Case-based reasoning （CBR） is an important reasoning technique of expert system. In this paper, the authors introduce CBR to intelligent early-warning support system, which could warn quantitatively for enterprise f...Case-based reasoning （CBR） is an important reasoning technique of expert system. In this paper, the authors introduce CBR to intelligent early-warning support system, which could warn quantitatively for enterprise financial crisis and could warn qualitatively by expert＇s knowledge and experience. Furthermore, genetic algorithm is applied to case-based reasoning in CBR-IEWSS, which improves accuracy and efficiency of case retrieval. Last, the structure of CBR-IEWSS is given.展开更多
Background:Early severity estimates of coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)are critically needed to assess the potential impact of the on going pandemic in differe nt demographic groups.Here we estimate the real-time de...Background:Early severity estimates of coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)are critically needed to assess the potential impact of the on going pandemic in differe nt demographic groups.Here we estimate the real-time delayadjusted case fatality rate across nine age groups by gender in Chile,the country with the highest testing rate for COVID-19 in Latin America.Methods:We used a publicly available real-time daily series of age-stratified COVID-19 cases and deaths reported by the Ministry of Health in Chile from the beginning of the epidemic in March through August 31,2020.We used a robust likelihood function and a delay distribution to estimate real-time delay-adjusted case-fatality risk and estimate model parameters using a Monte Carlo Markov Chain in a Bayesian framework.展开更多
基金This research is SHpported by National Science Foundation of China under Grant No.70572038State Key Laboratory of Mechanical Manufacturing System Engineering Hnder the research grant of 2006~2007
文摘Case-based reasoning （CBR） is an important reasoning technique of expert system. In this paper, the authors introduce CBR to intelligent early-warning support system, which could warn quantitatively for enterprise financial crisis and could warn qualitatively by expert＇s knowledge and experience. Furthermore, genetic algorithm is applied to case-based reasoning in CBR-IEWSS, which improves accuracy and efficiency of case retrieval. Last, the structure of CBR-IEWSS is given.
文摘Background:Early severity estimates of coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)are critically needed to assess the potential impact of the on going pandemic in differe nt demographic groups.Here we estimate the real-time delayadjusted case fatality rate across nine age groups by gender in Chile,the country with the highest testing rate for COVID-19 in Latin America.Methods:We used a publicly available real-time daily series of age-stratified COVID-19 cases and deaths reported by the Ministry of Health in Chile from the beginning of the epidemic in March through August 31,2020.We used a robust likelihood function and a delay distribution to estimate real-time delay-adjusted case-fatality risk and estimate model parameters using a Monte Carlo Markov Chain in a Bayesian framework.
