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Spatial Evolution and Locational Determinants of High-tech Industries in Beijing 被引量:21
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作者 ZHANG Xiaoping HUANG Pingting +1 位作者 SUN Lei WANG Zhaohong 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2013年第2期249-260,共12页
Using datasets on high-tech industries in Beijing as empirical studies, this paper attempts to interpret spatial shift of high-tech manufacturing firms and to examine the main determinants that have had the greatest e... Using datasets on high-tech industries in Beijing as empirical studies, this paper attempts to interpret spatial shift of high-tech manufacturing firms and to examine the main determinants that have had the greatest effect on this spatial evolution. We aimed at merging these two aspects by using firm level databases in 1996 and 2010. To explain spatial change of the high-tech firms in Beijing, the Kernel density estimation method was used for hotspot analysis and detection by comparing their locations in 1996 and 2010, through which spatial features and their temporal changes could be approximately plotted. Furthermore, to provide quantitative results, Ripley′s K-function was used as an instrument to reveal spatial shift and the dispersion distance of high-tech manufacturing firms in Beijing. By employing a negative binominal regression model, we evaluated the main determinants that have significantly affected the spatial evolution of high-tech manufacturing firms and compared differential influence of these locational factors on overall high-tech firms and each sub-sectors. The empirical analysis shows that high-tech industries in Beijing, in general, have evident agglomeration characteristics, and that the hotspot has shifted from the central city to suburban areas. In combination with the Ripley index, this study concludes that high-tech firms are now more scattered in metropolitan areas of Beijing as compared with 1996. The results of regression model indicate that the firms′ locational decisions are significantly influenced by the spatial planning and regulation policies of the municipal government. In addition, market processes involving transportation accessibility and agglomeration economy have been found to be important in explaining the dynamics of locational variation of high-tech manufacturing firms in Beijing. Research into how markets and the government interact to determine the location of high-tech manufacturing production will be helpful for policymakers to enact effective policies toward a more efficient urban spatial structure. 展开更多
关键词 high-tech manufacturing firms spatial evolution locational determinant negative binomial regression model BEIJING
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基于零膨胀负二项空间滞后回归模型的新疆手足口病气象因素分析
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作者 岳铭 张辉国 《中国卫生统计》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第4期507-510,共4页
目的研究2018年新疆手足口病的时空变化趋势,分析气象因子对疾病的影响程度,为新疆手足口病的科学防控提供理论依据。方法对新疆100个县域2018年各季度的手足口病进行描述性分析;使用本文提出的零膨胀负二项空间滞后回归模型识别气象因... 目的研究2018年新疆手足口病的时空变化趋势,分析气象因子对疾病的影响程度,为新疆手足口病的科学防控提供理论依据。方法对新疆100个县域2018年各季度的手足口病进行描述性分析;使用本文提出的零膨胀负二项空间滞后回归模型识别气象因子的影响程度,并与负二项回归模型、零膨胀负二项回归模型的结果进行对比。结果零膨胀负二项空间滞后回归模型比普通零膨胀模型识别更多有统计学意义的气象因子,比传统计数模型拟合效果更优,还能评估空间效应对疾病的影响。2018年新疆手足口病主要集中在新疆北疆,夏季是高暴发期,秋冬季次之,春季发病最少。春季平均风速越快居民患病人数越少;夏季平均气温和平均相对湿度越高发病人数越多,秋季和冬季气象因子对发病的影响不显著。结论新疆手足口病的发病具有空间聚集性以及季节性特征,气象因子在不同时期对疾病的影响不同,建议加强夏秋两季新疆北疆高风险地区的疾病监测,做好易感区域消杀工作,控制传染源,切断手足口病传播途径。 展开更多
关键词 手足口病 气象因素 零膨胀负二项空间滞后回归模型 新疆
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The spatial patterns and determinants of internal migration of older adults in China from 1995 to 2015 被引量:1
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作者 LIU Ye HUANG Cuiying +2 位作者 WU Rongwei PAN Zehan GU Hengyu 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第12期2541-2559,共19页
Although China was one of the countries with the fastest-growing aging population in the world,limited scholarly attention has been paid to migration among older adults in China.The full picture of their migration in ... Although China was one of the countries with the fastest-growing aging population in the world,limited scholarly attention has been paid to migration among older adults in China.The full picture of their migration in the entire country over time remains unknown.This study examines the spatial patterns of older interprovincial migration flows and their drivers in China over the period 1995 to 2015,using four waves of census data and intercensal population sample survey data.Results from eigenvector spatial filtering negative binomial regressions indicate that older adults tend to migrate away from low cost-of-living rural areas to high cost-of-living urban and rural areas,moving away from areas with extreme temperature differences.The location of their grandchildren is among the most important attractions.Our findings suggest that family-oriented migration is more common than amenity-led migration among retired Chinese older adults,and the cost-of-living is an indicator of economic opportunities for adult children and the quality of senior care services. 展开更多
关键词 interprovincial migration older adults eigenvector spatial filtering negative binomial regression models China
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