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The MW5.5 earthquake on August 6,2023,in Pingyuan,Shandong,China:A rupture on a buried fault 被引量:2
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作者 Zhe Zhang Lisheng Xu Lihua Fang 《Earthquake Science》 2024年第1期1-12,共12页
On August 6,2023,a magnitude MW5.5 earthquake struck Pingyuan County,Dezhou City,Shandong Province,China.This event was significant as no large earthquakes had been recorded in the region for over a century,and no act... On August 6,2023,a magnitude MW5.5 earthquake struck Pingyuan County,Dezhou City,Shandong Province,China.This event was significant as no large earthquakes had been recorded in the region for over a century,and no active fault had been previously identified.This study collects 1309 P-wave arrival times and 866 S-wave arrival times from 74 seismic stations less than 200 km to the epicenter to constrain the spatial distribution of the mainshock and its 125 early aftershocks by the double difference earthquake relocation method,and selects 864 P-waveforms from 288 stations located within 800 km of the epicenter to constrain the focal mechanism solution of the mainshock through centroid moment tensor inversion.The relocation and the inversion indicate,the Pingyuan MW5.5 earthquake was caused by a rupture on a buried fault,likely an extensive segment of the Gaotang fault.This buried fault exhibited a dip of approximately 75°to the northwest,with a strike of 222°,similar to the Gaotang fault.The rupture initiated at the depth of 18.6 km and propagated upward and northeastward.However,the ground surface was not broken.The total duration of the rupture was~6.0 s,releasing the scalar moment of 2.5895×1017 N·m,equivalent to MW5.54.The moment rate reached the maximum only 1.4 seconds after the rupture initiation,and the 90%scalar moment was released in the first 4.6 s.In the first 1.4 seconds of the rupture process,the rupture velocity was estimated to be 2.6 km/s,slower than the local S-wave velocity.As the rupture neared its end,the rupture velocity decreased significantly.This study provides valuable insights into the seismic characteristics of the Pingyuan MW5.5 earthquake,shedding light on the previously unidentified buried fault responsible for the seismic activity in the region.Understanding the behavior of such faults is crucial for assessing seismic hazards and enhancing earthquake preparedness in the future. 展开更多
关键词 shandong Pingyuan MW5.5 earthquake double-difference earthquake location centroid moment tensor inversion buried fault
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Sedimentary Characteristics,Ages,and Environmental Significance of Gravel Deposits and Loess in Shandong,Eastern China:Regional Response to Global Change Since the Last Glacial Period
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作者 WANG Min KONG Fanbiao +6 位作者 KONG Xianglun CHEN Haitao WANG Jiawei MIAO Xiaodong JIA Guangju HAN Mei XU Shujian 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第2期491-504,共14页
Investigation of rarely studied gravel layers found in the loess in Shandong Province,eastern China,reveals the fabric characteristics of two gravel layers(G1,G2)and the sedimentary characteristics of loess at the typ... Investigation of rarely studied gravel layers found in the loess in Shandong Province,eastern China,reveals the fabric characteristics of two gravel layers(G1,G2)and the sedimentary characteristics of loess at the typical and well-preserved Heiyu section(HY),where,to determine the paleoclimatic changes during Marine Isotope Stage 3a.Optically stimulated luminescence dates of the HY formation range from 0.26±0.02 ka to 39.00±2.00 ka.In addition,the ages of G1 and G2 were estimated using the Bayesian model to be 39.60-40.50 and 29.00-29.50 ka.G1 and G2 are mainly composed of fine and medium gravel,both of which were subangular to subrounded limestone,with gravel directions to NE and E.The average flow velocity,average depth,and flood peak flow of G1 are 1.10 m/s,0.49 m,and 37.04 m^(3)/s,respectively,calculated using the flow energy method,whereas those of G2 are 0.98 m/s,0.38 m,and 18.38 m^(3)/s,respectively.Analysis of climate proxy indices show that the sedimentary environment of the gravel and loess in HY might be a regional response to global change. 展开更多
关键词 PALEOENVIRONMENT geochronology gravel layer SEDIMENTOLOGY PLEISTOCENE shandong Province
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Sustainable Intensification and Large-scale Operation of Cultivated Land Use at the Farmers’ Scale:A Case Study of Shandong Province,China
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作者 LI Li LYU Xiao +2 位作者 ZHANG Anlu NIU Shandong PENG Wenlong 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第1期149-167,共19页
Sustainable intensification of cultivated land use(SICLU) and large-scale operations(LSO) are widely acknowledged strategies for enhancing agricultural performance.However,the existing literature has faced challenges ... Sustainable intensification of cultivated land use(SICLU) and large-scale operations(LSO) are widely acknowledged strategies for enhancing agricultural performance.However,the existing literature has faced challenges in precisely defining SICLU and constructing comprehensive indicators,which has hindered the exploration of factors influencing LSO within the SICLU framework.To address this gap,we integrated self-efficacy theory into the design of an index framework for evaluating SICLU.We subsequently employed econometric models to analyze the significant factors that impact LSO.Our findings reveal that SICLU can be divided into four key dimensions:intensive management,efficient output,resource conservation,and ecological environment optimization.Furthermore,it is crucial to incorporate belief-based cognitive factors into the index system,as farmers’ understanding of fertilizer and pesticide application significantly influences their willingness to engage in LSO.Moreover,we identify grain market turnover as the most influential factor in promoting LSO,with single-factor contribution rates reaching 70.9% for cultivated land transfer willingness and 62.5% for the total planting areas.Interestingly,unlike irrigation and agricultural machinery inputs,increased labor inputs correspond to larger planting areas for farmers.This trend may be attributed to reduced labor availability because of rural labor migration,whereas the reduction in irrigation and agricultural input is contingent on innovations in production practices and the transfer of cultivated land management rights.Importantly,SICLU dynamically influences LSO,with each index related to SICLU having an optimal range that fosters LSO.These insights offer valuable guidance for policymakers,emphasizing farmers as their central focus,with the adjustment of input and output factors as a means to achieve LSO as the ultimate goal.In conclusion,we propose research avenues for further enriching the SICLU framework to ensure that it aligns with the specific characteristics of regional agricultural development. 展开更多
关键词 sustainable intensification of cultivated land use(SICLU) SELF-EFFICACY status quo bias input and output Boosted Regression Tree willingness to transfer cultivated land cultivated land planting areas shandong China
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Analysis on the Development Model of Relic and Museum Tourism Products Based on ERP Analysis:A Case Study on Shandong Province
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作者 WANG Xia 《Journal of Landscape Research》 2024年第1期77-82,共6页
In recent years, the trend of people choosing relic and museum tourism during their vacationand leisure time is growing day by day, mainly because it touches people's feelings about historical relicsand cultural h... In recent years, the trend of people choosing relic and museum tourism during their vacationand leisure time is growing day by day, mainly because it touches people's feelings about historical relicsand cultural heritage. The development of relic and museum tourism products is not only the inheritanceof culture and the protection of cultural relics, but also the promotion of tourism consumption under thebackground of cultural tourism integration, which has promoted the development of regional economy.With the relic and museum tourism resources in Shandong Province as the research object, through theanalysis of its resources, market and products, this paper put forward three applicable modes of relic andmuseum tourism product development, including independent development, joint development, and artauthorization, and proposed specific suggestions around the three modes. 展开更多
关键词 ERP analysis Relic and museum tourism Product development shandong Province
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Analysis of the Characteristics and Development Direction of Services Trade in Shandong Province of China
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作者 Huiqian Yu 《Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies》 2024年第1期139-144,共6页
Shandong is a significant province for foreign trade in China;however,it still faces shortcomings in the development of its service trade,as outlined below.Firstly,the scale of service trade is limited.Shandong’s ser... Shandong is a significant province for foreign trade in China;however,it still faces shortcomings in the development of its service trade,as outlined below.Firstly,the scale of service trade is limited.Shandong’s service trade volume ranked sixth in China in 2022,lagging considerably behind Shanghai,Guangdong,Beijing,Zhejiang,and Jiangsu.Secondly,the proportion of service trade in Shandong compared to the overall national services trade volume falls below the national average,with the per capita scale even lower than the national average.Thirdly,Shandong’s service trade accounts for less than 10% of the province’s foreign trade,which is 3 percentage points below the national average.The insufficient development of Shandong’s service trade is mainly attributed to the weak performance of its own service industry and the limited scale of attracting foreign services investment.Accelerating the development of producer services in Shandong,promoting the intelligent upgrading of consumer services,and continuously promoting reform and opening up in the service sector will be conducive to achieving high-quality development of services trade in Shandong. 展开更多
关键词 shandong Services trade Productive services trade
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Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Droughts and Floods in Shandong Province,China and Their Relationship with Food Loss
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作者 YANG Wentong ZHANG Liyuan YANG Ziyu 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第2期304-319,共16页
Mastering the pattern of food loss caused by droughts and floods aids in planning the layout of agricultural production,determining the scale of drought and flood control projects,and reducing food loss.The Standardiz... Mastering the pattern of food loss caused by droughts and floods aids in planning the layout of agricultural production,determining the scale of drought and flood control projects,and reducing food loss.The Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index is calculated using monthly meteorological data from 1984 to 2020 in Shandong Province of China and is used to identify the province’s drought and flood characteristics.Then,food losses due to droughts and floods are estimated separately from disaster loss data.Finally,the relationship between drought/flood-related factors and food losses is quantified using methods such as the Pearson correlation coefficient and linear regression.The results show that:1)there is a trend of aridity in Shandong Province,and the drought characteristic variables are increasing yearly while flood duration and severity are decreasing.2)The food losses caused by droughts in Shandong Province are more than those caused by floods,and the area where droughts and floods occur frequently is located in Linyi City.3)The impact of precipitation on food loss due to drought/flood is significant,followed by potential evapotranspiration and temperature.4)The relationship between drought and flood conditions and food losses can be precisely quantified.The accumulated drought duration of one month led to 1.939×10^(4)t of grain loss,and an increase in cumulative flood duration of one month resulted in1.134×10^(4)t of grain loss.If the cumulative drought severity and average drought peak increased by one unit,food loss due to drought will increase by 1.562×10^(4)t and 1.511×10^(6)t,respectively.If the cumulative flood severity and average flood peak increase by one unit,food loss will increase by 8.470×103t and 1.034×10^(6)t,respectively. 展开更多
关键词 drought disaster flood disaster food loss Pearson correlation Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index shandong China
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Preliminary Research on Biological Characteristics of Scopula subpunctaria in Shandong Tea Region
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作者 Ling HAN Yingsan XIA 《Plant Diseases and Pests》 CAS 2023年第4期24-27,共4页
[Objectives]The paper was to observe the life history and living habits of Scopula subpunctaria in Shandong tea region.[Methods]The occurrence period and duration of each insect state,as well as duration of each insta... [Objectives]The paper was to observe the life history and living habits of Scopula subpunctaria in Shandong tea region.[Methods]The occurrence period and duration of each insect state,as well as duration of each instar larvae in various generations were investigated and statistically analyzed.[Results]There were 6 generations of S.subpunctaria per year in Shandong tea region.Different from southern tea region,S.subpunctaria survived the winter as pupae and larvae in tea trees in Shandong,and the duration of overwintering eggs was greatly affected by temperature.The generations of S.subpunctaria overlapped seriously.[Conclusions]The results provide a basis for the comprehensive treatment of S.subpunctaria in Shandong tea region. 展开更多
关键词 shandong tea region Scopula subpunctaria Life history Living habits
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Good Wine Needs No Bush——Exclusive Interview with Rita Kung,Investor,Board Member and CEO of Shandong Mystic Island Winery
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作者 Ada Wang 《China's Foreign Trade》 2023年第5期44-44,共1页
Rita Kung is the board member and CEO of Shandong Mystic Island Winery.From working in an international metropolis to living in a quiet village,from being a senior manager to the CEO of a winery,from having little kno... Rita Kung is the board member and CEO of Shandong Mystic Island Winery.From working in an international metropolis to living in a quiet village,from being a senior manager to the CEO of a winery,from having little knowledge of wine culture to being very familiar with the industry,Rita has always taken changes in her career in her stride.She always believes that in order to start or develop a business,once the direction is clear,we must put our whole hearts into the operation and remain patient. 展开更多
关键词 ISLAND shandong WINE
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A Comparative Study on the Communication of“Friendly Shandong”Official Account on Different Short Video Platforms
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作者 CHEN Fangying LI Xichao 《Journal of Landscape Research》 2023年第3期47-50,共4页
Taking“Friendly Shandong”official account as an example,the relevant data of the account on the four platforms of Tiktok,Kwai,Bilibili and Little Red Book were comparatively analyzed to study the influence of short ... Taking“Friendly Shandong”official account as an example,the relevant data of the account on the four platforms of Tiktok,Kwai,Bilibili and Little Red Book were comparatively analyzed to study the influence of short video on the communication of Shandong tourism image.The research mainly included two aspects:fan persona features and interactive effects.Through comparative study,it will provide a reference for the operation team of“Friendly Shandong”official account to spread the tourism image of Shandong with different platforms. 展开更多
关键词 Friendly shandong Short video platform COMMUNICATION Comparative study
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Optimum Application Rate of Nitrogen in Summer Peanut in Southern Shandong Area
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作者 Hongjie TANG 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2023年第3期34-36,共3页
[Objectives]To study the effect of nitrogen(N)on the growth demand of summer peanuts under a certain level of phosphorus and potassium fertilizers,and to carry out experiments on nitrogen fertilizer control of summer ... [Objectives]To study the effect of nitrogen(N)on the growth demand of summer peanuts under a certain level of phosphorus and potassium fertilizers,and to carry out experiments on nitrogen fertilizer control of summer peanuts.[Methods]Four treatments were set up in the experiment:no-nitrogen plot(N 0P_(4)K_(4)),optimized nitrogen plot(N_(7)P_(4)K_(4)),70%optimized nitrogen plot(N_(5)P_(4)K_(4)),130%optimized nitrogen plot(N 9P 4K 4),repeated 3 times,and arranged in random blocks.The area of the plot was 42 m^(2),ridges were set between the plots,and protective rows of more than 1 m were set around the experimental site.The types of fertilizers were urea,superphosphate,and imported potassium chloride,and the variety of peanuts was Linhua 5.Except for the level of fertilization,other agricultural operations were the same,and soil sampling tests,field records,and yield testing were carried out according to the requirements of the plan.[Results]On the basis of 60 kg/ha of phosphorus and potassium fertilizer application,the optimum economical fertilizer application rate and the highest application rate of pure nitrogen were about 115.20 and 131.25 kg/ha,respectively.[Conclusions]This study is expected to provide a certain basis for the high-quality and high-yield summer peanuts in southern Shandong area. 展开更多
关键词 Southern shandong area Summer peanut Nitrogen fertilizer Optimum application rate
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Study on Influence of the COVID-19 Epidemic on Tourism Consumption Structure in Shandong Province
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作者 Dongmei ZHANG Qinglin DAI 《Agricultural Biotechnology》 2023年第6期66-70,共5页
At the end of 2019,the sudden outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic brought great challenges to the world,and China's tourism industry suffered an unprecedented heavy blow.Exploring the impact of the epidemic on touri... At the end of 2019,the sudden outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic brought great challenges to the world,and China's tourism industry suffered an unprecedented heavy blow.Exploring the impact of the epidemic on tourism consumption structure has become a research focus in the post-epidemic era.In this study,based on Shandong Tourism Statistics Handbook from 2018 to 2020,taking Shandong Province as an example,the changes of total tourism revenue and tourism consumption structure in Shandong Province before and after the COVID-19 epidemic were compared to predict the development of tourism in Shandong Province in the post-epidemic era and find out existing problems,and optimization paths were put forward for the development of tourism in Shandong Province in the post-epidemic era. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 epidemic shandong Province Tourism consumption structure Post-pandemic era
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Hospitable Shandong,Meet the Sea Along the Yellow River
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《China & The World Cultural Exchange》 2023年第9期20-21,共2页
From July 21 to 27,the Yellow River Tourism Overseas Promotion Season 2023 launched the"Shandong Overseas Promotion Week"to present"Meet the Sea along the Yellow River"Shandong Cultural Tourism Pho... From July 21 to 27,the Yellow River Tourism Overseas Promotion Season 2023 launched the"Shandong Overseas Promotion Week"to present"Meet the Sea along the Yellow River"Shandong Cultural Tourism Photo Exhibition and Shandong Cultural Tourism Promotional Video to the global public. 展开更多
关键词 shandong YELLOW EXHIBITION
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Promotion of Shandong Culture and Tourism to Open a Window for the Spanish People to Understand China
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作者 An Sheng 《China & The World Cultural Exchange》 2023年第5期18-20,共3页
On May 9,the Cultural and Tourist Promotion Activity,"Hometown of Confucius,Hospitable Shandong"as well as"Tea for Harmony:Yaji Cultural Salon"Shandong Special Activity,co-sponsored by Shandong Pro... On May 9,the Cultural and Tourist Promotion Activity,"Hometown of Confucius,Hospitable Shandong"as well as"Tea for Harmony:Yaji Cultural Salon"Shandong Special Activity,co-sponsored by Shandong Provincial Department of Culture and Tourism,Network of International Culturalink Entities and Foreign Affairs Office of Shandong Provincial People's Government,was successfully held in China Cultural Center in Madrid,Spain. 展开更多
关键词 shandong HARMONY OPEN
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The Impact of Internships on the Skill Acquisition Among Nursing Students in Vocational Colleges of Shandong Province
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作者 Shugang Wang Hariharan N Krishnasamy 《Journal of Contemporary Educational Research》 2023年第10期92-97,共6页
This research investigates the impact of internships on skill acquisition among nursing students in vocational colleges in Shandong Province.By employing a mixed-methods approach involving surveys and interviews,the s... This research investigates the impact of internships on skill acquisition among nursing students in vocational colleges in Shandong Province.By employing a mixed-methods approach involving surveys and interviews,the study re-veals the positive influence of internships on students’clinical competencies,professional qualities,and readiness for the workforce.Survey findings indicate heightened practical capabilities and increased confidence among students.Interviews emphasize the pivotal role of mentors in guiding skills development and professional growth.However,challenges such as resource constraints and workload imbalances during internships are also highlighted.These insights contribute to the en-hancement of nursing education and the preparation of competent nursing professionals in the region. 展开更多
关键词 INTERNSHIP Nursing students Skill acquisition Vocational colleges shandong
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Spatial Agglomeration and Diffusion of Population Based on a Regional Density Function Approach:A Case Study of Shandong Province in China
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作者 Xiaohan Zhao Yanbin Chen 《Journal of Geographical Research》 2023年第3期61-80,共20页
Population density functions have long been used to describe the spatial structure of regional population distributions.Several studies have been conducted to examine the population distribution in Shandong Province,C... Population density functions have long been used to describe the spatial structure of regional population distributions.Several studies have been conducted to examine the population distribution in Shandong Province,China,but few have applied regional density functions to the analysis.Therefore,based on the 2000,2010,and 2020 population censuses,this study used monocentric and polycentric regional density functions to study the characteristics of population agglomeration and diffusion in Shandong.This is followed by an in-depth discussion based on population growth rate data and hot-and cold-spot analyses.The results showed that the Shandong Province population was spatially unevenly distributed.Population growth rates were higher in urban centers and counties,with more significant changes in population size in the eastern coastal areas than in the inland areas.As verified in this study,the logarithmic form of the single-center regional density function R2 was greater than 0.8,which was in line with the population spatial structure of Shandong Province.During the study period,the estimated population density of the regional center and the absolute value of the regional population density gradient both increased,indicating a clear and increasing trend of centripetal agglomeration of regional centers over the study period.Overall,the R2 value of the multicenter region density function was higher than that of the single-center region density function.The polycentric regional density function showed that the population density gradient of some centers had a downward trend,which reflected the spatial development trend of outward diffusion in these centers.Meanwhile,the variation in the estimated population density and the population density gradient exhibited differences in the central population distribution patterns at different levels. 展开更多
关键词 Regional density functions Population spatial structure shandong Province
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胶东盘子涧金矿床成矿流体特征--来自包裹体、H-O同位素证据
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作者 智云宝 王英鹏 +7 位作者 范海滨 王巧云 董健 马莉 谢颂诗 郝兴中 刘芳 李瑞翔 《地质论评》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期529-540,共12页
盘子涧金矿床地处华北板块胶辽隆起区,栖霞—蓬莱金成矿带上。金矿的形成主要与区内控矿断裂——盘子涧断裂和中生代岩浆岩有关。为研究该矿床成矿流体性质及演化,并控讨矿床成因,对该矿床不同阶段的包裹体进行岩相学、显微测温、包裹... 盘子涧金矿床地处华北板块胶辽隆起区,栖霞—蓬莱金成矿带上。金矿的形成主要与区内控矿断裂——盘子涧断裂和中生代岩浆岩有关。为研究该矿床成矿流体性质及演化,并控讨矿床成因,对该矿床不同阶段的包裹体进行岩相学、显微测温、包裹体激光拉曼及H—O同位素分析研究。盘子涧金矿床成矿热液期可划分为4个成矿阶段,从早到晚分别是黄铁矿—石英阶段(Ⅰ阶段)、石英—黄铁矿(绢云母)阶段(Ⅱ阶段)、金—石英—多金属硫化物阶段(Ⅲ阶段)和石英—碳酸盐阶段(Ⅳ阶段)。其中Ⅱ、III阶段为主成矿阶段。不同成矿阶段的流体包裹体有3种类型,分别是富液气液两相盐水包裹体、含CO_(2)三相包裹体和纯液相包裹体。显微测温结果显示,成矿流体的完全均一温度介于142~348℃,主要集中于200~300℃,盐度介于4.44%~10.98%NaCl_(eqv)。石英的δD_(V-SMOW)值为-74.6‰~-68.5‰,δ^(18)O_(V-SMOW)值为+11.65‰~+13.92‰。显示成矿流体为中低温、低盐度的CO_(2)—H_(2)O—NaCl体系,来源于地幔,以岩浆热液为主,并伴有部分大气降水加入。矿床成因类型属石英脉型金矿。 展开更多
关键词 盘子涧金矿床 流体包裹体 H—O同位素 胶东
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山东地区中生代岩浆岩中放射性元素富集规律及其对大地热流异常的指示意义
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作者 陈勇 朱雪蕾 +1 位作者 李伟 周瑶琪 《中国石油大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期25-35,共11页
为进一步了解岩浆岩中放射性元素富集与大地热流异常的相关性,以山东地区中生代岩浆岩为研究对象,从岩石类型、元素含量、岩石形成年龄、放射性生热元素Th、U丰度、大地热流等方面进行分析。结果表明:区内正长岩Th、U丰度最高,酸性岩和... 为进一步了解岩浆岩中放射性元素富集与大地热流异常的相关性,以山东地区中生代岩浆岩为研究对象,从岩石类型、元素含量、岩石形成年龄、放射性生热元素Th、U丰度、大地热流等方面进行分析。结果表明:区内正长岩Th、U丰度最高,酸性岩和碱性岩的Th、U含量相对较高;Th、U元素与Si、K元素含量存在正相关,与Fe、Mg等其他主量元素存在负相关,与Nb、Ta、Pb及稀土元素也存在较为明显的正相关;放射性元素丰度与大地热流存在一定的正相关,但还受到地壳厚度等多种因素的影响;研究进一步揭示放射性元素、岩浆岩及地热之间的关系,对山东地区地热资源的开发和利用具有一定借鉴意义。 展开更多
关键词 山东地区 中生代 岩浆岩 放射性元素 大地热流
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黄河流域(山东段)工业用地错配时空格局与应对策略
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作者 倪剑波 郭鑫 +2 位作者 高瑞 林伟鹏 刘兆德 《规划师》 北大核心 2024年第2期137-144,共8页
以黄河流域(山东段)9个设区市所辖77个区县为研究单元,利用2011—2020年山东省供地信息库中的工业用地供应数据,以及同期工业经济统计数据,分析黄河流域(山东段)工业用地供应与工业利润总额时空变化特征,通过空间错配指数分析工业用地... 以黄河流域(山东段)9个设区市所辖77个区县为研究单元,利用2011—2020年山东省供地信息库中的工业用地供应数据,以及同期工业经济统计数据,分析黄河流域(山东段)工业用地供应与工业利润总额时空变化特征,通过空间错配指数分析工业用地错配时空格局,并从科学配置、存量挖潜、提质增效和层级协同4个方面提出应对策略。研究对于实现黄河流域(山东段)土地资源高效利用与聚集区域高质量发展具有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 黄河流域山东段 工业用地 空间错配 土地配置
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基于灰色关联模型的沿黄区域山东段生态安全综合评价及时空演化
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作者 李磊 谭振华 +1 位作者 李聪 杜霞 《安徽农业科学》 CAS 2024年第4期43-50,56,共9页
以沿黄区域山东段为例,建立PSR模型构建生态安全评价指标体系,借助熵权法和灰色关联度模型对其2000—2018年展开生态安全综合评价,并进行时空演变分析。结果显示,整体上沿黄区域山东段生态安全水平呈现出波动中上升的趋势,由“不安全”... 以沿黄区域山东段为例,建立PSR模型构建生态安全评价指标体系,借助熵权法和灰色关联度模型对其2000—2018年展开生态安全综合评价,并进行时空演变分析。结果显示,整体上沿黄区域山东段生态安全水平呈现出波动中上升的趋势,由“不安全”向“比较安全”转变,子系统中生态响应和生态状态增加的幅度高于生态环境压力增大的幅度,生态环境有所好转;市级尺度下,山东段17地市生态安全水平有所提高,呈现出“下降-上升-下降”的倒“N”字形演变,生态安全类型以“一般安全”为主,高等级类型较少,城市生态安全问题比较严峻;城市生态安全内部空间差异明显,生态安全空间格局向东、向北转移,呈现出“东高西低”“北高南低”的高低错落分布,高等级生态安全区域从东部沿海向鲁北扩散,“临界安全”区域缩小至鲁中南和鲁西北。最后从生态环境治理与保护、优化调控三大空间、经济结构转型升级等方面提出优化路径,改善生态环境质量。 展开更多
关键词 生态安全评价 灰色关联度模型 时空格局 沿黄区域 山东段
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两种降水客观统计方法对ECMWF集合平均降水预报的订正研究
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作者 焦洋 郑丽娜 +1 位作者 张永婧 苏轶 《干旱气象》 2024年第2期293-304,共12页
提升降水量级预报精度,有助于优化灾害预警与决策支持。选取2018年1月1日至2021年1月山东省逐12 h降水观测数据和欧洲中期天气预报中心(the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting,ECMWF)的集合预报集合平均(Ensemble P... 提升降水量级预报精度,有助于优化灾害预警与决策支持。选取2018年1月1日至2021年1月山东省逐12 h降水观测数据和欧洲中期天气预报中心(the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting,ECMWF)的集合预报集合平均(Ensemble Prediction Ensemble Mean,EPEM)结果进行72 h内逐12 h降水量级预报统计订正,然后对比ECMWF集合平均降水预报插值的原始预报(EC_EPEM)、基于EC_EPEM的输出统计(Model Output Statistics,MOS)预报(EC_EPEM_MOS)、利用最优TS(Threat Score)评分订正(Optimal Threat Score,OTS)预报(EC_EPEM_OTS)的效果。结果表明:EC_EPEM_MOS在较小量级上表现最优,但在大量级上订正效果稍差,甚至略低于EC_EPEM;EC_EPEM_OTS仅在0.1、10 mm量级上低于EC_EPEM_MOS,其他量级均为最优,尤其在较大量级上订正效果更明显。在50、100 mm大量级上,EC_EPEM_OTS在12~72 h时效订正效果均最优,这是由于EC_EPEM_OTS在稍大量级上提高订正系数使得大量级降水漏报率减小,同时对大量级降水使用较小订正系数也减小了空报率。在较小量级降水中短期预报时效除了山东中部山区外EC_EPEM_MOS表现最佳,山区EC_EPEM_OTS最佳;中等以上量级、尤其较大量级降水,山东大部分地区EC_EPEM_OTS表现最佳。EC_EPEM_MOS订正预报有效地减小了EC_EPEM的空报问题。EC_EPEM_OTS的订正效果最佳,在大范围强降雨过程中与实况降雨分布更为接近,降水总体分布把握较好。 展开更多
关键词 客观统计方法 降水预报 最优TS评分订正 山东
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