Objective Brain metastases significantly impact the clinical course of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).This study aimed to examine the age-related incidence,demographics,and survival of patients with HCC a...Objective Brain metastases significantly impact the clinical course of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).This study aimed to examine the age-related incidence,demographics,and survival of patients with HCC and brain metastases.Methods Data of HCC patients from 2010 to 2015 in the Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results(SEER)Registry were screened for the presence of brain metastases.They were stratified by age and ethnicity.Multivariable logistic and Cox regression analyses were used to identify factors associated with brain metastases and those with overall survival(OS)and liver cancer-specific survival(CSS),respectively.Results A total of 141 HCC patients presenting with brain metastases were identified,accounting for 0.35% of all HCC patients and 2.37% of patients with metastatic disease.Among all HCC patients,the incidence rate was the highest among patients aged 30-49 years old(0.47%).Ethnicity was not associated with the presence of brain metastases at the time of HCC diagnosis.However,African-American patients presented with a significantly lower disease-specific survival[median time:1 month;interquartile range(IQR):0-3.0 months].Initial lung or bone metastasis was independently associated with an increased risk of the presence of brain metastases[odds ratio(OR):12.62,95% confidence interval(CI):8.40-18.97]but was not associated with a worse OS or CSS among those with brain metastases.Conclusion This study identified the age-related incidence and risk factors of brain metastases in HCC patients.These results may contribute to the consideration of brain screening among patients with initial metastatic HCC with lung or bone metastases,and influence the counseling of this patient population regarding their prognosis.展开更多
The Fabry–Perot(FP) resonant cavity is widely used in laser and spectroscopic measurements due to its unique interference transfer function(ITF). In the ideal case of parallel incident light, the ITF of the FP resona...The Fabry–Perot(FP) resonant cavity is widely used in laser and spectroscopic measurements due to its unique interference transfer function(ITF). In the ideal case of parallel incident light, the ITF of the FP resonant cavity can be expressed by the Airy function. However, in reality, it is difficult to achieve perfect parallelism with collimated beams. In this article, a theoretical model is established for non-parallel light incidence, which assumes that the non-parallel incident light is a cone-shaped beam, and the cone angle is used to quantify the non-parallelism of the beam. The transmittance function of the FP resonant cavity under non-parallel light incidence is derived. The accuracy of the model is experimentally verified. Based on this model, the effects of divergence angle, tilt angle and FP cavity parameters(reflectivity, cavity length)on the ITF are studied. The reasons for the decrease in peak value, broadening and asymmetry of the interference peak under non-parallel light incidence are explained. It is suggested that a fine balance between the interference peak and the collimation effect of the incident light should be considered in the design and application of FP resonant cavities, especially for tilted applications such as angle-scanned spectroscopy. The research results of this article have certain significance for the design and application of FP resonant cavities.展开更多
Introduction: Acute rheumatic fever (AAR) is a non-suppurative complication of late infection by group A. Infections due to streptococci remain a public health problem in the Central African Republic. The present stud...Introduction: Acute rheumatic fever (AAR) is a non-suppurative complication of late infection by group A. Infections due to streptococci remain a public health problem in the Central African Republic. The present study aims to determine the incidence rate of AAR cases and its complications. Methodology: This was a retrospective and analytical study over a period of 4 years (from January 2015 to December 2018) at the National Laboratory of Clinical Biology and Public Health (LNBCSP) in Bangui. It focused on samples concerning the diagnosis of AAR and patient files seen in consultation in the capital’s reference health establishments. Laboratory registers and patient consultation files were used to collect data. They were entered into Excel 2010 to be analyzed with Epi Info 7. A univariate analysis by logistic regression, Ficher’s exact test, and chi<sup>2</sup> at the 5% threshold (p Results: We analyzed 94 cases meeting Jones’s criteria. The ages of the patients ranged from 18 to 85 years (mean age 52 years and mode 45 years). The incidence rate of AAR for the female sex was higher than that of the male sex during the study period (p > 0.05). It went from 166.6 in 2015 to 200 in 2016 and 2018 cases of AAR per 1000 people per year. The average incidence rate was 296.18 cases of AAR per 1000 people per year. The average incidence rate was 223.5 cases of AAR per 1000 people per year for joint damage. Joint damage represented 80.85% (RR = 0.62;Chi<sup>2</sup> = 4.88;95% CI [0.39-0.97];p Conclusion: The study allowed data on the impact rate and complications of the AAR in Bangui. Special attention to data management will help produce a complete result on the problem. Joint complications predominated. Sustaining an effective surveillance system and preventing infection would help reduce the risk of AAR occurrence.展开更多
The inhomogeneous sound speed in seawater causes refraction of sound waves,and the elimination of the refraction effect is essential to the accuracy of underwater acoustic positioning.The raytracing method is an indis...The inhomogeneous sound speed in seawater causes refraction of sound waves,and the elimination of the refraction effect is essential to the accuracy of underwater acoustic positioning.The raytracing method is an indispensable tool for effectively handling problems.However,this method has a conflict between localization accuracy and computational quantity.The equivalent sound speed profile(ESSP)method uses a simple sound speed profile(SSP)instead of the actual complex SSP,which can improve positioning precision but with residual error.The residual error is especially non-negligible in deep water and at large beam incidence angles.By analyzing the residual error of the ESSP method through a simulation,an empirical formula of error is presented.The data collected in the sailing circle mode(large incidence angle)of the South China Sea are used for verification.The experiments show that compared to the ESSP method,the improved algorithm has higher positioning precision and is more efficient than the ray-tracing method.展开更多
BACKGROUND Chronic pancreatitis(CP)is a fibroinflammatory syndrome leading to reduced quality of life and shortened life expectancy.Population-based estimates of the incidence,prevalence,and comorbidities of CP in Chi...BACKGROUND Chronic pancreatitis(CP)is a fibroinflammatory syndrome leading to reduced quality of life and shortened life expectancy.Population-based estimates of the incidence,prevalence,and comorbidities of CP in China are scarce.AIM To characterize the incidence,prevalence,and comorbidities of CP in Sichuan Province,China,with population-based data.METHODS Data on CP from 2015 to 2021 were obtained from the Health Information Center of Sichuan Province.During the study period,a total of 38090 individuals were diagnosed with CP in Sichuan Province.The yearly incidence rate and point prevalence rate(December 31,2021)of CP were calculated.The prevalence of comorbid conditions in CP patients was estimated.The annual number of CPrelated hospitalizations,hospital length of stay,and hospitalization costs for CP were evaluated.Yearly incidence rates were standardized for age by the direct method using the permanent population of Sichuan Province in the 2020 census as the standard population.An analysis of variance test for the linearity of scaled variables and the Cochran-Armitage trend test for categorical data were performed to investigate the yearly trends,and a two-sided test with P<0.05 was considered statistically significant.RESULTS The 38090 CP patients comprised 23280 males and 14810 females.The mean age of patients at CP diagnosis was 57.83 years,with male patients(55.87 years)being younger than female patients(60.11 years)(P<0.001).The mean incidence rate of CP during the study period was 6.81 per 100000 person-years,and the incidence of CP increased each year,from 4.03 per 100000 person-years in 2015 to 8.27 per 100000 person-years in 2021(P<0.001).The point prevalence rate of CP in 2021 was 45.52 per 100000 individuals for the total population,with rates of 55.04 per 100000 individuals for men and 35.78 per 100000 individuals for women(P<0.001).Individuals aged 65 years or older had the highest prevalence of CP(113.38 per 100000 individuals)(P<0.001).Diabetes(26.32%)was the most common comorbidity in CP patients.The number of CP-related hospitalizations increased from 3739 in 2015 to 11009 in 2021.The total costs for CP-related hospitalizations for CP patients over the study period were 667.96 million yuan,with an average of 17538 yuan per patient.CONCLUSION The yearly incidence of CP is increasing,and the overall CP hospitalization cost has increased by 1.4 times during the last 7 years,indicating that CP remains a heavy health burden.展开更多
Objective To evaluate the trend of notified incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis(PTB)in China at different periods by population and region and to explore the effect of TB prevention and control in recent years.Methods...Objective To evaluate the trend of notified incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis(PTB)in China at different periods by population and region and to explore the effect of TB prevention and control in recent years.Methods Using pooled data on TB cases reported by the TB Information Management Reporting System(TBIMS)from 2005 to 2020,we calculated the annual percentage change(APC)using the Joinpoint regression model.Results From 2005 to 2020,a total of 16.2 million cases of PTB were reported in China,with an average notified incidence of 75.5 per 100,000 population.The age standardization rate(ASR)continued to decline from 116.9(/100,000)in 2005 to 47.6(/100,000)in 2020,with an average annual decrease of5.6%[APC=-5.6,95%confidence interval(CI):-7.0 to-4.2].The smallest decline occurred in2011–2018(APC=-3.4,95%CI:-4.6 to-2.3)and the largest decrease in 2018–2020(APC=-9.2,95%CI:-16.4 to-1.3).From 2005 to 2020,the ASR in males(159.8 per 100,000 in 2005,72.0 per 100,000 in2020)was higher than that in females(62.2 per 100,000 in 2005,32.3 per 100,000 in 2020),with an average annual decline of 6.0%for male and 4.9%for female.The average notified incidence was the highest among older adults(65 years and over)(182.3/100,000),with an average annual decline of6.4%;children(0–14 years)were the lowest(4.8/100,000),with an average annual decline of 7.3%,but a significant increase of 3.3%between 2014 and 2020(APC=3.3,95%CI:1.4 to 5.2);middle-aged(35–64years)decreased by 5.8%;and youth(15–34 years)decreased by an average annual rate of 4.2%.The average ASR in rural areas(81.3/100,000)is higher than that in urban areas(76.1/100,000).The average annual decline in rural areas was 4.5%and 6.3%in urban areas.South China had the highest average ASR(103.2/100,000),with an average annual decline of 5.9%,while North China had the lowest(56.5/100,000),with an average annual decline of 5.9%.The average ASR in the southwest was 95.3(/100,000),with the smallest annual decline(APC=-4.5,95%CI:-5.5 to-3.5);the average ASR in the Northwest China was 100.1(/100,000),with the largest annual decline(APC=-6.4,95%CI:-10.0 to-2.7);Central,Northeastern,and Eastern China declined by an average of 5.2%,6.2%,and 6.1%per year,respectively.Conclusions From 2005 to 2020,the notified incidence of PTB in China continued to decline,falling by55%.For high-risk groups such as males,older adults,high-burden areas in South,Southwest,and Northwest China,and rural regions,proactive screening should be strengthened to provide timely and effective anti-TB treatment and patient management services for confirmed cases.There is also a necessity to be vigilant about the upward trend of children in recent years,the specific reasons for which need to be further studied.展开更多
Hypertriglyceridemia is a well-recognized etiology of acute pancreatitis,and the incidence of hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis(HTG-AP)has increased in frequency worldwide in response to lifestyle changes.It is ...Hypertriglyceridemia is a well-recognized etiology of acute pancreatitis,and the incidence of hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis(HTG-AP)has increased in frequency worldwide in response to lifestyle changes.It is crucial to identify hypertriglyceridemia as the cause of pancreatitis and initiate appropriate treatment.Insulin treatment produces effective lowering of triglycerides,but in our opinion,non-diabetic patients with HTG-AP require separate consideration to avoid hypoglycemia.展开更多
AIM:To estimate and compare the incidence and characteristics of rhegmatogenous retinal detachments(RRDs)in the Wenzhou area in 2015 to 2019.METHODS:All newly developed RRD cases among residents of the Wenzhou area,fr...AIM:To estimate and compare the incidence and characteristics of rhegmatogenous retinal detachments(RRDs)in the Wenzhou area in 2015 to 2019.METHODS:All newly developed RRD cases among residents of the Wenzhou area,from January 2015 to December 2019,were retrospectively retrieved from hospital records.Annual population data were extracted from the Wenzhou Statistical Yearbook.RESULTS:There were 3629 eligible cases.The average incidence of RRD was 7.79 cases per 100000 population(95%confidence interval,7.24-8.34),and the incidences were 7.99 and 7.56 for males and females,respectively.The annual incidence increased gradually from 7.26 cases per 100000 in 2015 to 10.00 cases per 100000 in 2019,with an overall increase of 37.74%.The highest rate of increase occurred in the age group from 60 to 69 years.Of 2750 eyes with axial length(AL)data,1675(60.91%)had an AL greater than 24 mm.CONCLUSION:A trend to increasing RRD incidence is observed in the Wenzhou area over the past 5-year period.展开更多
Taman Saujana Hijau(TSH),Putrajaya is a 41-ha urban park planted with various coniferous species from around the world.Insect pests and disease incidences of this park are unknown and there is a need for an evaluation...Taman Saujana Hijau(TSH),Putrajaya is a 41-ha urban park planted with various coniferous species from around the world.Insect pests and disease incidences of this park are unknown and there is a need for an evaluation of the health status of this urban park.This study assessed the level of pest and disease incidents of coniferous species in 12 plots of 7 species(Araucaria bidwilii,Araucaria haterophylla,Araucaria cunninghamii,Pinus caribaea,Pinus merkusii,Podocarpus polystachyus,and Podocarpus costalis).Termites,canker disease,and foliar disease are three major problems.The highest pest and disease incidence(PnDI)was foliar disease with a 0.49 coefficient correlation between the total number of trees and the PnDI,followed by canker disease with 0.40,and termites with 0.36.Of the seven conifers,A.haterophylla was the most infected followed by A.bidwilii and A.cunninghamii.It was concluded that the incidence of pests and diseases in TSH was moderate.To our knowledge,this may be the first baseline inventory of pests and diseases of coniferous species in Malaysia.展开更多
Objective To determine incidence and risk factors for venous thromboembolism(VTE)development of in-hospital VTE in urological inpatients who underwent non-oncological surgery in a tertiary hospital in China.Methods Co...Objective To determine incidence and risk factors for venous thromboembolism(VTE)development of in-hospital VTE in urological inpatients who underwent non-oncological surgery in a tertiary hospital in China.Methods Consecutive 1453 inpatients who were admitted to a non-oncological urological ward in the tertiary hospital from January 1,2018 to December 31,2018 were enrolled in the study,and the VTE events were diagnosed by ultrasound or computed tomographic pulmonary angiography.Patients’occurrence of VTE and characteristics which may contribute to the development of VTE were collected and analyzed as incidence and risk factors.Results The incidence of VTE in non-oncological urological inpatients is 2.3%.In our cohort,patients who experienced previous VTE(adjusted odds ratios[aOR]14.272,95%CI 3.620-56.275),taking anticoagulants or antiplatelet agents before admission(aOR 10.181,95%CI 2.453-42.256),D-dimer(max)≥1μg/mL(aOR 22.456,95%CI 6.468-77.967),lower extremity swelling(aOR 10.264,95%CI 2.242-46.994),chest symptoms(aOR 79.182,95%CI 7.132-879.076),operation time of more than or equal to 180 min(aOR 10.690,95%CI 1.356-84.300),and Caprini score(max)of more than or equal to 5(aOR 34.241,95%CI 1.831-640.235)were considered as risk factors for VTE.Conclusion In this study,we found that the incidence of VTE in non-oncological surgery was about 2.3%,which was higher than some previous studies.Risk factors could be used for early detection and diagnosis of VTE.展开更多
Background:Pancreatic cysts are common.However,most studies are based on data collected from individual centers.The present study aimed to evaluate the changes of management patterns for pancreatic cystic lesions(PCLs...Background:Pancreatic cysts are common.However,most studies are based on data collected from individual centers.The present study aimed to evaluate the changes of management patterns for pancreatic cystic lesions(PCLs)by analyzing large epidemiologic data.Methods:Between January 2007 and December 2018,information regarding pancreatic cystic lesions was acquired from the nationwide Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service database in Korea.Results:The final number of patients with pancreatic cysts was 165277 among the total claims for reimbursement of 855983 associated with PCLs over 12 years.The total number of claims were increased from 19453 in 2007 to 155842 in 2018 and the prevalence increased from 0.04%to 0.23%.For 12 years,2874(1.7%)had pancreatic cancer and 8212(5.0%)underwent surgery,and 36 had surgery for twice(total 8248 pancreatectomy).After ruling out claims from the first 3 years of washout period,the incidence increased from 9891 to 24651 and the crude incidence rate of PCLs expanded from 19.96 per 100000 to 47.77 per 100000.Compared to specific neoplasm codes(D136 or D377),the use of pancreatic cyst code(K862)has been remarkably increased and the most common since 2010.The annual number of pancreatectomies increased from 518 to 861 between 2007 and 2012,and decreased to 596 until 2018.The percentage of pancreatic cancer in patients who received pancreatectomy increased from 5.6%in 2007 to 11.7%in 2018.Conclusions:The incidence of PCLs is rapidly increasing.Among PCLs,indeterminate cyst is increasing outstandingly.A trend of decreasing in the number of resections and increasing cancer rates among resected cysts may be attributed to the updated international guidelines.展开更多
On the multilingual online social networks of global information sharing,the wanton spread of rumors has an enormous negative impact on people's lives.Thus,it is essential to explore the rumor-spreading rules in m...On the multilingual online social networks of global information sharing,the wanton spread of rumors has an enormous negative impact on people's lives.Thus,it is essential to explore the rumor-spreading rules in multilingual environment and formulate corresponding control strategies to reduce the harm caused by rumor propagation.In this paper,considering the multilingual environment and intervention mechanism in the rumor-spreading process,an improved ignorants–spreaders-1–spreaders-2–removers(I2SR)rumor-spreading model with time delay and the nonlinear incidence is established in heterogeneous networks.Firstly,based on the mean-field equations corresponding to the model,the basic reproduction number is derived to ensure the existence of rumor-spreading equilibrium.Secondly,by applying Lyapunov stability theory and graph theory,the global stability of rumor-spreading equilibrium is analyzed in detail.In particular,aiming at the lowest control cost,the optimal control scheme is designed to optimize the intervention mechanism,and the optimal control conditions are derived using the Pontryagin's minimum principle.Finally,some illustrative examples are provided to verify the effectiveness of the theoretical results.The results show that optimizing the intervention mechanism can effectively reduce the densities of spreaders-1 and spreaders-2 within the expected time,which provides guiding insights for public opinion managers to control rumors.展开更多
Objective This study was to examine the relationship between socioeconomic status and the incidence and mortality of non-Hodgkin lymphoma(NHL).Methods We compared the age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR),age-standard...Objective This study was to examine the relationship between socioeconomic status and the incidence and mortality of non-Hodgkin lymphoma(NHL).Methods We compared the age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR),age-standardized mortality rate(ASMR),and the ASMR to ASIR ratio(MIR)at national and regional levels and studied the correlation between the MIR and the human development index(HDI)in 2012 and 2018.Results The highest ASIR was in North America in 2012 and in Australia in 2018,and the lowest ASIR was in Central and South Asia in both 2012 and 2018.The highest ASMR was in North Africa in both 2012 and 2018,and the lowest ASMR was in Eastern Asia and South-Central Asia in 2012 and in South-Central Asia in 2018.The lowest MIR was in Australia in both 2012 and 2018,and the highest MIR was in Western Africa in both 2012 and 2018.HDI was strongly negatively correlated with MIR(r:−0.8810,P<0.0001,2012;r:−0.8895,P<0.0001,2018).Compared to the 2012 data,the MIR in the intermediate HDI countries significantly deceased and the HDI in low and high HDI countries significantly increased in 2018.Conclusion The MIR is negatively correlated with HDI.Increasing the HDI in low and intermediate HDI countries may reduce the MIR and increase the survival of patients with NHL.展开更多
Objective:To investigate the trend of animal bites in southern Iran from 2015 to 2019.Methods:This is a cross-sectional study of patients with animal bites who were referred to the Center for Disease Control in the th...Objective:To investigate the trend of animal bites in southern Iran from 2015 to 2019.Methods:This is a cross-sectional study of patients with animal bites who were referred to the Center for Disease Control in the three cities of Larestan,Evaz,and Khonj in Fars province,southern Iran from 2015 to 2019.The trend of animal bites incidence was analyzed using the Cochran-Armitage trend test.Results:In total,from 2015 to 2019,1944 cases of animal bites were reported.A total of 79.8%of the cases were men.The overall average incidence of animal bites was 142.93 per 100000 people.The incidence of animal bites was significantly increased(Ptrend<0.001).The highest incidence was in November(79.04 per 100000 people)followed by January(76.1 per 100000 people)and February(69.48 per 100000 people);also,the lowest incidence was in August(47.42 per 100000 people)and July(50.0 per 100000 people).Conclusions:The incidence of animal bites has significantly increased.Given the importance of rabies,control and management of animal bites should be emphasized and considered.展开更多
BACKGROUND Epidemiological surveys on heart failure(HF)in Chinese community are relatively lacking.This study aimed to estimate the prevalence and incidence of HF among community residents in southern China.METHODS Ba...BACKGROUND Epidemiological surveys on heart failure(HF)in Chinese community are relatively lacking.This study aimed to estimate the prevalence and incidence of HF among community residents in southern China.METHODS Baseline data of this prospective study was collected from 2015 to 2017 among 12,013 permanent residents aged≥35years in Guangzhou,China.The same survey process was carried out for individuals aged≥65 years after a three-year follow-up.RESULTS The overall prevalence of HF in community residents aged≥35 years was 1.06%.Male had significantly higher risk of HF prevalence[odds ratio(OR)=1.50,P=0.027].The gender-adjusted risk of HF was 1.48 times higher per 10 years aging.HF prevalence was statistically associated with atrial fibrillation,valvular heart disease,hypertension and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease after adjusting for age and gender(OR=8.30,5.17,1.11,2.28,respectively;all P<0.05).HF incidence in individuals aged≥65 years were 847 per 100,000 person-years.Baseline atrial fibrillation,valvular heart disease,and diabetes mellitus were risk factors for HF incidence for individuals aged≥65 years adjusting for age and gender(OR=5.05,3.99,2.11,respectively;all P<0.05).Besides,residents with new-onset atrial fibrillation and myocardial infarction were at significantly higher risk of progression to HF(OR=14.41,8.54,respectively;all P<0.05).CONCLUSIONS Both pre-existing and new-onset cardiovascular diseases were associated with HF incidence in southern China.Management of related cardiovascular diseases may be helpful to reduce the incidence of HF.展开更多
This study proposes a wind farm active power dispatching(WFAPD) algorithm based on the grey incidence method, which does not rely on an accurate mathematical model of wind turbines. Based on the wind turbine start-sto...This study proposes a wind farm active power dispatching(WFAPD) algorithm based on the grey incidence method, which does not rely on an accurate mathematical model of wind turbines. Based on the wind turbine start-stop data at different wind speeds, the weighting coefficients, which are the participation degrees of a variable speed system and a variable pitch system in power regulation, are obtained using the grey incidence method. The incidence coefficient curve is fitted by the B-spline function at a full range of wind speeds, and the power regulation capacity of all wind turbines is obtained. Finally, the WFAPD algorithm, which is based on the regulating capacity of each wind turbine, is compared with the wind speed weighting power dispatching(WSWPD) algorithm in MATLAB. The simulation results show that the active power fluctuation of the wind farm is smaller, the rotating speed of wind turbines is smoother, and the fatigue load of highspeed turbines is effectively reduced.展开更多
Lamb morbidity and mortality cause significant loss in a smallholder production system. A longitudinal prospectivesurvey was conducted on 408 randomly selected farmers located in six purposefully selected kebeles in G...Lamb morbidity and mortality cause significant loss in a smallholder production system. A longitudinal prospectivesurvey was conducted on 408 randomly selected farmers located in six purposefully selected kebeles in Gewataworeda from June 2020 to July 2021 to determine the incidence of morbidity and mortality in lambs and to identifyrisk factors. For this purpose, 408 lambs from the Gewata district’s mixed crop-livestock production system wereexamined every day from birth to three months of age. The data was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier (K-M) method,the log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards regression. Results showed that the cumulative incidence of allcauseof morbidity and mortality at the end of three month was 12.86% (95% CI: 10.26–16.13%), and 6.86% (95% CI:5.03–9.35%), respectively. Diarrhea was the leading cause of morbidity and mortality, accounting for 49.33 and 50%morbidity and mortality, respectively. Pneumonia was the second most frequent cause of morbidity and death. In theK-M hazard analysis, the greatest risk of lamb morbidity and mortality was observed during the first month of life, andthen the risk decreased significantly as the lamb grew. Of the 17 potential risk factors studied, the multivariable Coxproportional hazards regression model showed that lamb sex, birth weight, umbilical care, time and method of colostrumfeeding were the five predictors that were significantly associated with a higher risk of morbidity, whereas birthweight, lambing difficulty, dams’ parity, method and time of colostrum feeding were the five predictors that weresignificantly associated with a higher risk of mortality. Moreover, a higher risk of morbidity was observed in lambswith methods of colostrum feeding after birth (HR = 3.158;p = 0.000) and with variations in birth weight (HR = 1.418;p = 0.003). Similarly, the mortality risk was 4.926 (p = 0.047), 4.023 (p = 0.012), and 3.206 (p = 0.000) times higher inlambs with lambing difficulties, at the time of colostrum feeding, and by the method of colostrum feeding, respectively.According to this research, lamb morbidity and mortality rates in the study area are significantly high whichhas a great impact on the replacement stock and production. Hence, awareness should be created among farmersconcerning improved lamb management practices.展开更多
Mathematical modelling has been extensively used to measure intervention strategies for the control of contagious conditions.Alignment between different models is pivotal for furnishing strong substantiation for polic...Mathematical modelling has been extensively used to measure intervention strategies for the control of contagious conditions.Alignment between different models is pivotal for furnishing strong substantiation for policymakers because the differences in model features can impact their prognostications.Mathematical modelling has been widely used in order to better understand the transmission,treatment,and prevention of infectious diseases.Herein,we study the dynamics of a human immunodeficiency virus(HIV)infection model with four variables:S(t),I(t),C(t),and A(t)the susceptible individuals;HIV infected individuals(with no clinical symptoms of AIDS);HIV infected individuals(under ART with a viral load remaining low),and HIV infected individuals with two different incidence functions(bilinear and saturated incidence functions).A novel numerical scheme called the continuous Galerkin-Petrov method is implemented for the solution of themodel.The influence of different clinical parameters on the dynamical behavior of S(t),I(t),C(t)and A(t)is described and analyzed.All the results are depicted graphically.On the other hand,we explore the time-dependent movement of nanofluid in porous media on an extending sheet under the influence of thermal radiation,heat flux,hall impact,variable heat source,and nanomaterial.The flow is considered to be 2D,boundary layer,viscous,incompressible,laminar,and unsteady.Sufficient transformations turn governing connected PDEs intoODEs,which are solved using the proposed scheme.To justify the envisaged problem,a comparison of the current work with previous literature is presented.展开更多
Bovine tuberculosis(bTB)is a chronic zoonotic disease that is endemic in China.Current in-vitro tests for bTB are mainly based on blood assays.Collection of samples results in some stress to the sampled cattle and ass...Bovine tuberculosis(bTB)is a chronic zoonotic disease that is endemic in China.Current in-vitro tests for bTB are mainly based on blood assays.Collection of samples results in some stress to the sampled cattle and associated economic losses for the herd owner.This study was designed to investigate the relationship between milk and serum antibody tests for bTB in dairy cows using 85 cows with milk and corresponding blood samples.Totally 4,395 milk samples were used to assesse the apparent(test)prevalence and incidence of bTB using the milk antibody ELISA.The association between levels of bTB milk antibody and milk quality was also evaluated.Milk and serum antibody tests showed a good correlation with a 87.5%(95%CI:61.7%,98.4)positive agreement and 98.7%(95%CI:95.4,99.8)negative agreement.The animal level lactoprevalence ranged from 0.3%(95%CI:0,1.2)to 33.3%(95%CI:26.6,40.6)in different farms and the incidence rate ranged from 0 head/cow-month(95%CI:0,0.02)to 0.04 head/cow-month(95%CI:0.02,0.07).Twenty percent of sampled farms met the criteria for bTB control in China.The prevalence on large-scale farms was lower(p<0.001)than on small farms.The bTB milk antibody levels had a negative correlation with milk yield and a positive correlation with somatic cell count(SCC),milk protein percentage(MPP)and percentage of total solids(TS).According to this research,milk ELISA could be used as a supplement of blood samples to assist in the surveillance for bTB and for alerting control and eradication of bTB.展开更多
BACKGROUND Esophageal carcinoma presents as 2 types,esophageal adenocarcinoma(EAC)and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma(ESCC)with the frequency of both changing in the United States(US).AIM To investigate EAC/ESCC in...BACKGROUND Esophageal carcinoma presents as 2 types,esophageal adenocarcinoma(EAC)and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma(ESCC)with the frequency of both changing in the United States(US).AIM To investigate EAC/ESCC incidence time trends among the 3 main US racial groups and investigate trends in US EAC survival by ethnicity.METHODS Twenty-five years(1992-2016)of data from SEER 13 program was analyzed to compare incidence trends in EAC and ESCC between non-Hispanic whites(nHW),non-Hispanic Blacks(nHB)and Hispanics(Hisp)using SEERStat®.In addition,SEER 18 data,from 1975-2015,on EAC in the US was analyzed to evaluate racial disparities in incidence and survival using SEERStat®and Ederer II method.RESULTS In the 3 major US ethnic groups,age-adjusted incidence of ESCC has declined while EAC has continued to rise from 1992-2016.Of note,in Hisp,the EAC incidence rate increased while ESCC decreased from 1992 to 2016,resulting in EAC as the predominant esophageal cancer subtype in this group since 2011,joining nHW.Furthermore,although ESCC remains the predominant tumor in nHB,the difference between ESCC and EAC has narrowed dramatically over 25 years.EAC survival probabilities were worse in all minority groups compared to nHw.CONCLUSION Hisp have joined nHW as US ethnic groups more likely to have EAC than ESCC.Of note,EAC incidence in nHB is increasing at the highest rate nationally.Despite lower EAC incidence in all minority groups compared to nHW,these populations have decreased survival compared to nHW.展开更多
文摘Objective Brain metastases significantly impact the clinical course of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).This study aimed to examine the age-related incidence,demographics,and survival of patients with HCC and brain metastases.Methods Data of HCC patients from 2010 to 2015 in the Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results(SEER)Registry were screened for the presence of brain metastases.They were stratified by age and ethnicity.Multivariable logistic and Cox regression analyses were used to identify factors associated with brain metastases and those with overall survival(OS)and liver cancer-specific survival(CSS),respectively.Results A total of 141 HCC patients presenting with brain metastases were identified,accounting for 0.35% of all HCC patients and 2.37% of patients with metastatic disease.Among all HCC patients,the incidence rate was the highest among patients aged 30-49 years old(0.47%).Ethnicity was not associated with the presence of brain metastases at the time of HCC diagnosis.However,African-American patients presented with a significantly lower disease-specific survival[median time:1 month;interquartile range(IQR):0-3.0 months].Initial lung or bone metastasis was independently associated with an increased risk of the presence of brain metastases[odds ratio(OR):12.62,95% confidence interval(CI):8.40-18.97]but was not associated with a worse OS or CSS among those with brain metastases.Conclusion This study identified the age-related incidence and risk factors of brain metastases in HCC patients.These results may contribute to the consideration of brain screening among patients with initial metastatic HCC with lung or bone metastases,and influence the counseling of this patient population regarding their prognosis.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.U19A2044)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.41975037)the Key Technologies Research and Development Program of Anhui Province (Grant No.202004i07020013)。
文摘The Fabry–Perot(FP) resonant cavity is widely used in laser and spectroscopic measurements due to its unique interference transfer function(ITF). In the ideal case of parallel incident light, the ITF of the FP resonant cavity can be expressed by the Airy function. However, in reality, it is difficult to achieve perfect parallelism with collimated beams. In this article, a theoretical model is established for non-parallel light incidence, which assumes that the non-parallel incident light is a cone-shaped beam, and the cone angle is used to quantify the non-parallelism of the beam. The transmittance function of the FP resonant cavity under non-parallel light incidence is derived. The accuracy of the model is experimentally verified. Based on this model, the effects of divergence angle, tilt angle and FP cavity parameters(reflectivity, cavity length)on the ITF are studied. The reasons for the decrease in peak value, broadening and asymmetry of the interference peak under non-parallel light incidence are explained. It is suggested that a fine balance between the interference peak and the collimation effect of the incident light should be considered in the design and application of FP resonant cavities, especially for tilted applications such as angle-scanned spectroscopy. The research results of this article have certain significance for the design and application of FP resonant cavities.
文摘Introduction: Acute rheumatic fever (AAR) is a non-suppurative complication of late infection by group A. Infections due to streptococci remain a public health problem in the Central African Republic. The present study aims to determine the incidence rate of AAR cases and its complications. Methodology: This was a retrospective and analytical study over a period of 4 years (from January 2015 to December 2018) at the National Laboratory of Clinical Biology and Public Health (LNBCSP) in Bangui. It focused on samples concerning the diagnosis of AAR and patient files seen in consultation in the capital’s reference health establishments. Laboratory registers and patient consultation files were used to collect data. They were entered into Excel 2010 to be analyzed with Epi Info 7. A univariate analysis by logistic regression, Ficher’s exact test, and chi<sup>2</sup> at the 5% threshold (p Results: We analyzed 94 cases meeting Jones’s criteria. The ages of the patients ranged from 18 to 85 years (mean age 52 years and mode 45 years). The incidence rate of AAR for the female sex was higher than that of the male sex during the study period (p > 0.05). It went from 166.6 in 2015 to 200 in 2016 and 2018 cases of AAR per 1000 people per year. The average incidence rate was 296.18 cases of AAR per 1000 people per year. The average incidence rate was 223.5 cases of AAR per 1000 people per year for joint damage. Joint damage represented 80.85% (RR = 0.62;Chi<sup>2</sup> = 4.88;95% CI [0.39-0.97];p Conclusion: The study allowed data on the impact rate and complications of the AAR in Bangui. Special attention to data management will help produce a complete result on the problem. Joint complications predominated. Sustaining an effective surveillance system and preventing infection would help reduce the risk of AAR occurrence.
基金the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province of China(No.ZR2022MA051)the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(No.2020M670891)the SDUST Research Fund(No.2019TDJH103)。
文摘The inhomogeneous sound speed in seawater causes refraction of sound waves,and the elimination of the refraction effect is essential to the accuracy of underwater acoustic positioning.The raytracing method is an indispensable tool for effectively handling problems.However,this method has a conflict between localization accuracy and computational quantity.The equivalent sound speed profile(ESSP)method uses a simple sound speed profile(SSP)instead of the actual complex SSP,which can improve positioning precision but with residual error.The residual error is especially non-negligible in deep water and at large beam incidence angles.By analyzing the residual error of the ESSP method through a simulation,an empirical formula of error is presented.The data collected in the sailing circle mode(large incidence angle)of the South China Sea are used for verification.The experiments show that compared to the ESSP method,the improved algorithm has higher positioning precision and is more efficient than the ray-tracing method.
基金the Special Project on“Digital Development of Health”of the Health Information Center of Sichuan Province,China,No.2021ZXKY06007the National Natural Science Fund of China,No.82241054 and 82000613。
文摘BACKGROUND Chronic pancreatitis(CP)is a fibroinflammatory syndrome leading to reduced quality of life and shortened life expectancy.Population-based estimates of the incidence,prevalence,and comorbidities of CP in China are scarce.AIM To characterize the incidence,prevalence,and comorbidities of CP in Sichuan Province,China,with population-based data.METHODS Data on CP from 2015 to 2021 were obtained from the Health Information Center of Sichuan Province.During the study period,a total of 38090 individuals were diagnosed with CP in Sichuan Province.The yearly incidence rate and point prevalence rate(December 31,2021)of CP were calculated.The prevalence of comorbid conditions in CP patients was estimated.The annual number of CPrelated hospitalizations,hospital length of stay,and hospitalization costs for CP were evaluated.Yearly incidence rates were standardized for age by the direct method using the permanent population of Sichuan Province in the 2020 census as the standard population.An analysis of variance test for the linearity of scaled variables and the Cochran-Armitage trend test for categorical data were performed to investigate the yearly trends,and a two-sided test with P<0.05 was considered statistically significant.RESULTS The 38090 CP patients comprised 23280 males and 14810 females.The mean age of patients at CP diagnosis was 57.83 years,with male patients(55.87 years)being younger than female patients(60.11 years)(P<0.001).The mean incidence rate of CP during the study period was 6.81 per 100000 person-years,and the incidence of CP increased each year,from 4.03 per 100000 person-years in 2015 to 8.27 per 100000 person-years in 2021(P<0.001).The point prevalence rate of CP in 2021 was 45.52 per 100000 individuals for the total population,with rates of 55.04 per 100000 individuals for men and 35.78 per 100000 individuals for women(P<0.001).Individuals aged 65 years or older had the highest prevalence of CP(113.38 per 100000 individuals)(P<0.001).Diabetes(26.32%)was the most common comorbidity in CP patients.The number of CP-related hospitalizations increased from 3739 in 2015 to 11009 in 2021.The total costs for CP-related hospitalizations for CP patients over the study period were 667.96 million yuan,with an average of 17538 yuan per patient.CONCLUSION The yearly incidence of CP is increasing,and the overall CP hospitalization cost has increased by 1.4 times during the last 7 years,indicating that CP remains a heavy health burden.
基金supported by China CDC's Public Health and Emergency Response Mechanism Programme[131031001000150001]FIDELIS-Hubei TB Program[No.2004-fid-4-034].
文摘Objective To evaluate the trend of notified incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis(PTB)in China at different periods by population and region and to explore the effect of TB prevention and control in recent years.Methods Using pooled data on TB cases reported by the TB Information Management Reporting System(TBIMS)from 2005 to 2020,we calculated the annual percentage change(APC)using the Joinpoint regression model.Results From 2005 to 2020,a total of 16.2 million cases of PTB were reported in China,with an average notified incidence of 75.5 per 100,000 population.The age standardization rate(ASR)continued to decline from 116.9(/100,000)in 2005 to 47.6(/100,000)in 2020,with an average annual decrease of5.6%[APC=-5.6,95%confidence interval(CI):-7.0 to-4.2].The smallest decline occurred in2011–2018(APC=-3.4,95%CI:-4.6 to-2.3)and the largest decrease in 2018–2020(APC=-9.2,95%CI:-16.4 to-1.3).From 2005 to 2020,the ASR in males(159.8 per 100,000 in 2005,72.0 per 100,000 in2020)was higher than that in females(62.2 per 100,000 in 2005,32.3 per 100,000 in 2020),with an average annual decline of 6.0%for male and 4.9%for female.The average notified incidence was the highest among older adults(65 years and over)(182.3/100,000),with an average annual decline of6.4%;children(0–14 years)were the lowest(4.8/100,000),with an average annual decline of 7.3%,but a significant increase of 3.3%between 2014 and 2020(APC=3.3,95%CI:1.4 to 5.2);middle-aged(35–64years)decreased by 5.8%;and youth(15–34 years)decreased by an average annual rate of 4.2%.The average ASR in rural areas(81.3/100,000)is higher than that in urban areas(76.1/100,000).The average annual decline in rural areas was 4.5%and 6.3%in urban areas.South China had the highest average ASR(103.2/100,000),with an average annual decline of 5.9%,while North China had the lowest(56.5/100,000),with an average annual decline of 5.9%.The average ASR in the southwest was 95.3(/100,000),with the smallest annual decline(APC=-4.5,95%CI:-5.5 to-3.5);the average ASR in the Northwest China was 100.1(/100,000),with the largest annual decline(APC=-6.4,95%CI:-10.0 to-2.7);Central,Northeastern,and Eastern China declined by an average of 5.2%,6.2%,and 6.1%per year,respectively.Conclusions From 2005 to 2020,the notified incidence of PTB in China continued to decline,falling by55%.For high-risk groups such as males,older adults,high-burden areas in South,Southwest,and Northwest China,and rural regions,proactive screening should be strengthened to provide timely and effective anti-TB treatment and patient management services for confirmed cases.There is also a necessity to be vigilant about the upward trend of children in recent years,the specific reasons for which need to be further studied.
文摘Hypertriglyceridemia is a well-recognized etiology of acute pancreatitis,and the incidence of hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis(HTG-AP)has increased in frequency worldwide in response to lifestyle changes.It is crucial to identify hypertriglyceridemia as the cause of pancreatitis and initiate appropriate treatment.Insulin treatment produces effective lowering of triglycerides,but in our opinion,non-diabetic patients with HTG-AP require separate consideration to avoid hypoglycemia.
基金Supported by Zhejiang Provincial Highlevel Health Talents Training Project(No.CZ-RC2022010)Wenzhou Basic Medical and Health Technology Project(No.Y20220779)。
文摘AIM:To estimate and compare the incidence and characteristics of rhegmatogenous retinal detachments(RRDs)in the Wenzhou area in 2015 to 2019.METHODS:All newly developed RRD cases among residents of the Wenzhou area,from January 2015 to December 2019,were retrospectively retrieved from hospital records.Annual population data were extracted from the Wenzhou Statistical Yearbook.RESULTS:There were 3629 eligible cases.The average incidence of RRD was 7.79 cases per 100000 population(95%confidence interval,7.24-8.34),and the incidences were 7.99 and 7.56 for males and females,respectively.The annual incidence increased gradually from 7.26 cases per 100000 in 2015 to 10.00 cases per 100000 in 2019,with an overall increase of 37.74%.The highest rate of increase occurred in the age group from 60 to 69 years.Of 2750 eyes with axial length(AL)data,1675(60.91%)had an AL greater than 24 mm.CONCLUSION:A trend to increasing RRD incidence is observed in the Wenzhou area over the past 5-year period.
基金supported by the a Higher Institution Centre of Excellence(HICoE)grant from the Ministry of Higher Education Malaysia,project No.6369102。
文摘Taman Saujana Hijau(TSH),Putrajaya is a 41-ha urban park planted with various coniferous species from around the world.Insect pests and disease incidences of this park are unknown and there is a need for an evaluation of the health status of this urban park.This study assessed the level of pest and disease incidents of coniferous species in 12 plots of 7 species(Araucaria bidwilii,Araucaria haterophylla,Araucaria cunninghamii,Pinus caribaea,Pinus merkusii,Podocarpus polystachyus,and Podocarpus costalis).Termites,canker disease,and foliar disease are three major problems.The highest pest and disease incidence(PnDI)was foliar disease with a 0.49 coefficient correlation between the total number of trees and the PnDI,followed by canker disease with 0.40,and termites with 0.36.Of the seven conifers,A.haterophylla was the most infected followed by A.bidwilii and A.cunninghamii.It was concluded that the incidence of pests and diseases in TSH was moderate.To our knowledge,this may be the first baseline inventory of pests and diseases of coniferous species in Malaysia.
基金The authors thank the 12th ward in Xiangya Hospital,Changsha,China,for providing a platform for this research,all nurses in 12th ward for their help and cooperation in data collection,and Prof.Jiabi Qin for his statistical guidance.
文摘Objective To determine incidence and risk factors for venous thromboembolism(VTE)development of in-hospital VTE in urological inpatients who underwent non-oncological surgery in a tertiary hospital in China.Methods Consecutive 1453 inpatients who were admitted to a non-oncological urological ward in the tertiary hospital from January 1,2018 to December 31,2018 were enrolled in the study,and the VTE events were diagnosed by ultrasound or computed tomographic pulmonary angiography.Patients’occurrence of VTE and characteristics which may contribute to the development of VTE were collected and analyzed as incidence and risk factors.Results The incidence of VTE in non-oncological urological inpatients is 2.3%.In our cohort,patients who experienced previous VTE(adjusted odds ratios[aOR]14.272,95%CI 3.620-56.275),taking anticoagulants or antiplatelet agents before admission(aOR 10.181,95%CI 2.453-42.256),D-dimer(max)≥1μg/mL(aOR 22.456,95%CI 6.468-77.967),lower extremity swelling(aOR 10.264,95%CI 2.242-46.994),chest symptoms(aOR 79.182,95%CI 7.132-879.076),operation time of more than or equal to 180 min(aOR 10.690,95%CI 1.356-84.300),and Caprini score(max)of more than or equal to 5(aOR 34.241,95%CI 1.831-640.235)were considered as risk factors for VTE.Conclusion In this study,we found that the incidence of VTE in non-oncological surgery was about 2.3%,which was higher than some previous studies.Risk factors could be used for early detection and diagnosis of VTE.
文摘Background:Pancreatic cysts are common.However,most studies are based on data collected from individual centers.The present study aimed to evaluate the changes of management patterns for pancreatic cystic lesions(PCLs)by analyzing large epidemiologic data.Methods:Between January 2007 and December 2018,information regarding pancreatic cystic lesions was acquired from the nationwide Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service database in Korea.Results:The final number of patients with pancreatic cysts was 165277 among the total claims for reimbursement of 855983 associated with PCLs over 12 years.The total number of claims were increased from 19453 in 2007 to 155842 in 2018 and the prevalence increased from 0.04%to 0.23%.For 12 years,2874(1.7%)had pancreatic cancer and 8212(5.0%)underwent surgery,and 36 had surgery for twice(total 8248 pancreatectomy).After ruling out claims from the first 3 years of washout period,the incidence increased from 9891 to 24651 and the crude incidence rate of PCLs expanded from 19.96 per 100000 to 47.77 per 100000.Compared to specific neoplasm codes(D136 or D377),the use of pancreatic cyst code(K862)has been remarkably increased and the most common since 2010.The annual number of pancreatectomies increased from 518 to 861 between 2007 and 2012,and decreased to 596 until 2018.The percentage of pancreatic cancer in patients who received pancreatectomy increased from 5.6%in 2007 to 11.7%in 2018.Conclusions:The incidence of PCLs is rapidly increasing.Among PCLs,indeterminate cyst is increasing outstandingly.A trend of decreasing in the number of resections and increasing cancer rates among resected cysts may be attributed to the updated international guidelines.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of People’s Republic of China(Grant Nos.U1703262 and 62163035)the Special Project for Local Science and Technology Development Guided by the Central Government(Grant No.ZYYD2022A05)Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Applied Mathematics(Grant No.XJDX1401)。
文摘On the multilingual online social networks of global information sharing,the wanton spread of rumors has an enormous negative impact on people's lives.Thus,it is essential to explore the rumor-spreading rules in multilingual environment and formulate corresponding control strategies to reduce the harm caused by rumor propagation.In this paper,considering the multilingual environment and intervention mechanism in the rumor-spreading process,an improved ignorants–spreaders-1–spreaders-2–removers(I2SR)rumor-spreading model with time delay and the nonlinear incidence is established in heterogeneous networks.Firstly,based on the mean-field equations corresponding to the model,the basic reproduction number is derived to ensure the existence of rumor-spreading equilibrium.Secondly,by applying Lyapunov stability theory and graph theory,the global stability of rumor-spreading equilibrium is analyzed in detail.In particular,aiming at the lowest control cost,the optimal control scheme is designed to optimize the intervention mechanism,and the optimal control conditions are derived using the Pontryagin's minimum principle.Finally,some illustrative examples are provided to verify the effectiveness of the theoretical results.The results show that optimizing the intervention mechanism can effectively reduce the densities of spreaders-1 and spreaders-2 within the expected time,which provides guiding insights for public opinion managers to control rumors.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.81700147).
文摘Objective This study was to examine the relationship between socioeconomic status and the incidence and mortality of non-Hodgkin lymphoma(NHL).Methods We compared the age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR),age-standardized mortality rate(ASMR),and the ASMR to ASIR ratio(MIR)at national and regional levels and studied the correlation between the MIR and the human development index(HDI)in 2012 and 2018.Results The highest ASIR was in North America in 2012 and in Australia in 2018,and the lowest ASIR was in Central and South Asia in both 2012 and 2018.The highest ASMR was in North Africa in both 2012 and 2018,and the lowest ASMR was in Eastern Asia and South-Central Asia in 2012 and in South-Central Asia in 2018.The lowest MIR was in Australia in both 2012 and 2018,and the highest MIR was in Western Africa in both 2012 and 2018.HDI was strongly negatively correlated with MIR(r:−0.8810,P<0.0001,2012;r:−0.8895,P<0.0001,2018).Compared to the 2012 data,the MIR in the intermediate HDI countries significantly deceased and the HDI in low and high HDI countries significantly increased in 2018.Conclusion The MIR is negatively correlated with HDI.Increasing the HDI in low and intermediate HDI countries may reduce the MIR and increase the survival of patients with NHL.
文摘Objective:To investigate the trend of animal bites in southern Iran from 2015 to 2019.Methods:This is a cross-sectional study of patients with animal bites who were referred to the Center for Disease Control in the three cities of Larestan,Evaz,and Khonj in Fars province,southern Iran from 2015 to 2019.The trend of animal bites incidence was analyzed using the Cochran-Armitage trend test.Results:In total,from 2015 to 2019,1944 cases of animal bites were reported.A total of 79.8%of the cases were men.The overall average incidence of animal bites was 142.93 per 100000 people.The incidence of animal bites was significantly increased(Ptrend<0.001).The highest incidence was in November(79.04 per 100000 people)followed by January(76.1 per 100000 people)and February(69.48 per 100000 people);also,the lowest incidence was in August(47.42 per 100000 people)and July(50.0 per 100000 people).Conclusions:The incidence of animal bites has significantly increased.Given the importance of rabies,control and management of animal bites should be emphasized and considered.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.81870254)the Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cardiovascular Disease Foundation(No.2020B1111170011)the Science and Technology Programs of Guangdong Province(No.2019B020230004)。
文摘BACKGROUND Epidemiological surveys on heart failure(HF)in Chinese community are relatively lacking.This study aimed to estimate the prevalence and incidence of HF among community residents in southern China.METHODS Baseline data of this prospective study was collected from 2015 to 2017 among 12,013 permanent residents aged≥35years in Guangzhou,China.The same survey process was carried out for individuals aged≥65 years after a three-year follow-up.RESULTS The overall prevalence of HF in community residents aged≥35 years was 1.06%.Male had significantly higher risk of HF prevalence[odds ratio(OR)=1.50,P=0.027].The gender-adjusted risk of HF was 1.48 times higher per 10 years aging.HF prevalence was statistically associated with atrial fibrillation,valvular heart disease,hypertension and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease after adjusting for age and gender(OR=8.30,5.17,1.11,2.28,respectively;all P<0.05).HF incidence in individuals aged≥65 years were 847 per 100,000 person-years.Baseline atrial fibrillation,valvular heart disease,and diabetes mellitus were risk factors for HF incidence for individuals aged≥65 years adjusting for age and gender(OR=5.05,3.99,2.11,respectively;all P<0.05).Besides,residents with new-onset atrial fibrillation and myocardial infarction were at significantly higher risk of progression to HF(OR=14.41,8.54,respectively;all P<0.05).CONCLUSIONS Both pre-existing and new-onset cardiovascular diseases were associated with HF incidence in southern China.Management of related cardiovascular diseases may be helpful to reduce the incidence of HF.
基金supported by the Special Scientific Research Project of the Shaanxi Provincial Education Department (22JK0414)。
文摘This study proposes a wind farm active power dispatching(WFAPD) algorithm based on the grey incidence method, which does not rely on an accurate mathematical model of wind turbines. Based on the wind turbine start-stop data at different wind speeds, the weighting coefficients, which are the participation degrees of a variable speed system and a variable pitch system in power regulation, are obtained using the grey incidence method. The incidence coefficient curve is fitted by the B-spline function at a full range of wind speeds, and the power regulation capacity of all wind turbines is obtained. Finally, the WFAPD algorithm, which is based on the regulating capacity of each wind turbine, is compared with the wind speed weighting power dispatching(WSWPD) algorithm in MATLAB. The simulation results show that the active power fluctuation of the wind farm is smaller, the rotating speed of wind turbines is smoother, and the fatigue load of highspeed turbines is effectively reduced.
文摘Lamb morbidity and mortality cause significant loss in a smallholder production system. A longitudinal prospectivesurvey was conducted on 408 randomly selected farmers located in six purposefully selected kebeles in Gewataworeda from June 2020 to July 2021 to determine the incidence of morbidity and mortality in lambs and to identifyrisk factors. For this purpose, 408 lambs from the Gewata district’s mixed crop-livestock production system wereexamined every day from birth to three months of age. The data was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier (K-M) method,the log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards regression. Results showed that the cumulative incidence of allcauseof morbidity and mortality at the end of three month was 12.86% (95% CI: 10.26–16.13%), and 6.86% (95% CI:5.03–9.35%), respectively. Diarrhea was the leading cause of morbidity and mortality, accounting for 49.33 and 50%morbidity and mortality, respectively. Pneumonia was the second most frequent cause of morbidity and death. In theK-M hazard analysis, the greatest risk of lamb morbidity and mortality was observed during the first month of life, andthen the risk decreased significantly as the lamb grew. Of the 17 potential risk factors studied, the multivariable Coxproportional hazards regression model showed that lamb sex, birth weight, umbilical care, time and method of colostrumfeeding were the five predictors that were significantly associated with a higher risk of morbidity, whereas birthweight, lambing difficulty, dams’ parity, method and time of colostrum feeding were the five predictors that weresignificantly associated with a higher risk of mortality. Moreover, a higher risk of morbidity was observed in lambswith methods of colostrum feeding after birth (HR = 3.158;p = 0.000) and with variations in birth weight (HR = 1.418;p = 0.003). Similarly, the mortality risk was 4.926 (p = 0.047), 4.023 (p = 0.012), and 3.206 (p = 0.000) times higher inlambs with lambing difficulties, at the time of colostrum feeding, and by the method of colostrum feeding, respectively.According to this research, lamb morbidity and mortality rates in the study area are significantly high whichhas a great impact on the replacement stock and production. Hence, awareness should be created among farmersconcerning improved lamb management practices.
文摘Mathematical modelling has been extensively used to measure intervention strategies for the control of contagious conditions.Alignment between different models is pivotal for furnishing strong substantiation for policymakers because the differences in model features can impact their prognostications.Mathematical modelling has been widely used in order to better understand the transmission,treatment,and prevention of infectious diseases.Herein,we study the dynamics of a human immunodeficiency virus(HIV)infection model with four variables:S(t),I(t),C(t),and A(t)the susceptible individuals;HIV infected individuals(with no clinical symptoms of AIDS);HIV infected individuals(under ART with a viral load remaining low),and HIV infected individuals with two different incidence functions(bilinear and saturated incidence functions).A novel numerical scheme called the continuous Galerkin-Petrov method is implemented for the solution of themodel.The influence of different clinical parameters on the dynamical behavior of S(t),I(t),C(t)and A(t)is described and analyzed.All the results are depicted graphically.On the other hand,we explore the time-dependent movement of nanofluid in porous media on an extending sheet under the influence of thermal radiation,heat flux,hall impact,variable heat source,and nanomaterial.The flow is considered to be 2D,boundary layer,viscous,incompressible,laminar,and unsteady.Sufficient transformations turn governing connected PDEs intoODEs,which are solved using the proposed scheme.To justify the envisaged problem,a comparison of the current work with previous literature is presented.
基金the Natural Science Foundation of China(U21A20259)National Key Research and Development Program of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region(2021BEF02028)+1 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province(2021CFA016)China Agriculture Research System of MOF and MARA and Basic and technical innovation team for prevention and control of bovine disease.
文摘Bovine tuberculosis(bTB)is a chronic zoonotic disease that is endemic in China.Current in-vitro tests for bTB are mainly based on blood assays.Collection of samples results in some stress to the sampled cattle and associated economic losses for the herd owner.This study was designed to investigate the relationship between milk and serum antibody tests for bTB in dairy cows using 85 cows with milk and corresponding blood samples.Totally 4,395 milk samples were used to assesse the apparent(test)prevalence and incidence of bTB using the milk antibody ELISA.The association between levels of bTB milk antibody and milk quality was also evaluated.Milk and serum antibody tests showed a good correlation with a 87.5%(95%CI:61.7%,98.4)positive agreement and 98.7%(95%CI:95.4,99.8)negative agreement.The animal level lactoprevalence ranged from 0.3%(95%CI:0,1.2)to 33.3%(95%CI:26.6,40.6)in different farms and the incidence rate ranged from 0 head/cow-month(95%CI:0,0.02)to 0.04 head/cow-month(95%CI:0.02,0.07).Twenty percent of sampled farms met the criteria for bTB control in China.The prevalence on large-scale farms was lower(p<0.001)than on small farms.The bTB milk antibody levels had a negative correlation with milk yield and a positive correlation with somatic cell count(SCC),milk protein percentage(MPP)and percentage of total solids(TS).According to this research,milk ELISA could be used as a supplement of blood samples to assist in the surveillance for bTB and for alerting control and eradication of bTB.
文摘BACKGROUND Esophageal carcinoma presents as 2 types,esophageal adenocarcinoma(EAC)and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma(ESCC)with the frequency of both changing in the United States(US).AIM To investigate EAC/ESCC incidence time trends among the 3 main US racial groups and investigate trends in US EAC survival by ethnicity.METHODS Twenty-five years(1992-2016)of data from SEER 13 program was analyzed to compare incidence trends in EAC and ESCC between non-Hispanic whites(nHW),non-Hispanic Blacks(nHB)and Hispanics(Hisp)using SEERStat®.In addition,SEER 18 data,from 1975-2015,on EAC in the US was analyzed to evaluate racial disparities in incidence and survival using SEERStat®and Ederer II method.RESULTS In the 3 major US ethnic groups,age-adjusted incidence of ESCC has declined while EAC has continued to rise from 1992-2016.Of note,in Hisp,the EAC incidence rate increased while ESCC decreased from 1992 to 2016,resulting in EAC as the predominant esophageal cancer subtype in this group since 2011,joining nHW.Furthermore,although ESCC remains the predominant tumor in nHB,the difference between ESCC and EAC has narrowed dramatically over 25 years.EAC survival probabilities were worse in all minority groups compared to nHw.CONCLUSION Hisp have joined nHW as US ethnic groups more likely to have EAC than ESCC.Of note,EAC incidence in nHB is increasing at the highest rate nationally.Despite lower EAC incidence in all minority groups compared to nHW,these populations have decreased survival compared to nHW.
