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Application of Improved Grey Prediction Model to Petroleum Cost Forecasting 被引量:3
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作者 Li Jia Wang Baoyi Zhang Baosheng 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2006年第2期89-92,共4页
The grey theory is a multidisciplinary and generic theory that deals with systems that lack adequate information and/or have only poor information. In this paper, an improved grey model using step function was propose... The grey theory is a multidisciplinary and generic theory that deals with systems that lack adequate information and/or have only poor information. In this paper, an improved grey model using step function was proposed. Petroleum cost forecast of the Henan oil field was used as the case study to test the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method. According to the experimental results, the proposed method obviously could improve the prediction accuracy of the original grey model. 展开更多
关键词 Grey forecast petroleum cost MUTATION smooth degree
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