% CI: 0.856–0.938), 0.928(95% CI: 0.873–0.944), 0.924(95% CI: 0.875–0.939), and 0.900(95% CI: 0.883–0.913), respectively. XGBoost model presented the best predictive performance, and its AUC was enhanced to 0.938(95% CI: 0.870–0.950) with further parameter tuning. Conclusions: This study developed and validated five novel machine learning models for NAFLD prediction, among which XGBoost presented the best performance and was considered a reliable reference for early identification of high-risk patients with NAFLD in clinical practice.展开更多
Despite a decline in incidence and mortality during the last decades,stomach cancer is one of the main health challenges worldwide.According to the GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates,stomach cancer caused approximately 800000 de...Despite a decline in incidence and mortality during the last decades,stomach cancer is one of the main health challenges worldwide.According to the GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates,stomach cancer caused approximately 800000 deaths(accounting for 7.7%of all cancer deaths),and ranks as the fourth leading cause of cancer deaths in both genders combined.About 1.1 million new cases of stomach cancer were diagnosed in 2020(accounting for 5.6%of all cancer cases).About 75%of all new cases and all deaths from stomach cancer are reported in Asia.Stomach cancer is one of the most lethal malignant tumors,with a five-year survival rate of around 20%.There are some well-established risk factors for stomach cancer:Helicobacter pylori infection,dietary factors,tobacco,obesity,and radiation.To date,the most important way of preventing stomach cancer is reduced exposure to risk factors,as well as screening and early detection.Further research on risk factors can help identify various opportunities for more effective prevention.Screening programs for stomach cancer have been implemented in a few countries,either as a national or opportunistic screening of high-risk individuals only.Generally,due to its high aggressiveness and heterogeneity,stomach cancer still remains a severe global health problem.展开更多
Breast cancer is a heterogeneous complex of diseases, a spectrum of many subtypes with distinct biological features that lead to differences in response patterns to various treatment modalities and clinical outcomes. ...Breast cancer is a heterogeneous complex of diseases, a spectrum of many subtypes with distinct biological features that lead to differences in response patterns to various treatment modalities and clinical outcomes. Traditional classification systems regarding biological characteristics may have limitations for patient-tailored treatment strategies. Tumors with similar clinical and pathological presentations may have different behaviors. Analyses of breast cancer with new molecular techniques now hold promise for the development of more accurate tests for the prediction of recurrence. Gene signatures have been developed as predictors of response to therapy and protein gene products that have direct roles in driving the biology and clinical behavior of cancer cells are potential targets for the development of novel therapeutics. The present review summarizes current knowledge in breast cancer molecular biology, focusing on novel prognostic and predictive factors.展开更多
AIM: To compare three initial monthly intravitreal ranibizumab(IVR) injections followed by pro re nata(PRN) dosing with one initial monthly IVR injections followed by PRN dosing for macular edema(ME) secondary to bran...AIM: To compare three initial monthly intravitreal ranibizumab(IVR) injections followed by pro re nata(PRN) dosing with one initial monthly IVR injections followed by PRN dosing for macular edema(ME) secondary to branch retinal vein occlusion(BRVO).METHODS: Forty-two eyes of 42 patients who had IVR injections for BRVO were retrospectively studied. Eighteen eyes received 1 initial IVR injection(1+PRN group) and 24 eyes received 3 monthly IVR injections(3+PRN). At 1, 3, 6 and 12mo; spectral-domain optical coherence tomography(SD-OCT) was performed. Central macular thickness(CMT), the integrity of the external limiting membrane(ELM), the presence of subretinal fluid, cyst size, the presence of inner segment/outer segment(IS/OS) defect were determined.RESULTS: At baseline the mean CMT was 521.3±153.2 μm in the 3+PRN group while it was 438.1±162.4 μm in 1+PRN group. At the final visit, mean CMT was 278.3±87.8 μm in the 3+PRN group and 285.2±74.2 μm in the 1+PRN group(P=0.079). The changes in CMT over the entire study period were also comparable in both groups(243±160 μm in the 3+PRN group, and 152.9±175.3 μm in the 1+PRN group; P=0.090). At baseline, best-corrected visual acuity(BCVA) was 0.92±0.60 logarithm of the minimal angle of resolution(logMAR) in the 3+PRN group, while it was 0.72±0.46 logMAR in the 1+PRN group. Final BCVA was 0.42±0.55 logMAR in the 3+PRN group and 0.38±0.50 logMAR in the 1+PRN group(P=0.979). Additionally, the BCVA changes from baseline to final visit were not significantly different(-0.50±0.45 logMAR in the 3+PRN group, and-0.33±0.39 logMAR in the 1+PRN group; P=0.255).CONCLUSION: No significant differences in the anatomical or functional results are found between 3+PRN and 1+PRN regimens in the patients receiving ranibizumab for ME secondary to BRVO. Intact IS/OS and baseline BCVA are good predictor of the visual gain, while baseline CMT is a good predictor of the anatomical gain.展开更多
文摘Introduction: Pre-eclampsia is a major cause of maternal and prenatal morbidity and mortality, that complicates 2% to 8% of pregnancies worldwide. The aim of this study was to determine the predictive factors for pre-eclampsia in two hospitals in the city of Yaoundé. Methods: A case-control study was conducted at the Gynaecology & Obstetrics department of the Yaoundé Gynaeco-Obstetric and Paediatric Hospital (YGOPH) and the Main Maternity of the Yaoundé Central Hospital (MM-YCH) from February 1 to July 30, 2022. The cases were all pregnant women presenting with pre-eclampsia. The control group included pregnant women without pre-eclampsia. Descriptive statistics followed by logistic regression analyses were conducted with level of significance set at p-value Results: Included in the study were 33 cases and 132 controls, giving a total of 165 participants. The predictive factors for pre-eclampsia after multivariate analysis were: primiparity (aOR = 51.86, 95% CI: 3.01 - 1230.96, p = 0.045), duration of exposure to partner’s sperm Conclusion: The odds of pre-eclampsia increased with primiparity, duration of exposure to partner’s sperm < 3 months, personal history of pre-eclampsia and maternal history of pre-eclampsia. Recognition of these predictor factors would improve the ability to diagnose and monitor women likely to develop pre-eclampsia before the onset of disease for timely interventions.
文摘Introduction and Aims: Pharyngostoma or pharyngo-cutaneous fistula is a frequent complication of totals laryngectomies and pharyngo-laryngectomies. Its incidence varies from one series to another from 13% to 58%. Multiple risk factors are known. The data from our environment concerning this condition are few. Thus, in order to contribute to the study of this complication in our environment, we proposed to carry out this study, whose objective was to determine the predictive factors for the occurrence of pharyngo-cutaneous fistula or pharyngostoma after total laryngectomy and total pharyngo-laryngectomy in Yaounde and Douala. Patients and Methods: This was a retrospective, cross-sectional, descriptive study conducted in the 5 Ear-Nose-Throat (ENT) department of hospital in the city of Yaounde and Douala. The study took place between January 2009 and December 2020. All patients who underwent total laryngectomy or total pharyngo-laryngectomy with a follow-up of at least one month were included in the study. Incomplete records were excluded, as well as those of patients who died before one month of postoperative follow-up. Results: We selected 48 cases of total laryngectomies (TL) and total pharyngo-laryngectomies (TPL), and identified 37 cases of pharyngostoma. 45 men (93.8%) and 3 women (6.3%). The mean age was 56.4 years with extremes ranging from 37 to 86 years. Smoking and alcoholism were noted in 75% and 79.2% of our patients respectively. A tracheotomy before TL and TPL was found in 41.7%. 100% of the tumours found were T3 or T4. The surgery was in 34 cases (70.8%) TL and in 14 cases (29.2%) TPL. Pharyngostomas were observed in 37 cases among 48 patients operated on, i.e. a frequency of 77.1%. The average delay of appearance was 7 to 14 days. We had spontaneous healing with pressure dressing and nasogastric tube feeding in 35 patients (77.8%) and two patients benefited from pectoralis major flap treatment;the healing time was 21 to 30 days. We did not find any correlation between gender, age, tumour site of origin and locoregional extension and the occurrence of pharyngostoma. Preoperative tracheotomy and radiotherapy were not significant risk factors for the occurrence of pharyngostoma. However, preoperative anaemia (p = 0.02), LTP (p = 0.02), early complications (p 0.001) and lack of continuous saliva aspiration postoperatively (p = 0.03) were statistically significant predictors of pharyngostoma in univariate analysis. Conclusion: Pharyngostoma is the most common postoperative complication after TL and TPL. In our setting, the main associated risk factors identified were: preoperative anaemia, LTP, early complications and failure to continuously aspirate saliva postoperatively.
文摘AIM:To evaluate predictive factors for postoperative visual function of primary chronic rhegmatgenous retinal detachment(RRD) after sclera buckling(SB).METHODS:Totally 48 patients(51 eyes) with primary chronic RRD were included in this prospective interventional clinical cases study,which underwent SB alone from June 2008 to December 2014.Age,sex,symptoms duration,detached extension,retinal hole position,size,type,fovea on/off,proliferative vitreoretinopathy(PVR),posterior vitreous detachment(PVD),baseline best corrected visual acuity(BCVA),operative duration,follow up duration,final BCVA were measured.Pearson correlation analysis,Spearman correlation analysis and multivariate linear stepwise regression were used to confirm predictive factors for better final visual acuity.Student's /-test,Wilcoxon twosample test,Chi-square test and logistic stepwise regression were used to confirm predictive factors for better vision improvement.RESULTS:Baseline BCVA was 0.8313±0.6911 logMAR and final BCVA was 0.4761±0.4956 logMAR.Primary surgical success rate was 92.16%(47/51).Correlation analyses revealed shorter symptoms duration(r=0.3850,P=0.0053),less detached area(P=0.5489,P<0.0001),fovea(P=0.4605,P=0.0007),no PVR(P=0.3138,P=0.0250),better baseline BCVA(P=0.7291,P<0.0001),shorter operative duration(P=0.3233,P=0.0207) and longer follow up(r=-0.3358,P=0.0160) were related with better final BCVA,while independent predictive factors were better baseline BCVA[partial R-square(PR^2)=0.5316,P<0.0001],shorter symptoms duration(PR^2=0.0609,P=0.0101),longer follow up duration(PR^2=0.0278,P=0.0477) and shorter operative duration(PR^2=0.0338,P=0.0350).Patients with vision improvement took up 49.02%(25/51).Univariate and multivariate analyses both revealed predictive factors for better vision improvement were better baseline vision[odds ratio(OR)=50.369,P=0.0041]and longer follow up duration(OR=1.144,P=0.0067).CONCLUSION:Independent predictive factors for better visual outcome of primary chronic RRD after SB are better baseline BCVA,shorter symptoms duration,shorter operative duration and longer follow up duration,while independent predictive factors for better vision improvement after operation are better baseline vision and longer follow up duration.
文摘Objective: This study was aimed at identifying predictive factors of complications during vaginal delivery on scarred uterus. Methodology: During 9 months, from October 1st, 2015 to June 30th, 2016, a case control study was carried out at the Yaoundé Gynaeco-Obstetric and Pediatric Hospital. Eighty nine women each with a single scarred uterus who presented with complications during delivery (cases) were compared to eighty nine others who had a successfully trial of scar (control) during the study period. Data were analyzed using the CSPro version 6.0 and SPSS version 20.0 softwares with statistical significance set at P Results: We recruited 2 groups of 89 women, aged 17 to 40 years, with an average age of 29.05 years. The majority of women with complications were married (50.6%) and unemployed (42.8%). Following univariate analysis, predictive factors of complications were: prematurity (OR = 7.4), post-term (OR = 13.7), no history of vaginal delivery on scarred uterus (OR = 4.3), inter-pregnancy spacing period greater than 60 months (five years) (OR = 2.9), History of caesarian delivery indicated for cephalo-pelvic disproportion (OR = 6.6), less than four ante-natal consultations (OR = 3.6), antenatal consultations done in a Health Centre (OR = 2.7), ante-natal follow up conducted by a nurse (OR = 2.4;IC = [1.2 - 4.7]), referral from a different health unit (OR = 4.4, IC = 2.0 - 9.4), a Bishop score less than 7 on admission (OR = 12.4, IC = 5.6 - 27.4), a meconium stained amniotic fluid (OR = 9.9;CI = [3.6 - 26.8]). After logistic regression, the retained factors associated with complications were post-term (aOR = 34.5), absence of vaginal birth after caesarian delivery, (aOR = 11.7), previous caesarean section indicated for cephalo-pelvic disproportion (aOR = 6.1), a bishop score less than 7 (aOR = 12.0), meconium stained amniotic fluid (aOR = 13.6). Conclusion: Predictive factors of complications can help anticipate negative obstetric outcomes.
文摘AIM:To identify preoperative predictive factors associated with malignancy of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms(IPMNs) of the pancreas.METHODS:Between April 1995 and April 2010,129 patients underwent surgical resection for IPMNs at our institute and had confirmed pathologic diagnoses.The medical records were retrospectively reviewed and immunohistochemical staining for mucin(MUC) in pancreatic tissues was performed.RESULTS:Univariate analysis showed that the following five variables were closely associated with malignant IPMNs preoperatively:absence of extrapancreatic malignancy;symptoms;tumor size > 4 cm;main pancreaticduct(MPD) size > 7 mm;and lymph node enlargement on preoperative computed tomography(CT).Multivariate analysis revealed that the following two factors were significantly associated with malignant IPMNs preoperatively:MPD size > 7 mm [odds ratio(OR) = 2.50];and lymph node enlargement on preoperative CT(OR = 3.57).No significant differences in the expression of MUC1,MUC2 and MUC5AC were observed between benign and malignant IPMNs.CONCLUSION:MPD size > 7 mm and preoperative lymph node enlargement on CT are useful predictive factors associated with malignancy of IPMNs.
基金Supported by Novartis Pharmaceuticals,One Health Plaza,East Hanover,NJ 07936-1080,United States
文摘AIM To discover unknown factors associated with carcinoid syndrome(CS) with the goal of earlier diagnosis of CS.METHODS In this retrospective case-control study using United States administrative claims, patients(≥ 18 years) newly-diagnosed with gastrointestinal neuroendocrine tumors(GI NETs) without CS(controls) were exactly matched to patients with CS(cases) based on NET diagnosis date at a 3-to-1 ratio. Study index date was first CS diagnosis(controls: same distance from NET diagnosis as cases). The most observed conditions, excluding CS-associated symptoms/diagnoses, during the year before index date were assessed. Forwardstepwise logistic regression models were used to derive predictors, and were validation within another claims database. RESULTS In the development database, 1004 patients with GI NETs were identified; 251(25%) had CS and 753(75%) were controls. In the validation database, 724 patients with GI NETs were identified; 181(25%) had CS and 543(75%) were controls. A total of 33 common diagnoses(excluding conditions already known to be associated with CS) in the development database were entered in forward step-wise logistic regression models. In the final, validated logistic regression model, three factors prior to CS diagnosis were found consistently associated with higher risks for CS, including liver disorder [odds ratio(95%CI): 3.38(2.07-5.51)], enlargement of lymph nodes [2.13(1.10-4.11)], and abdominal mass [3.79(1.87-7.69)].CONCLUSION GI NET patients with CS were 2-4 times as likely to have preexisting diagnoses(i.e., liver disorder, enlarged lymph nodes, abdominal mass) than non-CS patients.
文摘Objective:This study aimed to identify predictive factors for percutaneous nephrolithotomy(PCNL)bleeding risks.With better risk stratification,bleeding in high-risk patient can be anticipated and facilitates early identification.Methods:A prospective observational study of PCNL performed at our institution was done.All adults with radio-opaque renal stones planned for PCNL were included except those with coagulopathy,planned for additional procedures.Factors including gender,co-morbidities,body mass index,stone burden,puncture site,tract dilatation size,operative position,surgeon's seniority,and operative duration were studied using stepwise multivariate regression analysis to identify the predictive factors associated with higher estimated hemoglobin(Hb)deficiency.Results:Overall,4.86%patients(n=7)received packed cells transfusion.The mean estimated Hb deficiency was 1.3(range 0-6.5)g/dL and the median was 1.0 g/dL.Stepwise multivariate regression analysis revealed that absence of hypertension(p=0.024),puncture site(p=0.027),and operative duration(p=0.023)were significantly associated with higher estimated Hb deficiency.However,the effect sizes are rather small with partial eta-squared of 0.037,0.066,and 0.038,respectively.Observed power obtained was 0.621,0.722,and 0.625,respectively.Other factors studied did not correlate with Hb difference.Conclusion:Hypertension,puncture site,and operative duration have significant impact on estimated Hb deficiency during PCNL.However,the effect size is rather small despite adequate study power obtained.Nonetheless,operative position(supine or prone),puncture number,or tract dilatation size did not correlate with Hb difference.The mainstay of reducing bleeding in PCNL is still meticulous operative technique.Our study findings also suggest that PCNL can be safely done by urology trainees under supervision in suitably selected patient,without increasing risk of bleeding.
文摘Although testosterone replacement therapy(TRT)is the first-choice method used worldwide for late-onset hypogonadism(LOH),clinical benefits are not seen in all cases.This study was conducted to determine the predictors of TRT efficacy for LOH.Fifty-six patients who visited our Men’s Health Clinic(Kawanishi City Medical Center,Kawanishi and Hyogo Medical University,Nishinomiya,Hyogo,Japan)between November 2003 and June 2021 with data available before and after TRT were enrolled.They were divided into responders(Group 1;n=45,accounting for 80.4%)and nonresponders(Group 2;n=11,accounting for 19.6%)based on the clinical response to TRT,including patient satisfaction.Factors noted before TRT included age,body mass index,aging males’symptoms score,sexual health inventory for men,luteinizing hormone,follicular-stimulating hormone,testosterone,free testosterone,prolactin(PRL),estradiol(E2),and testosterone/estradiol(T/E2)ratio in serum.For statistical analysis,a multivariable logistic regression model was used.Univariate analysis revealed PRL(odds ratio TORI:0.9624;95%confidence interval[Cl]:0.9316-0.9943,P<0.05),E2(OR:0.8692;95%Cl:0.7745-0.9754,P<0.05),and T/E2 ratio(OR:1.1312;95%Cl:1.0106-1.2661,P<0.05)to be predictive factors.Multivariate analyses showed that T/E2 ratio was an independent predictive factor(OR:1.1593;95%Cl:1.0438-1.2875,P<0.01).The present results suggest that a low value for T/E2 ratio may predict a reduced response to TRT.The T/E2 ratio threshold to predict nonresponders based on receiver-operating characteristics(ROC)curve analysis was shown to be 17.3.Although additional studies with larger number of patients are necessary,we propose the determination of serum E2 level and testosterone level prior to performing TRT.
文摘Objective To describe the preoperative factors of prolonged intensive care unit length of stay after coronary artery bypass grafting. Methods From 1997 to 2009, 1318 patients underwent isolated CABG in our hospital. Retrospective analysis was performed on these cases. Univariate and multivariate analyses
文摘Objective The rate of post-operative complications has been increased with the changes in patients’age,prolonged duration,more severe and diffused lesions,and more patients with complications in recent years. We try to identify the risk factors associated with prolonged stay in the intensive care unit (ICU) after coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) . Methods 1623 patients who received CABG surgery in Beijing Anzhen Hospital
文摘The bidirectional association between type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM)and periodontitis is now well established,resulting in periodontal disease being considered as the 6th major complication of diabetes mellitus(DM)after cardiovascular disease,eye disease,neuropathy,nephropathy,and peripheral vascular disease.DM can worsen the virulence and invasiveness of pathogenic oral microbial flora aggravating the local inflammation and infection in those with periodontal disease.On the other hand,the chemical and immunological mediators released into the circulation as part of periodontal inflammation worsen the systemic insulin resistance with worsening of T2DM.Periodontitis if undiagnosed or left untreated can also result in eventual tooth loss.A study by Xu et al in the World Journal of Diabetes examined the predictive factors associated with periodontitis in Chinese patients with T2DM.The prevalence of periodontitis was found to be 75.7%in this study.Based on logistic regression analysis,the predictive factors for higher risk were low tooth brushing frequency[odds ratio(OR)=4.3],high triglycerides(TG;OR=3.31),high total cholesterol(TC;OR=2.87),higher glycated hemoglobin(HbA1c;OR=2.55),and higher age(OR=1.05)while higher education level was protective(OR=0.53).However,the most influential variables were HbA1c followed by age,TC,TG,low education level,brushing frequency,and sex on the random forest model(this model showed higher sensitivity for predicting the risk).A good understanding of the predictors for periodontitis in T2DM patients is important in prevention,early detection of susceptible patients,and intervention to improve periodontal health and enable long-term glycaemic control as observed by Xu et al.
基金Supported by Opening Fund of Engineering Research Center of Cognitive Healthcare of Zhejiang Province,No.2018KFJJ09National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.81827804
文摘BACKGROUND Postoperative adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE) has improved overall survival (OS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).However,the prognostic and predictive factors remain unclear.AIM To assess the prognostic factors and the predictors of PA-TACE benefit for OS in patients with resected HCC.METHODS Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the potential prognostic factors for OS.In order to assess the predictive factors of PA-TACE benefit,the interaction variables between treatments for each subgroup were evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards regression model.RESULTS A total of 378 patients (PA-TACE vs surgery alone,189:189) from three centerswere included after a propensity-score 1:1 matching analysis.Compared to the group receiving surgery alone,PA-TACE prolonged the OS rate in patients with resected HCC (P <0.001).The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system and ferritinto-hemoglobin ratio (FHR) were used as the prognostic factors for OS in both groups.Age (P=0.023) and microscopic vascular invasion (MVI)(P=0.002) were also identified in the PA-TACE group,while gender (P=0.027),hepatitis B virus(P=0.034) and albumin-bilirubin grade (P=0.027) were also selected in the surgery alone group.In addition,PA-TACE resulted in longer OS than surgery alone across subgroups [all hazard ratios (PA-TACE-to-surgery alone)<1].Notably,a significantly prolonged OS following PA-TACE was observed in patients with high FHR (P=0.038) and without MVI (P=0.048).CONCLUSION FHR and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages were regarded as prognostic factors for OS.Moreover,high FHR and the absence of MVI were important predictive factors,which can be used to assist clinicians in selecting which patients could achieve a better OS with PA-TACE.
文摘AIM:To investigate the ratio of spontaneous regression of retinopathy of prematurity(ROP)and to explore the possible relevant predictive factors.METHODS:A retrospective review of 405 infants who were diagnosed with ROP and mother during pregnancy were collected.Stage,zone,and duration of ROP were recorded.Statistical analysis was performed on 51 possible predictive factors.RESULTS:Totally 356 infants showed spontaneous regression.The incidence was 100%,95.3%,and 22.7%in stage 1,2,and 3,respectively.The 13.4%of the ROP with plus disease eventually resolved spontaneously.All affected eyes of aggressive posterior retinopathy of prematurity(APROP)failed to spontaneously regress.The mean duration of ROP was 7.2wk in patients with spontaneous resolution of ROP.Days of mechanical ventilation(OR=0.981,95%CI,0.965-0.997,P=0.021),retinal hemorrhage(OR=0.173,95%CI,0.064-0.470,P=0.001),delivery pattern(OR=2.750,95%CI,1.132-6.681,P=0.025),maternal anemia in pregnancy(OR=0.142,95%CI,0.036-0.563,P=0.005),the stages(at initial diagnosis OR=0.183,95%CI,0.041-0.816,P=0.026;at final diagnosis OR=0.031,95%CI,0.006-0.167,P<0.001),and with plus disease or not(OR=0.005,95%CI,0.001-0.031,P<0.001)were independent predictive factors of the spontaneous regression of ROP.CONCLUSION:Most mild ROP can spontaneously resolve.Active treatment is still recommended for stage 3 ROP,zone I ROP,AP-ROP,and ROP with plus disease.Prolonged mechanical ventilation and concurrent retinal hemorrhage reduce the likelihood of spontaneous ROP resolution.The pattern of delivery and the mother's anemia during pregnancy can also affect the prognosis of ROP.
文摘BACKGROUND With sentinel node metastasis in breast cancer(BC)patients,axillary lymph node(ALN)dissection is often omitted from cases with breast-conserving surgery.Omission of lymph node dissection reduces the invasiveness of surgery to the patient,but it also obscures the number of metastases to non-sentinel nodes.The possibility of finding≥4 lymph nodes(pN2a/pN3a)preoperatively is important given the ramifications for postoperative treatment.AIM To search for clinicopathological factors that predicts upstaging from N0 to pN2a/pN3a.METHODS Patients who were sentinel lymph node(SLN)-positive and underwent ALN dissection between September 2007 and August 2018 were selected by retrospective chart review.All patients had BC diagnosed preoperatively as N0 with axillary evaluation by fluorodeoxyglucose(FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography and ultrasound (US)examination. When suspicious FDG accumulation was found in ALN, the presence of metastasiswas reevaluated by second US. We examined predictors of upstaging from N0 to pN2a/pN3a.RESULTSAmong 135 patients, we identified 1-3 ALNs (pN1) in 113 patients and ³4 ALNs (pN2a/pN3a) in22 patients. Multivariate analysis identified the total number of SLN metastasis, the maximaldiameter of metastasis in the SLN (SLNDmax), and FDG accumulation of ALN as predictors ofupstaging to pN2a/pN3a.CONCLUSIONWe identified factors involved in upstaging from N0 to pN2a/pN3a. The SLNDmax and numberof SLN metastasis are predictors of ≥ 4 ALNs (pN2a/pN3a) and predictors of metastasis to nonsentinelnodes, which have been reported in the past. Attention should be given to axillaryaccumulations of FDG, even when faint.
基金Supported by Wenzhou Science and Technology Project(No.Y20190173).
文摘AIM:To define the predictive factors of severe retinopathy of prematurity(ROP)and develop a nomogram for predicting severe ROP in southeast China.METHODS:Totally 554 infants diagnosed with ROP hospitalized in the Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children’s Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University and hospitalized in Taizhou Women and Children’s Hospital were included.Clinical data and 43 candidate predictive factors of ROP infants were collected retrospectively.Logistic regression model was used to identify predictive factors of severe ROP and to propose a nomogram for individual risk prediction,which was compared with WINROP model and Digirop-Birth model.RESULTS:Infants from the Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children’s Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University(n=478)were randomly allocated into training(n=402)and internal validation group(n=76).Infants from Taizhou Women and Children’s Hospital were set as external validation group(n=76).Severe ROP were found in 52 of 402 infants,12 of 76 infants,and 7 of 76 infants in training group,internal validation group,and external validation group,respectively.Birth weight[odds ratio(OR),0.997;95%confidence interval(CI),0.996-0.999;P<0.001],multiple births(OR,1.885;95%CI,1.013-3.506;P=0.045),and non-invasive ventilation(OR,0.288;95%CI,0.146-0.570;P<0.001)were identified as predictive factors for the prediction of severe ROP,by univariate analysis and multivariate analysis.For predicting severe ROP based on the internal validation group,the areas under receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)was 78.1(95%CI,64.2-92.0)for the nomogram,32.9(95%CI,15.3-50.5)for WINROP model,70.2(95%CI,55.8-84.6)for Digirop-Birth model.In external validation group,AUC of the nomogram was also higher than that of WINROP model and Digirop-Birth model(80.2 versus 51.1 and 63.4).The decision curve analysis of the nomogram demonstrated better clinical efficacy than that of WINROP model and Digirop-Birth model.The calibration curves demonstrated a good consistency between the actual severe ROP incidence and the predicted probability.CONCLUSION:Birth weight,multiple births,and noninvasive ventilation are independent predictors of severe ROP.The nomogram has a good ability to predict severe ROP and performed well on internal validation and external validation in southeast China.
文摘BACKGROUND:Severe poisoning due to the overdosing of cardiac drugs can lead to cardiovascular failure.In order to decrease the mortality rate,the most severe patients should be transferred as quickly as possible to an extracorporeal membrane oxygenation(ECMO)center.However,the predictive factors showing the need for venous-arterial ECMO(VA-ECMO)had never been evaluated.METHODS:A retrospective,descriptive,and single-center cohort study.All consecutive patients admitted in the largest ICU of Reunion Island(Indian Ocean)between January 2013 and September 2018 for beta-blockers(BB),calcium channel blockers(CCB),renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system blockers,digoxin or anti-arrythmic intentional poisonings were included.ECMO implementation was the primary outcome.RESULTS:A total of 49 consecutive admissions were included.Ten patients had ECMO,39 patients did not have ECMO.Three patients in ECMO group died,while no patients in the conventional group died.The most relevant ECMO-associated factors were pulse pressure and heart rate at first medical contact and pulse pressure,heart rate,arterial lactate concentration,liver enzymes and left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF)at ICU-admission.Only pulse pressure at first medical contact and LVEF were significant after logistic regression.CONCLUSION:A transfer to an ECMO center should be considered for a pulse pressure<35 mmHg at first medical contact or LVEF<20%on admission to ICU.
基金the Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by Clinical Research Ethics Committee of China-Japan Friendship Hospital(2018-110-K79-1).
文摘Background: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD) had become the most prevalent liver disease worldwide. Early diagnosis could effectively reduce NAFLD-related morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to combine the risk factors to develop and validate a novel model for predicting NAFLD. Methods: We enrolled 578 participants completing abdominal ultrasound into the training set. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO) regression combined with random forest(RF) was conducted to screen significant predictors for NAFLD risk. Five machine learning models including logistic regression(LR), RF, extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost), gradient boosting machine(GBM), and support vector machine(SVM) were developed. To further improve model performance, we conducted hyperparameter tuning with train function in Python package ‘sklearn’. We included 131 participants completing magnetic resonance imaging into the testing set for external validation. Results: There were 329 participants with NAFLD and 249 without in the training set, while 96 with NAFLD and 35 without were in the testing set. Visceral adiposity index, abdominal circumference, body mass index, alanine aminotransferase(ALT), ALT/AST(aspartate aminotransferase), age, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C) and elevated triglyceride(TG) were important predictors for NAFLD risk. The area under curve(AUC) of LR, RF, XGBoost, GBM, SVM were 0.915 [95% confidence interval(CI): 0.886–0.937], 0.907(95% CI: 0.856–0.938), 0.928(95% CI: 0.873–0.944), 0.924(95% CI: 0.875–0.939), and 0.900(95% CI: 0.883–0.913), respectively. XGBoost model presented the best predictive performance, and its AUC was enhanced to 0.938(95% CI: 0.870–0.950) with further parameter tuning. Conclusions: This study developed and validated five novel machine learning models for NAFLD prediction, among which XGBoost presented the best performance and was considered a reliable reference for early identification of high-risk patients with NAFLD in clinical practice.
文摘Despite a decline in incidence and mortality during the last decades,stomach cancer is one of the main health challenges worldwide.According to the GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates,stomach cancer caused approximately 800000 deaths(accounting for 7.7%of all cancer deaths),and ranks as the fourth leading cause of cancer deaths in both genders combined.About 1.1 million new cases of stomach cancer were diagnosed in 2020(accounting for 5.6%of all cancer cases).About 75%of all new cases and all deaths from stomach cancer are reported in Asia.Stomach cancer is one of the most lethal malignant tumors,with a five-year survival rate of around 20%.There are some well-established risk factors for stomach cancer:Helicobacter pylori infection,dietary factors,tobacco,obesity,and radiation.To date,the most important way of preventing stomach cancer is reduced exposure to risk factors,as well as screening and early detection.Further research on risk factors can help identify various opportunities for more effective prevention.Screening programs for stomach cancer have been implemented in a few countries,either as a national or opportunistic screening of high-risk individuals only.Generally,due to its high aggressiveness and heterogeneity,stomach cancer still remains a severe global health problem.
文摘Breast cancer is a heterogeneous complex of diseases, a spectrum of many subtypes with distinct biological features that lead to differences in response patterns to various treatment modalities and clinical outcomes. Traditional classification systems regarding biological characteristics may have limitations for patient-tailored treatment strategies. Tumors with similar clinical and pathological presentations may have different behaviors. Analyses of breast cancer with new molecular techniques now hold promise for the development of more accurate tests for the prediction of recurrence. Gene signatures have been developed as predictors of response to therapy and protein gene products that have direct roles in driving the biology and clinical behavior of cancer cells are potential targets for the development of novel therapeutics. The present review summarizes current knowledge in breast cancer molecular biology, focusing on novel prognostic and predictive factors.
文摘AIM: To compare three initial monthly intravitreal ranibizumab(IVR) injections followed by pro re nata(PRN) dosing with one initial monthly IVR injections followed by PRN dosing for macular edema(ME) secondary to branch retinal vein occlusion(BRVO).METHODS: Forty-two eyes of 42 patients who had IVR injections for BRVO were retrospectively studied. Eighteen eyes received 1 initial IVR injection(1+PRN group) and 24 eyes received 3 monthly IVR injections(3+PRN). At 1, 3, 6 and 12mo; spectral-domain optical coherence tomography(SD-OCT) was performed. Central macular thickness(CMT), the integrity of the external limiting membrane(ELM), the presence of subretinal fluid, cyst size, the presence of inner segment/outer segment(IS/OS) defect were determined.RESULTS: At baseline the mean CMT was 521.3±153.2 μm in the 3+PRN group while it was 438.1±162.4 μm in 1+PRN group. At the final visit, mean CMT was 278.3±87.8 μm in the 3+PRN group and 285.2±74.2 μm in the 1+PRN group(P=0.079). The changes in CMT over the entire study period were also comparable in both groups(243±160 μm in the 3+PRN group, and 152.9±175.3 μm in the 1+PRN group; P=0.090). At baseline, best-corrected visual acuity(BCVA) was 0.92±0.60 logarithm of the minimal angle of resolution(logMAR) in the 3+PRN group, while it was 0.72±0.46 logMAR in the 1+PRN group. Final BCVA was 0.42±0.55 logMAR in the 3+PRN group and 0.38±0.50 logMAR in the 1+PRN group(P=0.979). Additionally, the BCVA changes from baseline to final visit were not significantly different(-0.50±0.45 logMAR in the 3+PRN group, and-0.33±0.39 logMAR in the 1+PRN group; P=0.255).CONCLUSION: No significant differences in the anatomical or functional results are found between 3+PRN and 1+PRN regimens in the patients receiving ranibizumab for ME secondary to BRVO. Intact IS/OS and baseline BCVA are good predictor of the visual gain, while baseline CMT is a good predictor of the anatomical gain.
