On the basis of the analysis of the sea temperature data that are observed from the three automatic temperature line acquisition sysem mooring buoys deployed in the central South China Sea (SCS) during South China Sea...On the basis of the analysis of the sea temperature data that are observed from the three automatic temperature line acquisition sysem mooring buoys deployed in the central South China Sea (SCS) during South China Sea monsoon experiment, vertical features of bi- weekly and synoptic variability are discussed. There are five vertical modes, that is, subsurface temperature variability is in phase with, out of phase with, leads to, lags the surface temperature variability, and at depths within the subsurface layer the upper and lower tem- perature variations are out of phase. The formation of these vertical modes is related to the property of low-level atmospheric forcing and to the background in atmosphere and ocean. Wind stress curl is the main driving factor in forming Modes 1 and 3, and wind stress- es in forming Modes 2 and 4.展开更多
As global warming increasingly affects vulnerable regions such as Central East Africa, it is crucial to understand future changes in rainfall variability to reduce vulnerability. Despite the importance of rainfall var...As global warming increasingly affects vulnerable regions such as Central East Africa, it is crucial to understand future changes in rainfall variability to reduce vulnerability. Despite the importance of rainfall variability, it has received less attention compared to changes in mean and extreme rainfall. This study evaluates the amplification of synoptic (weekly) to annual variability of East African Monsoon (EAM) Long Rainfall (March to May) by climatic extremes. Using band-pass filtered daily rainfall data, we found that EAM rainfall variability is anticipated to increase by 20% - 60% across the region under global warming conditions. The majority of the intermodal variability in Long Rain EAM rainfall forecasting is explained by differences in mean rainfall. Our results show that the synoptic variability of Long Rain for EAM rainfall is likely to amplify, resulting in more extreme rainfall events and longer dry spells under global warming. This amplification is attributed to the warming of the Indian Ocean and the associated changes in atmospheric circulation patterns. The projected increase in synoptic to annual variability of Long Rain for EAM rainfall has significant implications for water resources management and agriculture in the region, challenging policymakers to develop adaptive strategies that can mitigate the impacts of these extreme events. This study emphasizes the potential impacts of projected climate changes in rainfall variability on the East African region at all periods and underscores the need for effective adaptation strategies to ensure sustainable development.展开更多
The Atlantic inflow in the Fram Strait（78°50′N） has synoptic scale variability based on an array of moorings over the period of 1998–2010. The synoptic scale variability of Atlantic inflow, whose significant ...The Atlantic inflow in the Fram Strait（78°50′N） has synoptic scale variability based on an array of moorings over the period of 1998–2010. The synoptic scale variability of Atlantic inflow, whose significant cycle is 3–16 d, occurs mainly in winter and spring（from January to April） and is related with polar lows in the Barents Sea. On the synoptic scale, the enhancement（weakening） of Atlantic inflow in the Fram Strait is accompanied by less（more）polar lows in the Barents Sea. Wind stress curl induced by polar lows in the Barents Sea causes Ekman-transport,leads to decrease of sea surface height in the Barents Sea, due to geostrophic adjustment, further induces a cyclonic circulation anomaly around the Barents Sea, and causes the weakening of the Atlantic inflow in the Fram Strait. Our results highlight the importance of polar lows in forcing the Atlantic inflow in the Fram Strait and can help us to further understand the effect of Atlantic warm water on the change of the Arctic Ocean.展开更多
Summer precipitation over the Yangtze River basin(YRB)in 2020 experienced a strong subseasonal and synoptic fluctuation in addition to contributing to an exceptionally large seasonal mean precipitation.The cause of th...Summer precipitation over the Yangtze River basin(YRB)in 2020 experienced a strong subseasonal and synoptic fluctuation in addition to contributing to an exceptionally large seasonal mean precipitation.The cause of this higher-frequency fluctuation is examined based on observational analyses.Apart from the continuous northward movement of the climatological mei-yu rainband,the mei-yu rainbelt in the summer of 2020 experienced multiple northward and southward swings.The cause of the swings was attributed to the subseasonal variability of southerly winds to the south and northeasterly winds to the north of the YRB.In addition,synoptic-scale variability,characterized by the eastward propagation of low-level cyclonic vorticity and precipitation anomalies,was also commonplace in the summer of 2020.While the strengthening of both the subseasonal and synoptic variabilities in the summer of 2020 was attributed to the increase of the background mean moisture,the synoptic variability was greatly affected by the subseasonal rainfall variability.As a result,both the synoptic-scale and subseasonal variabilities contributed to the north-south swings of the rainbelt.The large-scale modulations by both the seasonal mean and subseasonal anomalies provide insight regarding the optimization of issuing accurate,extended-range forecasts of extreme weather events.展开更多
Surface radiative fluxes over landfast sea ice off Zhongshan station have been measured in austral spring for five springs between 2010 and 2015.Downward and upward solar radiation vary diurnally with maximum amplitud...Surface radiative fluxes over landfast sea ice off Zhongshan station have been measured in austral spring for five springs between 2010 and 2015.Downward and upward solar radiation vary diurnally with maximum amplitudes of 473 and 290 W m^(−2),respectively.The maximum and minimum long-wave radiation values of the mean diurnal cycle are 218 and 210 W m^(−2)for downward radiation,277 and 259 W m^(−2)for upward radiation and 125 and−52 W m^(−2)for net radiation.The albedo has a U-shaped mean diurnal cycle with a minimum of 0.64 at noon.Sea ice thickness is in the growth phase for most spring days,but can be disturbed by synoptic processes.The surface temperature largely determines the occurrence of ice melting.Surface downward and upward long-wave radiation show synoptic oscillations with a 5–8 day period and intraseasonal variability with a 12–45 day period.The amplitudes of the diurnal,synoptic and intraseasonal variability show some differences during the five austral springs considered here.The intraseasonal and synoptic variability of downward and upward long-wave radiation are associated with the variability of cloud cover and surface temperature induced by the atmospheric circulation.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No.40305009.
文摘On the basis of the analysis of the sea temperature data that are observed from the three automatic temperature line acquisition sysem mooring buoys deployed in the central South China Sea (SCS) during South China Sea monsoon experiment, vertical features of bi- weekly and synoptic variability are discussed. There are five vertical modes, that is, subsurface temperature variability is in phase with, out of phase with, leads to, lags the surface temperature variability, and at depths within the subsurface layer the upper and lower tem- perature variations are out of phase. The formation of these vertical modes is related to the property of low-level atmospheric forcing and to the background in atmosphere and ocean. Wind stress curl is the main driving factor in forming Modes 1 and 3, and wind stress- es in forming Modes 2 and 4.
文摘As global warming increasingly affects vulnerable regions such as Central East Africa, it is crucial to understand future changes in rainfall variability to reduce vulnerability. Despite the importance of rainfall variability, it has received less attention compared to changes in mean and extreme rainfall. This study evaluates the amplification of synoptic (weekly) to annual variability of East African Monsoon (EAM) Long Rainfall (March to May) by climatic extremes. Using band-pass filtered daily rainfall data, we found that EAM rainfall variability is anticipated to increase by 20% - 60% across the region under global warming conditions. The majority of the intermodal variability in Long Rain EAM rainfall forecasting is explained by differences in mean rainfall. Our results show that the synoptic variability of Long Rain for EAM rainfall is likely to amplify, resulting in more extreme rainfall events and longer dry spells under global warming. This amplification is attributed to the warming of the Indian Ocean and the associated changes in atmospheric circulation patterns. The projected increase in synoptic to annual variability of Long Rain for EAM rainfall has significant implications for water resources management and agriculture in the region, challenging policymakers to develop adaptive strategies that can mitigate the impacts of these extreme events. This study emphasizes the potential impacts of projected climate changes in rainfall variability on the East African region at all periods and underscores the need for effective adaptation strategies to ensure sustainable development.
基金The Global Change Research Program of China under contract No.2015CB953900the General Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No.41276197+2 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province under contract Nos LY18D060004 and LQ18D060001the Foundation of Zhejiang Education Department under contract No.1260KZ0417982the Talent Start Foundation of Zhejiang Gongshang University under contract Nos 1260XJ2317015 and1260XJ2117015
文摘The Atlantic inflow in the Fram Strait（78°50′N） has synoptic scale variability based on an array of moorings over the period of 1998–2010. The synoptic scale variability of Atlantic inflow, whose significant cycle is 3–16 d, occurs mainly in winter and spring（from January to April） and is related with polar lows in the Barents Sea. On the synoptic scale, the enhancement（weakening） of Atlantic inflow in the Fram Strait is accompanied by less（more）polar lows in the Barents Sea. Wind stress curl induced by polar lows in the Barents Sea causes Ekman-transport,leads to decrease of sea surface height in the Barents Sea, due to geostrophic adjustment, further induces a cyclonic circulation anomaly around the Barents Sea, and causes the weakening of the Atlantic inflow in the Fram Strait. Our results highlight the importance of polar lows in forcing the Atlantic inflow in the Fram Strait and can help us to further understand the effect of Atlantic warm water on the change of the Arctic Ocean.
基金This work was jointly supported by China National Key R&D Program 2018YFA0605604,NSFC grants(Grant No.42088101,41875069),NSF AGS-2006553NOAA NA18OAR4310298.This is SOEST contribution number 11413,IPRC contribution number 1541,and ESMC number 357.
文摘Summer precipitation over the Yangtze River basin(YRB)in 2020 experienced a strong subseasonal and synoptic fluctuation in addition to contributing to an exceptionally large seasonal mean precipitation.The cause of this higher-frequency fluctuation is examined based on observational analyses.Apart from the continuous northward movement of the climatological mei-yu rainband,the mei-yu rainbelt in the summer of 2020 experienced multiple northward and southward swings.The cause of the swings was attributed to the subseasonal variability of southerly winds to the south and northeasterly winds to the north of the YRB.In addition,synoptic-scale variability,characterized by the eastward propagation of low-level cyclonic vorticity and precipitation anomalies,was also commonplace in the summer of 2020.While the strengthening of both the subseasonal and synoptic variabilities in the summer of 2020 was attributed to the increase of the background mean moisture,the synoptic variability was greatly affected by the subseasonal rainfall variability.As a result,both the synoptic-scale and subseasonal variabilities contributed to the north-south swings of the rainbelt.The large-scale modulations by both the seasonal mean and subseasonal anomalies provide insight regarding the optimization of issuing accurate,extended-range forecasts of extreme weather events.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China[nos.41376005,41606222]the Chinese Polar Environmental Comprehensive Investigation and Assessment Program under contract[no.CHINARE2017-04-04]The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the U.S.National Science Foundation.
文摘Surface radiative fluxes over landfast sea ice off Zhongshan station have been measured in austral spring for five springs between 2010 and 2015.Downward and upward solar radiation vary diurnally with maximum amplitudes of 473 and 290 W m^(−2),respectively.The maximum and minimum long-wave radiation values of the mean diurnal cycle are 218 and 210 W m^(−2)for downward radiation,277 and 259 W m^(−2)for upward radiation and 125 and−52 W m^(−2)for net radiation.The albedo has a U-shaped mean diurnal cycle with a minimum of 0.64 at noon.Sea ice thickness is in the growth phase for most spring days,but can be disturbed by synoptic processes.The surface temperature largely determines the occurrence of ice melting.Surface downward and upward long-wave radiation show synoptic oscillations with a 5–8 day period and intraseasonal variability with a 12–45 day period.The amplitudes of the diurnal,synoptic and intraseasonal variability show some differences during the five austral springs considered here.The intraseasonal and synoptic variability of downward and upward long-wave radiation are associated with the variability of cloud cover and surface temperature induced by the atmospheric circulation.
