In this paper,an antenna array composed of circular array and orthogonal linear array is proposed by using the design of long and short baseline“orthogonal linear array”and the circular array ambiguity resolution de...In this paper,an antenna array composed of circular array and orthogonal linear array is proposed by using the design of long and short baseline“orthogonal linear array”and the circular array ambiguity resolution design of multi-group baseline clustering.The effectiveness of the antenna array in this paper is verified by sufficient simulation and experiment.After the system deviation correction work,it is found that in the L/S/C/X frequency bands,the ambiguity resolution probability is high,and the phase difference system error between each channel is basically the same.The angle measurement error is less than 0.5°,and the positioning error is less than 2.5 km.Notably,as the center frequency increases,calibration consistency improves,and the calibration frequency points become applicable over a wider frequency range.At a center frequency of 11.5 GHz,the calibration frequency point bandwidth extends to 1200 MHz.This combined antenna array deployment holds significant promise for a wide range of applications in contemporary wireless communication systems.展开更多
The assessment of the measurement error status of online Capacitor Voltage Transformers (CVT) within the power grid is of profound significance to the equitable trade of electric energy and the secure operation of the...The assessment of the measurement error status of online Capacitor Voltage Transformers (CVT) within the power grid is of profound significance to the equitable trade of electric energy and the secure operation of the power grid. This paper advances an online CVT error state evaluation method, anchored in the in-phase relationship and outlier detection. Initially, this method leverages the in-phase relationship to obviate the influence of primary side fluctuations in the grid on assessment accuracy. Subsequently, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is employed to meticulously disentangle the error change information inherent in the CVT from the measured values and to compute statistics that delineate the error state. Finally, the Local Outlier Factor (LOF) is deployed to discern outliers in the statistics, with thresholds serving to appraise the CVT error state. Experimental results incontrovertibly demonstrate the efficacy of this method, showcasing its prowess in effecting online tracking of CVT error changes and conducting error state assessments. The discernible enhancements in reliability, accuracy, and sensitivity are manifest, with the assessment accuracy reaching an exemplary 0.01%.展开更多
Control charts(CCs)are one of the main tools in Statistical Process Control that have been widely adopted in manufacturing sectors as an effective strategy for malfunction detection throughout the previous decades.Mea...Control charts(CCs)are one of the main tools in Statistical Process Control that have been widely adopted in manufacturing sectors as an effective strategy for malfunction detection throughout the previous decades.Measurement errors(M.E’s)are involved in the quality characteristic of interest,which can effect the CC’s performance.The authors explored the impact of a linearmodel with additive covariate M.E on the multivariate cumulative sum(CUSUM)CC for a specific kind of data known as compositional data(CoDa).The average run length(ARL)is used to assess the performance of the proposed chart.The results indicate that M.E’s significantly affects themultivariate CUSUM-CoDaCCs.The authors haveused theMarkov chainmethod to study the impact of different involved parameters using six different cases for the variance-covariance matrix(VCM)(i.e.,uncorrelated with equal variances,uncorrelated with unequal variances,positively correlated with equal variances,positively correlated with unequal variances,negatively correlatedwith equal variances and negatively correlated with unequal variances).The authors concluded that the error VCM has a negative impact on the performance of themultivariate CUSUM-CoDa CC,as the ARL increases with an increase in the value of the error VCM.The subgroup size m and powering operator b positively impact the proposed CC,as the ARL decreases with an increase in m or b.The number of variables p also has a negative impact on the performance of the proposed CC,as the values of ARL increase with an increase in p.For the implementation of the proposal,two illustrated examples have been reported formultivariate CUSUM-CoDaCCs inthe presence ofM.E’s.Onedealswith themanufacturingprocessof uncoated aspirin tablets,and the other is based on monitoring the machines involved in the muesli manufacturing process.展开更多
For the product degradation process with random effect (RE), measurement error (ME) and nonlinearity in step-stress accelerated degradation test (SSADT), the nonlinear Wiener based degradation model with RE and ME is ...For the product degradation process with random effect (RE), measurement error (ME) and nonlinearity in step-stress accelerated degradation test (SSADT), the nonlinear Wiener based degradation model with RE and ME is built. An analytical approximation to the probability density function (PDF) of the product's lifetime is derived in a closed form. The process and data of SSADT are analyzed to obtain the relation model of the observed data under each accelerated stress. The likelihood function for the population-based observed data is constructed. The population-based model parameters and its random coefficient prior values are estimated. According to the newly observed data of the target product in SSADT, an analytical approximation to the PDF of its residual lifetime (RL) is derived in accordance with its individual degradation characteristics. The parameter updating method based on Bayesian inference is applied to obtain the posterior value of random coefficient of the RL model. A numerical example by simulation is analyzed to verify the accuracy and advantage of the proposed model.展开更多
Real time remaining useful life(RUL) prediction based on condition monitoring is an essential part in condition based maintenance(CBM). In the current methods about the real time RUL prediction of the nonlinear degrad...Real time remaining useful life(RUL) prediction based on condition monitoring is an essential part in condition based maintenance(CBM). In the current methods about the real time RUL prediction of the nonlinear degradation process, the measurement error is not considered and forecasting uncertainty is large. Therefore, an approximate analytical RUL distribution in a closed-form of a nonlinear Wiener based degradation process with measurement errors was proposed. The maximum likelihood estimation approach was used to estimate the unknown fixed parameters in the proposed model. When the newly observed data are available, the random parameter is updated by the Bayesian method to make the estimation adapt to the item's individual characteristic and reduce the uncertainty of the estimation. The simulation results show that considering measurement errors in the degradation process can significantly improve the accuracy of real time RUL prediction.展开更多
For high-dimensional models with a focus on classification performance,the?1-penalized logistic regression is becoming important and popular.However,the Lasso estimates could be problematic when penalties of different...For high-dimensional models with a focus on classification performance,the?1-penalized logistic regression is becoming important and popular.However,the Lasso estimates could be problematic when penalties of different coefficients are all the same and not related to the data.We propose two types of weighted Lasso estimates,depending upon covariates determined by the Mc Diarmid inequality.Given sample size n and a dimension of covariates p,the finite sample behavior of our proposed method with a diverging number of predictors is illustrated by non-asymptotic oracle inequalities such as the?1-estimation error and the squared prediction error of the unknown parameters.We compare the performance of our method with that of former weighted estimates on simulated data,then apply it to do real data analysis.展开更多
Suppose that several different imperfect instruments and one perfect instrument are independently used to measure some characteristics of a population. Thus, measurements of two or more sets of samples with varying ac...Suppose that several different imperfect instruments and one perfect instrument are independently used to measure some characteristics of a population. Thus, measurements of two or more sets of samples with varying accuracies are obtained. Statistical inference should be based on the pooled samples. In this article, the authors also assumes that all the imperfect instruments are unbiased. They consider the problem of combining this information to make statistical tests for parameters more relevant. They define the empirical likelihood ratio functions and obtain their asymptotic distributions in the presence of measurement error.展开更多
As an important optical constant of optical properties for spectacle lens,the refractive index measurement is studied using V prism refractometer. In the experiment,according to various factors inducing measurement er...As an important optical constant of optical properties for spectacle lens,the refractive index measurement is studied using V prism refractometer. In the experiment,according to various factors inducing measurement error,the experimental results are analyzed,which include right angle deviation,contact liquid,curvature,and focusing accuracy. The study results show that focusing accuracy is the most important factor of influence for measurement,consists of contact liquid wettability,sample shape,and effective width of light transmission. In addition,the refractive index measurement is less affected by angle deviation of sample and the refractive index deviation of contact liquid. On the basis of the experimental data analysis,it is possible to relax the deviation of right angle of the sample to 1' or 2'.展开更多
We consider the estimation of nonparametric regression models with predictors being measured with a mixture of Berkson and classical errors. In practice, the Berkson error arises when the variable X of interest is uno...We consider the estimation of nonparametric regression models with predictors being measured with a mixture of Berkson and classical errors. In practice, the Berkson error arises when the variable X of interest is unobservable and only a proxy of X can be measured while the inaccuracy related to the observation of the proxy causes an error of classical type. In this paper, we propose two nonparametric estimators of the regression function in the presence of either or both types of errors. We prove the asymptotic normality of our estimators and derive their rates of convergence. The finite-sample properties of the estimators are investigated through simulation studies.展开更多
This paper proposes a steady-state errors correction(SSEC)method for eliminating measurement errors.This method is based on the detections of error signal E(s)and output C(s)which generate an expected output R(s).In c...This paper proposes a steady-state errors correction(SSEC)method for eliminating measurement errors.This method is based on the detections of error signal E(s)and output C(s)which generate an expected output R(s).In comparison with the conventional solutions which are based on detecting the expected output R(s)and output C(s)to obtain error signal E(s),the measurement errors are eliminated even the error might be at a significant level.Moreover,it is possible that the individual debugging by regulating the coefficient K for every member of the multiple objectives achieves the optimization of the open loop gain.Therefore,this simple method can be applied to the weak coupling and multiple objectives system,which is usually controlled by complex controller.The principle of eliminating measurement errors is derived analytically,and the advantages comparing with the conventional solutions are depicted.Based on the SSEC method analysis,an application of this method for an active power filter(APF)is investigated and the effectiveness and viability of the scheme are demonstrated through the simulation and experimental verifications.展开更多
This paper illustrates students' test anxiety attributable to test itself from four aspects of testing procedure — planning, preparing, administrating, and scoring. It is the test anxiety that impedes effective a...This paper illustrates students' test anxiety attributable to test itself from four aspects of testing procedure — planning, preparing, administrating, and scoring. It is the test anxiety that impedes effective and successful testing performance of students and further causes measurement error. All educators endeavor to eliminate measurement error and expect no biased results or decisions based on students' observed scores. Therefore, suggestions to solve such problems are provided here.展开更多
In order to discover the range of various errors in Chinese precipitation measurements and seek a correction method, 30 precipitation evaluation stations were set up countrywide before 1993. All the stations are refer...In order to discover the range of various errors in Chinese precipitation measurements and seek a correction method, 30 precipitation evaluation stations were set up countrywide before 1993. All the stations are reference stations in China. To seek a correction method for wind-induced error, a precipitation correction instrument called the ＂horizontal precipitation gauge＂ was devised beforehand. Field intercomparison observations regarding 29,000 precipitation events have been conducted using one pit gauge, two elevated operational gauges and one horizontal gauge at the above 30 stations. The range of precipitation measurement errors in China is obtained by analysis of intercomparison measurement results. The distribution of random errors and systematic errors in precipitation measurements are studied in this paper. A correction method, especially for wind-induced errors, is developed. The results prove that a correlation of power function exists between the precipitation amount caught by the horizontal gauge and the absolute difference of observations implemented by the operational gauge and pit gauge. The correlation coefficient is 0.99. For operational observations, precipitation correction can be carried out only by parallel observation with a horizontal precipitation gauge. The precipitation accuracy after correction approaches that of the pit gauge. The correction method developed is simple and feasible.展开更多
In this paper,the authors investigate three aspects of statistical inference for the partially linear regression models where some covariates are measured with errors.Firstly, a bandwidth selection procedure is propos...In this paper,the authors investigate three aspects of statistical inference for the partially linear regression models where some covariates are measured with errors.Firstly, a bandwidth selection procedure is proposed,which is a combination of the differencebased technique and GCV method.Secondly,a goodness-of-fit test procedure is proposed, which is an extension of the generalized likelihood technique.Thirdly,a variable selection procedure for the parametric part is provided based on the nonconcave penalization and corrected profile least squares.Same as＂Variable selection via nonconcave penalized likelihood and its oracle properties＂（J.Amer.Statist.Assoc.,96,2001,1348-1360）,it is shown that the resulting estimator has an oracle property with a proper choice of regularization parameters and penalty function.Simulation studies are conducted to illustrate the finite sample performances of the proposed procedures.展开更多
Generalized linear measurement error models, such as Gaussian regression, Poisson regression and logistic regression, are considered. To eliminate the effects of measurement error on parameter estimation, a corrected ...Generalized linear measurement error models, such as Gaussian regression, Poisson regression and logistic regression, are considered. To eliminate the effects of measurement error on parameter estimation, a corrected empirical likelihood method is proposed to make statistical inference for a class of generalized linear measurement error models based on the moment identities of the corrected score function. The asymptotic distribution of the empirical log-likelihood ratio for the regression parameter is proved to be a Chi-squared distribution under some regularity conditions. The corresponding maximum empirical likelihood estimator of the regression parameter π is derived, and the asymptotic normality is shown. Furthermore, we consider the construction of the confidence intervals for one component of the regression parameter by using the partial profile empirical likelihood. Simulation studies are conducted to assess the finite sample performance. A real data set from the ACTG 175 study is used for illustrating the proposed method.展开更多
Influence of temperature on measurement of surface plasmon resonance （SPR） sensor was investigated. Samples with various concentrations of NaCl were tested at different temperatures. It was shown that if the affecti...Influence of temperature on measurement of surface plasmon resonance （SPR） sensor was investigated. Samples with various concentrations of NaCl were tested at different temperatures. It was shown that if the affection of temperature could be neglected, measurement precision of salt solution was 0.028 wt.-%. But measurement error of salinity caused by temperature was 0.53 wt.-% in average when the temperature drift was 1 ℃. To reduce the error, a double-cell SPR sensor with salt solution and distilled water flowing respectively and at the same temperature was implemented.展开更多
Pitot probes enable a simple and convenient way of measuring mean velocity in air flow. The contrastive numerical simulation between free supersonic airflow and pitot tube at different positions in supersonic air flow...Pitot probes enable a simple and convenient way of measuring mean velocity in air flow. The contrastive numerical simulation between free supersonic airflow and pitot tube at different positions in supersonic air flow was performed using Navier-Stokes equations, the ENN scheme with time-dependent boundary conditions （TDBC） and the Spalart-Allmaras turbulence model. The physical experimental results including pitot pressure and shadowgraph are also presented. Numerical results coincide with the experimental data. The flow characteristics of the pitot probe on the supersonic flow structure show that the measure- ment gives actually the total pressure behind the detached shock wave by using the pitot probe to measure the total pressure. The measurement result of the distribution of the total pressure can still represent the real free jet flow. The similar features of the intersection and reflection of shock waves can be identified. The difference between the measurement results and the actual ones is smaller than 10%. When the pitot probe is used to measure the region of L=0-4D, the measurement is smaller than the real one due to the increase of the shock wave strength. The difference becomes larger where the waves intersect. If the pitot probe is put at L=SD-10D, where the flow changes from supersonic to subsonic, the addition of the pitot probe turns the original supersonic flow region subsonic and causes bigger measurement errors.展开更多
Aims Accurate forecast of ecosystem states is critical for improving natural resourcemanagement and climate change mitigation.Assimilating observed data into models is an effective way to reduce uncertainties in ecolo...Aims Accurate forecast of ecosystem states is critical for improving natural resourcemanagement and climate change mitigation.Assimilating observed data into models is an effective way to reduce uncertainties in ecological forecasting.However,influences ofmeasurement errors on parameter estimation and forecasted state changes have not been carefully examined.This study analyzed the parameter identifiability of a process-based ecosystem carbon cycle model,the sensitivity of parameter estimates and model forecasts to the magnitudes of measurement errors and the information contributions of the assimilated data to model forecasts with a data assimilation approach.Methods We applied a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to assimilate eight biometric data sets into the Terrestrial ECOsystemmodel.The data were the observations of foliage biomass,wood biomass,fine root biomass,microbial biomass,litter fall,litter,soil carbon and soil respiration,collected at the Duke Forest free-air CO_(2)enrichment facilities from 1996 to 2005.Three levels ofmeasurement errorswere assigned to these data sets by halving and doubling their original standard deviations.Important Findings Results showed that only less than half of the 30 parameters could be constrained,though the observations were extensive and themodelwas relatively simple.Highermeasurement errors led to higher uncertainties in parameters estimates and forecasted carbon(C)pool sizes.The longterm predictions of the slow turnover pools were affected less by the measurement errors than those of fast turnover pools.Assimilated data contributed less information for the pools with long residence times in long-term forecasts.These results indicate the residence times of C pools played a key role in regulating propagation of errors from measurements to model forecasts in a data assimilation system.Improving the estimation of parameters of slowturnover C pools is the key to better forecast long-term ecosystem C dynamics.展开更多
This work studies a proportional hazards model for survival data with ＂long-term survivors＂, in which covariates are subject to linear measurement error. It is well known that the naive estimators from both partial ...This work studies a proportional hazards model for survival data with ＂long-term survivors＂, in which covariates are subject to linear measurement error. It is well known that the naive estimators from both partial and full likelihood methods are inconsistent under this measurement error model. For measurement error models, methods of unbiased estimating function and corrected likelihood have been proposed in the literature. In this paper, we apply the corrected partial and full likelihood approaches to estimate the model and obtain statistical inference from survival data with long-term survivors. The asymptotic properties of the estimators are established. Simulation results illustrate that the proposed approaches provide useful tools for the models considered.展开更多
Runoff plots are widely used worldwide to monitor water and soil losses.Sediment concentration in runoff collection tank is measured by stirring-sampling procedure,but this method may produce high measurement error du...Runoff plots are widely used worldwide to monitor water and soil losses.Sediment concentration in runoff collection tank is measured by stirring-sampling procedure,but this method may produce high measurement error due to the uneven mixing of collected sediments with water and soil particle deposition.This study aimed to identify the relationship between actual and measured sediment concentrations,so as to estimate the systematic error of sediment concentration measurement from runoff collection tank by traditional stirring-sampling procedure and the possibility to eliminate it.Four major soils including black soil,silt loess,clay loess,and purple soil in China were used to determine the correlation between the measured and designed sediment concentrations in laboratory.Tested sediment concentration was 1,2,5,8,10,20,50,80,100,200,500,800,and 1000 kg/m^(3),and total sediment-laden water volume was 50 L and 100 L.Five samples were collected successively from collection tank for each treatment and their sediment concentrations were measured by conventional oven-drying method.The results showed that all the measured sediment concentration values were smaller than the designed ones,but both the measured and designed values were linearly correlated significantly with determination coefficients greater than 0.8,generally.In the whole tested concentration range,the systematical error was-0.19 to-319.95 kg/m^(3) and relative error was 0.30%-84.5% for the 4 tested soils and 2 total sediment-laden water volumes.These results indicated a necessity and possibility to correct conventional sediment concentration measurement value.The result is usable to assess and correct the measurement error of sediment concentrations from traditional runoff plot.展开更多
The safety monitoring of lithium-ion batteries(LIBs) is of great significance for realizing all-climate and full-lifespan battery management. In-situ measurement of anode potential with implanted reference electrodes(...The safety monitoring of lithium-ion batteries(LIBs) is of great significance for realizing all-climate and full-lifespan battery management. In-situ measurement of anode potential with implanted reference electrodes(REs) has proven to be effective to monitor and avoid the occurrence of severe side reactions like Li plating to ensure the safe and fast charging. However, the intrinsic measurement errors caused by local blocking effects, which also can be referred to as potential artefacts, are seldom taken into consideration in existing studies, yet they highly dominate the correctness of conclusions inferred from REs. In this study, aiming at exploring the physical origin of the measurement errors and ensure reliable potential monitoring, electrochemical and post-mortem tests are conducted using commercial pouch cells with implanted REs. Corresponding electrochemical model which describes the blocking effects, is established to validate the abnormal absence of lithium plating that predicted by measured anode potentials under various charging rates. Theoretical derivation is further presented to explain the error sources, which can be attributed to increased local liquid potential of the RE position. Most importantly, with the guidance of error analysis, a novel parameter-independent error correction method for RE measurements is proposed for the first time, which is proven to be adequate to estimate the real anode potentials and deduce the critical C-rate of Li plating with extra safety margin. After error correction, the resulting critical C-rates are all within the range of 0.55 ± 0.03 C, which is close to the C-rate of 0.6–0.7 C obtained from experiments. In addition, this error correction method can be performed conveniently with only some simple RE measurements of polarization voltages, totally independent of battery electrochemical and geometric parameters. This study provides highly practical error correction method for RE measurements in real LIBs, substantially facilitating the fast diagnosis and safety evaluation of Li plating during charging of LIBs.展开更多
文摘In this paper,an antenna array composed of circular array and orthogonal linear array is proposed by using the design of long and short baseline“orthogonal linear array”and the circular array ambiguity resolution design of multi-group baseline clustering.The effectiveness of the antenna array in this paper is verified by sufficient simulation and experiment.After the system deviation correction work,it is found that in the L/S/C/X frequency bands,the ambiguity resolution probability is high,and the phase difference system error between each channel is basically the same.The angle measurement error is less than 0.5°,and the positioning error is less than 2.5 km.Notably,as the center frequency increases,calibration consistency improves,and the calibration frequency points become applicable over a wider frequency range.At a center frequency of 11.5 GHz,the calibration frequency point bandwidth extends to 1200 MHz.This combined antenna array deployment holds significant promise for a wide range of applications in contemporary wireless communication systems.
文摘The assessment of the measurement error status of online Capacitor Voltage Transformers (CVT) within the power grid is of profound significance to the equitable trade of electric energy and the secure operation of the power grid. This paper advances an online CVT error state evaluation method, anchored in the in-phase relationship and outlier detection. Initially, this method leverages the in-phase relationship to obviate the influence of primary side fluctuations in the grid on assessment accuracy. Subsequently, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is employed to meticulously disentangle the error change information inherent in the CVT from the measured values and to compute statistics that delineate the error state. Finally, the Local Outlier Factor (LOF) is deployed to discern outliers in the statistics, with thresholds serving to appraise the CVT error state. Experimental results incontrovertibly demonstrate the efficacy of this method, showcasing its prowess in effecting online tracking of CVT error changes and conducting error state assessments. The discernible enhancements in reliability, accuracy, and sensitivity are manifest, with the assessment accuracy reaching an exemplary 0.01%.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.71802110)the Humanity and Social Science Foundation of theMinistry of Education of China (Grant No.19YJA630061).
文摘Control charts(CCs)are one of the main tools in Statistical Process Control that have been widely adopted in manufacturing sectors as an effective strategy for malfunction detection throughout the previous decades.Measurement errors(M.E’s)are involved in the quality characteristic of interest,which can effect the CC’s performance.The authors explored the impact of a linearmodel with additive covariate M.E on the multivariate cumulative sum(CUSUM)CC for a specific kind of data known as compositional data(CoDa).The average run length(ARL)is used to assess the performance of the proposed chart.The results indicate that M.E’s significantly affects themultivariate CUSUM-CoDaCCs.The authors haveused theMarkov chainmethod to study the impact of different involved parameters using six different cases for the variance-covariance matrix(VCM)(i.e.,uncorrelated with equal variances,uncorrelated with unequal variances,positively correlated with equal variances,positively correlated with unequal variances,negatively correlatedwith equal variances and negatively correlated with unequal variances).The authors concluded that the error VCM has a negative impact on the performance of themultivariate CUSUM-CoDa CC,as the ARL increases with an increase in the value of the error VCM.The subgroup size m and powering operator b positively impact the proposed CC,as the ARL decreases with an increase in m or b.The number of variables p also has a negative impact on the performance of the proposed CC,as the values of ARL increase with an increase in p.For the implementation of the proposal,two illustrated examples have been reported formultivariate CUSUM-CoDaCCs inthe presence ofM.E’s.Onedealswith themanufacturingprocessof uncoated aspirin tablets,and the other is based on monitoring the machines involved in the muesli manufacturing process.
基金supported by the National Defense Foundation of China(71601183)
文摘For the product degradation process with random effect (RE), measurement error (ME) and nonlinearity in step-stress accelerated degradation test (SSADT), the nonlinear Wiener based degradation model with RE and ME is built. An analytical approximation to the probability density function (PDF) of the product's lifetime is derived in a closed form. The process and data of SSADT are analyzed to obtain the relation model of the observed data under each accelerated stress. The likelihood function for the population-based observed data is constructed. The population-based model parameters and its random coefficient prior values are estimated. According to the newly observed data of the target product in SSADT, an analytical approximation to the PDF of its residual lifetime (RL) is derived in accordance with its individual degradation characteristics. The parameter updating method based on Bayesian inference is applied to obtain the posterior value of random coefficient of the RL model. A numerical example by simulation is analyzed to verify the accuracy and advantage of the proposed model.
基金Projects(51475462,61374138,61370031)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘Real time remaining useful life(RUL) prediction based on condition monitoring is an essential part in condition based maintenance(CBM). In the current methods about the real time RUL prediction of the nonlinear degradation process, the measurement error is not considered and forecasting uncertainty is large. Therefore, an approximate analytical RUL distribution in a closed-form of a nonlinear Wiener based degradation process with measurement errors was proposed. The maximum likelihood estimation approach was used to estimate the unknown fixed parameters in the proposed model. When the newly observed data are available, the random parameter is updated by the Bayesian method to make the estimation adapt to the item's individual characteristic and reduce the uncertainty of the estimation. The simulation results show that considering measurement errors in the degradation process can significantly improve the accuracy of real time RUL prediction.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61877023)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(CCNU19TD009)。
文摘For high-dimensional models with a focus on classification performance,the?1-penalized logistic regression is becoming important and popular.However,the Lasso estimates could be problematic when penalties of different coefficients are all the same and not related to the data.We propose two types of weighted Lasso estimates,depending upon covariates determined by the Mc Diarmid inequality.Given sample size n and a dimension of covariates p,the finite sample behavior of our proposed method with a diverging number of predictors is illustrated by non-asymptotic oracle inequalities such as the?1-estimation error and the squared prediction error of the unknown parameters.We compare the performance of our method with that of former weighted estimates on simulated data,then apply it to do real data analysis.
基金This work is supported by NNSF of China (10571093)
文摘Suppose that several different imperfect instruments and one perfect instrument are independently used to measure some characteristics of a population. Thus, measurements of two or more sets of samples with varying accuracies are obtained. Statistical inference should be based on the pooled samples. In this article, the authors also assumes that all the imperfect instruments are unbiased. They consider the problem of combining this information to make statistical tests for parameters more relevant. They define the empirical likelihood ratio functions and obtain their asymptotic distributions in the presence of measurement error.
文摘As an important optical constant of optical properties for spectacle lens,the refractive index measurement is studied using V prism refractometer. In the experiment,according to various factors inducing measurement error,the experimental results are analyzed,which include right angle deviation,contact liquid,curvature,and focusing accuracy. The study results show that focusing accuracy is the most important factor of influence for measurement,consists of contact liquid wettability,sample shape,and effective width of light transmission. In addition,the refractive index measurement is less affected by angle deviation of sample and the refractive index deviation of contact liquid. On the basis of the experimental data analysis,it is possible to relax the deviation of right angle of the sample to 1' or 2'.
文摘We consider the estimation of nonparametric regression models with predictors being measured with a mixture of Berkson and classical errors. In practice, the Berkson error arises when the variable X of interest is unobservable and only a proxy of X can be measured while the inaccuracy related to the observation of the proxy causes an error of classical type. In this paper, we propose two nonparametric estimators of the regression function in the presence of either or both types of errors. We prove the asymptotic normality of our estimators and derive their rates of convergence. The finite-sample properties of the estimators are investigated through simulation studies.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61273172)
文摘This paper proposes a steady-state errors correction(SSEC)method for eliminating measurement errors.This method is based on the detections of error signal E(s)and output C(s)which generate an expected output R(s).In comparison with the conventional solutions which are based on detecting the expected output R(s)and output C(s)to obtain error signal E(s),the measurement errors are eliminated even the error might be at a significant level.Moreover,it is possible that the individual debugging by regulating the coefficient K for every member of the multiple objectives achieves the optimization of the open loop gain.Therefore,this simple method can be applied to the weak coupling and multiple objectives system,which is usually controlled by complex controller.The principle of eliminating measurement errors is derived analytically,and the advantages comparing with the conventional solutions are depicted.Based on the SSEC method analysis,an application of this method for an active power filter(APF)is investigated and the effectiveness and viability of the scheme are demonstrated through the simulation and experimental verifications.
文摘This paper illustrates students' test anxiety attributable to test itself from four aspects of testing procedure — planning, preparing, administrating, and scoring. It is the test anxiety that impedes effective and successful testing performance of students and further causes measurement error. All educators endeavor to eliminate measurement error and expect no biased results or decisions based on students' observed scores. Therefore, suggestions to solve such problems are provided here.
文摘In order to discover the range of various errors in Chinese precipitation measurements and seek a correction method, 30 precipitation evaluation stations were set up countrywide before 1993. All the stations are reference stations in China. To seek a correction method for wind-induced error, a precipitation correction instrument called the ＂horizontal precipitation gauge＂ was devised beforehand. Field intercomparison observations regarding 29,000 precipitation events have been conducted using one pit gauge, two elevated operational gauges and one horizontal gauge at the above 30 stations. The range of precipitation measurement errors in China is obtained by analysis of intercomparison measurement results. The distribution of random errors and systematic errors in precipitation measurements are studied in this paper. A correction method, especially for wind-induced errors, is developed. The results prove that a correlation of power function exists between the precipitation amount caught by the horizontal gauge and the absolute difference of observations implemented by the operational gauge and pit gauge. The correlation coefficient is 0.99. For operational observations, precipitation correction can be carried out only by parallel observation with a horizontal precipitation gauge. The precipitation accuracy after correction approaches that of the pit gauge. The correction method developed is simple and feasible.
文摘In this paper,the authors investigate three aspects of statistical inference for the partially linear regression models where some covariates are measured with errors.Firstly, a bandwidth selection procedure is proposed,which is a combination of the differencebased technique and GCV method.Secondly,a goodness-of-fit test procedure is proposed, which is an extension of the generalized likelihood technique.Thirdly,a variable selection procedure for the parametric part is provided based on the nonconcave penalization and corrected profile least squares.Same as＂Variable selection via nonconcave penalized likelihood and its oracle properties＂（J.Amer.Statist.Assoc.,96,2001,1348-1360）,it is shown that the resulting estimator has an oracle property with a proper choice of regularization parameters and penalty function.Simulation studies are conducted to illustrate the finite sample performances of the proposed procedures.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.11301569,11471029 and 11101014)the Beijing Natural Science Foundation(Grant No.1142002)+2 种基金the Science and Technology Project of Beijing Municipal Education Commission(Grant No.KM201410005010)Hong Kong Research Grant(Grant No.HKBU202711)Hong Kong Baptist University FRG Grants(Grant Nos.FRG2/11-12/110 and FRG1/13-14/018)
文摘Generalized linear measurement error models, such as Gaussian regression, Poisson regression and logistic regression, are considered. To eliminate the effects of measurement error on parameter estimation, a corrected empirical likelihood method is proposed to make statistical inference for a class of generalized linear measurement error models based on the moment identities of the corrected score function. The asymptotic distribution of the empirical log-likelihood ratio for the regression parameter is proved to be a Chi-squared distribution under some regularity conditions. The corresponding maximum empirical likelihood estimator of the regression parameter π is derived, and the asymptotic normality is shown. Furthermore, we consider the construction of the confidence intervals for one component of the regression parameter by using the partial profile empirical likelihood. Simulation studies are conducted to assess the finite sample performance. A real data set from the ACTG 175 study is used for illustrating the proposed method.
基金This work was supported by the Shu Guang Project of Shanghai Education Committee (No. 02SG32)the Shanghai Leading Academic Discipline Project (No.T0501).
文摘Influence of temperature on measurement of surface plasmon resonance （SPR） sensor was investigated. Samples with various concentrations of NaCl were tested at different temperatures. It was shown that if the affection of temperature could be neglected, measurement precision of salt solution was 0.028 wt.-%. But measurement error of salinity caused by temperature was 0.53 wt.-% in average when the temperature drift was 1 ℃. To reduce the error, a double-cell SPR sensor with salt solution and distilled water flowing respectively and at the same temperature was implemented.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 30970822)
文摘Pitot probes enable a simple and convenient way of measuring mean velocity in air flow. The contrastive numerical simulation between free supersonic airflow and pitot tube at different positions in supersonic air flow was performed using Navier-Stokes equations, the ENN scheme with time-dependent boundary conditions （TDBC） and the Spalart-Allmaras turbulence model. The physical experimental results including pitot pressure and shadowgraph are also presented. Numerical results coincide with the experimental data. The flow characteristics of the pitot probe on the supersonic flow structure show that the measure- ment gives actually the total pressure behind the detached shock wave by using the pitot probe to measure the total pressure. The measurement result of the distribution of the total pressure can still represent the real free jet flow. The similar features of the intersection and reflection of shock waves can be identified. The difference between the measurement results and the actual ones is smaller than 10%. When the pitot probe is used to measure the region of L=0-4D, the measurement is smaller than the real one due to the increase of the shock wave strength. The difference becomes larger where the waves intersect. If the pitot probe is put at L=SD-10D, where the flow changes from supersonic to subsonic, the addition of the pitot probe turns the original supersonic flow region subsonic and causes bigger measurement errors.
基金This research was financially supported by the Office of Science(BER),Department of Energy(DE-FG02-006ER64319)through the Midwestern Regional Center of the National Institute for Climatic Change Research at Michigan Technological University,under Award Number DE-FC02-06ER64158by National Science Foundation(DEB0078325 andDEB0743778).Themodel runswere performed at the Supercomputing Center for Education&Research(OSCER),University of Oklahoma.
文摘Aims Accurate forecast of ecosystem states is critical for improving natural resourcemanagement and climate change mitigation.Assimilating observed data into models is an effective way to reduce uncertainties in ecological forecasting.However,influences ofmeasurement errors on parameter estimation and forecasted state changes have not been carefully examined.This study analyzed the parameter identifiability of a process-based ecosystem carbon cycle model,the sensitivity of parameter estimates and model forecasts to the magnitudes of measurement errors and the information contributions of the assimilated data to model forecasts with a data assimilation approach.Methods We applied a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to assimilate eight biometric data sets into the Terrestrial ECOsystemmodel.The data were the observations of foliage biomass,wood biomass,fine root biomass,microbial biomass,litter fall,litter,soil carbon and soil respiration,collected at the Duke Forest free-air CO_(2)enrichment facilities from 1996 to 2005.Three levels ofmeasurement errorswere assigned to these data sets by halving and doubling their original standard deviations.Important Findings Results showed that only less than half of the 30 parameters could be constrained,though the observations were extensive and themodelwas relatively simple.Highermeasurement errors led to higher uncertainties in parameters estimates and forecasted carbon(C)pool sizes.The longterm predictions of the slow turnover pools were affected less by the measurement errors than those of fast turnover pools.Assimilated data contributed less information for the pools with long residence times in long-term forecasts.These results indicate the residence times of C pools played a key role in regulating propagation of errors from measurements to model forecasts in a data assimilation system.Improving the estimation of parameters of slowturnover C pools is the key to better forecast long-term ecosystem C dynamics.
基金supported by the National Nature Science Foundation of China under Grant No.10871084Macquarie University Safety Net grant
文摘This work studies a proportional hazards model for survival data with ＂long-term survivors＂, in which covariates are subject to linear measurement error. It is well known that the naive estimators from both partial and full likelihood methods are inconsistent under this measurement error model. For measurement error models, methods of unbiased estimating function and corrected likelihood have been proposed in the literature. In this paper, we apply the corrected partial and full likelihood approaches to estimate the model and obtain statistical inference from survival data with long-term survivors. The asymptotic properties of the estimators are established. Simulation results illustrate that the proposed approaches provide useful tools for the models considered.
基金This work was financially supported by the“National Key Research and Development Program of China”under Project No.2016YFC0502403the“National Natural Science Foundation of China”under Project No.41230746 and No.51621061.
文摘Runoff plots are widely used worldwide to monitor water and soil losses.Sediment concentration in runoff collection tank is measured by stirring-sampling procedure,but this method may produce high measurement error due to the uneven mixing of collected sediments with water and soil particle deposition.This study aimed to identify the relationship between actual and measured sediment concentrations,so as to estimate the systematic error of sediment concentration measurement from runoff collection tank by traditional stirring-sampling procedure and the possibility to eliminate it.Four major soils including black soil,silt loess,clay loess,and purple soil in China were used to determine the correlation between the measured and designed sediment concentrations in laboratory.Tested sediment concentration was 1,2,5,8,10,20,50,80,100,200,500,800,and 1000 kg/m^(3),and total sediment-laden water volume was 50 L and 100 L.Five samples were collected successively from collection tank for each treatment and their sediment concentrations were measured by conventional oven-drying method.The results showed that all the measured sediment concentration values were smaller than the designed ones,but both the measured and designed values were linearly correlated significantly with determination coefficients greater than 0.8,generally.In the whole tested concentration range,the systematical error was-0.19 to-319.95 kg/m^(3) and relative error was 0.30%-84.5% for the 4 tested soils and 2 total sediment-laden water volumes.These results indicated a necessity and possibility to correct conventional sediment concentration measurement value.The result is usable to assess and correct the measurement error of sediment concentrations from traditional runoff plot.
基金supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology of China(2019YFE0100200)funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51807108,51877121,52037006)。
文摘The safety monitoring of lithium-ion batteries(LIBs) is of great significance for realizing all-climate and full-lifespan battery management. In-situ measurement of anode potential with implanted reference electrodes(REs) has proven to be effective to monitor and avoid the occurrence of severe side reactions like Li plating to ensure the safe and fast charging. However, the intrinsic measurement errors caused by local blocking effects, which also can be referred to as potential artefacts, are seldom taken into consideration in existing studies, yet they highly dominate the correctness of conclusions inferred from REs. In this study, aiming at exploring the physical origin of the measurement errors and ensure reliable potential monitoring, electrochemical and post-mortem tests are conducted using commercial pouch cells with implanted REs. Corresponding electrochemical model which describes the blocking effects, is established to validate the abnormal absence of lithium plating that predicted by measured anode potentials under various charging rates. Theoretical derivation is further presented to explain the error sources, which can be attributed to increased local liquid potential of the RE position. Most importantly, with the guidance of error analysis, a novel parameter-independent error correction method for RE measurements is proposed for the first time, which is proven to be adequate to estimate the real anode potentials and deduce the critical C-rate of Li plating with extra safety margin. After error correction, the resulting critical C-rates are all within the range of 0.55 ± 0.03 C, which is close to the C-rate of 0.6–0.7 C obtained from experiments. In addition, this error correction method can be performed conveniently with only some simple RE measurements of polarization voltages, totally independent of battery electrochemical and geometric parameters. This study provides highly practical error correction method for RE measurements in real LIBs, substantially facilitating the fast diagnosis and safety evaluation of Li plating during charging of LIBs.
