In this paper, T639 global spectral model numerical forecast products issued by numerical prediction center of China Meteorological Administration and precipitation data at 676 regional stations of Gansu during flood ...In this paper, T639 global spectral model numerical forecast products issued by numerical prediction center of China Meteorological Administration and precipitation data at 676 regional stations of Gansu during flood season were used firstly for interpretation. Then, through the establishment of multiple linear stepwise regression equation, daily precipitation forecast with the time interval of 6 h during 0 -72 h in May, 2013 in Gansu Province was obtained. By precipitation forecast verification analysis, it was found that the precipitation forecast in Hexi region and central Gansu Province had best effect; forecast in some places of east Hedong region had relatively good effect; part of the city or state forecast effect in the plateau slope zone was relatively lower. The refined precipitation forecast had certain reference and use value in the post-production Gansu Province highway forecasting during flood season.展开更多
[Objective] The research aimed to study three-dimensional structure and echo characteristic quantity of a supercell storm in central Gansu on May 30,2005.[Method] By monitoring data of Lanzhou CINRAD/CC Doppler radar,...[Objective] The research aimed to study three-dimensional structure and echo characteristic quantity of a supercell storm in central Gansu on May 30,2005.[Method] By monitoring data of Lanzhou CINRAD/CC Doppler radar,the three-dimensional structure characteristics of a rare supercell storm which happened in central Gansu on May 30,2005 were analyzed.We tried to reveal three-dimensional structure and echo characteristic index of supercell storm in the northeast of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau,and find reason of rare heavy hail appearance.[Result] The large-scale strong storm was formed by the common effect of Mongolia cold vortex,low-level jet and ground cold front.When the development of main echo was mature,on reflectivity factor map,it presented obvious inverted 'V' shaped structure in left front of low-level storm,typical hooked and 'person'-type echo characteristics in the right rear.The bounded weak echo zone(vault) in low level corresponded with strong echo overhanging body in high level.It surpassed 60 dBz in the strong reflectivity factor zone.It presented one weak meso-cyclone on corresponding radial velocity map.The jumped increase characteristic of VIL could be as one of indices for judging that hail started to grow.Almost all storms(VILD ≥4.0 g/m3) had more obvious indication significance than VIL for judging heavy hail(diameter ≥20 mm).[Conclusion] The research provided reference for nowcasting of strong convection weather and artificial hail suppression.展开更多
基金Supported by Achievement Transformation Project of Gansu Provincial Meteorological Bureau,China(2014-19)General Program of Gansu Provincial Meteorological Bureau,China(2015-05)
文摘In this paper, T639 global spectral model numerical forecast products issued by numerical prediction center of China Meteorological Administration and precipitation data at 676 regional stations of Gansu during flood season were used firstly for interpretation. Then, through the establishment of multiple linear stepwise regression equation, daily precipitation forecast with the time interval of 6 h during 0 -72 h in May, 2013 in Gansu Province was obtained. By precipitation forecast verification analysis, it was found that the precipitation forecast in Hexi region and central Gansu Province had best effect; forecast in some places of east Hedong region had relatively good effect; part of the city or state forecast effect in the plateau slope zone was relatively lower. The refined precipitation forecast had certain reference and use value in the post-production Gansu Province highway forecasting during flood season.
基金Supported by Science Research Special Item of Public Welfare Industry (Meteorology) (GYHY200906024)New Meteorological Technology Spreading Item of China Meteorological Administration(CMATG2009MS38)
文摘[Objective] The research aimed to study three-dimensional structure and echo characteristic quantity of a supercell storm in central Gansu on May 30,2005.[Method] By monitoring data of Lanzhou CINRAD/CC Doppler radar,the three-dimensional structure characteristics of a rare supercell storm which happened in central Gansu on May 30,2005 were analyzed.We tried to reveal three-dimensional structure and echo characteristic index of supercell storm in the northeast of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau,and find reason of rare heavy hail appearance.[Result] The large-scale strong storm was formed by the common effect of Mongolia cold vortex,low-level jet and ground cold front.When the development of main echo was mature,on reflectivity factor map,it presented obvious inverted 'V' shaped structure in left front of low-level storm,typical hooked and 'person'-type echo characteristics in the right rear.The bounded weak echo zone(vault) in low level corresponded with strong echo overhanging body in high level.It surpassed 60 dBz in the strong reflectivity factor zone.It presented one weak meso-cyclone on corresponding radial velocity map.The jumped increase characteristic of VIL could be as one of indices for judging that hail started to grow.Almost all storms(VILD ≥4.0 g/m3) had more obvious indication significance than VIL for judging heavy hail(diameter ≥20 mm).[Conclusion] The research provided reference for nowcasting of strong convection weather and artificial hail suppression.
