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Research on the Dissemination Mechanism and Guiding Tactics of Public Opinion in Catastrophic Event Network
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作者 Wei Guo 《International Journal of Technology Management》 2017年第2期1-3,共3页
This paper conducts the analysis on the dissemination mechanism and guiding tactics of public opinion in catastrophic event network. Opinion evolution mechanism can be roughly divided into two classes. One is the beli... This paper conducts the analysis on the dissemination mechanism and guiding tactics of public opinion in catastrophic event network. Opinion evolution mechanism can be roughly divided into two classes. One is the belief of people based on their neighbors, on the basis of the public opinion is in the social network of acquaintances. Such networks are mostly using cellular automata model for data simulation, the results of numerical simulation are speci? c to stabilize near the critical value show that the system will reach a critical stable state. The network information collection is the source of network public opinion monitoring its breadth and depth determine the monitoring results for the clear theme of public opinion information collection. Under this basis, this paper proposes the novel idea of making the dissemination mechanism easier. The proposed idea is novel and necessary, the effectiveness is proved via the theoretical analysis. 展开更多
关键词 Dissemination Mechanism Guiding Tactics Public Opinion event network.
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AED-Net:An Abnormal Event Detection Network 被引量:4
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作者 Tian Wang Zichen Miao +3 位作者 Yuxin Chen Yi Zhou Guangcun Shan Hichem Snoussi 《Engineering》 SCIE EI 2019年第5期930-939,共10页
It has long been a challenging task to detect an anomaly in a crowded scene.In this paper,a selfsupervised framework called the abnormal event detection network(AED-Net),which is composed of a principal component anal... It has long been a challenging task to detect an anomaly in a crowded scene.In this paper,a selfsupervised framework called the abnormal event detection network(AED-Net),which is composed of a principal component analysis network(PCAnet)and kernel principal component analysis(kPCA),is proposed to address this problem.Using surveillance video sequences of different scenes as raw data,the PCAnet is trained to extract high-level semantics of the crowd’s situation.Next,kPCA,a one-class classifier,is trained to identify anomalies within the scene.In contrast to some prevailing deep learning methods,this framework is completely self-supervised because it utilizes only video sequences of a normal situation.Experiments in global and local abnormal event detection are carried out on Monitoring Human Activity dataset from University of Minnesota(UMN dataset)and Anomaly Detection dataset from University of California,San Diego(UCSD dataset),and competitive results that yield a better equal error rate(EER)and area under curve(AUC)than other state-of-the-art methods are observed.Furthermore,by adding a local response normalization(LRN)layer,we propose an improvement to the original AED-Net.The results demonstrate that this proposed version performs better by promoting the framework’s generalization capacity. 展开更多
关键词 ABNORMAL events DETECTION ABNORMAL event DETECTION network Principal COMPONENT ANALYSIS network Kernel principal COMPONENT ANALYSIS
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Synchronization of Markovian jumping complex networks with event-triggered control 被引量:1
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作者 邵浩宇 胡爱花 刘丹 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第9期595-602,共8页
This paper investigates event-triggered synchronization for complex networks with Markovian jumping parameters.Nonlinear dynamics with Markovian jumping parameters is considered for each node in a complex network. By ... This paper investigates event-triggered synchronization for complex networks with Markovian jumping parameters.Nonlinear dynamics with Markovian jumping parameters is considered for each node in a complex network. By utilizing the proposed event-triggered strategy, and based on the Lyapunov functional method and linear matrix inequality technology,some sufficient conditions for synchronization of complex networks are derived whether the transition rate matrix for the Markov process is completely known or not. Finally, a numerical example is presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed theoretical results. 展开更多
关键词 complex networks SYNCHRONIZATION event-triggered control Markovian jumping parameters
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Environmental Sound Event Detection in Wireless Acoustic Sensor Networks for Home Telemonitoring 被引量:1
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作者 Hyoung-Gook Kim Jin Young Kim 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第9期1-10,共10页
In this paper, we present an approach to improve the accuracy of environmental sound event detection in a wireless acoustic sensor network for home monitoring. Wireless acoustic sensor nodes can capture sounds in the ... In this paper, we present an approach to improve the accuracy of environmental sound event detection in a wireless acoustic sensor network for home monitoring. Wireless acoustic sensor nodes can capture sounds in the home and simultaneously deliver them to a sink node for sound event detection. The proposed approach is mainly composed of three modules, including signal estimation, reliable sensor channel selection, and sound event detection. During signal estimation, lost packets are recovered to improve the signal quality. Next, reliable channels are selected using a multi-channel cross-correlation coefficient to improve the computational efficiency for distant sound event detection without sacrificing performance. Finally, the signals of the selected two channels are used for environmental sound event detection based on bidirectional gated recurrent neural networks using two-channel audio features. Experiments show that the proposed approach achieves superior performances compared to the baseline. 展开更多
关键词 SOUND event detection wirelesssensor network GATED RECURRENT neural net-work MULTICHANNEL audio
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Construction of Network Fault Simulation Platform and Event Samples Acquisition Techniques for Event Correlation
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作者 Su Yu-bei Wang Zhi +2 位作者 Cao Yang Huang Tian-xi Wang Li-na 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 EI CAS 2001年第3期670-674,共5页
Event correlation is one key technique in network fault management. For the event sample acquisition problem in event correlation, a novel approach is proposed to collect the samples by constructing network simulation... Event correlation is one key technique in network fault management. For the event sample acquisition problem in event correlation, a novel approach is proposed to collect the samples by constructing network simulation platform. The platform designed can set kinds of network faults according to user's demand and generate a lot of network fault events, which will benefit the research on efficient event correlation techniques. 展开更多
关键词 event correlation network fault simulation event sample
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Rainfall-runoff modeling for storm events in a coastal forest catchmen t using neural networks
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作者 WANG Yi HE Bin 《成都理工大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2008年第1期68-73,共6页
The process of transformation of rainfall into runoff over a catchment is very complex and highly nonlinear and exhibits both tempor al and spatial variabilities. In this article, a rainfall-runoff model using th e ar... The process of transformation of rainfall into runoff over a catchment is very complex and highly nonlinear and exhibits both tempor al and spatial variabilities. In this article, a rainfall-runoff model using th e artificial neural networks (ANN) is proposed for simula ting the runoff in storm events. The study uses the data from a coa stal forest catchment located in Seto Inland Sea, Japan. This article studies the accuracy of the short-term rainfall forecast obta ined by ANN time-series analysis techniques and using antecedent rainfa ll depths and stream flow as the input information. The verification results from the proposed model indicate that the approach of ANN rai nfall-runoff model presented in this paper shows a reasonable agreement in rainfall-runoff modeling with high accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 降雨径流模型 暴风雨 沿海林 集水 神经网络
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A Survey on Event Mining for ICT Network Infrastructure Management 被引量:1
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作者 LIU Zheng LI Tao WANG Junchang 《ZTE Communications》 2016年第2期47-55,共9页
1 IntroductionNowadays in China, there are more than six hundred million netizens [1]. On April 11, 2015, the nmnbet of simultaneous online users of the Chinese instant message application QQ reached two hundred milli... 1 IntroductionNowadays in China, there are more than six hundred million netizens [1]. On April 11, 2015, the nmnbet of simultaneous online users of the Chinese instant message application QQ reached two hundred million [2]. The fast growth ol the lnternet pusnes me rapid development of information technology (IT) and communication technology (CT). Many traditional IT service and CT equipment providers are facing the fusion of IT and CT in the age of digital transformation, and heading toward ICT enterprises. Large global ICT enterprises, such as Apple, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Verizon, and AT&T, have been contributing to the performance improvement of IT service and CT equipment. 展开更多
关键词 event mining failure prediction log analysis network infrastructure management root cause analysis
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Artificial Neural Networks for Event Based Rainfall-Runoff Modeling
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作者 Archana Sarkar Rakesh Kumar 《Journal of Water Resource and Protection》 2012年第10期891-897,共7页
The Artificial Neural Network (ANN) approach has been successfully used in many hydrological studies especially the rainfall-runoff modeling using continuous data. The present study examines its applicability to model... The Artificial Neural Network (ANN) approach has been successfully used in many hydrological studies especially the rainfall-runoff modeling using continuous data. The present study examines its applicability to model the event-based rainfall-runoff process. A case study has been done for Ajay river basin to develop event-based rainfall-runoff model for the basin to simulate the hourly runoff at Sarath gauging site. The results demonstrate that ANN models are able to provide a good representation of an event-based rainfall-runoff process. The two important parameters, when predicting a flood hydrograph, are the magnitude of the peak discharge and the time to peak discharge. The developed ANN models have been able to predict this information with great accuracy. This shows that ANNs can be very efficient in modeling an event-based rainfall-runoff process for determining the peak discharge and time to the peak discharge very accurately. This is important in water resources design and management applications, where peak discharge and time to peak discharge are important input 展开更多
关键词 Artificial NEURAL networks (ANNs) event Based RAINFALL-RUNOFF Process Error BACK Propagation NEURAL Power
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Distributed event region fault-tolerance based on weighted distance for wireless sensor networks 被引量:2
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作者 Li Ping Li Hong Wu Min 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2009年第6期1351-1360,共10页
Event region detection is the important application for wireless sensor networks(WSNs), where the existing faulty sensors would lead to drastic deterioration of network quality of service.Considering single-moment n... Event region detection is the important application for wireless sensor networks(WSNs), where the existing faulty sensors would lead to drastic deterioration of network quality of service.Considering single-moment nodes fault-tolerance, a novel distributed fault-tolerant detection algorithm named distributed fault-tolerance based on weighted distance(DFWD) is proposed, which exploits the spatial correlation among sensor nodes and their redundant information.In sensor networks, neighborhood sensor nodes will be endowed with different relative weights respectively according to the distances between them and the central node.Having syncretized the weighted information of dual-neighborhood nodes appropriately, it is reasonable to decide the ultimate status of the central sensor node.Simultaneously, readings of faulty sensors would be corrected during this process.Simulation results demonstrate that the DFWD has a higher fault detection accuracy compared with other algorithms, and when the sensor fault probability is 10%, the DFWD can still correct more than 91% faulty sensor nodes, which significantly improves the performance of the whole sensor network. 展开更多
关键词 event region detection weighted distance distributed fault-tolerance wireless sensor network.
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面向突发性水污染事件的多传感器动态组网立体监测
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作者 申邵洪 姜莹 +3 位作者 陈希炽 向大享 陈喆 文雄飞 《长江科学院院报》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期160-165,共6页
针对突发性水污染事件应急监测和智能模拟分析需求,研究了多传感器立体协同监测模型,建立了突发性水污染事件的时间、空间属性和传感器观测性能之间的相关关系,实现了卫星、无人机、地面、水上平台的动态、协同组网。在丹江口库区开展... 针对突发性水污染事件应急监测和智能模拟分析需求,研究了多传感器立体协同监测模型,建立了突发性水污染事件的时间、空间属性和传感器观测性能之间的相关关系,实现了卫星、无人机、地面、水上平台的动态、协同组网。在丹江口库区开展了突发性水污染事件动态组网立体监测实验分析,根据水污染事件发生时、动态演变过程中和事件后期3个阶段的不同观测需求,基于多传感器立体协同监测模型,深入开展了多传感器协同优化求解,确定了相应的观测平台及传感器。实验结果表明,协同、高效的“天空地一体化”立体感知网能够全面、精准、快速获取水污染事件监测信息,可以科学支撑突发性水污染事件的应急处置。 展开更多
关键词 突发性水污染事件 动态组网 立体监测 多传感器
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城市轨道交通列车加开计划编制模型研究 被引量:1
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作者 易志刚 戴贤春 《应用科技》 CAS 2024年第3期150-160,共11页
本文主要研究城市轨道交通在计划编制阶段由于客流不均衡需要在初始运行图加开列车的问题,在确保列车运行安全降低运营成本的前提下合理地加开列车实现运输能力的灵活配置。将列车运行过程形式化描述为事件-活动网络,构建了分时段多目... 本文主要研究城市轨道交通在计划编制阶段由于客流不均衡需要在初始运行图加开列车的问题,在确保列车运行安全降低运营成本的前提下合理地加开列车实现运输能力的灵活配置。将列车运行过程形式化描述为事件-活动网络,构建了分时段多目标优化列车加开计划编制模型,提出了启发式决策规则与禁忌搜索算法相结合的两阶段求解算法。结合地铁运行实际数据,在高峰时段和平峰时段分别构建不同算例场景,验证了模型和算法的可行性和有效性。 展开更多
关键词 城市轨道交通 加开列车 计划编制 事件-活动网络 鲁棒性 启发式决策 禁忌搜索算法 两阶段求解
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基于Transformer网络多模态融合的密集视频描述方法
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作者 李想 桑海峰 《系统仿真学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第5期1061-1071,共11页
针对目前的密集视频描述模型大多使用两阶段的方法存在效率较低、忽略音频及语义信息,描述结果不全面的问题。提出了一种基于Transformer网络多模态和语义信息融合的密集视频描述方法。提取自适应R(2+1)D网络提取视觉特征,设计了语义探... 针对目前的密集视频描述模型大多使用两阶段的方法存在效率较低、忽略音频及语义信息,描述结果不全面的问题。提出了一种基于Transformer网络多模态和语义信息融合的密集视频描述方法。提取自适应R(2+1)D网络提取视觉特征,设计了语义探测器生成语义信息,加入音频特征进行补充,建立了多尺度可变形注意力模块,应用并行的预测头,加快模型收敛速度,提高模型精度。实验结果表明:模型在2个基准数据集上性能均有很好的表现,评价指标BLEU4上达到了2.17。 展开更多
关键词 密集事件描述 Transformer网络 语义信息 多模态融合 可变形注意力
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基于区块链技术的体育热点事件中的网络情绪治理 被引量:1
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作者 徐磊 任礼姝 黄东亚 《河北体育学院学报》 2024年第3期13-20,共8页
5G时代下体育网络情绪传播业态发生巨大变革,为其治理带来了新的挑战。当前,体育网络情绪传播主体和范围不断拓展、传播速度不断加快、传播不确性不断增加,使体育网络情绪治理难度不断提高。区块链技术凭借其去中心化、难以篡改、公开... 5G时代下体育网络情绪传播业态发生巨大变革,为其治理带来了新的挑战。当前,体育网络情绪传播主体和范围不断拓展、传播速度不断加快、传播不确性不断增加,使体育网络情绪治理难度不断提高。区块链技术凭借其去中心化、难以篡改、公开透明等优势,不仅可以有效提升体育网络情绪治理的精准性,而且可以有效提升治理效率。基于区块链技术从不同层面构建体育网络情绪治理机制,在宏观层面构建体育网络情绪信息联合治理平台,在中观层面建立基于大数据的体育网络情绪监测体系,在微观层面自媒体及其服务商实时跟踪处理体育网络情绪,以加强体育舆论引导,促进体育事业健康发展。 展开更多
关键词 5G 区块链 体育网络情绪 体育热点事件 舆情治理
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基于Electra预训练模型并融合依存关系的中文事件检测模型 被引量:1
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作者 尹宝生 孔维一 《计算机科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第S01期223-228,共6页
事件检测是信息提取领域的一个重要研究方向。现存的事件检测模型受到语言模型训练目标的限制,只能被动地获取词与词之间的依赖关系,使得模型在训练的过程中过多地关注与训练目标不相关的成分,从而导致检测结果错误。以往的研究表明,充... 事件检测是信息提取领域的一个重要研究方向。现存的事件检测模型受到语言模型训练目标的限制,只能被动地获取词与词之间的依赖关系,使得模型在训练的过程中过多地关注与训练目标不相关的成分,从而导致检测结果错误。以往的研究表明,充分理解上下文信息对于基于深度学习的事件检测技术至关重要。因此,在Electra预训练模型的基础上,引入KVMN网络来捕捉单词之间的依赖关系,以增强单词的语义特征,并采用了一种门控机制来加权这些特征。然后,为了解决中文事件检测中模型识别错误决策的问题,在输入中加入负样本,对不同样本加入不同程度的噪声,使模型学习更好的嵌入表示,有效提高了模型对未知样本的泛化能力。最后,在公共数据集LEVEN上的实验结果表明,该方法优于现有方法,取得了93.43%的F1值。 展开更多
关键词 事件检测 依存关系 键值记忆网络 门控机制 负采样
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基于事件演化图的多标记事件预测模型
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作者 王华珍 许泽 +3 位作者 孙悦 丘斌 陈坚 邱强斌 《计算机工程》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期132-140,共9页
多标记事件预测是指预测多个相关联的事件是否会在未来发生,相比传统单标记事件预测,需要同时预测多个目标事件。现有的事件预测研究忽略各领域存在的多标记事件情境,且对多标记事件预测研究较少。提出一种基于事件演化图的多标记事件... 多标记事件预测是指预测多个相关联的事件是否会在未来发生,相比传统单标记事件预测,需要同时预测多个目标事件。现有的事件预测研究忽略各领域存在的多标记事件情境,且对多标记事件预测研究较少。提出一种基于事件演化图的多标记事件预测模型(MLEP),以实现基于事件演化图(EEG)的多标记事件预测研究模式。首先基于事件链构建事件演化图;然后对多标记事件预测问题进行问题转换,将多标记问题转化为单标记问题,利用事件表示学习方法获取所有事件的向量表示,对多标记事件进行编码;最后采用门控图神经网络(GGNN)框架构建多标记事件预测模型,根据相似度匹配出最优的后续事件,实现多标记事件的预测。在真实数据集上的实验结果表明,MLEP模型可以有效地预测出多标记事件,预测准确率达到了65.58%,性能优于大多现有的基准模型,提升幅度达到了4.94%以上。通过消融实验也证明了更好的事件表示学习方法对事件具有较好的表示效果,提升多标记事件预测的性能。 展开更多
关键词 多标记 事件演化图 事件表示学习 门控图神经网络 事件预测
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基于多粒度阅读器和图注意力网络的文档级事件抽取
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作者 薛颂东 李永豪 赵红燕 《计算机应用研究》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第8期2329-2335,共7页
文档级事件抽取面临论元分散和多事件两大挑战,已有工作大多采用逐句抽取候选论元的方式,难以建模跨句的上下文信息。为此,提出了一种基于多粒度阅读器和图注意网络的文档级事件抽取模型,采用多粒度阅读器实现多层次语义编码,通过图注... 文档级事件抽取面临论元分散和多事件两大挑战,已有工作大多采用逐句抽取候选论元的方式,难以建模跨句的上下文信息。为此,提出了一种基于多粒度阅读器和图注意网络的文档级事件抽取模型,采用多粒度阅读器实现多层次语义编码,通过图注意力网络捕获实体对之间的局部和全局关系,构建基于实体对相似度的剪枝完全图作为伪触发器,全面捕捉文档中的事件和论元。在公共数据集ChFinAnn和DuEE-Fin上进行了实验,结果表明提出的方法改善了论元分散问题,提升了模型事件抽取性能。 展开更多
关键词 多粒度阅读器 图注意力网络 文档级事件抽取
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基于多维投影时空事件帧的动态视觉传感手势识别
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作者 康来 张亚坤 《系统仿真学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期649-658,共10页
基于视觉的手势识别是虚拟现实、游戏仿真等领域常用的人机交互手段。在实际应用中,手势动作快速变化将导致传统RGB相机或深度相机成像模糊,给手势识别带来巨大挑战。针对上述问题,利用动态视觉传感器捕捉高速手势运动信息,提出一种基... 基于视觉的手势识别是虚拟现实、游戏仿真等领域常用的人机交互手段。在实际应用中,手势动作快速变化将导致传统RGB相机或深度相机成像模糊,给手势识别带来巨大挑战。针对上述问题,利用动态视觉传感器捕捉高速手势运动信息,提出一种基于多维投影时空事件帧(spatiotemporal event frame,STEF)的动态视觉数据手势识别方法。将时空信息嵌入到数据投影面融合形成多维投影时空事件帧,克服现有动态视觉信息事件帧表达方法时域信息丢失的局限性,提升动态视觉传感数据的特征表达能力。在此基础上,采用先进的脉冲神经网络对时空事件帧进行分类实现手势识别。在公开数据集上的识别精度达到96.67%,性能优于同类方法,表明该方法可显著提升动态视觉传感数据手势识别准确率。 展开更多
关键词 动态视觉传感器 手势识别 多维投影 时空事件帧 脉冲神经网络
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基于混合因果逻辑的化工园区雷击储罐风险评估
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作者 杨震 梁峻铭 +1 位作者 郭梨 董晓斌 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第9期174-182,共9页
沿海化工园区的雷击事故时有发生,对园区生产安全构成严重威胁。为评估化工园区雷击储罐引发的Natech事故,提出一种基于混合因果逻辑(HCL)的风险评估方法。首先,采用事件序列图(ESD)和故障树分析法(FTA),定性分析雷击储罐导致Natech事... 沿海化工园区的雷击事故时有发生,对园区生产安全构成严重威胁。为评估化工园区雷击储罐引发的Natech事故,提出一种基于混合因果逻辑(HCL)的风险评估方法。首先,采用事件序列图(ESD)和故障树分析法(FTA),定性分析雷击储罐导致Natech事故的演化路径,为阻断事故传递过程提供可视化基础;其次,采用贝叶斯网络(BN)定量解算人因失误概率,评估雷击储罐事故的混合因果关系;最后,采用混合因果逻辑方法,实现可视化解构雷击储罐Natech事故的复杂性和不确定性。研究结果表明:决策失误是人因失误模型的首要风险源;组织氛围、心理状态、工作环境不佳及监管不力是导致人因失误频繁的主要因素;防雷设施有效性缺失是雷击储罐事故链的诱因;降低风险场景的严重性需要重点加强对全液面火灾和池火灾的管控。 展开更多
关键词 混合因果逻辑(HCL) 化工园区 雷击储罐 风险评估 贝叶斯网络(BN) 事件序列图(ESD)
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基于多模态神经网络的微地震事件检测
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作者 张岩 刘小秋 +2 位作者 王海潮 宋利伟 董宏丽 《石油物探》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期790-806,共17页
针对微地震有效信号时序特征存在的局限导致微地震事件识别准确率不高的问题,提出了一种基于多模态学习的神经网络微地震事件检测方法。首先,利用道集数据的相关性以目标道为轴对称制作多道时域模态,对目标道进行时频分析得到S域模态特... 针对微地震有效信号时序特征存在的局限导致微地震事件识别准确率不高的问题,提出了一种基于多模态学习的神经网络微地震事件检测方法。首先,利用道集数据的相关性以目标道为轴对称制作多道时域模态,对目标道进行时频分析得到S域模态特征;然后,联合时域模态和S域模态设计微地震事件检测神经网络,综合多模态的特征进行训练学习,提高微地震事件识别的精度;最后,为验证方法的有效性,对合成微地震信号进行低信噪比数据分析、小幅值数据分析以及实际油井微地震监测信号事件分析。结果表明,该方法可以有效检测低信噪比及微弱的微地震事件;与支持向量机、卷积神经网络、基于监督机器学习方法的对比实验结果表明该方法具有更高的抗噪性与准确率。 展开更多
关键词 微地震 事件检测 拉普拉斯变换 多模态网络 时频谱 道集数据相关性
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中国商品期货尾部风险及其决定性因素
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作者 叶五一 刘巍巍 郭冉冉 《华南理工大学学报(社会科学版)》 2024年第2期46-61,共16页
近年来,中国商品期货市场快速发展,识别和化解商品期货市场的金融风险成为防范系统性金融风险的重要内容。采用2012年1月至2022年3月间活跃交易的20种商品期货数据,基于可判定系统性风险决定因素的尾部事件驱动的网络模型方法构建中国... 近年来,中国商品期货市场快速发展,识别和化解商品期货市场的金融风险成为防范系统性金融风险的重要内容。采用2012年1月至2022年3月间活跃交易的20种商品期货数据,基于可判定系统性风险决定因素的尾部事件驱动的网络模型方法构建中国商品期货市场的尾部风险溢出网络,分析了商品期货市场中尾部风险的决定因素。研究发现:商品期货市场的整体风险水平在危机期间呈现上升趋势;所有商品类别中,农产品是影响中国商品期货市场稳定最重要的品种;商品期货间明显存在同一类别聚集效应,跨商品类别间的溢出则主要出现在危机期间;资金流动性和过度投机是中国商品期货市场尾部风险变动的关键性因素。因此,要高度重视并持续监测商品期货的风险溢出效应,提高对投机性期货交易的监控能力,提升商品市场稳定性和应对风险冲击的抵御能力,坚决防止系统性金融风险的发生。 展开更多
关键词 商品期货 溢出网络 极端风险事件 TENET-DSR模型
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