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Poverty Reduction in China: Experiences and Measurement of Effects
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作者 Zhan Wang 《China Economist》 2024年第1期103-126,共24页
This study employs the generalized method of moments(GMM)and panel vector autoregression(PVAR)models for a multi-factor quantitative dissection of China’s poverty reduction process across multiple stages,using provin... This study employs the generalized method of moments(GMM)and panel vector autoregression(PVAR)models for a multi-factor quantitative dissection of China’s poverty reduction process across multiple stages,using provincial panel data from 2000 to 2019.According to our research,economic growth and social development are the key drivers of poverty reduction in China,but the trickle-down effect of economic growth is diminishing and marketization is having a lesser pro-poor effect.Public expenditure has failed to provide social protection and income redistribution benefits due to issues such as targeting error and elite capture.Increasing the efficiency of the poverty reduction system calls for adaptive adjustments.Finally,this study highlights China’s poverty reduction experiences and analyzes current challenges,which serve as inspiration for consolidating poverty-reduction achievements,combating relative poverty,and attaining countryside vitalization. 展开更多
关键词 Poverty reduction governance measurement of effects countryside vitalization common prosperity
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New Industrialization: Characteristics, System Development and Implementation Pathway
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作者 《China Economist》 2024年第1期2-13,共12页
New industrialization in China, different from its past economic development pattern or patterns in developed nations, is the country’s theoretical innovation based on the positive and negative experiences of industr... New industrialization in China, different from its past economic development pattern or patterns in developed nations, is the country’s theoretical innovation based on the positive and negative experiences of industrialization at home and worldwide. New industrialization has various novel characteristics, including new sources of efficiency, new factors of production, new organizational forms, and new constraints. In addition, it has certain particularities arising from modernization with Chinese characteristics. This article summarizes the characteristics of new industrialization from the perspectives of people-centered approach, quality-first concept, independent innovation, green low-carbon economics, digital-real integration, and open circulation. There are four systems for promoting new industrialization: A self-sustained scientific and technological system, a high-end advanced manufacturing system, a green low-carbon circular system, and a division of labor system with domestic and international circulation. The Chinese new industrialization proposes the pathway and policy measures considering the new global situation and the requirements of new goals of strengthening organization and leadership, reducing factor cost, accelerating independent technological innovation, smoothing domestic and international circulation, and optimizing competition environment. 展开更多
关键词 New industrialization Chinese modernization system building policy measures
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AModeling Analysis of Local Governments Competing in Offering Subsidies to Attract Investment:the Cause of Industrial Overcapacity] 被引量:6
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作者 江飞涛 耿强 +1 位作者 吕大国 李晓萍 《China Economist》 2012年第3期102-113,共12页
关键词 企业投资 生产能力 地方政府 补贴 原因 竞争 工业 土地产权
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Estimation of emission reduction potential in China's industrial sector 被引量:1
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作者 Chaoxian Guo 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2015年第3期223-230,共8页
The industrial sector is usually the largest economy sector for carbon emissions in many countries,which made it the sector with greatest potential for carbon reduction although the process duration might be very long... The industrial sector is usually the largest economy sector for carbon emissions in many countries,which made it the sector with greatest potential for carbon reduction although the process duration might be very long.Studying the potential of industrial emission reduction has great significance in estimating the carbon emission peak of China on the one hand,and adjusting its strategy in international climate change negotiations.By employing the economic accounting method,this article estimates the emission reduction potential of China's Industrial sector for the period of 2010-2050.It reveals that,taking 2030 as the year when the emission reaches the peak,the total reduction can be 8.38 billion tons(bts) for the period of 2010-2030,with 3.12 bts from structural reduction while 5.26 bts from intensity reduction.Afterwards,reduction will continue with a total amount of 6.59 bts for the period of 2030-2050,where the structural reduction accounts for 2.47 bts,and intensity reduction 4.115 bts.If both industrial and energy consumption structures are improved during the above period,the reduction potential can be even greater,e.g.the emission peak can arrive five years earlier(in the year of 2025) and the peak value can decline by about 8%as compared to the original estimation.Reviewing the trajectory of emission changes in developed countries indicates that the industry sector can contribute to the overall reduction targets through the dual wheels of structural reduction and intensity reduction,even beyond the emission peak.This article concludes with the following policy suggestions.(1) Our estimation on the emission peak of the industrial sector suggests that China should avoid any commitment earlier than 2030 on the timeline of the overall emission peak;(2) the great potential of industrial emission reduction can improve the situation of China in climate change negotiation,where the intensity reduction can serve as an important policy option.(3) Reduction potential can be further enhanced through technology advancement,which requires furthering of market oriented reforms and improvement of institutional design.(4) To secure the reduction effects of the industrial structure adjustment,the balanced development among different regions should be encouraged in order to avoid the reverse adjustment caused by industrial transferring.(5) International cooperation promoting the application and development of industrial emission reduction technologies,including carbon capture,utilization and storage,should be encouraged. 展开更多
关键词 EMISSION REDUCTION in the INDUSTRIAL SECTOR structural REDUCTION INTENSITY REDUCTION EMISSION PEAK
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Systematic Optimization of China's Manufacturing Industrial Structure
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作者 史丹 张成 《China Economist》 2018年第6期2-16,共15页
Using China's two-digit manufacturing sectors as samples, this paper first analyzes China's output structure optimization objectives and energy conservation and emissions abatement potentials in 2015, then exa... Using China's two-digit manufacturing sectors as samples, this paper first analyzes China's output structure optimization objectives and energy conservation and emissions abatement potentials in 2015, then examines various factor inputs' matching, and estimates their capacity utilization status, focusing on capital stock factor. Results of our study suggest that:(1) China's manufacturing output structure has great potentials of optimization to reduce energy intensity and carbon intensity by 18.08% and 17.42% respectively over the original values;(2) to reduce factor mismatch, various supporting input factors need to be introduced after manufacturing output structure optimization. The level of capital stock, in particular, requires a substantial change;(3) China's manufacturing capacity utilization(56.14%) in 2015 was far below its average level(73.27%) in the mid and late stage of the 11 th Five-Year Plan period(2008-2010). The low capacity utilization was attributable to economic slowdown and investment inertia. After input factor matching, capacity utilization may rise to the latter level. 展开更多
关键词 OUTPUT STRUCTURE factor STRUCTURE OVERCAPACITY energy CONSERVATION and emissions ABATEMENT
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Simulation Analysis of Macroeconomic Policy Orientations' Effects on the Industrial Economy——Based on Dynamic CGE Model
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作者 原磊 王秀丽 《China Economist》 2014年第2期100-112,共13页
There are three different orientations of the macroeconomic policies,namely,factor-expansion,prudent-continuation and structural-adjustment.The paper uses the dynamic CGE model to simulate the effects of the three dif... There are three different orientations of the macroeconomic policies,namely,factor-expansion,prudent-continuation and structural-adjustment.The paper uses the dynamic CGE model to simulate the effects of the three different orientations on the economy,and arrives at the following conclusions:while the factor-expansion policies can lead to growth of economic output,they also result in the further imbalance in the industrial structure and the "crowding-out effect" on the private investment.In addition,such growth is unsustainable in the long run;the growth of the industrial economy will decline rapidly to a lower level after reaching a certain high level.The prudent-continuation policies refer to the continuation of the current policies that sustain the current trends of the industrial economy,and such policies reduce the growth of the industrial economy to a lower level in the long run.The structural-adjustment policies reduce the economic output at the current stage;however,it can bring a gradual improvement of industrial structure and a balance of the supply and demand.In the long run,the optimized structure will improve the total factor productivity(TFP) and the production-possibility frontier,and thereby realize a longterm steady and rapid growth of the industrial economy.Four policy recommendations are proposed based on the simulation of the models,including taking the structural adjustment as the fundamental orientation of macroeconomic policies,lowering the "floor level" of economic growth with macro regulation,giving play to the fundamental role of market mechanism in structural adjustment and increasing the role of TFP in the growth of the industrial economy. 展开更多
关键词 宏观经济政策 工业经济 CGE模型 取向 仿真 分析基 全要素生产率 结构调整
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The Mission and Value of Industry——Theoretical Logic of Industrial Transformation and Upgrading in China
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作者 金碚 《China Economist》 2015年第1期4-13,共10页
关键词 现代工业文明 价值观 中国 行业 产业转型 逻辑 社会基础 创新能力
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China's Industrial Economy Evolves into an Era of Steady Progress:Prospects and Challenges
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作者 金碚 《China Economist》 2014年第1期4-20,共17页
China's industrial economy's.growth has steadily evolved into a period of slowdown but the development momentum of its industrialization and urbanization requires and supports a relatively high rate of growth ... China's industrial economy's.growth has steadily evolved into a period of slowdown but the development momentum of its industrialization and urbanization requires and supports a relatively high rate of growth of the industry.Rapid growth has transformed into an era of "steady progress ".That heralds great changes in the momentum of growth,the nature of institutional systems,and policy concepts of the industrial economy.The character of industry and the achievement of healthy development are the essence of industrial advancement in the era. "Steady progress" requires a stabilization of attitude,policy and expectation. "Progress " calls for better quality of growth,equilibrium and environmental performance.Above all,advancing reforms is fundamental to achieving these new objectives of the "steady progress ".As market is potentially powerful while government's function is limited,only moderate,prudent and cautious government regulation will provide the reliable policy assurances necessary to set China's economy firmly on the track of steady progress and sustainable growth. 展开更多
关键词 工业经济 中国经济 演变 政府监管 可持续发展 环保性能 城市化 工业化
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China's 60 years of industrial transformation reviewed
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作者 金碚 《China Economist》 2009年第6期5-18,共14页
In China, the real industrialization and modernization process started in 1949, when the Chinese people were emancipated from the yoke of the Kuomintang and the People's Republic of China (P.R.C) was founded. Howe... In China, the real industrialization and modernization process started in 1949, when the Chinese people were emancipated from the yoke of the Kuomintang and the People's Republic of China (P.R.C) was founded. However, the road of emancipation has been a bumpy one. In particular, the emancipation of the mind has often been full of twists and turns. The tremendous liberation of social productive forces originated in the emancipation of the mind, whose truth has been tested by economic development practices. In the past 60 years China has paid tremendous efforts and costs in pursuit of emancipation, and today it still needs to emancipate the mind anew. For 60 years, since the formation of P.R. C, the country has kept pursuing the emancipation of the mind while exploring ways of change in institution, strategy and policy. In the first 30 years China attempted to devise an idealistic approach of transition to the socialist planned economic system, which was characterized by continuous revolution and movement. In the second 30 years China explored a realistic approach of transition to the socialist market economic system, which is characterized by incremental reform and opening-up. For six decades industry has remained at the forefront of transformation. The emancipation of the mind and the realization of change aim to ultimately make China a strong nation with an affluent people. The purpose of the six-decade struggle in new China is to erase the stigma of "being poor and blank," secure a firm and strong foothold in the world, restore China's status as a world power and let the Chinese people enjoy the affluence and welfare of a well-off society. The central mission of this national revitalization is to realize industrialization. Therefore, industrialization has been the central theme of China's revitalization in the past 60 years. After 60 years of industrialization, hundreds of millions of Chinese people are now able to enjoy ever-increasing wealth from industrial civilization. However, still a larger proportion of China's 1.3 billion people are awaiting industrial civilization. In this sense, industrialization is not only the focus of China's socioeconomic development but also the world's largest livelihood mission. Industrial development is more of a means of enhancing people's livelihood than a means of regaining the title as a world power. This will become one of the distinctive characteristics of China's industrialization in the new stage. 展开更多
关键词 60 YEARS of P.R. China emancipation TRANSFORMATION REVITALIZATION
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The Integrated Development of China's Industrial and Ecological Civilization:Paths and Policy Options
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作者 杨丹辉 《China Economist》 2014年第6期54-60,共7页
Judging by the general pattern of human civilization,ecological civilization is not a simple negation of industrial civilization.Given China's unique national conditions and uneven process of industrialization,it ... Judging by the general pattern of human civilization,ecological civilization is not a simple negation of industrial civilization.Given China's unique national conditions and uneven process of industrialization,it is inappropriate to separate ecological civilization from industrial civilization.Instead,government should identify the common ground between industrial civilization and ecological civilization,fully utilize material wealth,technology means and organizational system of industrial civilization of the world,leave the freedom of imagination and practices for creating the new-type industrial civilization to businesses and the public,continuously strengthen the material foundation of China's ecological civilization,with a view to supporting the development of ecological civilization with high-quality real economy and achieving the integrated development of industrial civilization and ecological civilization while expediting the new-type industrialization and delivering the benefits of industrialization to 1.3 billion Chinese people. 展开更多
关键词 生态文明 中国人 综合开发 工业化进程 工业文明 路径 产业 一体化发展
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Path toward Environment-Friendly Industrialization: A Survey on the Practice of Xixia County
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作者 梁泳梅 李明锋 +1 位作者 李钢 向奕霓 《China Economist》 2013年第3期110-122,共13页
关键词 环境友好型 西峡县 工业化 水源保护区 环保领域 路径 自然资源 经济发展
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Technological Content of the Import of Services and the Transformation of Growth Patterns of China's Industrial Economy
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作者 戴翔 金碚 《China Economist》 2014年第2期58-74,共17页
Based on the latest approach for measuring technology content of import of services and with the contribution of total factor productivity(TFP) to gross industrial output as the indicator for measuring the growth patt... Based on the latest approach for measuring technology content of import of services and with the contribution of total factor productivity(TFP) to gross industrial output as the indicator for measuring the growth pattern of China's industrial economy,this paper provides an empirical study on the effect of import technology content of trade in services on the development pattern of China's industrial economy between 2004 and2011.Result of econometric test reveals that the technology content of import of services has a significant positive effect on transforming the growth pattern of China's industrial economy.Moreover,import of new types of trade in services with high technology such as computer and information services has a much stronger positive effect compared with import of traditional trade in services with relatively low technology content such as transport.In terms of different industrial sectors,technology content of import of services has the greatest effect on transforming the development pattern of China's technologyintensive industrial sectors,followed by capital-intensive,resource-intensive and laborintensive sectors respectively.Transformation of the development pattern of China's industrial economy cannot be isolated from the system of global division of work.Against the backdrop of global service sector fragmentation,China should take the important opportunities in the development of global trade in services and give more attention to improving the quality of import of services in the interest of transforming the development pattern of its industrial economy. 展开更多
关键词 工业总产值 经济增长模式 服务贸易 中国工业 技术含量 进口 技术密集型 经济增长方式
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Recalculating the Significance of Secondary and Tertiary Industries for Industrial Restructuring: Truth and Myth
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作者 李钢 廖建辉 向奕霓 《China Economist》 2012年第3期28-38,共11页
关键词 产业结构调整 劳动密集型产业 不发达国家 计算 神话 第三产业 第二产业 国内生产总值
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Shift of Driving Force for China's Industrial Growth during 1979-2012——A Trend toward Worsening Efficiency
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作者 江飞涛 武鹏 李晓萍 《China Economist》 2014年第6期21-33,共13页
The driving force for China's industrial growth has shifted from the synergy of efficiency and factor input to the dominance of capital input alone.With the boundary of 2003,the contribution of capital to the grow... The driving force for China's industrial growth has shifted from the synergy of efficiency and factor input to the dominance of capital input alone.With the boundary of 2003,the contribution of capital to the growth of China's industrial economy increased from the annual average of 34.07%to 89.28%while the contribution of TFP dived from the annual average of 47.34%to-4.08%.Meanwhile,TFP growth rates dropped from the annual average of 4.6%to-0.05%and marginal capital output ratio went down from0.61 in 2002 to 0.28 in 2012.This indicates that the investment-driven pattern of China's industrial growth has been confronted with severe inefficiency.Further research suggests that the tendency of worsening industrial growth efficiency already became significant prior to the global financial crisis of 2008 and the eruption of the global financial crisis is not the fundamental reason for the worsening of efficiency and only exacerbated its tendency.The current government-led and investment-driven pattern of industrial growth is the root cause of such efficiency deterioration.Therefore,in order to achieve the transition towards innovation- and efficiency-driven growth pattern,the key is to make an appropriate distinction in the relationship between market and government,i.e.,the government must create a perfect institutional system where the market plays a decisive role and take proactive initiative to promote technology innovation and transfer on the basis of respecting market mechanism and the intent of market entities. 展开更多
关键词 工业增长 驱动力 中国 恶化 资本投入 全要素生产率 政府主导 市场主体
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Industrial Ecosystem and the Development of Strategic Emerging Industries
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作者 LiXiaohua Liu Feng 《China Economist》 2013年第6期48-57,共10页
关键词 工业生态系统 新兴产业 产业生态系统 国家创新体系 自然生态系统 社会文化环境 生态学家 基础设施
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What Accounts for Rising Profitability of Chinese Industrial Enterprises?
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作者 金碚 李钢 《China Economist》 2008年第2期47-57,共11页
Based on the latest data, this paper analyses the profitability status of Chinese enterprises and the reasons behind profitability. The authors hold that the profitability of Chinese industrial enterprises has improve... Based on the latest data, this paper analyses the profitability status of Chinese enterprises and the reasons behind profitability. The authors hold that the profitability of Chinese industrial enterprises has improved significantly whilst the degree of monopolization and extent of entry barriers in the industrial sector has decreased. With the exception of a few resource and administrative monopolizing industries, the increasing profitability of Chinese enterprises indicates rising competitiveness. Improved management level, efficient assets operation, enhanced investment benefits and salary-transfer-profit are all contributing to the profitability of enterprises. 展开更多
关键词 PROFITABILITY ENTERPRISE COMPETITIVENESS Empirical study.
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The environmental costs of China's industrial development
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作者 李钢 姚磊磊 马岩 《China Economist》 2009年第3期52-60,共9页
This paper estimates China’s industrial costs under the virtual cost accounting approach.The estimation results show that Chinese industries have disbursed an increasing amount of environmental costs since 1992 while... This paper estimates China’s industrial costs under the virtual cost accounting approach.The estimation results show that Chinese industries have disbursed an increasing amount of environmental costs since 1992 while expanding environmental investment;China’s industrial cleanness has been on the rise since 1998;the virtual industrial environmental costs have been in decline since 1998.In 2007,the total industrial environmental costs accounted for merely 0.73%of gross industrial output value and only 2.52%of industrial value added;the virtual environmental costs accounted for merely 0.23%of gross industrial output value and only 0.81%of industrial value added.These figures indicate that the effects of environmental costs on the international competitiveness of Chinese industries are very limited even if China complies with the highest environmental standards. 展开更多
关键词 ENVIRONMENTAL COST VIRTUAL COSTS INDUSTRIAL POLLUTION
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A regional comparison of China's industrial development efficiency
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作者 魏后凯 王业强 《China Economist》 2008年第6期120-130,共11页
The Chinese economy has been experiencing extensive growth for decades. Along with this growth, however, there have been industrial-economic, social and environmental inefficiencies. In some regions, problems exist be... The Chinese economy has been experiencing extensive growth for decades. Along with this growth, however, there have been industrial-economic, social and environmental inefficiencies. In some regions, problems exist because of overemphasis on GDP growth, or growth at the expense of the environment. Looking at efficiency through the prism of economic, social and environmental factors, this article analyzes the industrial economic development during the 10th Five-Year Plan (2001-2005). The authors conclude that economic development should be achieved while making overall improvements to economic, social and ecoenvironment efficiency. 展开更多
关键词 ECONOMIC efficency SOCIAL EFFICIENCY ECO-ENVIRONMENT EFFICIENCY
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Industrial Policy Analysis of Restricted Development Zones in Western China——A Study of State-level Main Producing Areas of Agricultural Products and Key Ecological Functional Areas
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作者 Chen Ying 《Contemporary Social Sciences》 2016年第2期74-85,共12页
As one of the important policies of promoting the formation of main functional areas, the industrial policy directly determines the sustainable growth of space control ability of main functional areas. A restricted de... As one of the important policies of promoting the formation of main functional areas, the industrial policy directly determines the sustainable growth of space control ability of main functional areas. A restricted development zone is a type of main functional area which provides agricultural products and ecological products, assures the supply of national agricultural products and the stability of ecosystems, as well as safeguards the ecological functions and agricultural functions of wider regions by restricting its own development. Therefore scientific, complete and operable industrial policy support is needed. Restricted development zones are distributed widely in western China. With the restriction of their main functions, differential industrial policies should be implemented in the development of the restricted development zones: Dealing well with the relationship between industrial development and ecological protection, developing special industries which are friendly to resources and environment and appropriate for local conditions, guiding and encouraging industries to learn from regions with favorable development conditions, orderly withdrawing industries and enterprises adverse to main functions, facilitating industrial structure upgrading, optimizing industrial organization, improving industrial technological level and rationalizing industrial layout. 展开更多
关键词 Western China RESTRICTED development main producing areas of agricultural products KEY ECOLOGICAL functional areas INDUSTRIAL policies
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Chinese Experience in Industrial Development During the Forty Years of reform and opening-up
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作者 Liu Yanhong Guo Chaoxian +1 位作者 Cui Min Wu Lingwei 《Contemporary Social Sciences》 2018年第5期19-38,共20页
Over the past forty years of reform and opening-up,China's industry has sustained rapid and sound development and generated impressive achievements.Industrialization has entered the second half of its final stage.... Over the past forty years of reform and opening-up,China's industry has sustained rapid and sound development and generated impressive achievements.Industrialization has entered the second half of its final stage.This experience of successful industrialization with Chinese characteristics constitutes an important component Chinese wisdom and Chinese approaches,and serves as a reference for other developing countries and countries in transition.The Chinese experience in industrial development during this period includes: progressively promoting industrial and economic system reform adapted to local circumstances; seizing the right moment to firmly integrate into the global system of labor division; pursuing the new path of industrialization featuring coordinated development of the "Five Pillars" in keeping up with the times; and developing an industrialization model with Chinese characteristics with concerted efforts of effective market and enabling government. 展开更多
关键词 forty years of reform and opening up industrial development Chinese experience new industrialization
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