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Clinical nursing value of predictive nursing in reducing complications of pregnant women undergoing short-term massive blood transfusion during cesarean section 被引量:1
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作者 Li Cheng Li-Ping Li +2 位作者 Yuan-Yuan Zhang Fang Deng Ting-Ting Lan 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 SCIE 2024年第1期51-58,共8页
BACKGROUND Cesarean hemorrhage is one of the serious complications,and short-term massive blood transfusion can easily cause postoperative infection and physical stress response.However,predictive nursing intervention... BACKGROUND Cesarean hemorrhage is one of the serious complications,and short-term massive blood transfusion can easily cause postoperative infection and physical stress response.However,predictive nursing intervention has important clinical significance for it.AIM To explore the effect of predictive nursing intervention on the stress response and complications of women undergoing short-term mass blood transfusion during cesarean section(CS).METHODS A clinical medical record of 100 pregnant women undergoing rapid mass blood transfusion during sections from June 2019 to June 2021.According to the different nursing methods,patients divided into control group(n=50)and observation group(n=50).Among them,the control group implemented routine nursing,and the observation group implemented predictive nursing intervention based on the control group.Moreover,compared the differences in stress res-ponse,complications,and pain scores before and after the nursing of pregnant women undergoing rapid mass blood transfusion during CS.RESULTS The anxiety and depression scores of pregnant women in the two groups were significantly improved after nursing,and the psychological stress response of the observation group was significantly lower than that of the control group(P<0.05).The heart rate and mean arterial pressure(MAP)of the observation group during delivery were lower than those of the control group,and the MAP at the end of delivery was lower than that of the control group(P<0.05).Moreover,different pain scores improved significantly in both groups,with the observation group considerably less than the control group(P<0.05).After nursing,complications such as skin rash,urinary retention,chills,diarrhea,and anaphylactic shock in the observation group were 18%,which significantly higher than in the control group(4%)(P<0.05).CONCLUSION Predictive nursing intervention can effectively relieve the pain,reduce the incidence of complications,improve mood and stress response,and serve as a reference value for the nursing of women undergoing rapid mass transfusion during CS. 展开更多
关键词 predictive care Rapid mass blood transfusion Cesarean section Stress response COMPLICATIONS
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Influence of perinatal factors on full-term low-birth-weight infants and construction of a predictive model
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作者 Liang Xu Xue-Juan Sheng +4 位作者 Lian-Ping Gu Zu-Ming Yang Zong-Tai Feng Dan-Feng Gu Li Gao 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 SCIE 2024年第26期5901-5907,共7页
BACKGROUND Being too light at birth can increase the risk of various diseases during infancy.AIM To explore the effect of perinatal factors on term low-birth-weight(LBW)infants and build a predictive model.This model ... BACKGROUND Being too light at birth can increase the risk of various diseases during infancy.AIM To explore the effect of perinatal factors on term low-birth-weight(LBW)infants and build a predictive model.This model aims to guide the clinical management of pregnant women’s healthcare during pregnancy and support the healthy growth of newborns.METHODS A retrospective analysis was conducted on data from 1794 single full-term pregnant women who gave birth.Newborns were grouped based on birth weight:Those with birth weight<2.5 kg were classified as the low-weight group,and those with birth weight between 2.5 kg and 4 kg were included in the normal group.Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to identify the factors influencing the occurrence of full-term LBW.A risk prediction model was established based on the analysis results.The effectiveness of the model was analyzed using the Hosmer–Leme show test and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve to verify the accuracy of the predictions.RESULTS Among the 1794 pregnant women,there were 62 cases of neonatal weight<2.5 kg,resulting in an LBW incidence rate of 3.46%.The factors influencing full-term LBW included low maternal education level[odds ratio(OR)=1.416],fewer prenatal examinations(OR=2.907),insufficient weight gain during pregnancy(OR=3.695),irregular calcium supplementation during pregnancy(OR=1.756),and pregnancy hypertension syndrome(OR=2.192).The prediction model equation was obtained as follows:Logit(P)=0.348×maternal education level+1.067×number of prenatal examinations+1.307×insufficient weight gain during pregnancy+0.563×irregular calcium supplementation during pregnancy+0.785×pregnancy hypertension syndrome−29.164.The area under the ROC curve for this model was 0.853,with a sensitivity of 0.852 and a specificity of 0.821.The Hosmer–Leme show test yieldedχ^(2)=2.185,P=0.449,indicating a good fit.The overall accuracy of the clinical validation model was 81.67%.CONCLUSION The occurrence of full-term LBW is related to maternal education,the number of prenatal examinations,weight gain during pregnancy,calcium supplementation during pregnancy,and pregnancy-induced hypertension.The constructed predictive model can effectively predict the risk of full-term LBW. 展开更多
关键词 Pregnant women Perinatal care Low-birth-weight infants Influencing factors prediction model
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Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting in-hospital mortality of intensive care unit patients with liver cirrhosis
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作者 Xiao-Wei Tang Wen-Sen Ren +6 位作者 Shu Huang Kang Zou Huan Xu Xiao-Min Shi Wei Zhang Lei Shi Mu-Han Lü 《World Journal of Hepatology》 2024年第4期625-639,共15页
BACKGROUND Liver cirrhosis patients admitted to intensive care unit(ICU)have a high mortality rate.AIM To establish and validate a nomogram for predicting in-hospital mortality of ICU patients with liver cirrhosis.MET... BACKGROUND Liver cirrhosis patients admitted to intensive care unit(ICU)have a high mortality rate.AIM To establish and validate a nomogram for predicting in-hospital mortality of ICU patients with liver cirrhosis.METHODS We extracted demographic,etiological,vital sign,laboratory test,comorbidity,complication,treatment,and severity score data of liver cirrhosis patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV(MIMIC-IV)and electronic ICU(eICU)collaborative research database(eICU-CRD).Predictor selection and model building were based on the MIMIC-IV dataset.The variables selected through least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis were further screened through multivariate regression analysis to obtain final predictors.The final predictors were included in the multivariate logistic regression model,which was used to construct a nomogram.Finally,we conducted external validation using the eICU-CRD.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC),decision curve,and calibration curve were used to assess the efficacy of the models.RESULTS Risk factors,including the mean respiratory rate,mean systolic blood pressure,mean heart rate,white blood cells,international normalized ratio,total bilirubin,age,invasive ventilation,vasopressor use,maximum stage of acute kidney injury,and sequential organ failure assessment score,were included in the multivariate logistic regression.The model achieved AUCs of 0.864 and 0.808 in the MIMIC-IV and eICU-CRD databases,respectively.The calibration curve also confirmed the predictive ability of the model,while the decision curve confirmed its clinical value.CONCLUSION The nomogram has high accuracy in predicting in-hospital mortality.Improving the included predictors may help improve the prognosis of patients. 展开更多
关键词 Liver cirrhosis Intensive care unit NOMOGRAM predicting model MORTALITY
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Predictive modeling in neurocritical care using causal artificial intelligence 被引量:1
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作者 Johnny Dang Amos Lal +3 位作者 Laure Flurin Amy James Ognjen Gajic Alejandro A Rabinstein 《World Journal of Critical Care Medicine》 2021年第4期112-119,共8页
Artificial intelligence(AI)and digital twin models of various systems have long been used in industry to test products quickly and efficiently.Use of digital twins in clinical medicine caught attention with the develo... Artificial intelligence(AI)and digital twin models of various systems have long been used in industry to test products quickly and efficiently.Use of digital twins in clinical medicine caught attention with the development of Archimedes,an AI model of diabetes,in 2003.More recently,AI models have been applied to the fields of cardiology,endocrinology,and undergraduate medical education.The use of digital twins and AI thus far has focused mainly on chronic disease management,their application in the field of critical care medicine remains much less explored.In neurocritical care,current AI technology focuses on interpreting electroencephalography,monitoring intracranial pressure,and prognosticating outcomes.AI models have been developed to interpret electroencephalograms by helping to annotate the tracings,detecting seizures,and identifying brain activation in unresponsive patients.In this mini-review we describe the challenges and opportunities in building an actionable AI model pertinent to neurocritical care that can be used to educate the newer generation of clinicians and augment clinical decision making. 展开更多
关键词 Artificial intelligence Digital twin Critical care NEUROLOGY Causal artificial intelligence predictive modeling
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Comparing gastrointestinal dysfunction score and acute gastrointestinal injury grade for predicting short-term mortality in critically ill patients
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作者 Chao Shen Xi Wang +3 位作者 Yi-Ying Xiao Jia-Ying Zhang Guo-Lian Xia Rong-Lin Jiang 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2024年第42期4523-4531,共9页
BACKGROUND The prognosis of critically ill patients is closely linked to their gastrointestinal(GI)function.The acute GI injury(AGI)grading system,established in 2012,is extensively utilized to evaluate GI dysfunction... BACKGROUND The prognosis of critically ill patients is closely linked to their gastrointestinal(GI)function.The acute GI injury(AGI)grading system,established in 2012,is extensively utilized to evaluate GI dysfunction and forecast outcomes in clinical settings.In 2021,the GI dysfunction score(GIDS)was developed,building on the AGI grading system,to enhance the accuracy of GI dysfunction severity assessment,improve prognostic predictions,reduce subjectivity,and increase reproducibility.AIM To compare the predictive capabilities of GIDS and the AGI grading system for 28-day mortality in critically ill patients.METHODS A retrospective study was conducted at the general intensive care unit(ICU)of a regional university hospital.All data were collected during the first week of ICU admission.The primary outcome was 28-day mortality.Multivariable logistic regression analyzed whether GIDS and AGI grade were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality.The predictive abilities of GIDS and AGI grade were compared using the receiver operating characteristic curve,with DeLong’s test assessing differences between the curves’areas.RESULTS The incidence of AGI in the first week of ICU admission was 92.13%.There were 85 deaths(47.75%)within 28 days of ICU admission.There was no initial 24-hour difference in GIDS between the non-survival and survival groups.Both GIDS(OR 2.01,95%CI:1.25-3.24;P=0.004)and AGI grade(OR 1.94,95%CI:1.12-3.38;P=0.019)were independent predictors of 28-day mortality.No significant difference was found between the predictive accuracy of GIDS and AGI grade for 28-day mortality during the first week of ICU admission(Z=-0.26,P=0.794).CONCLUSION GIDS within the first 24 hours was an unreliable predictor of 28-day mortality.The predictive accuracy for 28-day mortality from both systems during the first week was comparable. 展开更多
关键词 Critical illness Gastrointestinal dysfunction Acute gastrointestinal injury Prognostic indicators Intensive care unit outcomes Mortality prediction Risk stratification predictive modeling
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Unveiling significant risk factors for intensive care unit-acquired weakness:Advancing preventive care
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作者 Chun-Yao Cheng Wen-Rui Hao Tzu-Hurng Cheng 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 SCIE 2024年第18期3288-3290,共3页
In this editorial,we discuss an article titled,“Significant risk factors for intensive care unit-acquired weakness:A processing strategy based on repeated machine learning,”published in a recent issue of the World J... In this editorial,we discuss an article titled,“Significant risk factors for intensive care unit-acquired weakness:A processing strategy based on repeated machine learning,”published in a recent issue of the World Journal of Clinical Cases.Intensive care unit-acquired weakness(ICU-AW)is a debilitating condition that affects critically ill patients,with significant implications for patient outcomes and their quality of life.This study explored the use of artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques to predict ICU-AW occurrence and identify key risk factors.Data from a cohort of 1063 adult intensive care unit(ICU)patients were analyzed,with a particular emphasis on variables such as duration of ICU stay,duration of mechanical ventilation,doses of sedatives and vasopressors,and underlying comorbidities.A multilayer perceptron neural network model was developed,which exhibited a remarkable impressive prediction accuracy of 86.2%on the training set and 85.5%on the test set.The study highlights the importance of early prediction and intervention in mitigating ICU-AW risk and improving patient outcomes. 展开更多
关键词 Intensive care unit-acquired weakness Artificial intelligence Machine learning Neural network Risk factors prediction Critical care
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Pioneering role of machine learning in unveiling intensive care unitacquired weakness
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作者 Silvano Dragonieri 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 SCIE 2024年第13期2157-2159,共3页
In the research published in the World Journal of Clinical Cases,Wang and Long conducted a quantitative analysis to delineate the risk factors for intensive care unit-acquired weakness(ICU-AW)utilizing advanced machin... In the research published in the World Journal of Clinical Cases,Wang and Long conducted a quantitative analysis to delineate the risk factors for intensive care unit-acquired weakness(ICU-AW)utilizing advanced machine learning methodologies.The study employed a multilayer perceptron neural network to accurately predict the incidence of ICU-AW,focusing on critical variables such as ICU stay duration and mechanical ventilation.This research marks a significant advancement in applying machine learning to clinical diagnostics,offering a new paradigm for predictive medicine in critical care.It underscores the importance of integrating artificial intelligence technologies in clinical practice to enhance patient management strategies and calls for interdisciplinary collaboration to drive innovation in healthcare. 展开更多
关键词 Intensive care unit-acquired weakness Machine learning Multilayer perceptron neural network predictive medicine Interdisciplinary collaboration
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Advancing critical care recovery:The pivotal role of machine learning in early detection of intensive care unit-acquired weakness
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作者 Georges Khattar Elie Bou Sanayeh 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 SCIE 2024年第21期4455-4459,共5页
This editorial explores the significant challenge of intensive care unit-acquiredweakness(ICU-AW),a prevalent condition affecting critically ill patients,characterizedby profound muscle weakness and complicating patie... This editorial explores the significant challenge of intensive care unit-acquiredweakness(ICU-AW),a prevalent condition affecting critically ill patients,characterizedby profound muscle weakness and complicating patient recovery.Highlightingthe paradox of modern medical advances,it emphasizes the urgent needfor early identification and intervention to mitigate ICU-AW's impact.Innovatively,the study by Wang et al is showcased for employing a multilayer perceptronneural network model,achieving high accuracy in predicting ICU-AWrisk.This advancement underscores the potential of neural network models inenhancing patient care but also calls for continued research to address limitationsand improve model applicability.The editorial advocates for the developmentand validation of sophisticated predictive tools,aiming for personalized carestrategies to reduce ICU-AW incidence and severity,ultimately improving patientoutcomes in critical care settings. 展开更多
关键词 Critical illness myopathy Critical illness polyneuropathy Early detection Intensive care unit-acquired weakness Neural network models Patient outcomes Personalized intervention strategies predictive modeling
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The Effects of Whole-course Psychological Care in Patients having Parkinson's Disease with Anxiety
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作者 Jiuxia Zhang Weihua Xu 《Journal of Clinical and Nursing Research》 2021年第4期199-203,共5页
Objective:This research explored the clinical effects of the whole course of psychological care in patients having Parkinson's disease with anxiety.Methods:Eighty-four patients with Parkinson's anxiety disorde... Objective:This research explored the clinical effects of the whole course of psychological care in patients having Parkinson's disease with anxiety.Methods:Eighty-four patients with Parkinson's anxiety disorder at Hubei No.3 People's Hospital from January 2020 to December 2020 were randomly selected for this research.They were divided into a control group and a study group using random number table.The control group was provided with routine care while the study group was provided with psychological care in which observation and comparison of clinical effects were caried out.Results:There were no significant differences in their scores based on the self-rating anxiety scale(SAS)and self-rating depression scale(SDS)between the two groups of patients before nursing,P>0.05.However,the scores of both,SAS and SDS of the study group after nursing intervention were lower than those of the control group.Sleep quality scores,patient satisfaction,and quality of life scores were all higher than the control group,P<0.05.Conclusion:The whole course of psychological care can effectively improve anxiety and depression of patients with Parkinson's anxiety and improve their sleep quality. 展开更多
关键词 whole-course psychological care PARKINSON ANXIETY
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Predictive risk factors for prolonged stay in intensive care unit in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting surgery
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作者 袁忠祥 《外科研究与新技术》 2011年第3期183-184,共2页
Objective To describe the preoperative factors of prolonged intensive care unit length of stay after coronary artery bypass grafting. Methods From 1997 to 2009, 1318 patients underwent isolated CABG in our hospital. R... Objective To describe the preoperative factors of prolonged intensive care unit length of stay after coronary artery bypass grafting. Methods From 1997 to 2009, 1318 patients underwent isolated CABG in our hospital. Retrospective analysis was performed on these cases. Univariate and multivariate analyses 展开更多
关键词 length CABG predictive risk factors for prolonged stay in intensive care unit in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting surgery LVEF
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Predictive risk factors associated with prolonged stay in the intensive care unit for patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting surgery
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作者 杨毅 《外科研究与新技术》 2011年第3期178-178,共1页
Objective The rate of post-operative complications has been increased with the changes in patients’age,prolonged duration,more severe and diffused lesions,and more patients with complications in recent years. We try ... Objective The rate of post-operative complications has been increased with the changes in patients’age,prolonged duration,more severe and diffused lesions,and more patients with complications in recent years. We try to identify the risk factors associated with prolonged stay in the intensive care unit (ICU) after coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) . Methods 1623 patients who received CABG surgery in Beijing Anzhen Hospital 展开更多
关键词 CABG predictive risk factors associated with prolonged stay in the intensive care unit for patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting surgery
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Development of a prediction model for enteral feeding intolerance in intensive care unit patients:A prospective cohort study 被引量:12
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作者 Xue-Mei Lu Deng-Shuai Jia +3 位作者 Rui Wang Qing Yang Shan-Shan Jin Lan Chen 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery》 SCIE 2022年第12期1363-1374,共12页
BACKGROUND Enteral nutrition(EN)is essential for critically ill patients.However,some patients will have enteral feeding intolerance(EFI)in the process of EN.AIM To develop a clinical prediction model to predict the r... BACKGROUND Enteral nutrition(EN)is essential for critically ill patients.However,some patients will have enteral feeding intolerance(EFI)in the process of EN.AIM To develop a clinical prediction model to predict the risk of EFI in patients receiving EN in the intensive care unit.METHODS A prospective cohort study was performed.The enrolled patients’basic information,medical status,nutritional support,and gastrointestinal(GI)symptoms were recorded.The baseline data and influencing factors were compared.Logistic regression analysis was used to establish the model,and the bootstrap resampling method was used to conduct internal validation.RESULTS The sample cohort included 203 patients,and 37.93%of the patients were diagnosed with EFI.After the final regression analysis,age,GI disease,early feeding,mechanical ventilation before EN started,and abnormal serum sodium were identified.In the internal validation,500 bootstrap resample samples were performed,and the area under the curve was 0.70(95%CI:0.63-0.77).CONCLUSION This clinical prediction model can be applied to predict the risk of EFI. 展开更多
关键词 Enteral feeding intolerance Critical care medicine Clinical prediction model Nutrition assessment Nutritional support Critical care nursing
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Validated tool for early prediction of intensive care unit admission in COVID-19 patients
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作者 Hao-Fan Huang Yong Liu +10 位作者 Jin-Xiu Li Hui Dong Shan Gao Zheng-Yang Huang Shou-Zhi Fu Lu-Yu Yang Hui-Zhi Lu Liao-You Xia Song Cao Yi Gao Xia-Xia Yu 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 SCIE 2021年第28期8388-8403,共16页
BACKGROUND The novel coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic is a global threat caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2.AIM To develop and validate a risk stratification tool for the early pre... BACKGROUND The novel coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic is a global threat caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2.AIM To develop and validate a risk stratification tool for the early prediction of intensive care unit(ICU)admission among COVID-19 patients at hospital admission.METHODS The training cohort included COVID-19 patients admitted to the Wuhan Third Hospital.We selected 13 of 65 baseline laboratory results to assess ICU admission risk,which were used to develop a risk prediction model with the random forest(RF)algorithm.A nomogram for the logistic regression model was built based on six selected variables.The predicted models were carefully calibrated,and the predictive performance was evaluated and compared with two previously published models.RESULTS There were 681 and 296 patients in the training and validation cohorts,respectively.The patients in the training cohort were older than those in the validation cohort(median age:63.0 vs 49.0 years,P<0.001),and the percentages of male gender were similar(49.6%vs 49.3%,P=0.958).The top predictors selected in the RF model were neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio,age,lactate dehydrogenase,C-reactive protein,creatinine,D-dimer,albumin,procalcitonin,glucose,platelet,total bilirubin,lactate and creatine kinase.The accuracy,sensitivity and specificity for the RF model were 91%,88%and 93%,respectively,higher than those for the logistic regression model.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of our model was much better than those of two other published methods(0.90 vs 0.82 and 0.75).Model A underestimated risk of ICU admission in patients with a predicted risk less than 30%,whereas the RF risk score demonstrated excellent ability to categorize patients into different risk strata.Our predictive model provided a larger standardized net benefit across the major high-risk range compared with model A.CONCLUSION Our model can identify ICU admission risk in COVID-19 patients at admission,who can then receive prompt care,thus improving medical resource allocation. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 Intensive care units Machine learning Prognostic predictive model Risk stratification
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中国城镇失能老年人口规模及养老服务需求预测 被引量:4
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作者 程明梅 杨华磊 《北京社会科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2024年第3期114-128,共15页
以全国第六次和第七次人口普查数据为基准数据,结合CLHLS微观数据库,对2050年以前城镇失能老年人口养老服务需求进行了预测。结果显示:随着年龄的增加,中国城镇老年人的失能率不断提高,其中在65岁以上、80岁以上及100岁以上的老年人群体... 以全国第六次和第七次人口普查数据为基准数据,结合CLHLS微观数据库,对2050年以前城镇失能老年人口养老服务需求进行了预测。结果显示:随着年龄的增加,中国城镇老年人的失能率不断提高,其中在65岁以上、80岁以上及100岁以上的老年人群体中,其平均失能率分别为28.98%、42.12%和76.04%;未来城镇重度失能老年人口规模将不断扩大,2050年以前其所占比例会超过城镇总失能老年人口的25%,而且男性重度失能人口规模始终低于女性重度失能人口规模;未来城镇重度失能老年人养老服务人员需求数量处于上升状态,预计2050年以前其每年需求的平均规模会超过500万人;随着城镇化的推进,未来城镇失能人口将高于农村失能人口。因此,应尽快建立覆盖城镇居民的长期照护机制;针对不同的城镇失能人群构建差异化的长期护理模式;加快建设针对城镇失能老年人的专业照护人员队伍;完善失能老年人养老服务规制。 展开更多
关键词 失能老年人 养老服务需求 人口预测 长期护理
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基层医疗资源配置与经济高质量发展的耦合协调及其预测分析 被引量:1
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作者 李丽清 刘文慧 +1 位作者 杨苏乐 林慧英 《中国全科医学》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第25期3164-3170,共7页
背景精准识别制约基层医疗资源配置与经济高质量耦合协调发展的因素,对于有针对性地推动两系统耦合协调共进至关重要。然而,当前鲜有研究深入探讨阻碍两者耦合协调发展的关键因素。目的 对比分析“十二五”和“十三五”时期我国基层医... 背景精准识别制约基层医疗资源配置与经济高质量耦合协调发展的因素,对于有针对性地推动两系统耦合协调共进至关重要。然而,当前鲜有研究深入探讨阻碍两者耦合协调发展的关键因素。目的 对比分析“十二五”和“十三五”时期我国基层医疗资源配置与经济高质量发展的耦合协调水平,识别障碍因子,并预测“十四五”时期两系统的耦合协调趋势。方法 于2022年7月—2023年5月,从基层医疗资源配置系统选取卫生设施、卫生人员数、卫生经费3个维度,从经济高质量发展系统选取创新、协调、开放、共享、绿色5个维度,最终选取17项指标建立评价指标体系,指标数据源于2012—2021年的《中国统计年鉴》和相应卫生健康统计年鉴。借助熵值法与综合评价函数测算“十二五”与“十三五”时期基层医疗资源配置与经济高质量发展的综合评价值,通过构建耦合协调度模型测算其耦合协调水平,建立障碍函数诊断与识别影响耦合协调发展的障碍因子,引用灰色模型预测“十四五”期间两系统的耦合协调趋势。结果 “十二五”和“十三五”期间我国基层医疗资源配置与经济高质量发展耦合协调度由0.15上升到0.68,整体呈逐年上升的态势,虽增速较快但层次较低。卫生设施、卫生人员数、经济共享与绿色发展是制约“十二五”与“十三五”时期基层医疗资源配置与经济高质量发展二元复合系统耦合协调水平的主要障碍因子。借助修正GM(1,1)预测模型预测可知,“十四五”时期基层医疗系统与经济发展水平系统的耦合度在1.00左右微浮动,整体处于高耦合阶段,耦合协调度由0.73上升至1.12,总体呈上升态势,相对发展度>1.20,处于过度供给状态。结论为赋能基层医疗卫生体系的可持续发展,建议秉承绿色、共享的发展理念,从促进系统协调发展、完善基层医疗设施条件和打通基层医疗人才输送路径等方面着手,推动两系统和谐发展。 展开更多
关键词 资源配置 初级卫生保健 经济发展 耦合协调度 障碍因子 灰色预测模型
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肠造口周围潮湿相关性皮肤损伤预测模型的构建与应用 被引量:1
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作者 吴金晶 李红 《浙江临床医学》 2024年第8期1248-1250,共3页
目的探讨肠造口周围潮湿相关性皮肤损伤(PMASD)预测模型的构建与应用效果。方法回顾性分析2022年1月至2023年6月369例行肠造口手术患者的临床资料,并将其为建模组(268例)和验证组(101例)。根据患者是否发生PMASD分为并发症组(91例)与非... 目的探讨肠造口周围潮湿相关性皮肤损伤(PMASD)预测模型的构建与应用效果。方法回顾性分析2022年1月至2023年6月369例行肠造口手术患者的临床资料,并将其为建模组(268例)和验证组(101例)。根据患者是否发生PMASD分为并发症组(91例)与非并发症组(177例),基于单因素分析、Lasso变量精简剔除后采用多因素Logistic回归分析预测模型并通过Hosmer-Lemeshow检验预测模型拟合度,同时在验证组中进行模型外部验证。结果建模组所有变量的组间比较,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05)。经过方差分析精简剔除后采用Logistic回归分析构建的预测模型Hosmer-Lemeshow检验P=0.763,预测模型准确率为90.51%。预测模型外部验证总准确率为77.23%,Hosmer-Lemeshow检验P=0.516,ROC曲线下面积为0.858(P<0.01)。结论PMASD预测模型可以帮助医护人员及时发现和处理皮肤损伤,减少感染和其他并发症的发生率,具有重要的临床指导意义。 展开更多
关键词 肠造口术 造口周围潮湿相关性皮肤损伤 预测模型 护理
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颅脑手术患者术后低体温的危险因素分析及预测模型构建与验证
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作者 孙学丽 张晓娇 +3 位作者 刘婷 王冉 李勍 韩斌如 《中华急危重症护理杂志》 CSCD 2024年第10期876-881,共6页
目的分析颅脑手术患者术后低体温的危险因素并构建预测模型,为临床早期筛选高危人群和干预提供参考。方法采用回顾性分析方法,选择2021年1月—2022年12月北京市某三级甲等医院的407例颅脑手术患者作为研究对象,根据时间先后按照7:3的比... 目的分析颅脑手术患者术后低体温的危险因素并构建预测模型,为临床早期筛选高危人群和干预提供参考。方法采用回顾性分析方法,选择2021年1月—2022年12月北京市某三级甲等医院的407例颅脑手术患者作为研究对象,根据时间先后按照7:3的比例分为建模组(285例)和验模组(122例)。对建模组数据依次进行单因素分析和二元Logistic回归分析,构建预测模型,并对模型进行预测效能评价;使用验模组数据对模型进行验证。结果颅脑手术患者术后低体温的发生率为40.7%,Logistic回归分析显示,术前使用咪达唑仑(OR=2.464)、手术时间<3 h(OR=3.287)、术中使用胶体液(OR=3.399)是颅脑手术患者术后低体温发生的独立危险因素,其预测模型为:Logit(p)=—2.124+0.902×术前使用咪达唑仑+1.190×手术时间<3 h+1.224×术中使用胶体液。建模组Hosmer-lemeshow(H-L)检验χ^(2)=2.634,P=0.955,受试者操作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线下面积为0.720;验模组H-L检验χ^(2)=13.911,P=0.084,ROC曲线下面积为0.705。结论构建的预测模型效果良好,可为医护人员筛查颅脑手术患者术后低体温的高危人群提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 低体温 颅脑手术 预测模型 麻醉护理
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基于精神心理因素构建的重症监护病房患者谵妄危险预测模型
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作者 王娇 郑秋兰 +1 位作者 曾聪 盛孝敏 《中国中西医结合急救杂志》 CAS CSCD 2024年第2期223-228,共6页
目的基于谵妄发生的相关精神心理风险因素,构建重症监护病房(ICU)患者谵妄危险预测模型,为ICU患者谵妄识别提供新的思路。方法采用前瞻性观察研究方法。选择2019年9月至2020年9月重庆医科大学附属第二医院中心ICU收治的165例患者作为研... 目的基于谵妄发生的相关精神心理风险因素,构建重症监护病房(ICU)患者谵妄危险预测模型,为ICU患者谵妄识别提供新的思路。方法采用前瞻性观察研究方法。选择2019年9月至2020年9月重庆医科大学附属第二医院中心ICU收治的165例患者作为研究对象。采用一般资料问卷、艾森克人格问卷简式量表中文版(EPQ-RSC)、状态-特质焦虑量表(STAI)、汉密尔顿抑郁量表(HAMD)、特质应对方式问卷(TCSQ)、ICU意识模糊评估法(CAM-ICU)问卷进行调查,采用二元Logistic回归模型筛选ICU患者发生谵妄的危险因素,并以此构建列线图模型验证该模型的准确性。结果剔除无效数据7例后,最终纳入158例患者,其中共23例发生谵妄,谵妄发生率为14.56%。单因素分析显示,与未发生谵妄组比较,发生谵妄组患者年龄明显增大(岁:72.91±6.75比63.36±10.14),有酗酒史、认知障碍史和机械通气史的患者比例均明显增加〔有酗酒史:17.4%(4/23)比5.2%(7/135),有认知障碍史:30.4%(7/23)比5.2%(7/135),有机械通气史:78.3%(18/23)比40.7%(55/135),均P<0.05〕,ICU住院时间明显延长(d:7.26±1.66比4.93±2.15),神经质评分(分:7.78±2.66比5.07±2.77)、消极应对评分(分:30.70±6.54比25.76±5.41)、HAMD抑郁评分(分:15.04±4.55比10.76±3.77)、特质焦虑评分(分:49.48±7.14比44.10±8.66)均明显升高(均P<0.05)。Logistic回归分析显示,年龄、神经质评分、HAMD抑郁评分、特质焦虑评分、ICU住院时间、有机械通气史均是影响ICU患者发生谵妄的危险因素〔优势比(OR)和95%可信区间(95%CI)分别为1.11(1.02~1.22)、1.50(1.13~1.99)、1.39(1.15~1.69)、1.13(1.03~1.25)、1.47(1.04~2.06)、6.52(1.19~35.73),P值分别为0.02、0.01、0.01、0.01、0.03、0.03〕,并据此构建列线图模型,其受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)下面积(AUC)=0.96,95%CI为0.93~0.99,约登指数为0.87,其敏感度为100%,特异性为87%,Hosmer-Lemeshow拟合优度检验结果:χ2=5.13,P=0.74,提示预测模型区分度良好。结论本研究借助神经质、抑郁、特质焦虑等因素构建了ICU患者谵妄危险预测模型,结果显示该模型有良好的区分度和准确度,为识别ICU谵妄高危患者提供了新的方法。 展开更多
关键词 重症监护病房 谵妄 预测模型 影响因素
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基于改良Caprini风险评估的预见性护理对不同程度创面烧伤患者静脉血栓栓塞症的预防效果
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作者 谢兰珍 马继中 许爱花 《中国医药导报》 CAS 2024年第16期46-48,共3页
目的探讨基于改良Caprini风险评估的预见性护理对不同程度创面烧伤患者静脉血栓栓塞症(VTE)的预防效果。方法将2022年1月至2023年9月浙江省金华市中心医院烧伤科就诊的334例烧伤患者作为研究对象,按非同期队列研究方法将其分为对照组和... 目的探讨基于改良Caprini风险评估的预见性护理对不同程度创面烧伤患者静脉血栓栓塞症(VTE)的预防效果。方法将2022年1月至2023年9月浙江省金华市中心医院烧伤科就诊的334例烧伤患者作为研究对象,按非同期队列研究方法将其分为对照组和观察组,对照组(186例)接受Caprini风险评估的常规VTE护理,观察组(148例)接受改良Caprini风险评估的预见性护理。干预后,比较两组VTE发生率、VTE中高危识别率和凝血功能。结果干预后,观察组VTE发生率低于对照组,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05);干预后,观察组VTE中高危识别率高于对照组,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。干预后,两组凝血酶原时间(PT)、活化部分凝血酶时间(APTT)短于干预前,纤维蛋白原(FIB)高于干预前,且观察组PT、APTT短于对照组,观察组FIB高于对照组,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。结论对于烧伤患者而言,相对于Caprini风险评估的常规VTE护理,改良Caprini风险评估的预见性护理能够更好地预防VTE的发生,改善患者的凝血功能,值得推广使用。 展开更多
关键词 烧伤 静脉血栓栓塞 改良Caprini风险评估量表 预见性护理
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