针对传统方法子指标的不确定性问题,提出了一种基于三角直觉模糊网络分析法(triangular intuitionistic fuzzy analytic network process,TIFANP)、优劣解距离法(technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution,TO...针对传统方法子指标的不确定性问题,提出了一种基于三角直觉模糊网络分析法(triangular intuitionistic fuzzy analytic network process,TIFANP)、优劣解距离法(technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution,TOPSIS)和三角直觉模糊综合评价(triangular intuitionistic fuzzy comprehensive evaluation,TIFCE)的大跨桥梁安全状态评估方法。首先,建立大跨桥梁安全状态分层指标体系,采用TIFANP法确定考虑指标相互影响后的权重;其次,引入TOPSIS法分配指标各截面权重,进而获得子指标取值;然后,将桥梁安全状态划分为5级,通过TIFCE法构建指标在不同等级的隶属度和非隶属度函数,据此建立对应判断矩阵,并进行桥梁安全状态指数综合计算;最后,以某大跨悬索桥监测数据为依托,验证了所提方法的有效性。结果表明:所提方法能够更合理地处理评价指标间的相互影响以及专家评分时的不确定,可为运营期大跨桥梁安全状态的准确评估提供新思路。展开更多
“双碳”目标下,各类可再生能源发电技术发展迅速,综合权衡不同可再生能源发电方案的综合效益对可再生能源的优化设计具有重要意义。综合考虑经济效益、环境效益、能源效益和社会效益4个层面,提出了一种基于模糊决策试验和评价实验(deci...“双碳”目标下,各类可再生能源发电技术发展迅速,综合权衡不同可再生能源发电方案的综合效益对可再生能源的优化设计具有重要意义。综合考虑经济效益、环境效益、能源效益和社会效益4个层面,提出了一种基于模糊决策试验和评价实验(decision making trial and evaluation laboratory,DEMATEL)与超效率数据包络分析(data envelopment analysis,DEA)模型的可再生能源发电技术综合效益评估方法。该方法分为投入-产出指标体系构建和综合评估2个阶段。首先,利用三角直觉模糊数处理模糊评价信息,将其与DEMATEL相结合量化各指标之间相互影响关系,基于指标间逻辑分析结果建立投入-产出评估指标体系。然后,基于超效率DEA模型对各可再生能源发电方案进行评估排序,结合投入冗余和产出不足分析结果给出各方案的针对性改善建议,以期为进一步选择和确定可再生能源产业发展战略提供参考。最后以某省10类可再生能源发电单元为研究对象,基于所提研究方法进行综合评估和分析,并与多准则妥协解排序法和熵权法进行对比分析,验证了所提方法的有效性。展开更多
The multi-energy complementary ecosystem is an important form of the modern energy system.However,standardized evaluation criteria and the corresponding method framework have not yet been formed,resulting in unclear s...The multi-energy complementary ecosystem is an important form of the modern energy system.However,standardized evaluation criteria and the corresponding method framework have not yet been formed,resulting in unclear standards and irregular processes of its construction.To cope with this issue,a novel comprehensive evaluation framework for multi-energy complementary ecosystems is proposed in this study.First,a 5D comprehensive evaluation criteria system,including environment,economy,technology,safety and systematicness,is constructed.Then,a novel multicriteria decision-making model integrating an analytic network process,entropy and preference-ranking organization method for enrichment evaluation under an intuitional fuzzy environment is proposed.Finally,four practical cases are used for model testing and empirical analysis.The results of the research show that the unit cost of the energy supply and the internal rate of return indexes have the highest weights of 0.142 and 0.010,respectively.It means that they are the focus in the construction of a multi-energy complementary ecosystem.The net flows of four cases are 0.015,0.123,-0.132 and-0.005,indicating that cases with a variety of energy supply forms and using intelligent management and control platforms to achieve cold,heat and electrical coupling have more advantages.展开更多
文摘针对传统方法子指标的不确定性问题,提出了一种基于三角直觉模糊网络分析法(triangular intuitionistic fuzzy analytic network process,TIFANP)、优劣解距离法(technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution,TOPSIS)和三角直觉模糊综合评价(triangular intuitionistic fuzzy comprehensive evaluation,TIFCE)的大跨桥梁安全状态评估方法。首先,建立大跨桥梁安全状态分层指标体系,采用TIFANP法确定考虑指标相互影响后的权重;其次,引入TOPSIS法分配指标各截面权重,进而获得子指标取值;然后,将桥梁安全状态划分为5级,通过TIFCE法构建指标在不同等级的隶属度和非隶属度函数,据此建立对应判断矩阵,并进行桥梁安全状态指数综合计算;最后,以某大跨悬索桥监测数据为依托,验证了所提方法的有效性。结果表明:所提方法能够更合理地处理评价指标间的相互影响以及专家评分时的不确定,可为运营期大跨桥梁安全状态的准确评估提供新思路。
文摘“双碳”目标下,各类可再生能源发电技术发展迅速,综合权衡不同可再生能源发电方案的综合效益对可再生能源的优化设计具有重要意义。综合考虑经济效益、环境效益、能源效益和社会效益4个层面,提出了一种基于模糊决策试验和评价实验(decision making trial and evaluation laboratory,DEMATEL)与超效率数据包络分析(data envelopment analysis,DEA)模型的可再生能源发电技术综合效益评估方法。该方法分为投入-产出指标体系构建和综合评估2个阶段。首先,利用三角直觉模糊数处理模糊评价信息,将其与DEMATEL相结合量化各指标之间相互影响关系,基于指标间逻辑分析结果建立投入-产出评估指标体系。然后,基于超效率DEA模型对各可再生能源发电方案进行评估排序,结合投入冗余和产出不足分析结果给出各方案的针对性改善建议,以期为进一步选择和确定可再生能源产业发展战略提供参考。最后以某省10类可再生能源发电单元为研究对象,基于所提研究方法进行综合评估和分析,并与多准则妥协解排序法和熵权法进行对比分析,验证了所提方法的有效性。
基金supported by the second batch of the soft subject research project of China Southern Power Grid Corporation in 2022,‘Exploring the construction path of multi energy complementary ecosystem of industrial parks in Qianhai’(XNXM_20221209003).
文摘The multi-energy complementary ecosystem is an important form of the modern energy system.However,standardized evaluation criteria and the corresponding method framework have not yet been formed,resulting in unclear standards and irregular processes of its construction.To cope with this issue,a novel comprehensive evaluation framework for multi-energy complementary ecosystems is proposed in this study.First,a 5D comprehensive evaluation criteria system,including environment,economy,technology,safety and systematicness,is constructed.Then,a novel multicriteria decision-making model integrating an analytic network process,entropy and preference-ranking organization method for enrichment evaluation under an intuitional fuzzy environment is proposed.Finally,four practical cases are used for model testing and empirical analysis.The results of the research show that the unit cost of the energy supply and the internal rate of return indexes have the highest weights of 0.142 and 0.010,respectively.It means that they are the focus in the construction of a multi-energy complementary ecosystem.The net flows of four cases are 0.015,0.123,-0.132 and-0.005,indicating that cases with a variety of energy supply forms and using intelligent management and control platforms to achieve cold,heat and electrical coupling have more advantages.
