The association between the lunar phases and the atmospheric electric field has been investigated from the superposed epoch analysis of the long series of continuous data of the vertical electric field for Colaba, Bom...The association between the lunar phases and the atmospheric electric field has been investigated from the superposed epoch analysis of the long series of continuous data of the vertical electric field for Colaba, Bombay (18 ° 53'N, 73 ° 48'E 11 mASL) for the period 1947-1966. Also the periodicities in the atmospheric electric field have been studied from the spectral analysis of the data. The study has indicated that when the full moon is within 4 of the ecliptic plane i.e.,Bf 4 ° , the electric field peaks on the day of the full moon followed by a steep fall in the field values up to 4 days following the full moon day and there after it showed a steep increase. Also, the electric field has exhibited 5-9 day periodicity and its multiples are nearly always present. The periodicity in the electric field corresponds with the average time interval between the successive magnetic sector boundary (MSB ) crossings i.e., 7 days. On most of the occasions, the MSB crossing day is associated with a maximum of one or more of the wavelengths derived from the spectral analysis of the atmospheric electric field.展开更多
为了解和掌握月相对渔业产量或单位捕捞努力量渔获量(catch per unit effort,CPUE)的影响规律,利用2016—2019年(每年3月2日—11月29日)马达加斯加西海岸底拖网独角新对虾(Metapenaeus monoceros)和2017—2020年(每年6月15日—10月9日)...为了解和掌握月相对渔业产量或单位捕捞努力量渔获量(catch per unit effort,CPUE)的影响规律,利用2016—2019年(每年3月2日—11月29日)马达加斯加西海岸底拖网独角新对虾(Metapenaeus monoceros)和2017—2020年(每年6月15日—10月9日)西白令海中层拖网狭鳕(Theragra chalcogramma)的渔业生产数据,结合基于圆形统计的广义线性模型(GLM)和基于时间序列的广义加性模型(GAM)2种不同的月相量化和统计的方法,分析月相对拖网渔业CPUE的影响。结果表明:月相对独角新对虾的CPUE具有显著性影响(P<0.05),2种方法得出的影响趋势较为一致,较高CPUE出现在上弦月;基于圆形统计的GLM显示,月相对狭鳕CPUE具有显著性影响(P<0.05),较高CPUE出现在新月期,而基于时间序列的GAM显示,月相对狭鳕CPUE的影响不显著(P>0.05);交叉验证显示,基于圆形统计的GLM平均绝对误差(E_(MA))和均方根误差(E_(RMS))均小于基于时间序列的GAM,而GLM分析的决定系数R~2则大于GAM,表明前者的拟合具有更好的准确性、稳定性和拟合优度。研究表明,当周期性循环变量(月份、月相和小时等)具有较弱的显著性时,使用基于圆形统计的GLM更能反映月相对拖网渔业CPUE的影响。展开更多
文摘The association between the lunar phases and the atmospheric electric field has been investigated from the superposed epoch analysis of the long series of continuous data of the vertical electric field for Colaba, Bombay (18 ° 53'N, 73 ° 48'E 11 mASL) for the period 1947-1966. Also the periodicities in the atmospheric electric field have been studied from the spectral analysis of the data. The study has indicated that when the full moon is within 4 of the ecliptic plane i.e.,Bf 4 ° , the electric field peaks on the day of the full moon followed by a steep fall in the field values up to 4 days following the full moon day and there after it showed a steep increase. Also, the electric field has exhibited 5-9 day periodicity and its multiples are nearly always present. The periodicity in the electric field corresponds with the average time interval between the successive magnetic sector boundary (MSB ) crossings i.e., 7 days. On most of the occasions, the MSB crossing day is associated with a maximum of one or more of the wavelengths derived from the spectral analysis of the atmospheric electric field.
文摘为了解和掌握月相对渔业产量或单位捕捞努力量渔获量(catch per unit effort,CPUE)的影响规律,利用2016—2019年(每年3月2日—11月29日)马达加斯加西海岸底拖网独角新对虾(Metapenaeus monoceros)和2017—2020年(每年6月15日—10月9日)西白令海中层拖网狭鳕(Theragra chalcogramma)的渔业生产数据,结合基于圆形统计的广义线性模型(GLM)和基于时间序列的广义加性模型(GAM)2种不同的月相量化和统计的方法,分析月相对拖网渔业CPUE的影响。结果表明:月相对独角新对虾的CPUE具有显著性影响(P<0.05),2种方法得出的影响趋势较为一致,较高CPUE出现在上弦月;基于圆形统计的GLM显示,月相对狭鳕CPUE具有显著性影响(P<0.05),较高CPUE出现在新月期,而基于时间序列的GAM显示,月相对狭鳕CPUE的影响不显著(P>0.05);交叉验证显示,基于圆形统计的GLM平均绝对误差(E_(MA))和均方根误差(E_(RMS))均小于基于时间序列的GAM,而GLM分析的决定系数R~2则大于GAM,表明前者的拟合具有更好的准确性、稳定性和拟合优度。研究表明,当周期性循环变量(月份、月相和小时等)具有较弱的显著性时,使用基于圆形统计的GLM更能反映月相对拖网渔业CPUE的影响。
