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Optimization of sensor deployment sequences for hazardous gas leakage monitoring and source term estimation
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作者 Jikai Dong Bing Wang +3 位作者 Xinjie Wang Chenxi Cao Shikuan Chen Wenli Du 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第4期169-179,共11页
Nowadays, chemical safety has attracted considerable attention, and chemical gas leakage monitoring and source term estimation(STE) have become hot spots. However, few studies have focused on sensor layouts in scenari... Nowadays, chemical safety has attracted considerable attention, and chemical gas leakage monitoring and source term estimation(STE) have become hot spots. However, few studies have focused on sensor layouts in scenarios with multiple potential leakage sources and wind conditions, and studies on the risk information(RI) detection and prioritization order of sensors have not been performed. In this work, the monitoring area of a chemical factory is divided into multiple rectangles with a uniform mesh. The RI value of each grid node is calculated on the basis of the occurrence probability and normalized concentrations of each leakage scenario. A high RI value indicates that a sensor at a grid node has a high chance of detecting gas concentrations in different leakage scenarios. This situation is beneficial for leakage monitoring and STE. The methods of similarity redundancy detection and the maximization of sensor RI detection are applied to determine the sequence of sensor locations. This study reveals that the RI detection of the optimal sensor layout with eight sensors exceeds that of the typical layout with 12 sensors. In addition, STE with the optimized placement sequence of the sensor layout is numerically simulated. The statistical results of each scenario with various numbers of sensors reveal that STE is affected by sensor number and scenarios(leakage locations and winds). In most scenarios, appropriate STE results can be retained under the optimal sensor layout even with four sensors. Eight or more sensors are advised to improve the performance of STE in all scenarios. Moreover, the reliability of the STE results in each scenario can be known in advance with a specific number of sensors. Such information thus provides a reference for emergency rescue. 展开更多
关键词 Gas leakage source term estimation Sensor layout Risk information Numerical simulation OPTIMIZATION
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Research on inversion method for complex source-term distributions based on deep neural networks
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作者 Yi‑Sheng Hao Zhen Wu +3 位作者 Yan‑Heng Pu Rui Qiu Hui Zhang Jun‑Li Li 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第12期159-176,共18页
This study proposes a source distribution inversion convolutional neural network (SDICNN), which is deep neural network model for the inversion of complex source distributions, to solve inversion problems involving fi... This study proposes a source distribution inversion convolutional neural network (SDICNN), which is deep neural network model for the inversion of complex source distributions, to solve inversion problems involving fixed-source distributions. A function is developed to obtain the distribution information of complex source terms from radiation parameters at individual sampling points in space. The SDICNN comprises two components:a fully connected network and a convolutional neural network. The fully connected network mainly extracts the parameter measurement information from the sampling points,whereas the convolutional neural network mainly completes the fine inversion of the source-term distribution. Finally, the SDICNN obtains a high-resolution source-term distribution image. In this study, the proposed source-term inversion method is evaluated based on typical geometric scenarios. The results show that, unlike the conventional fully connected neural network, the SDICNN model can extract the two-dimensional distribution features of the source terms, and its inversion results are better. In addition, the effects of the shielding mechanism and number of sampling points on the inversion process are examined. In summary, the result of this study can facilitate the accurate assessment of dose distributions in nuclear facilities. 展开更多
关键词 source term inversion Monte Carlo Artificial intelligence Neural network
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Accident source term and radiological consequences of a small modular reactor
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作者 Hai-Ying Chen Fu-Dong Liu +3 位作者 Shao-Wei Wang Yi-Chuan Wang Chao Xu Qiao-Feng Liu 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第3期82-92,共11页
Considering the growing global demand for energy and the need for countries to achieve climate goals,there is an increasing global interest in small modular reactors(SMRs)and their applications.Accident source term an... Considering the growing global demand for energy and the need for countries to achieve climate goals,there is an increasing global interest in small modular reactors(SMRs)and their applications.Accident source term and radiological consequence evaluations of SMRs are key components of nuclear and radiation safety reviews,which affect the site,exclusion area(EAB),and low population zone outer boundaries.Based on the design characteristics of the SMR and accident analysis results,a theoretical model of a whole-core fuel cladding damage accident was constructed to study the radioactivity released into the environment and its consequences.The accident source term and radiation dose calculation models were established to analyze the released amounts of radionuclides and the total effective dose affecting individuals at the site boundary.The results showed that the amount of radionuclides released into the environment after a whole-core fuel cladding damage accident reached 10^(14) Bq,among which the release amount of ^(133)Xe was the largest.The total effective dose at the site boundary 30 days after the accident was 8.65 mSv.The highest total effective dose affecting individuals occurred to the east-north-east.The results of the accident source term and radiological consequence provide technical support for site boundary dose assessments and reviews of SMRs. 展开更多
关键词 Small modular reactor ACCIDENT source term Radiological consequence Total effective dose
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Heuristic techniques for maximum likelihood localization of radioactive sources via a sensor network
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作者 Assem Abdelhakim 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第8期174-193,共20页
Maximum likelihood estimation(MLE)is an effective method for localizing radioactive sources in a given area.However,it requires an exhaustive search for parameter estimation,which is time-consuming.In this study,heuri... Maximum likelihood estimation(MLE)is an effective method for localizing radioactive sources in a given area.However,it requires an exhaustive search for parameter estimation,which is time-consuming.In this study,heuristic techniques were employed to search for radiation source parameters that provide the maximum likelihood by using a network of sensors.Hence,the time consumption of MLE would be effectively reduced.First,the radiation source was detected using the k-sigma method.Subsequently,the MLE was applied for parameter estimation using the readings and positions of the detectors that have detected the radiation source.A comparative study was performed in which the estimation accuracy and time consump-tion of the MLE were evaluated for traditional methods and heuristic techniques.The traditional MLE was performed via a grid search method using fixed and multiple resolutions.Additionally,four commonly used heuristic algorithms were applied:the firefly algorithm(FFA),particle swarm optimization(PSO),ant colony optimization(ACO),and artificial bee colony(ABC).The experiment was conducted using real data collected by the Low Scatter Irradiator facility at the Savannah River National Laboratory as part of the Intelligent Radiation Sensing System program.The comparative study showed that the estimation time was 3.27 s using fixed resolution MLE and 0.59 s using multi-resolution MLE.The time consumption for the heuristic-based MLE was 0.75,0.03,0.02,and 0.059 s for FFA,PSO,ACO,and ABC,respectively.The location estimation error was approximately 0.4 m using either the grid search-based MLE or the heuristic-based MLE.Hence,heuristic-based MLE can provide comparable estimation accuracy through a less time-consuming process than traditional MLE. 展开更多
关键词 radioactive source Maximum likelihood estimation Multi-resolution MLE k-sigma Firefly algorithm Particle swarm optimization Ant colony optimization Artificial bee colony
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An improved four-dimensional variation source term inversion model with observation error regularization
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作者 Chao-shuai Han Xue-zheng Zhu +3 位作者 Jin Gu Guo-hui Yan Xiao-hui Gao Qin-wen Zuo 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第6期349-360,共12页
Aiming at the Four-Dimensional Variation source term inversion algorithm proposed earlier,the observation error regularization factor is introduced to improve the prediction accuracy of the diffusion model,and an impr... Aiming at the Four-Dimensional Variation source term inversion algorithm proposed earlier,the observation error regularization factor is introduced to improve the prediction accuracy of the diffusion model,and an improved Four-Dimensional Variation source term inversion algorithm with observation error regularization(OER-4DVAR STI model)is formed.Firstly,by constructing the inversion process and basic model of OER-4DVAR STI model,its basic principle and logical structure are studied.Secondly,the observation error regularization factor estimation method based on Bayesian optimization is proposed,and the error factor is separated and optimized by two parameters:error statistical time and deviation degree.Finally,the scientific,feasible and advanced nature of the OER-4DVAR STI model are verified by numerical simulation and tracer test data.The experimental results show that OER-4DVAR STI model can better reverse calculate the hazard source term information under the conditions of high atmospheric stability and flat underlying surface.Compared with the previous inversion algorithm,the source intensity estimation accuracy of OER-4DVAR STI model is improved by about 46.97%,and the source location estimation accuracy is improved by about 26.72%. 展开更多
关键词 source term inversion Four dimensional variation Observation error regularization factor Bayesian optimization SF6 tracer test
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MULTIPLICITY OF SOLUTIONS AND SOURCE TERMS IN A FOURTH ORDER NONLINEAR ELLIPTIC EQUATION 被引量:3
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作者 Choi Q-Heung Jung Tacksun(Departmctzt of Mathematics, Inha University, Incheon 402-751, KoreaDepartment of Mathematics, Kunsan National University, Kunsan 573-701, Korea) 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 1999年第4期361-374,共14页
The authors investigatc relations between multiplicity of solutions and sourceterms of the fourth order nonlinear elliptic boundary value problem under Dirichlet boundary condition △2u+c△u = bu++f inΩ, wherc Ω i... The authors investigatc relations between multiplicity of solutions and sourceterms of the fourth order nonlinear elliptic boundary value problem under Dirichlet boundary condition △2u+c△u = bu++f inΩ, wherc Ω is a bounded open set in Rn with smoothbonndary and the nonlinearity bu+ crosses eigenvalues of △2 +c△. They investigate therelatiolls when the source term is constant and when it is generated by two eigenfuntions. 展开更多
关键词 Nonlinear ELLIPTIC EQUATION solution source termS BOUNDARY VALUE problem
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Exact Solution of Fractional Diffusion Model with Source Term used in Study of Concentration of Fission Product in Uranium Dioxide Particle 被引量:2
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作者 房超 曹建主 孙立风 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2011年第5期863-867,共5页
有一个地点无关的来源术语的部分散开模型的准确答案在球形的铀二氧化物(UO2 ) 在分裂产品的集中的学习使用了粒子被造。UO2 粒子的表面上的分裂产品的吸附效果和推迟的腐烂效果也被考虑。解决方案与有限 Hankel 不可分的转变和 Laplace... 有一个地点无关的来源术语的部分散开模型的准确答案在球形的铀二氧化物(UO2 ) 在分裂产品的集中的学习使用了粒子被造。UO2 粒子的表面上的分裂产品的吸附效果和推迟的腐烂效果也被考虑。解决方案与有限 Hankel 不可分的转变和 Laplace 转变以 MittagLeffler 功能被给。最后,在一些特殊物理条件下面的答案的减少的形式,在原子工程被使用,被获得,相应讲话被给在核反应堆提供重要准确结果给原子分裂产品的集中分析。 展开更多
关键词 核裂变产物 扩散模型 颗粒浓度 二氧化铀 精确解 分数阶 LAPLACE变换 产品
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THE BACKGROUND VALUES OF RARE EARTH AND RADIOACTIVE ELEMENTS IN WATER SYSTEM OF SOURCE AREA OF THE CHANG JIANG RIVER
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作者 张立诚 周克俊 +1 位作者 钱杏珍 李岫霞 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 1993年第3期74-85,共12页
Using neutron activation analysis method we determined contents of rare-earth and radioactive elements (La, Ce, Nd, Sm, Eu, Tb, Yb, Lu, Cs, Rb, Sb, Sc, Sr, Ba, U, Th) in source water system of the Changjiang (Yangtze)... Using neutron activation analysis method we determined contents of rare-earth and radioactive elements (La, Ce, Nd, Sm, Eu, Tb, Yb, Lu, Cs, Rb, Sb, Sc, Sr, Ba, U, Th) in source water system of the Changjiang (Yangtze) River, which is mainly composed of the Tuotuo River, the Chumaer River, and the Buqu River. The contents of these elements in the unflltered water have a great variation and a close correlation with the water turbidity. The contents of these elements in filtered water only have a little variation and are lower than those in the unflltered water. The variations in contents of these elements in sediments are also very little. These elements in the unifiltered water are in geometric distribution, except Sc. Most of the elements in sediments are in arithmetic distribution, but Cs, Sb, Th, are in deviation distribution. The contents of most of these elements in the river source area correspond to the contents of fresh water of the earth. Most of these elements have a little variation in their 展开更多
关键词 source area of the CHANGJIANG RIVER background value radioactive elements neutron activation analysis method
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Least-squares finite-element method for shallow-water equations with source terms 被引量:2
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作者 Shin-Jye Liang Tai-Wen Hsu 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2009年第5期597-610,共14页
Numerical solution of shallow-water equations(SWE) has been a challenging task because of its nonlinearhyperbolic nature, admitting discontinuous solution, andthe need to satisfy the C-property. The presence of source... Numerical solution of shallow-water equations(SWE) has been a challenging task because of its nonlinearhyperbolic nature, admitting discontinuous solution, andthe need to satisfy the C-property. The presence of sourceterms in momentum equations, such as the bottom slope andfriction of bed, compounds the difficulties further. In thispaper, a least-squares finite-element method for the spacediscretization and θ-method for the time integration is developedfor the 2D non-conservative SWE including the sourceterms. Advantages of the method include: the source termscan be approximated easily with interpolation functions, noupwind scheme is needed, as well as the resulting systemequations is symmetric and positive-definite, therefore, canbe solved efficiently with the conjugate gradient method. Themethod is applied to steady and unsteady flows, subcriti-caland transcritical flow over a bump, 1D and 2D circulardam-break, wave past a circular cylinder, as well as wavepast a hump. Computed results show good C-property, conservationproperty and compare well with exact solutions andother numerical results for flows with weak and mild gradientchanges, but lead to inaccurate predictions for flows withstrong gradient changes and discontinuities. 展开更多
关键词 浅水方程 最小二乘 源项 有限 共轭梯度法 动量方程 空间离散 插值函数
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Forest Canopy Flow Analysis Using Turbulence Model with Source/Sink Terms
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作者 杨会 付海明 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2015年第4期588-593,共6页
A computational fluid dynamics( CFD) model was presented to simulate wind flow over a forest canopy for analyzing the wind flow within and above forest canopies. Unlike previous studies on the canopy flow,the effect o... A computational fluid dynamics( CFD) model was presented to simulate wind flow over a forest canopy for analyzing the wind flow within and above forest canopies. Unlike previous studies on the canopy flow,the effect of canopy contour on the canopy was considered to develop the simulation method into a more general but complex case of wind flow over a forest canopy,using cedrus deodara and cinnamomum camphora. The desire of this work is mainly motivated to provide a rational way for predicting the wind flow within and above vegetation canopies. The model of canopy is not incorporated in the geometrical model,and it uses a porous domain combined with k-ε two-equation turbulence model with source / sink terms. The objectives of this paper are to analyze the contour of pressure and velocity and compare the simulation results with other works and field measurements. Results are encouraging,as the model profiles of mean velocity( u) qualitatively agree well with other works compared with and quantitatively have similar explanations as several authors. In conclusion, it is demonstrated that the adoption turbulence model with source / sink terms for forest canopies is proved to be a physically accurate and numerically robust method. The model and method are recommended for future use in simulating turbulent flows in forest canopies. 展开更多
关键词 k-ε source / sink terms mean velocity forest canopy
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Well-posedness for A Plate Equation with Nonlocal Source term
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作者 LIU Gong-wei ZHAO Rui-min ZHANG Hong-wei 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 2019年第4期331-342,共12页
In this paper,we investigate the initial boundary value problem for a plate equation with nonlocal source term.The local,global existence and exponential decay result are established under certain conditions.Moreover,... In this paper,we investigate the initial boundary value problem for a plate equation with nonlocal source term.The local,global existence and exponential decay result are established under certain conditions.Moreover,we also prove the blow-up in finite time and the lifespan of solution under certain conditions. 展开更多
关键词 Plate equation Nonlocal source term Decay estimate BLOW-UP
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TWO REGULARIZATION METHODS FOR IDENTIFYING THE SOURCE TERM PROBLEM ON THE TIME-FRACTIONAL DIFFUSION EQUATION WITH A HYPER-BESSEL OPERATOR
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作者 杨帆 孙乔夕 李晓晓 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第4期1485-1518,共34页
In this paper,we consider the inverse problem for identifying the source term of the time-fractional equation with a hyper-Bessel operator.First,we prove that this inverse problem is ill-posed,and give the conditional... In this paper,we consider the inverse problem for identifying the source term of the time-fractional equation with a hyper-Bessel operator.First,we prove that this inverse problem is ill-posed,and give the conditional stability.Then,we give the optimal error bound for this inverse problem.Next,we use the fractional Tikhonov regularization method and the fractional Landweber iterative regularization method to restore the stability of the ill-posed problem,and give corresponding error estimates under different regularization parameter selection rules.Finally,we verify the effectiveness of the method through numerical examples. 展开更多
关键词 Time-fractional diffusion equation source term problem fractional Landweber regularization method Hyper-Bessel operator fractional Tikhonov regularization method
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On Steady States and Its Capturing Schemes for Shallow-Water Equations with Source Terms
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作者 尹丽 黄明游 尹景学 《Northeastern Mathematical Journal》 CSCD 2004年第3期257-260,共4页
关键词 浅水方程 源端子 水跃 平衡条件 插分排列 偏微分
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Approximation of Derivative for a Singularly Perturbed Second-Order ODE of Robin Type with Discontinuous Convection Coefficient and Source Term
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作者 R.Mythili Priyadharshini N.Ramanujam 《Numerical Mathematics(Theory,Methods and Applications)》 SCIE 2009年第1期100-118,共19页
In this paper,a singularly perturbed Robin type boundary value problem for second-order ordinary differential equation with discontinuous convection coefficient and source term is considered.A robust-layer-resolving n... In this paper,a singularly perturbed Robin type boundary value problem for second-order ordinary differential equation with discontinuous convection coefficient and source term is considered.A robust-layer-resolving numerical method is proposed. Anε-uniform global error estimate for the numerical solution and also to the numerical derivative are established.Numerical results are presented,which are in agreement with the theoretical predictions. 展开更多
关键词 二阶常微分方程 系数和 衍生物 奇异摄动 源项 对流 间断 数值计算方法
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融合多源异构气象数据的光伏功率预测模型
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作者 谈玲 康瑞星 +1 位作者 夏景明 王越 《电子与信息学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期503-517,共15页
高精度光伏功率预测对提高电力系统运行效率具有重要意义。光伏功率受多种因素影响,其中云层的变化是最主要的不确定因素。传统光伏功率预测方法没有充分考虑云的3维结构和气象要素对光伏功率的影响。因此,该文提出一种融合多源异构气... 高精度光伏功率预测对提高电力系统运行效率具有重要意义。光伏功率受多种因素影响,其中云层的变化是最主要的不确定因素。传统光伏功率预测方法没有充分考虑云的3维结构和气象要素对光伏功率的影响。因此,该文提出一种融合多源异构气象数据的多源变量光伏功率预测模型(MPPM)。MPPM的核心包括时空条件扩散模型(STCDM)、注意力堆叠LSTM网络(ASLSTM)和多维特征融合模块(MFFM)。STCDM模型通过对2维卫星云图进行精确预测,消除了云层边界处的模糊现象。ASLSTM模型则提取了3维天气研究与预报模式(WRF)气象要素特征。MFFM模块将2维卫星云图特征和3维WRF气象要素特征进行融合,以得到未来1 h光伏功率预测结果。该文分别利用STCDM模型和MPPM模型开展卫星云图预测实验和光伏功率预测实验。实验结果显示,STCDM模型预测1 h内卫星云图的结构相似性指数(SSIM)达到0.914,MPPM模型预测1 h内光伏功率的相关系数(CORR)达到0.949,优于所有对比算法。 展开更多
关键词 多源数据 扩散模型 堆叠长短期记忆 注意力机制 特征提取
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基于多源信息融合和WOA-CNN-LSTM的外脚手架隐患分类预警研究
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作者 赵江平 张雪莹 侯刚 《安全与环境学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期933-942,共10页
面对施工现场外脚手架隐患信息的多样性,传统的基于传感器监测的单一信号预警研究存在容错力不佳、含有信息有限等问题。针对施工现场外脚手架“图像+监测”数据,提出一种基于数据层和特征层信息融合的脚手架隐患分类预警方法。首先,利... 面对施工现场外脚手架隐患信息的多样性,传统的基于传感器监测的单一信号预警研究存在容错力不佳、含有信息有限等问题。针对施工现场外脚手架“图像+监测”数据,提出一种基于数据层和特征层信息融合的脚手架隐患分类预警方法。首先,利用Revit三维建模软件建立外脚手架实体模型,对不同初始隐患下的外脚手架进行有限元分析,划分隐患预警等级;其次,利用无迹卡尔曼滤波算法(Unscented Kalman Filter,UKF)及卷积长短时记忆网络(Convolutional Neural Network-Long Short Term Memory Network,CNN-LSTM)实现脚手架同类信息数据层融合及异类信息特征层融合;最后,通过实时收集西安市某在建项目落地式双排扣件式钢管脚手架隐患信息,对其进行分类预警,并使用鲸鱼优化算法(Whale Optimization Algorithm,WOA)对CNN-LSTM网络进行参数优化,发现隐藏节点个数为30、学习率为0.0072、正则化系数为1×10^(-4)时分类效果最佳,优化后预警精度达到了91.4526%。通过可视化WOA-CNN-LSTM、CNN-LSTM、CNN-SVM(Support Vector Machine,支持向量机)及CNN-GRU(Gate Recurrent Unit,门控循环单元)分类预警结果,证实了优化后的CNN-LSTM网络在脚手架分类预警方面的优越性。 展开更多
关键词 安全工程 多源信息融合 鲸鱼优化算法 卷积长短时记忆网络 可视化
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放射源运输容器力学设计和试验验证
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作者 陈磊 庄大杰 +4 位作者 孟东原 焦力敏 孙谦 王长武 李国强 《包装工程》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第7期260-266,共7页
目的设计一种用于运输工业辐照用特殊形式放射源的运输容器,通过试验验证运输容器的安全性能。方法根据《放射性物品安全运输规程》和《放射性物质安全运输条例》中B(U)型货包的规定进行设计,设计的运输容器主要包括屏蔽容器、吊篮、防... 目的设计一种用于运输工业辐照用特殊形式放射源的运输容器,通过试验验证运输容器的安全性能。方法根据《放射性物品安全运输规程》和《放射性物质安全运输条例》中B(U)型货包的规定进行设计,设计的运输容器主要包括屏蔽容器、吊篮、防护罩及运输托架4部分组成,并对运输容器进行正常运输工况和运输事故工况下的3次跌落试验。结果试验对容器外防护罩和保温层造成部分损坏,但防火层完整,不影响包装的密封和屏蔽功能,试验结果表明运输容器满足标准要求。结论运输容器在正常运输工况和运输事故工况下的跌落测试后,包装的屏蔽和密封仍然有效,即该运输容器在规定的正常运输工况和运输事故工况下能保证放射源的运输安全。 展开更多
关键词 放射源 运输容器 力学设计 试验验证
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不同类型居民饮用水天然放射性核素特性分析
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作者 郭小敏 陈文涛 +3 位作者 李美丽 孙勋杰 蒋岚 陈水广 《核安全》 2024年第2期5-11,共7页
为探究不同类型饮用水源中天然放射性核素的差异性,本文对某地区地下水、地表水(河流水、水库水)集中式饮用水源中总α、总β、U_(天然)、Th_(天然)、^(226)Ra、^(40)K、^(210)Pb、^(210)Po放射性活度浓度进行监测分析。结果表明,不同... 为探究不同类型饮用水源中天然放射性核素的差异性,本文对某地区地下水、地表水(河流水、水库水)集中式饮用水源中总α、总β、U_(天然)、Th_(天然)、^(226)Ra、^(40)K、^(210)Pb、^(210)Po放射性活度浓度进行监测分析。结果表明,不同类型饮用水源中总α、总β放射性水平及40K、226Ra等天然放射性核素含量呈一定规律性分布,同时该地区饮用水中总α、总β均未超过GB 5749—2022《生活饮用水卫生标准》规定的限值(总α≤0.5 Bq·L^(-1),总β≤1 Bq·L^(-1)),该地区饮用水源辐射环境状况安全可控。 展开更多
关键词 饮用水源 放射性 天然核素 差异性
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严重事故工况下反应堆热工水力参数对源项释放行为影响研究
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作者 杨皓 张斌 +3 位作者 李济深 缪凡 张芷然 单建强 《西安交通大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期25-37,共13页
为了进一步研究反应堆严重事故进程中热工参数对源项释放的影响,识别对其影响较大的物理过程,从而进一步改进和发展数值模型以提高计算精度降低不确定性,以第三代压水堆为对象,利用一体化严重事故分析程序ISAA对大破口失水事故导致的严... 为了进一步研究反应堆严重事故进程中热工参数对源项释放的影响,识别对其影响较大的物理过程,从而进一步改进和发展数值模型以提高计算精度降低不确定性,以第三代压水堆为对象,利用一体化严重事故分析程序ISAA对大破口失水事故导致的严重事故开展了数值分析研究,并基于Wilks公式利用自主开发的不确定性程序代码SAUP对17个热工参数进行了拉丁超立方抽样(LHS)执行批量计算,对目标输出(FoM)即氢气与裂变产物的释放进行了不确定性与敏感性分析。结果表明:在热工参数的不确定性范围内,氧化产氢以及裂变产物的释放呈现正态分布且存在较大的不确定带,包壳氧化层的失效温度、堆芯碎片尺寸以及碎片孔隙率对高挥发性裂变产物的释放有较为显著的相关性。该研究有助于理解反应堆严重事故中热工参数与源项之间的复杂联系,同时对核电厂安全系统的设计以及严重事故的预防与缓解具有参考意义。 展开更多
关键词 热工水力 严重事故 源项 不确定性分析 敏感性分析
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基于多源数据融合的分布式光伏聚合超短期预测方法
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作者 曾锃 肖茂然 +3 位作者 毕思博 张明轩 李世豪 窦春霞 《电力信息与通信技术》 2024年第2期9-15,共7页
分布式光伏聚合发电的超短期预测是支撑其功率快速调节的前提保障,由于规模化接入的分布式光伏容量小、分布广,其发电时序特性差异性大、非平稳性强,导致其超短期预测精度难以保证。为此,文章提出基于多源数据融合的分布式光伏聚合超短... 分布式光伏聚合发电的超短期预测是支撑其功率快速调节的前提保障,由于规模化接入的分布式光伏容量小、分布广,其发电时序特性差异性大、非平稳性强,导致其超短期预测精度难以保证。为此,文章提出基于多源数据融合的分布式光伏聚合超短期预测方法。该方法基于变分模态分解法,充分挖掘分布式光伏聚合发电非平稳性特性,并采用核主成分分析法对引发光伏发电非平稳性的影响因素即温度、湿度、光照、云量等多源数据进行量化解析,同时结合改进的长短期记忆神经网络,创建了多源数据融合方法,实现了分布式光伏聚合发电超短期预测。仿真结果表明,该方法有效提升了模型的预测精度。与传统方法相比,提出的预测方法对随机性波动严重的光伏超短期预测具有显著优势。 展开更多
关键词 分布式光伏聚合预测 变分模态分解 非平稳性 核主成分分析 多源数据融合 长短期记忆神经网络
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