This paper presents an analysis of spatial and temporal variation of rainfall and thunderstorm occurrence over Ken-ya from January 1987 to December 2017.The meteorological data used were obtained from the Kenya Meteor...This paper presents an analysis of spatial and temporal variation of rainfall and thunderstorm occurrence over Ken-ya from January 1987 to December 2017.The meteorological data used were obtained from the Kenya Meteorological Department(KMD)for the same period.This included the monthly thunderstorm occurrences and rainfall amounts of 26 synoptic stations across the country.The characteristics of monthly,seasonal and annual frequency results were presented on spatial maps while Time series graphs were used to display the pattern for annual cycle,seasonal varia-tions and the inter-annual variability of rainfall amounts and thunderstorm occurrences.A well-known non-parametric statistical method Mann Kendall(MK)trend test was used to determine and compare the statistical significance of the trends.Thunderstorm frequencies over the Eastern,Central and Coast regions of the country showed a bimodal pattern with high frequencies coinciding with March-April-May(MAM)and October-November-December(OND)rainy sea-sons.Very few thunderstorm days were detected over June-July-August(JJA)season.The areas to the western part of the country,near Lake Victoria,had the highest thunderstorm frequencies in the country over the three seasons:MAM,JJAS and OND.The annual frequency showed a quasi-unimodal pattern.These places near Lake Victoria showed sig-nificantly increasing thunderstorm trends during the MAM and OND seasons irrespective of the rainfall trends.This shows the effects of Lake Victoria over these areas,and it acts as a continuous source of moisture for thunderstorm for-mation.However,most stations across the country showed a reducing trend of thunderstorm frequency during MAM and JJA seasons.The importance of these findings is that they could support various policy makers,and users of cli-mate information,especially in the agriculture and aviation industries.展开更多
The Lightning Imaging Sensor(LIS)and Radar Precipitation Feature(RPF)data are used to investigate the activities and properties of lightning and thunderstorms over a region including the Western Pacific,northern India...The Lightning Imaging Sensor(LIS)and Radar Precipitation Feature(RPF)data are used to investigate the activities and properties of lightning and thunderstorms over a region including the Western Pacific,northern Indian Ocean and the South China Sea along with their adjacent lands.The lands feature significantly more frequent lightning flashes and thunderstorms than the oceans,especially the open oceans.The highest densities of lightning and thunderstorm occur over the Strait of Malacca and the southern foothills of the Himalayas.Over the ocean regions,the Bay of Bengal and the South China Sea are characterized by relatively frequent lightning and thunderstorm activities.Larger average spatiotemporal size and optical radiance of flashes can be found over the oceans;specifically,the offshore area features the most significant flash duration,and the open ocean area is characterized by the greatest flash length and optical radiance.The smallest average values of flash properties can be found over and around the Tibetan Plateau(TP).The oceanic thunderstorms tend to have a significantly larger horizontal extent than the continental thunderstorms,with the former and latter having the average area of the regions with radar reflectivity larger than 20 dBZ,generally over 7000 km^(2) and commonly below 6000 km^(2),respectively.The TP thunderstorms show the smallest horizontal extent.Meanwhile,the oceanic thunderstorms exhibit greater 20 dBZ but smaller 40 dBZ top heights than the continental thunderstorms.The average flash frequency and density of the oceanic thunderstorms are typically less than 5 fl min^(-1) and 0.3 fl 100 km^(-2) min^(-1),respectively;in contrast,the corresponding values of continental thunderstorms are greater.It is explored that the regions associated with strong convective thunderstorms are more likely to feature small-horizontal-extent and low-radiance flashes.展开更多
The loss of three-dimensional atmospheric electric field(3DAEF)data has a negative impact on thunderstorm detection.This paper proposes a method for thunderstorm point charge path recovery.Based on the relation-ship b...The loss of three-dimensional atmospheric electric field(3DAEF)data has a negative impact on thunderstorm detection.This paper proposes a method for thunderstorm point charge path recovery.Based on the relation-ship between a point charge and 3DAEF,we derive corresponding localization formulae by establishing a point charge localization model.Generally,point charge movement paths are obtained after fitting time series localization results.However,AEF data losses make it difficult to fit and visualize paths.Therefore,using available AEF data without loss as input,we design a hybrid model combining the convolutional neural network(CNN)and bi-directional long short-term memory(BiLSTM)to predict and recover the lost AEF.As paths are not present during sunny weather,we propose an extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)model combined with a stacked autoencoder(SAE)to further determine the weather conditions of the recovered AEF.Specifically,historical AEF data of known weathers are input into SAE-XGBoost to obtain the distribution of predicted values(PVs).With threshold adjustments to reduce the negative effects of invalid PVs on SAE-XGBoost,PV intervals corresponding to different weathers are acquired.The recovered AEF is then input into the fixed SAE-XGBoost model.Whether paths need to be fitted is determined by the interval to which the output PV belongs.The results confirm that the proposed method can effectively recover point charge paths,with a maximum path deviation of approximately 0.018 km and a determination coefficient of 94.17%.This method provides a valid reference for visual thunderstorm monitoring.展开更多
Continuous thunderstorm occurring at Qingdao Airport in China from August 7 to 13,2022 was analyzed based on sounding data.The weather was divided into thunderstorm gale,thunderstorm and heavy precipitation,and some p...Continuous thunderstorm occurring at Qingdao Airport in China from August 7 to 13,2022 was analyzed based on sounding data.The weather was divided into thunderstorm gale,thunderstorm and heavy precipitation,and some physical quantities and time variables which can effectively identify severe convective weather types were preliminarily obtained.The results show that CAPE was sensitive to different types of weather,but the uncertainty was relatively large.Convective temperature T_(CON),temperature difference between 500 and 850 hPa,and vertical wind shear can distinguish thunderstorm gale,thunderstorm and heavy precipitation weather obviously.Besides,K index,Showalter index,θ_(se) difference between 500 and 850 hPa were also important basis to distinguish thunderstorm and heavy precipitation weather.Thunderstorm gale can be distinguished by the 24-hour variations of K index,and the difference of dew point between 500 and 850 hPa.The 24-hour variations of(T-T_(d))_(500) and vertical wind shear can be used to distinguish between heavy precipitation and thunderstorm weather;the 24-hour variation of stratification stability Δθ_(se) can distinguish the three kinds of weather well.For the wind field,the existence of vertical wind shear was required for strong convective weather,and the 24-hour increment of thunderstorm gale and thunderstorm was larger than that of heavy precipitation.展开更多
The observation, in the past, that a thunderstorm perturbed the transmissions of an old vacuum tubes radio with noise discharges in correspondence with lightnings, suggested the possibility of radio-acoustic study of ...The observation, in the past, that a thunderstorm perturbed the transmissions of an old vacuum tubes radio with noise discharges in correspondence with lightnings, suggested the possibility of radio-acoustic study of thunderstorms. The noise discharges appeared to convey not only information about lightnings, but also about any other thunderstorm electromagnetic phenomena generating noise discharges. The low-cost instrumentation involved in the radio-acoustic study, comprised a radio Telefunken mod. T33B, a 15 m long indoor wire antenna, a mobile telephone Samsung Galaxy S20 FE 5G provided with the recorder App Enregistreur vocal, a computer HP Pavillion dv5-1254eg and the s/w audio analyser Audacity. A first thunderstorm on 20 June 2023 and a second thunderstorm on 22 June 2023, both above Munich, were radio-acoustic studied. The second thunderstorm was more active than the first and released much more energy.展开更多
The inefficiency of the aviation industry and the persistent rise in aviation hazards have been linked to weather phenomena.As a result,researchers are looking for better solutions to the problem.The study examined th...The inefficiency of the aviation industry and the persistent rise in aviation hazards have been linked to weather phenomena.As a result,researchers are looking for better solutions to the problem.The study examined the impact of thunderstorms on flight operations at Murtala Mohammed International Airport,Lagos.The data on thunderstorms and flight operations were sourced from Nigerian Meteorological Agency(NiMet)and Nigerian Airspace Management Agency(NAMA)respectively.In order to meet the research target,descriptive statistics(mean,standard deviation,and charts)and inferential statistics(Pearson’s Product Moment Correlation(PPMC)and Regression)were used.The significance level for all inferential analyses was set at 5%(0.05).The study revealed that 77.4%of thunderstorms occurred during the rainy season(April-October)while 22.6%occurred during the dry season(November-March).It also revealed some fluctuating movements of a thunderstorm in the study area.According to the findings,thunderstorms occur most frequently at the airport in June and less frequently in January and December.The study also discovered that thunderstorms at the airport are positively and significantly related to flight delays and cancellations,while the association between flight diversions and thunderstorm occurrence is positive but statistically insignificant.Furthermore,flight delays,flight diversions,and flight cancellations interact positively among themselves.The regression result of the study revealed that a 1%increase in thunderstorm occurrence leads to a 19.4%increase in flight delay,a 7.1%increase in flight cancellation,and a 4.3%increase in flight diversion.As a result,the study presented various regression models that may be utilized to make predictions.The study proposes consistent thunderstorm observation at the airport and steady forecasts using the regression models,based on the findings.However,it further recommends that pilots,air traffic controllers,and meteorologists be trained and retrained so that they can provide better and more efficient services.展开更多
The LS-SVM(Least squares support vector machine) method is presented to set up a model to forecast the occurrence of thunderstorms in the Nanjing area by combining NCEP FNL Operational Global Analysis data on 1.0°...The LS-SVM(Least squares support vector machine) method is presented to set up a model to forecast the occurrence of thunderstorms in the Nanjing area by combining NCEP FNL Operational Global Analysis data on 1.0°×1.0° grids and cloud-to-ground lightning data observed with a lightning location system in Jiangsu province during 2007-2008.A dataset with 642 samples,including 195 thunderstorm samples and 447 non-thunderstorm samples,are randomly divided into two groups,one(having 386 samples) for modeling and the rest for independent verification.The predictors are atmospheric instability parameters which can be obtained from the NCEP data and the predictand is the occurrence of thunderstorms observed by the lightning location system.Preliminary applications to the independent samples for a 6-hour forecast of thunderstorm events show that the prediction correction rate of this model is 78.26%,false alarm rate is 21.74%,and forecasting technical score is 0.61,all better than those from either linear regression or artificial neural network.展开更多
Data loss or distortion causes adverse effects on the accuracy and stability of the thunderstorm point charge localization.To solve this problem,we propose a data complementary method based on the atmospheric electric...Data loss or distortion causes adverse effects on the accuracy and stability of the thunderstorm point charge localization.To solve this problem,we propose a data complementary method based on the atmospheric electric field apparatus array group.The electric field component measurement model of the atmospheric electric field apparatus is established,and the orientation parameters of the thunderstorm point charge are defined.Based on the mirror method,the thunderstorm point charge coordinates are obtained by using the potential distribution formulas.To test the validity of the basic algorithm,the electric field component measurement error and the localization accuracy are studied.Besides the azimuth angle and the elevation angle,the localization parameters also include the distance from the apparatus to the thunderstorm cloud.Based on a primary electric field apparatus,we establish the array group of apparatuses.Based on this,the data measured by each apparatus is complementarily processed to regain the thunderstorm point charge position.The results show that,compared with the radar map data,this method can accurately reflect the location of the thunderstorm point charge,and has a better localization effect.Additionally,several observation results during thunderstorm weather have been presented.展开更多
Simultaneous observations for the total column densities of NO2,O3 and H2O were carried on using the portable Spectrometer (438-450 nm and 400-450 nm) and the visible Spectrometer (544.4-628 nm) during premonsoon thun...Simultaneous observations for the total column densities of NO2,O3 and H2O were carried on using the portable Spectrometer (438-450 nm and 400-450 nm) and the visible Spectrometer (544.4-628 nm) during premonsoon thunderstorms and embedded hail storm activity at Pune (18°32’N & 73°51’E),India.These observations confirm the fact that there is an increase in O3 and NO2 column densities during thunderstorms.The increase in O3 was observed following onset of thunderstorm,while the increase in NO2 was observed only after the thunder flashes occur.This implies that the production mechanisms for O3 and NO2 in thunderstorm are different.The observed column density of NO,value (1 to 3×1017molecules cm-2) during thunderstorm activity is 10 to 30 times higher than the value (1×10th molecules cm-2) of a normal day total column density.The spectrometric observations and observations of thunder flashes by electric field meter showed that 6.4×1025molecules/flash of NO2 are produced.The increased to-oil column展开更多
A thunderstorm tracking algorithm is proposed to nowcast the possibility of lightning activity over an area of concern by using the total lightning data and neighborhood technique.The lightning radiation sources obser...A thunderstorm tracking algorithm is proposed to nowcast the possibility of lightning activity over an area of concern by using the total lightning data and neighborhood technique.The lightning radiation sources observed from the Beijing Lightning Network(BLNET)were used to obtain information about the thunderstorm cells,which are significantly valuable in real-time.The boundaries of thunderstorm cells were obtained through the neighborhood technique.After smoothing,these boundaries were used to track the movement of thunderstorms and then extrapolated to nowcast the lightning approaching in an area of concern.The algorithm can deliver creditable results prior to a thunderstorm arriving at the area of concern,with accuracies of 63%,80%,and 91%for lead times of 30,15,and 5 minutes,respectively.The real-time observations of total lightning appear to be significant for thunderstorm tracking and lightning nowcasting,as total lightning tracking could help to fill the observational gaps in radar reflectivity due to the attenuation by hills or other obstacles.The lightning data used in the algorithm performs well in tracking the active thunderstorm cells associated with lightning activities.展开更多
[Objective] The research aimed to study the activity characteristics and climate rule of thunderstorm in Fujian Province.[Method] Based on the daily thunderstorm data in 67 meteorological stations of Fujian Province d...[Objective] The research aimed to study the activity characteristics and climate rule of thunderstorm in Fujian Province.[Method] Based on the daily thunderstorm data in 67 meteorological stations of Fujian Province during 1960-2007,the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of thunderstorm in Fujian Province were analyzed by using the climate tendency rate,the trend coefficient and so on.[Result] The distribution of thunderstorm days showed the northeast-southwest direction and increased gradually from the coast to the inland in Fujian Province during 1960-2007.The high value zone was in Longyan,and the thunderstorm days in the coastal islands were the fewest.The thunderstorm days had the obvious decrease trend in Fujian Province in 48 years.The decrease speeds in the central coastal area and most of inland mountain area were 3.5 and 4.5 d/10 a.The decrease speed was 5.5 d/10 a in the north of Ningde,the east of Sanming and some areas in Nanping.The trend coefficient variation of thunderstorm days had the obvious regional characteristic.Especially the decrease trend in the inland mountain area was more obvious than that in the coast.The decrease of thunderstorm day trend coefficient in the north of Nanping was the most,and the trend coefficient was-0.65.But the decrease trend in the central coastal area wasn't obvious,and the coefficient was only-0.15.The thunderstorm day had the obvious seasonal variation.The multi-occurrence period of thunderstorm was during March-september and reached the maximum value in August.Started from September,the thunderstorm quickly decreased.From October to February in next year,the thunderstorm happened seldom.The average first thunderstorm date in the northwest area was earlier than that in the southeast area.The difference of average final thunderstorm date in the north and south areas wasn't big.For the first thunderstorm date in the north and west of Fujian was early,and the final thunderstorm date was later,the thunderstorm activity time in the whole year was longer than that in the coast.They differed by nearly one month.[Conclusion] The research provided the scientific basis for the climate feasibility demonstration of major project items,provided the theory basis about the weather climate aspect for the thunder prevention and disaster reduction,and also laid the foundation for further studying the formation mechanism of thunderstorm in Fujian.展开更多
Thunderstorms of pre-monsoon season (April – May) over Kolkata (22° 32’N, 88° 20’E), India are invariably accompanied with lightning flashes, high wind gusts, torrential rainfall, occasional hail and torn...Thunderstorms of pre-monsoon season (April – May) over Kolkata (22° 32’N, 88° 20’E), India are invariably accompanied with lightning flashes, high wind gusts, torrential rainfall, occasional hail and tornadoes which significantly affect the life and property on the ground and aviation aloft. The societal and economic impact due to such storms made accurate prediction of the weather phenomenon a serious concern for the meteorologists of India. The initiation of such storms requires sufficient moisture in lower troposphere, high surface temperature, conditional instability and a source of lift to initiate the convection. Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is a measure of the energy realized when conditional instability is released. It plays an important role in meso-scale convective systems. Convective inhibition energy (CINE) on the other hand acts as a possible barrier to the release of convection even in the presence of high value of CAPE. The main idea of the present study is to see whether a consistent quantitative range of CAPE and CINE can be identified for the prevalence of such thunderstorms that may aid in operational forecast. A statistical – fuzzy coupled method is implemented for the purpose. The result reveals that a definite range of CINE within 0 – 150 Jkg-1 is reasonably pertinent whereas no such range of CAPE depicts any consistency for the occurrence of severe thunderstorms over Kolkata. The measure of CINE mainly depends upon the altitude of the level of free convection (LFC), surface temperature (T) and surface mixing ratio (q). The box-and-whisker plot of LFC, T and q are drawn to select the most dependable parameter for the consistency of CINE in the prevalence of such thunderstorms. The skills of the parameters are evaluated through skill score analyses. The percentage error during validation with the observation of 2010 is estimated to be 0% for the range of CINE and 3.9% for CAPE.展开更多
This work discusses issues related to the impact of urbanization on the microphysical processes of precipitating systems associated with synoptic, mesoscale, and local scale systems. Among the issues addressed is the ...This work discusses issues related to the impact of urbanization on the microphysical processes of precipitating systems associated with synoptic, mesoscale, and local scale systems. Among the issues addressed is the impact of urban heat <span><span><span style="font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">island (UHI) in S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span></span>o Paulo city center and urban densification (UD) in the</span><span> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Metropolitan Area of S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span></span>o Paulo (MASP) on the microphysical, dynamic, and</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> thermodynamic properties and distribution of precipitation and heavier rainfall from sea-breeze (SB) e cold-front (CF) combined during their space-time evolutions. For this purpose, it used four components: classification of hydrometeors with fuzzy logic, calculation of the raindrop diameters, an estimate of liquid water mass and ice mass from polarimetric-variables measured with dual-pola- rization X-band meteorological radar. The results indicated that urban densification (UD) and heat island (UHI) of the S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span></span>o Paulo city center impact the formation of precipitation, liquid water mass, and ice mass, depth, and duration of </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">a thunderstorm. It was also observed the asymmetric configuration of the th</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">understorm is induced by the strong convergence in the S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span></span>o Paulo city center, and this strong convergence is induced by the intense heat island (UHI) in the S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span></span>o Paulo city center. Was also observed that this event that is formed in the Metropolitan Area of S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span>o Paulo (MASP) depends on microphysical processes of mixed-phase of the cloud (water and ice) above the 0<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#ffffff;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#ffffff;"="">°</span></span>C isotherm for the production of intense rain and cold pool at the surface. These important microphysical processes within long-lasting secondary convective cells over the S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span></span>o Paulo city center should be taken into account on convective parameterization schemes as well as the associated cold pool dynamics.</span></span></span></span>展开更多
The influences of large areas of semi-unbounded cold water surface on the evolution, propagation and precipitation production of thunderstorms are simulated by using a fully elastic three-dimensional numerical hailsto...The influences of large areas of semi-unbounded cold water surface on the evolution, propagation and precipitation production of thunderstorms are simulated by using a fully elastic three-dimensional numerical hailstorm model. Real sounding profiles for temperature, humidity and wind are employed. The model has successfully simulated the significant modification of the propagation path of thunderstorms near the cold water area. The path change can be either’ along-bank’ or’ toward-bank’, depending on the position of the storm system relative to convergence zone of the water-land circulation. The simulations also show that thunderstorms developing or propagating within the convergence zone of local circulation will be intensified and produce much heavier hail, whereas those over cold water surface or the air that has been cooled by the water will be strongly inhibited.The influence of the cold water surface on thunderstorm characters is largely dependent upon the direction and intensity of the展开更多
During the process of thunderstorm in a county on June 23,2015,eight mobile base stations in the region were damaged.The reasons for the damage caused by the thunderstorm were discussed through on-the-spot investigati...During the process of thunderstorm in a county on June 23,2015,eight mobile base stations in the region were damaged.The reasons for the damage caused by the thunderstorm were discussed through on-the-spot investigation,and some countermeasures were proposed.展开更多
[Objective]The research aimed to study climatic characteristics of the thunderstorm days in Heze in recent 51 years. [Method] Using observation data of the thunderstorm days in Heze from 1961 to 2011, interannual and ...[Objective]The research aimed to study climatic characteristics of the thunderstorm days in Heze in recent 51 years. [Method] Using observation data of the thunderstorm days in Heze from 1961 to 2011, interannual and monthly change characteristics of the thunderstorm days, change trends of the first and final dates, interannual stage distribution were analyzed. [Result] Annual average thunderstorm days in Heze was 25 d. As decade increase, thunderstorm days decreased at 1.9 d/10 a. Thunderstorm days concentrated from April to September, and occurred most often in July. The minimum days from first date to final date was 86 d, and the most days was 264 d. Average first date of the thunderstorm was on April 16, and final date was on September 16. Climatic characteristics of the thunderstorm had significant stage. [Conclusion] The research provided scientific basis for prediction, assessment, prevention and reduction of the thunderstorm disaster in Heze.展开更多
In this paper,the clustering analysis is applied to the satellite image segmentation,and a cloud-based thunderstorm cloud recognition method is proposed in combination with the strong cloud computing power.The method ...In this paper,the clustering analysis is applied to the satellite image segmentation,and a cloud-based thunderstorm cloud recognition method is proposed in combination with the strong cloud computing power.The method firstly adopts the fuzzy C-means clustering(FCM)to obtain the satellite cloud image segmentation.Secondly,in the cloud image,we dispose the‘high-density connected’pixels in the same cloud clusters and the‘low-density connected’pixels in different cloud clusters.Therefore,we apply the DBSCAN algorithm to the cloud image obtained in the first step to realize cloud cluster knowledge.Finally,using the method of spectral threshold recognition and texture feature recognition in the steps of cloud clusters,thunderstorm cloud clusters are quickly and accurately identified.The experimental results show that cluster analysis has high research and application value in the segmentation processing of meteorological satellite cloud images.展开更多
Based on conventional data from automatic stations in Shanghai City,data of temperature of black body(TBB) obtained by Japan MTSAT satellite,Doppler radar data of Nantong,and 1.0°× 1.0° NCEP reanalysis ...Based on conventional data from automatic stations in Shanghai City,data of temperature of black body(TBB) obtained by Japan MTSAT satellite,Doppler radar data of Nantong,and 1.0°× 1.0° NCEP reanalysis data,the development characteristics and triggering mechanisms of a mesoscale thunderstorm process in Shanghai on June 23,2013 were analyzed. The results show that the thunderstorm process was triggered by flow fields at high and low altitudes and the transport of sufficient water vapor at low altitudes.展开更多
[Objective] The research aimed to study the establishment of a kind of three-dimensional thunderstorm cloud electrification-discharge mode.[Method] Based on a kind of three-dimensional strong convective cloud mode,sev...[Objective] The research aimed to study the establishment of a kind of three-dimensional thunderstorm cloud electrification-discharge mode.[Method] Based on a kind of three-dimensional strong convective cloud mode,several parameterization schemes of electrification-discharge mechanism which were mature and had experimental basis were coupled into the strong convective cloud mode.The three-dimensional strong convective mode could simulate electrification-discharge process,and the three-dimensional thunderstorm cloud electrification-discharge mode was established.[Result] By numerical simulation method,a kind of three-dimensional thunderstorm cloud electrification-discharge mode was established.The mode not only could assess the relative importance of various kinds of electrification mechanisms under different environments,but also described formation of charge center and electrical field within the thunderstorm cloud,occurrence position,propagation process and influence on charge distribution of lightning.The most important thing was that it could quantitatively describe the complicated relative relationships between power,microphysics and electric process in the evolution process of thunderstorm cloud.[Conclusion] The research provided powerful foundation for further studying the lightning characteristics of different thunderstorm clouds,the relationships between lightning characteristics and power,microphysical process,and deeply discussing the early-warning forecasting technology of thunderbolt activity.展开更多
[Objective] The research aimed to analyze an easterly wave thunderstorm and gale weather during the latter flood season of 2010.[Method] Based on conventional observation data,data of automatic station,NCEP 1°...[Objective] The research aimed to analyze an easterly wave thunderstorm and gale weather during the latter flood season of 2010.[Method] Based on conventional observation data,data of automatic station,NCEP 1°×1° reanalysis data,Doppler radar reflectivity and radial velocity data,the easterly wave thunderstorm and gale weather process which happened during 4-5 August,2010 was analyzed.The circulation situation,wind field and dynamic & thermal structures of easterly wave,echo characteristics of Doppler radar when thunderstorm and gale happened were studied.[Result] The thunderstorm and gale weather happened in the northeaster zone in front of the deep thick easterly wave trough.When thunderstorm and gale weather happened,position of the subtropical high was by north(ridge line was at 35° N).Eastward movement of the north branch of trough compelled subtropical high splitting into east and west circles.Westward extension of the east subtropical high and saddle-type field circulation were favorable for generation and development of the easterly wave.As development and westward movement of the easterly wave,in the influence zone in front of the trough,upper easterly component transmitted downward.Then,low-level northeaster obviously strengthened,and thunderstorm and gale weather appeared.In the zone where thunderstorm and gale happened,airflow had cyclonic convergence at the middle and low layers and anti-cyclonic divergence near the ground layer.Subsidence movement was obvious.Moreover,thermal force structure that it tended to be dry and cold at the middle and high layers,warm and wet at the low layer existed.Supercell storm was at the developed stage on 4th.It had obvious mesocyclone and hooked echo characteristics(meso-and small-scale characteristics).Characteristics of the squall line,gale region and adverse wind region appeared in central west Guangdong on 5th.Doppler characteristics of the mesocyclone,hooked echo,squall line,gale region and adverse wind region had indication significance for short-imminent forecast of the thunderstorm and gale.[Conclusion] This research revealed some information which had significance for forecasting local easterly wave thunderstorm and gale weather.展开更多
文摘This paper presents an analysis of spatial and temporal variation of rainfall and thunderstorm occurrence over Ken-ya from January 1987 to December 2017.The meteorological data used were obtained from the Kenya Meteorological Department(KMD)for the same period.This included the monthly thunderstorm occurrences and rainfall amounts of 26 synoptic stations across the country.The characteristics of monthly,seasonal and annual frequency results were presented on spatial maps while Time series graphs were used to display the pattern for annual cycle,seasonal varia-tions and the inter-annual variability of rainfall amounts and thunderstorm occurrences.A well-known non-parametric statistical method Mann Kendall(MK)trend test was used to determine and compare the statistical significance of the trends.Thunderstorm frequencies over the Eastern,Central and Coast regions of the country showed a bimodal pattern with high frequencies coinciding with March-April-May(MAM)and October-November-December(OND)rainy sea-sons.Very few thunderstorm days were detected over June-July-August(JJA)season.The areas to the western part of the country,near Lake Victoria,had the highest thunderstorm frequencies in the country over the three seasons:MAM,JJAS and OND.The annual frequency showed a quasi-unimodal pattern.These places near Lake Victoria showed sig-nificantly increasing thunderstorm trends during the MAM and OND seasons irrespective of the rainfall trends.This shows the effects of Lake Victoria over these areas,and it acts as a continuous source of moisture for thunderstorm for-mation.However,most stations across the country showed a reducing trend of thunderstorm frequency during MAM and JJA seasons.The importance of these findings is that they could support various policy makers,and users of cli-mate information,especially in the agriculture and aviation industries.
基金National Key Research and Development Program of China(2019YFC1510103)the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research(STEP)Program(2019QZKK0104)。
文摘The Lightning Imaging Sensor(LIS)and Radar Precipitation Feature(RPF)data are used to investigate the activities and properties of lightning and thunderstorms over a region including the Western Pacific,northern Indian Ocean and the South China Sea along with their adjacent lands.The lands feature significantly more frequent lightning flashes and thunderstorms than the oceans,especially the open oceans.The highest densities of lightning and thunderstorm occur over the Strait of Malacca and the southern foothills of the Himalayas.Over the ocean regions,the Bay of Bengal and the South China Sea are characterized by relatively frequent lightning and thunderstorm activities.Larger average spatiotemporal size and optical radiance of flashes can be found over the oceans;specifically,the offshore area features the most significant flash duration,and the open ocean area is characterized by the greatest flash length and optical radiance.The smallest average values of flash properties can be found over and around the Tibetan Plateau(TP).The oceanic thunderstorms tend to have a significantly larger horizontal extent than the continental thunderstorms,with the former and latter having the average area of the regions with radar reflectivity larger than 20 dBZ,generally over 7000 km^(2) and commonly below 6000 km^(2),respectively.The TP thunderstorms show the smallest horizontal extent.Meanwhile,the oceanic thunderstorms exhibit greater 20 dBZ but smaller 40 dBZ top heights than the continental thunderstorms.The average flash frequency and density of the oceanic thunderstorms are typically less than 5 fl min^(-1) and 0.3 fl 100 km^(-2) min^(-1),respectively;in contrast,the corresponding values of continental thunderstorms are greater.It is explored that the regions associated with strong convective thunderstorms are more likely to feature small-horizontal-extent and low-radiance flashes.
基金supported by a grant from State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System,the National Natural Science Foundation of China,Grant Number 42201053the Program of China Scholarship Council,Grant Number 202209040027the Postgraduate Research&Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province,Grant Number KYCX21_1000,which are highly appreciated by the authors.
文摘The loss of three-dimensional atmospheric electric field(3DAEF)data has a negative impact on thunderstorm detection.This paper proposes a method for thunderstorm point charge path recovery.Based on the relation-ship between a point charge and 3DAEF,we derive corresponding localization formulae by establishing a point charge localization model.Generally,point charge movement paths are obtained after fitting time series localization results.However,AEF data losses make it difficult to fit and visualize paths.Therefore,using available AEF data without loss as input,we design a hybrid model combining the convolutional neural network(CNN)and bi-directional long short-term memory(BiLSTM)to predict and recover the lost AEF.As paths are not present during sunny weather,we propose an extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)model combined with a stacked autoencoder(SAE)to further determine the weather conditions of the recovered AEF.Specifically,historical AEF data of known weathers are input into SAE-XGBoost to obtain the distribution of predicted values(PVs).With threshold adjustments to reduce the negative effects of invalid PVs on SAE-XGBoost,PV intervals corresponding to different weathers are acquired.The recovered AEF is then input into the fixed SAE-XGBoost model.Whether paths need to be fitted is determined by the interval to which the output PV belongs.The results confirm that the proposed method can effectively recover point charge paths,with a maximum path deviation of approximately 0.018 km and a determination coefficient of 94.17%.This method provides a valid reference for visual thunderstorm monitoring.
文摘Continuous thunderstorm occurring at Qingdao Airport in China from August 7 to 13,2022 was analyzed based on sounding data.The weather was divided into thunderstorm gale,thunderstorm and heavy precipitation,and some physical quantities and time variables which can effectively identify severe convective weather types were preliminarily obtained.The results show that CAPE was sensitive to different types of weather,but the uncertainty was relatively large.Convective temperature T_(CON),temperature difference between 500 and 850 hPa,and vertical wind shear can distinguish thunderstorm gale,thunderstorm and heavy precipitation weather obviously.Besides,K index,Showalter index,θ_(se) difference between 500 and 850 hPa were also important basis to distinguish thunderstorm and heavy precipitation weather.Thunderstorm gale can be distinguished by the 24-hour variations of K index,and the difference of dew point between 500 and 850 hPa.The 24-hour variations of(T-T_(d))_(500) and vertical wind shear can be used to distinguish between heavy precipitation and thunderstorm weather;the 24-hour variation of stratification stability Δθ_(se) can distinguish the three kinds of weather well.For the wind field,the existence of vertical wind shear was required for strong convective weather,and the 24-hour increment of thunderstorm gale and thunderstorm was larger than that of heavy precipitation.
文摘The observation, in the past, that a thunderstorm perturbed the transmissions of an old vacuum tubes radio with noise discharges in correspondence with lightnings, suggested the possibility of radio-acoustic study of thunderstorms. The noise discharges appeared to convey not only information about lightnings, but also about any other thunderstorm electromagnetic phenomena generating noise discharges. The low-cost instrumentation involved in the radio-acoustic study, comprised a radio Telefunken mod. T33B, a 15 m long indoor wire antenna, a mobile telephone Samsung Galaxy S20 FE 5G provided with the recorder App Enregistreur vocal, a computer HP Pavillion dv5-1254eg and the s/w audio analyser Audacity. A first thunderstorm on 20 June 2023 and a second thunderstorm on 22 June 2023, both above Munich, were radio-acoustic studied. The second thunderstorm was more active than the first and released much more energy.
文摘The inefficiency of the aviation industry and the persistent rise in aviation hazards have been linked to weather phenomena.As a result,researchers are looking for better solutions to the problem.The study examined the impact of thunderstorms on flight operations at Murtala Mohammed International Airport,Lagos.The data on thunderstorms and flight operations were sourced from Nigerian Meteorological Agency(NiMet)and Nigerian Airspace Management Agency(NAMA)respectively.In order to meet the research target,descriptive statistics(mean,standard deviation,and charts)and inferential statistics(Pearson’s Product Moment Correlation(PPMC)and Regression)were used.The significance level for all inferential analyses was set at 5%(0.05).The study revealed that 77.4%of thunderstorms occurred during the rainy season(April-October)while 22.6%occurred during the dry season(November-March).It also revealed some fluctuating movements of a thunderstorm in the study area.According to the findings,thunderstorms occur most frequently at the airport in June and less frequently in January and December.The study also discovered that thunderstorms at the airport are positively and significantly related to flight delays and cancellations,while the association between flight diversions and thunderstorm occurrence is positive but statistically insignificant.Furthermore,flight delays,flight diversions,and flight cancellations interact positively among themselves.The regression result of the study revealed that a 1%increase in thunderstorm occurrence leads to a 19.4%increase in flight delay,a 7.1%increase in flight cancellation,and a 4.3%increase in flight diversion.As a result,the study presented various regression models that may be utilized to make predictions.The study proposes consistent thunderstorm observation at the airport and steady forecasts using the regression models,based on the findings.However,it further recommends that pilots,air traffic controllers,and meteorologists be trained and retrained so that they can provide better and more efficient services.
基金China Social Welfare Research Project (GYHY200806014)
文摘The LS-SVM(Least squares support vector machine) method is presented to set up a model to forecast the occurrence of thunderstorms in the Nanjing area by combining NCEP FNL Operational Global Analysis data on 1.0°×1.0° grids and cloud-to-ground lightning data observed with a lightning location system in Jiangsu province during 2007-2008.A dataset with 642 samples,including 195 thunderstorm samples and 447 non-thunderstorm samples,are randomly divided into two groups,one(having 386 samples) for modeling and the rest for independent verification.The predictors are atmospheric instability parameters which can be obtained from the NCEP data and the predictand is the occurrence of thunderstorms observed by the lightning location system.Preliminary applications to the independent samples for a 6-hour forecast of thunderstorm events show that the prediction correction rate of this model is 78.26%,false alarm rate is 21.74%,and forecasting technical score is 0.61,all better than those from either linear regression or artificial neural network.
基金This work is supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2021YFE0105500)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.61671248)+2 种基金the Key Research and Development Plan of Jiangsu Province,China(Grant No.BE2018719)Postgraduate Research and Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province(Grant No.SJCX19_0309)the Advantage Discipline Information and Communication Engineering of Jiangsu Province,China.
文摘Data loss or distortion causes adverse effects on the accuracy and stability of the thunderstorm point charge localization.To solve this problem,we propose a data complementary method based on the atmospheric electric field apparatus array group.The electric field component measurement model of the atmospheric electric field apparatus is established,and the orientation parameters of the thunderstorm point charge are defined.Based on the mirror method,the thunderstorm point charge coordinates are obtained by using the potential distribution formulas.To test the validity of the basic algorithm,the electric field component measurement error and the localization accuracy are studied.Besides the azimuth angle and the elevation angle,the localization parameters also include the distance from the apparatus to the thunderstorm cloud.Based on a primary electric field apparatus,we establish the array group of apparatuses.Based on this,the data measured by each apparatus is complementarily processed to regain the thunderstorm point charge position.The results show that,compared with the radar map data,this method can accurately reflect the location of the thunderstorm point charge,and has a better localization effect.Additionally,several observation results during thunderstorm weather have been presented.
文摘Simultaneous observations for the total column densities of NO2,O3 and H2O were carried on using the portable Spectrometer (438-450 nm and 400-450 nm) and the visible Spectrometer (544.4-628 nm) during premonsoon thunderstorms and embedded hail storm activity at Pune (18°32’N & 73°51’E),India.These observations confirm the fact that there is an increase in O3 and NO2 column densities during thunderstorms.The increase in O3 was observed following onset of thunderstorm,while the increase in NO2 was observed only after the thunder flashes occur.This implies that the production mechanisms for O3 and NO2 in thunderstorm are different.The observed column density of NO,value (1 to 3×1017molecules cm-2) during thunderstorm activity is 10 to 30 times higher than the value (1×10th molecules cm-2) of a normal day total column density.The spectrometric observations and observations of thunder flashes by electric field meter showed that 6.4×1025molecules/flash of NO2 are produced.The increased to-oil column
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41630425,41761144074 and 41875007)supported the researchthe Chinese Academy of Sciences for the CAS-PIFI fellowship grant。
文摘A thunderstorm tracking algorithm is proposed to nowcast the possibility of lightning activity over an area of concern by using the total lightning data and neighborhood technique.The lightning radiation sources observed from the Beijing Lightning Network(BLNET)were used to obtain information about the thunderstorm cells,which are significantly valuable in real-time.The boundaries of thunderstorm cells were obtained through the neighborhood technique.After smoothing,these boundaries were used to track the movement of thunderstorms and then extrapolated to nowcast the lightning approaching in an area of concern.The algorithm can deliver creditable results prior to a thunderstorm arriving at the area of concern,with accuracies of 63%,80%,and 91%for lead times of 30,15,and 5 minutes,respectively.The real-time observations of total lightning appear to be significant for thunderstorm tracking and lightning nowcasting,as total lightning tracking could help to fill the observational gaps in radar reflectivity due to the attenuation by hills or other obstacles.The lightning data used in the algorithm performs well in tracking the active thunderstorm cells associated with lightning activities.
文摘[Objective] The research aimed to study the activity characteristics and climate rule of thunderstorm in Fujian Province.[Method] Based on the daily thunderstorm data in 67 meteorological stations of Fujian Province during 1960-2007,the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of thunderstorm in Fujian Province were analyzed by using the climate tendency rate,the trend coefficient and so on.[Result] The distribution of thunderstorm days showed the northeast-southwest direction and increased gradually from the coast to the inland in Fujian Province during 1960-2007.The high value zone was in Longyan,and the thunderstorm days in the coastal islands were the fewest.The thunderstorm days had the obvious decrease trend in Fujian Province in 48 years.The decrease speeds in the central coastal area and most of inland mountain area were 3.5 and 4.5 d/10 a.The decrease speed was 5.5 d/10 a in the north of Ningde,the east of Sanming and some areas in Nanping.The trend coefficient variation of thunderstorm days had the obvious regional characteristic.Especially the decrease trend in the inland mountain area was more obvious than that in the coast.The decrease of thunderstorm day trend coefficient in the north of Nanping was the most,and the trend coefficient was-0.65.But the decrease trend in the central coastal area wasn't obvious,and the coefficient was only-0.15.The thunderstorm day had the obvious seasonal variation.The multi-occurrence period of thunderstorm was during March-september and reached the maximum value in August.Started from September,the thunderstorm quickly decreased.From October to February in next year,the thunderstorm happened seldom.The average first thunderstorm date in the northwest area was earlier than that in the southeast area.The difference of average final thunderstorm date in the north and south areas wasn't big.For the first thunderstorm date in the north and west of Fujian was early,and the final thunderstorm date was later,the thunderstorm activity time in the whole year was longer than that in the coast.They differed by nearly one month.[Conclusion] The research provided the scientific basis for the climate feasibility demonstration of major project items,provided the theory basis about the weather climate aspect for the thunder prevention and disaster reduction,and also laid the foundation for further studying the formation mechanism of thunderstorm in Fujian.
文摘Thunderstorms of pre-monsoon season (April – May) over Kolkata (22° 32’N, 88° 20’E), India are invariably accompanied with lightning flashes, high wind gusts, torrential rainfall, occasional hail and tornadoes which significantly affect the life and property on the ground and aviation aloft. The societal and economic impact due to such storms made accurate prediction of the weather phenomenon a serious concern for the meteorologists of India. The initiation of such storms requires sufficient moisture in lower troposphere, high surface temperature, conditional instability and a source of lift to initiate the convection. Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is a measure of the energy realized when conditional instability is released. It plays an important role in meso-scale convective systems. Convective inhibition energy (CINE) on the other hand acts as a possible barrier to the release of convection even in the presence of high value of CAPE. The main idea of the present study is to see whether a consistent quantitative range of CAPE and CINE can be identified for the prevalence of such thunderstorms that may aid in operational forecast. A statistical – fuzzy coupled method is implemented for the purpose. The result reveals that a definite range of CINE within 0 – 150 Jkg-1 is reasonably pertinent whereas no such range of CAPE depicts any consistency for the occurrence of severe thunderstorms over Kolkata. The measure of CINE mainly depends upon the altitude of the level of free convection (LFC), surface temperature (T) and surface mixing ratio (q). The box-and-whisker plot of LFC, T and q are drawn to select the most dependable parameter for the consistency of CINE in the prevalence of such thunderstorms. The skills of the parameters are evaluated through skill score analyses. The percentage error during validation with the observation of 2010 is estimated to be 0% for the range of CINE and 3.9% for CAPE.
文摘This work discusses issues related to the impact of urbanization on the microphysical processes of precipitating systems associated with synoptic, mesoscale, and local scale systems. Among the issues addressed is the impact of urban heat <span><span><span style="font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">island (UHI) in S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span></span>o Paulo city center and urban densification (UD) in the</span><span> </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">Metropolitan Area of S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span></span>o Paulo (MASP) on the microphysical, dynamic, and</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> thermodynamic properties and distribution of precipitation and heavier rainfall from sea-breeze (SB) e cold-front (CF) combined during their space-time evolutions. For this purpose, it used four components: classification of hydrometeors with fuzzy logic, calculation of the raindrop diameters, an estimate of liquid water mass and ice mass from polarimetric-variables measured with dual-pola- rization X-band meteorological radar. The results indicated that urban densification (UD) and heat island (UHI) of the S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span></span>o Paulo city center impact the formation of precipitation, liquid water mass, and ice mass, depth, and duration of </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">a thunderstorm. It was also observed the asymmetric configuration of the th</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">understorm is induced by the strong convergence in the S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span></span>o Paulo city center, and this strong convergence is induced by the intense heat island (UHI) in the S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span></span>o Paulo city center. Was also observed that this event that is formed in the Metropolitan Area of S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span>o Paulo (MASP) depends on microphysical processes of mixed-phase of the cloud (water and ice) above the 0<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#ffffff;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#ffffff;"="">°</span></span>C isotherm for the production of intense rain and cold pool at the surface. These important microphysical processes within long-lasting secondary convective cells over the S<span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, " font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#f7f7f7;"=""><span style="color:#4F4F4F;font-family:-apple-system, "font-size:16px;white-space:normal;background-color:#F7F7F7;">ã</span></span></span></span>o Paulo city center should be taken into account on convective parameterization schemes as well as the associated cold pool dynamics.</span></span></span></span>
基金This work is supported by LASG, IAP, Chinese Academy of Sciences.
文摘The influences of large areas of semi-unbounded cold water surface on the evolution, propagation and precipitation production of thunderstorms are simulated by using a fully elastic three-dimensional numerical hailstorm model. Real sounding profiles for temperature, humidity and wind are employed. The model has successfully simulated the significant modification of the propagation path of thunderstorms near the cold water area. The path change can be either’ along-bank’ or’ toward-bank’, depending on the position of the storm system relative to convergence zone of the water-land circulation. The simulations also show that thunderstorms developing or propagating within the convergence zone of local circulation will be intensified and produce much heavier hail, whereas those over cold water surface or the air that has been cooled by the water will be strongly inhibited.The influence of the cold water surface on thunderstorm characters is largely dependent upon the direction and intensity of the
文摘During the process of thunderstorm in a county on June 23,2015,eight mobile base stations in the region were damaged.The reasons for the damage caused by the thunderstorm were discussed through on-the-spot investigation,and some countermeasures were proposed.
文摘[Objective]The research aimed to study climatic characteristics of the thunderstorm days in Heze in recent 51 years. [Method] Using observation data of the thunderstorm days in Heze from 1961 to 2011, interannual and monthly change characteristics of the thunderstorm days, change trends of the first and final dates, interannual stage distribution were analyzed. [Result] Annual average thunderstorm days in Heze was 25 d. As decade increase, thunderstorm days decreased at 1.9 d/10 a. Thunderstorm days concentrated from April to September, and occurred most often in July. The minimum days from first date to final date was 86 d, and the most days was 264 d. Average first date of the thunderstorm was on April 16, and final date was on September 16. Climatic characteristics of the thunderstorm had significant stage. [Conclusion] The research provided scientific basis for prediction, assessment, prevention and reduction of the thunderstorm disaster in Heze.
基金This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51679105,61672261,51409117)Jilin Province Department of Education Thirteen Five science and technology research projects[2016]No.432,[2017]No.JJKH20170804KJ.
文摘In this paper,the clustering analysis is applied to the satellite image segmentation,and a cloud-based thunderstorm cloud recognition method is proposed in combination with the strong cloud computing power.The method firstly adopts the fuzzy C-means clustering(FCM)to obtain the satellite cloud image segmentation.Secondly,in the cloud image,we dispose the‘high-density connected’pixels in the same cloud clusters and the‘low-density connected’pixels in different cloud clusters.Therefore,we apply the DBSCAN algorithm to the cloud image obtained in the first step to realize cloud cluster knowledge.Finally,using the method of spectral threshold recognition and texture feature recognition in the steps of cloud clusters,thunderstorm cloud clusters are quickly and accurately identified.The experimental results show that cluster analysis has high research and application value in the segmentation processing of meteorological satellite cloud images.
文摘Based on conventional data from automatic stations in Shanghai City,data of temperature of black body(TBB) obtained by Japan MTSAT satellite,Doppler radar data of Nantong,and 1.0°× 1.0° NCEP reanalysis data,the development characteristics and triggering mechanisms of a mesoscale thunderstorm process in Shanghai on June 23,2013 were analyzed. The results show that the thunderstorm process was triggered by flow fields at high and low altitudes and the transport of sufficient water vapor at low altitudes.
文摘[Objective] The research aimed to study the establishment of a kind of three-dimensional thunderstorm cloud electrification-discharge mode.[Method] Based on a kind of three-dimensional strong convective cloud mode,several parameterization schemes of electrification-discharge mechanism which were mature and had experimental basis were coupled into the strong convective cloud mode.The three-dimensional strong convective mode could simulate electrification-discharge process,and the three-dimensional thunderstorm cloud electrification-discharge mode was established.[Result] By numerical simulation method,a kind of three-dimensional thunderstorm cloud electrification-discharge mode was established.The mode not only could assess the relative importance of various kinds of electrification mechanisms under different environments,but also described formation of charge center and electrical field within the thunderstorm cloud,occurrence position,propagation process and influence on charge distribution of lightning.The most important thing was that it could quantitatively describe the complicated relative relationships between power,microphysics and electric process in the evolution process of thunderstorm cloud.[Conclusion] The research provided powerful foundation for further studying the lightning characteristics of different thunderstorm clouds,the relationships between lightning characteristics and power,microphysical process,and deeply discussing the early-warning forecasting technology of thunderbolt activity.
文摘[Objective] The research aimed to analyze an easterly wave thunderstorm and gale weather during the latter flood season of 2010.[Method] Based on conventional observation data,data of automatic station,NCEP 1°×1° reanalysis data,Doppler radar reflectivity and radial velocity data,the easterly wave thunderstorm and gale weather process which happened during 4-5 August,2010 was analyzed.The circulation situation,wind field and dynamic & thermal structures of easterly wave,echo characteristics of Doppler radar when thunderstorm and gale happened were studied.[Result] The thunderstorm and gale weather happened in the northeaster zone in front of the deep thick easterly wave trough.When thunderstorm and gale weather happened,position of the subtropical high was by north(ridge line was at 35° N).Eastward movement of the north branch of trough compelled subtropical high splitting into east and west circles.Westward extension of the east subtropical high and saddle-type field circulation were favorable for generation and development of the easterly wave.As development and westward movement of the easterly wave,in the influence zone in front of the trough,upper easterly component transmitted downward.Then,low-level northeaster obviously strengthened,and thunderstorm and gale weather appeared.In the zone where thunderstorm and gale happened,airflow had cyclonic convergence at the middle and low layers and anti-cyclonic divergence near the ground layer.Subsidence movement was obvious.Moreover,thermal force structure that it tended to be dry and cold at the middle and high layers,warm and wet at the low layer existed.Supercell storm was at the developed stage on 4th.It had obvious mesocyclone and hooked echo characteristics(meso-and small-scale characteristics).Characteristics of the squall line,gale region and adverse wind region appeared in central west Guangdong on 5th.Doppler characteristics of the mesocyclone,hooked echo,squall line,gale region and adverse wind region had indication significance for short-imminent forecast of the thunderstorm and gale.[Conclusion] This research revealed some information which had significance for forecasting local easterly wave thunderstorm and gale weather.
