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Numerical simulations of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation(AMOC)from OMIP experiments and its sensitivity to surface forcing
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作者 Xiaowei WANG Yongqiang YU 《Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第2期454-467,共14页
Atlantic meridional overturning circulation(AMOC)plays an important role in transporting heat meridionally in the Earth’s climate system and is also a key metrical tool to verify oceanic general circulation models.Tw... Atlantic meridional overturning circulation(AMOC)plays an important role in transporting heat meridionally in the Earth’s climate system and is also a key metrical tool to verify oceanic general circulation models.Two OMIP(Ocean Model Intercomparison Project phase 1 and 2)simulations with LICOM3(version 3 of the LASG/IAP Climate System Ocean Model)developed at the State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics(LASG),Institute of Atmospheric Physics(IAP),are compared in this study.Both simulations well reproduce the fundamental characteristics of the AMOC,but the OMIP1 simulation shows a significantly stronger AMOC than the OMIP2 simulation.Because the LICOM3 configurations are identical between these two experiments,any differences between them must be attributed to the surface forcing data.Further analysis suggests that sea surface salinity(SSS)differences should be mainly responsible for the enhanced AMOC in the OMIP1 simulation,but sea surface temperature(SST)also play an unignorable role in modulating AMOC.In the North Atlantic,where deep convection occurs,the SSS in OMIP1 is more saline than that in OMIP1.We find that in the major region of deep convection,the change of SSS has more significant effect on density than the change of SST.As a result,the SSS was more saline than that in OMIP2,leading to stronger deep convection and subsequently intensify the AMOC.We conduct a series of numerical experiments with LICOM3,and the results confirmed that the changes in SSS have more significant effect on the strength of AMOC than the changes in SST. 展开更多
关键词 oceanic general circulation model(OGCM) Atlantic meridional overturning(AMOC) surface forcing deep convection
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The Persistence and Zonal Scale of Atmospheric Dipolar Modes
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作者 Jie SONG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第3期478-492,共15页
This study investigates the relationship between the persistence and the zonal scale of atmospheric dipolar modes(DMs). Results from the daily data of ERA5 and the long-term output of an idealized atmospheric model sh... This study investigates the relationship between the persistence and the zonal scale of atmospheric dipolar modes(DMs). Results from the daily data of ERA5 and the long-term output of an idealized atmospheric model show that the atmospheric DMs with a broader(narrower) zonal scale dipolar structure possess a longer(shorter) persistence. A detailed vorticity budget analysis indicates that the persistence of a hemispheric-scale DM(1/1 DM) and a regional or sectoral DM(1/8 DM) in the model both largely rely on the persistence of the nonlinear eddy forcing. Linear terms can indirectly reduce the persistence of the anomalous nonlinear eddy forcing in a 1/8 DM by modifying the baroclinicity via the arousal of anomalous vertical motions. Therefore, the atmospheric DMs with a broader(narrower) zonal scale possess a longer(shorter) persistence because the effects of the linear terms are less(more) pronounced when the atmospheric DMs have better(worse) zonal symmetry. Further analyses show that the positive eddy feedback effect is weak or even absent in a 1/8DM and the high-frequency eddy forcing acts more like a concomitant phenomenon rather than a leading driving factor for a 1/8 DM. Thus, the hemispheric-scale DM and the regional or sectoral DMs are different, not only in their persistence but also in their dynamics. 展开更多
关键词 NAM NAO eddy feedback PERSISTENCE linear term
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Preface to the Special Issue on Causes, Impacts, and Predictability of Droughts for the Past, Present, and Future
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作者 Tianbao ZHAO Aiguo DAI +1 位作者 Jianping HUANG Lixia ZHANG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第2期191-192,共2页
Drought is a recurring dry condition with below-normal precipitation and is often associated with warm temperatures or heatwaves. A drought event can develop slowly over several weeks or suddenly within days, commonly... Drought is a recurring dry condition with below-normal precipitation and is often associated with warm temperatures or heatwaves. A drought event can develop slowly over several weeks or suddenly within days, commonly under abnormal atmospheric conditions(e.g., quasi-stationary high-pressure systems), and can persist for weeks, months, or even years. 展开更多
关键词 DROUGHT within suddenly
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Evaluation of the computational performance of the finite-volume atmospheric model of the IAP/LASG(FAMIL) on a high-performance computer 被引量:8
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作者 LI Jin-Xiao BAO Qing +1 位作者 LIU Yi-Min WU Guo-Xiong 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2017年第4期329-336,共8页
高性能计算指标对于气候模式的发展,尤其是高分辨率气候模式的发展至关重要。本文系统性的评估了IAP/LASG新一代有限体积大气环流模式FAMIL在Tianhe-2超算平台上的计算性能。通过标准的AMIP试验,本文重点评估FAMIL在每个节点的高性能指... 高性能计算指标对于气候模式的发展,尤其是高分辨率气候模式的发展至关重要。本文系统性的评估了IAP/LASG新一代有限体积大气环流模式FAMIL在Tianhe-2超算平台上的计算性能。通过标准的AMIP试验,本文重点评估FAMIL在每个节点的高性能指标、每天所积分的模式年(SYPD)、计算成本加速比、可扩展性五方面的性能。结果表明:1)FAMIL在CPU使用率、CPU节点间信息传输等待时间、代码向量化、Gflops平均值、Gflops峰值五个方面表现出优异性能。2)综合考虑SYPD和计算成本加速比,对于C96(100km)和C384(25km)水平分辨率的FAMIL积分,最优进程使用数(MNPs)分别为384和1536。3)FAMIL具有良好的可扩展性,并且随着Tianhe-2网络传输速度的提升及MIC加速的使用,FAMIL的计算新能可以进一步得到提升。 展开更多
关键词 FAMIL 可扩展性 计算性能 Tianhe-2
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Elucidating Dominant Factors Affecting Land Surface Hydrological Simulations of the Community Land Model over China 被引量:1
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作者 Jianguo LIU Zong-Liang YANG +4 位作者 Binghao JIA Longhuan WANG Ping WANG Zhenghui XIE Chunxiang SHI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第2期235-250,共16页
In order to compare the impacts of the choice of land surface model(LSM)parameterization schemes,meteorological forcing,and land surface parameters on land surface hydrological simulations,and explore to what extent t... In order to compare the impacts of the choice of land surface model(LSM)parameterization schemes,meteorological forcing,and land surface parameters on land surface hydrological simulations,and explore to what extent the quality can be improved,a series of experiments with different LSMs,forcing datasets,and parameter datasets concerning soil texture and land cover were conducted.Six simulations are run for the Chinese mainland on 0.1°×0.1°grids from 1979 to 2008,and the simulated monthly soil moisture(SM),evapotranspiration(ET),and snow depth(SD)are then compared and assessed against observations.The results show that the meteorological forcing is the most important factor governing output.Beyond that,SM seems to be also very sensitive to soil texture information;SD is also very sensitive to snow parameterization scheme in the LSM.The Community Land Model version 4.5(CLM4.5),driven by newly developed observation-based regional meteorological forcing and land surface parameters(referred to as CMFD_CLM4.5_NEW),significantly improved the simulations in most cases over the Chinese mainland and its eight basins.It increased the correlation coefficient values from 0.46 to 0.54 for the SM modeling and from 0.54 to 0.67 for the SD simulations,and it decreased the root-mean-square error(RMSE)from 0.093 to 0.085 for the SM simulation and reduced the normalized RMSE from 1.277 to 0.201 for the SD simulations.This study indicates that the offline LSM simulation using a refined LSM driven by newly developed observation-based regional meteorological forcing and land surface parameters can better model reginal land surface hydrological processes. 展开更多
关键词 hydrological simulations land surface model meteorological forcing land surface parameters UNCERTAINTY
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Synergistic Effect of the Planetary-scale Disturbance, Typhoon and Meso-β-scale Convective Vortex on the Extremely Intense Rainstorm on 20 July 2021 in Zhengzhou 被引量:1
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作者 Guanshun ZHANG Jiangyu MAO +5 位作者 Wei HUA Xiaofei WU Ruizao SUN Ziyu YAN Yimin LIU Guoxiong WU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第3期428-446,共19页
On 20 July 2021,northern Henan Province in China experienced catastrophic flooding as a result of an extremely intense rainstorm,with a record-breaking hourly rainfall of 201.9 mm during 0800–0900 UTC and daily accum... On 20 July 2021,northern Henan Province in China experienced catastrophic flooding as a result of an extremely intense rainstorm,with a record-breaking hourly rainfall of 201.9 mm during 0800–0900 UTC and daily accumulated rainfall in Zhengzhou City exceeding 600 mm(“Zhengzhou 7.20 rainstorm”for short).The multi-scale dynamical and thermodynamical mechanisms for this rainstorm are investigated based on station-observed and ERA-5 reanalysis datasets.The backward trajectory tracking shows that the warm,moist air from the northwestern Pacific was mainly transported toward Henan Province by confluent southeasterlies on the northern side of a strong typhoon In-Fa(2021),with the convergent southerlies associated with a weaker typhoon Cempaka(2021)concurrently transporting moisture northward from South China Sea,supporting the rainstorm.In the upper troposphere,two equatorward-intruding potential vorticity(PV)streamers within the planetary-scale wave train were located over northern Henan Province,forming significant divergent flow aloft to induce stronger ascending motion locally.Moreover,the converged moist air was also blocked by the mountains in western Henan Province and forced to rise so that a deep meso-β-scale convective vortex(MβCV)was induced over the west of Zhengzhou City.The PV budget analyses demonstrate that the MβCV development was attributed to the positive feedback between the rainfall-related diabatic heating and high-PV under the strong upward PV advection during the Zhengzhou 7.20 rainstorm.Importantly,the MβCV was forced by upper-level larger-scale westerlies becoming eastward-sloping,which allowed the mixtures of abundant raindrops and hydrometeors to ascend slantwise and accumulate just over Zhengzhou City,resulting in the record-breaking hourly rainfall locally. 展开更多
关键词 extreme rainstorm potential vorticity trajectory tracking planetary-scale disturbance meso-β-scale convective system
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Understanding and Attribution of Extreme Heat and Drought Events in 2022: Current Situation and Future Challenges 被引量:1
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作者 Lixia ZHANG Xiaojing YU +3 位作者 Tianjun ZHOU Wenxia ZHANG Shuai HU Robin CLARK 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第11期1941-1951,共11页
Extreme weather events and their consequential impacts have been a key feature of the climate in recent years in many parts of the world,with many partly attributed to ongoing global-scale warming.The past year,2022,h... Extreme weather events and their consequential impacts have been a key feature of the climate in recent years in many parts of the world,with many partly attributed to ongoing global-scale warming.The past year,2022,has been no exception,with further records being broken.The year was marked by unprecedented heatwaves and droughts with highly unusual spatial extent,duration and intensity,with one measure indicating an aggregated and overall intensity of extreme heat events worldwide not seen since at least 1950.The extreme drought measured by surface soil moisture covered 47.3%of global land areas in 2022,which was the second most widespread year since 1980.Here,we examine notable events of the year in five major regions of the world:China’s Yangtze River region,western Europe,the western U.S.,the Horn of Africa and central South America.For each event,we review the potential roles of circulation,oceanic forcing(especially the“triple-dip”La Niña)and anthropogenic climate change,with an aim of understanding the extreme events in 2022 from a global perspective.This will serve as a reference for mechanism understanding,prediction and attribution of extreme events. 展开更多
关键词 extreme event in 2022 HEATWAVE DROUGHT detection and attribution
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A Fast Version of LASG/IAP Climate System Model and Its 1000-year Control Integration 被引量:39
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作者 周天军 吴波 +2 位作者 闻新宇 李立娟 王斌 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第4期655-672,共18页
A fast version of the State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geo- physical Fluid Dynamics(LASG)/Institute of Atmospheric Physics(IAP)climate system model is briefly documented.The fast... A fast version of the State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geo- physical Fluid Dynamics(LASG)/Institute of Atmospheric Physics(IAP)climate system model is briefly documented.The fast coupled model employs a low resolution version of the atmospheric component Grid Atmospheric Model of IAP/LASG(GAMIL),with the other parts of the model,namely an oceanic component LASG/IAP Climate Ocean Model(LICOM),land component Common Land Model(CLM),and sea ice component from National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate System Model (NCAR CCSM2),as the same as in the standard version of LASG/IAP Flexible Global Ocean Atmosphere Land System model(FGOALS g).The parameterizations of physical and dynamical processes of the at- mospheric component in the fast version are identical to the standard version,although some parameter values are different.However,by virtue of reduced horizontal resolution and increased time-step of the most time-consuming atmospheric component,it runs faster by a factor of 3 and can serve as a useful tool for long- term and large-ensemble integrations.A 1000-year control simulation of the present-day climate has been completed without flux adjustments.The final 600 years of this simulation has virtually no trends in global mean sea surface temperatures and is recommended for internal variability studies.Several aspects of the control simulation’s mean climate and variability are evaluated against the observational or reanalysis data. The strengths and weaknesses of the control simulation are evaluated.The mean atmospheric circulation is well simulated,except in high latitudes.The Asian-Australian monsoonal meridional cell shows realistic features,however,an artificial rainfall center is located to the eastern periphery of the Tibetan Plateau persists throughout the year.The mean bias of SST resembles that of the standard version,appearing as a"double ITCZ"(Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone)associated with a westward extension of the equatorial eastern Pacific cold tongue.The sea ice extent is acceptable but has a higher concentration.The strength of Atlantic meridional overturning is 27.5 Sv.Evidence from the 600-year simulation suggests a modulation of internal variability on ENSO frequency,since both regular and irregular oscillations of ENSO are found during the different time periods of the long-term simulation. 展开更多
关键词 海洋-大气连接模型 低分辨率 模型评估 气候系统
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Impact of the Thermal State of the Tropical Western Pacific on Onset Date and Process of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon 被引量:19
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作者 黄荣辉 顾雷 +1 位作者 周连童 吴尚森 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2006年第6期909-924,共16页
自从华南海夏天的早或迟了的发作,季风(SCSM ) 在 SCSM 的早或迟了的发作的东亚,机制和过程在夏天季风降雨上有大影响是一个相称的问题学习。在这篇论文,使用观察数据分析的结果证明 SCSM 的发作日期和过程仔细在春天与热带西方的太... 自从华南海夏天的早或迟了的发作,季风(SCSM ) 在 SCSM 的早或迟了的发作的东亚,机制和过程在夏天季风降雨上有大影响是一个相称的问题学习。在这篇论文,使用观察数据分析的结果证明 SCSM 的发作日期和过程仔细在春天与热带西方的太平洋的热国家被联系。当热带西方的太平洋处于在春天的一个温暖的国家时,西方的和平的副热带的高度转移东方、成双的气旋早在 SCSM 发作前在孟加拉和苏门答腊的海湾上被引起。在这种情况中,在孟加拉的海湾上定位的气旋的发行量能是早的加强了并且变得进强壮的马槽。因此,西的流动和对流活动能在苏门答腊,印度支那半岛和华南海(SCS ) 上被加强在中间 --5 月。这导致 SCSM 的早发作。相反,当热带西方的太平洋处于一个冷却国家时,西方的和平的副热带的高度反常地向西变,在赤道的东方印度洋和苏门答腊上定位的成双的气旋被削弱,并且成双的异例反气旋从迟了的 4 月出现在这些区域上到中间 --5 月。因此,西的流动和对流活动不能早在印度支那半岛和 SCS 上被加强。仅仅当西方的和平的副热带的高度移动时东方,在孟加拉的海湾上定位的弱马槽能被加强并且变得进强壮的马槽,大西南的风和对流活动能在迟了的 5 月在印度支那半岛和 SCS 上被加强。因此,这导致 SCSM 的迟了的发作。而且在这篇论文, SCSM 发作上的热带西方的太平洋的热国家的影响机制处于热带西方的太平洋的不同热国家从行人发行量异例进一步被讨论。 展开更多
关键词 热量状态 太平洋 热带 季风 南海 地表风
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Improvements of a Dynamic Global Vegetation Model and Simulations of Carbon and Water at an Upland-Oak Forest 被引量:9
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作者 毛嘉富 王斌 +3 位作者 戴永久 F.I.WOODWARD P.J.HANSON M.R.LOMAS 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2007年第2期311-322,共12页
对动态全球植被模型(DGVM ) 的发展和改进的兴趣,有潜力模仿碳的流动,流水,与在植被动力学的变化一起,在一个综合系统以内,氮一直在增加。在这篇论文,一些数字计划和更高的分辨率土壤质地数据集被采用改进谢菲尔德动态全球植被模... 对动态全球植被模型(DGVM ) 的发展和改进的兴趣,有潜力模仿碳的流动,流水,与在植被动力学的变化一起,在一个综合系统以内,氮一直在增加。在这篇论文,一些数字计划和更高的分辨率土壤质地数据集被采用改进谢菲尔德动态全球植被模型(SDGVM ) 。用旋涡基于协变性的大小,我们然后测试了 SDGVM 的标准版本和 SDGVM 的修改版本。每日的碳和水流动的详细观察在田纳西在行人布朗奇分水岭上在高地栎林做了,美国为这些比较提供了一个唯一的机会。结果表明 SDGVM 的修改版本做了模仿碳和水流动和土壤水内容(SWC ) 的变化的一个合理工作。在生长期的结束,然而,它没能在土壤呼吸动力学上并且作为低估的结果模仿限制的效果这呼吸。修改版本在 SWC 后面的夏天降雨过高估计增加,这也被注意,它被归因于潜水和热周期的一个不适当的代表。 展开更多
关键词 动态全局植被模型 陆地碳通量 陆地水通量 模拟 校正 丘陵橡树林
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Prediction of the Asian-Australian Monsoon Interannual Variations with the Grid-Point Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG(GAMIL) 被引量:9
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作者 吴志伟 李建平 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第3期387-394,共8页
亚洲澳大利亚人的季风(AAM ) 的季节的预言降水是在气候预报的最重要、挑战性的任务之一。在这篇论文,我们在 AAM 的回顾的预言上评估国际机场 LASG (GAMIL ) 的格子大气的模型的表演内部年变化(IAV ) ,并且决定二个学生为时期观察了 ... 亚洲澳大利亚人的季风(AAM ) 的季节的预言降水是在气候预报的最重要、挑战性的任务之一。在这篇论文,我们在 AAM 的回顾的预言上评估国际机场 LASG (GAMIL ) 的格子大气的模型的表演内部年变化(IAV ) ,并且决定二个学生为时期观察了 AAM 降雨 IAV 的模式到到什么程度, GAMIL 能捕获 1979 2003。第一个模式与温暖的旋转被联系(冷却) 而第二个模式带到大约一年温暖 / 凉爽,为 ENSO 在 Ni&#241;o 3.4 区域表明先驱的条件。我们证明季节的降水异例的 GAMIL 一个月铅预言主要能捕获二的主要特征带 IAV 的模式观察,与更好比第二预言的第一个模式。它也描绘在第一个模式和 ENSO 之间的关系相当好。在另一方面, GAMIL 在捕获在第二个模式和 ENSO 之间的关系有缺乏。我们得出结论:(1 ) 强迫的 El Ni&#241;o-excited 季风海洋相互作用和 El Ni&#241;o 的成功的复制可能为有 GAMIL 的 AAM 降雨 IAV 的季节的预言是批评的;(2 ) 更多的努力被需要不仅在 Ni&#241;o 3.4 区域而且在亚洲和印第安人和平的海洋的加入的区域改进模拟;(3 ) 一个一个级系统的选择可以改进 AAM 降雨 IAV 的最终的预言。这些结果为 GAMIL 和联系季节的预言技巧的改进提供一些参考书。 展开更多
关键词 亚洲 澳大利亚 季风 大气科学 循环运动
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Computational Performance of the High-Resolution Atmospheric Model FAMIL 被引量:8
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作者 ZHOU Lin-Jiong LIU Yi-Min +2 位作者 BAO Qing YU Hai-Yang WU Guo-Xiong 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2012年第5期355-359,共5页
This paper describes the model speed and model In/Out (I/O) efficiency of the high-resolution atmospheric general circulation model FAMIL (Finite-volume Atmospheric Model of IAP/LASG) at the National Supercomputer Cen... This paper describes the model speed and model In/Out (I/O) efficiency of the high-resolution atmospheric general circulation model FAMIL (Finite-volume Atmospheric Model of IAP/LASG) at the National Supercomputer Center in Tianjin, China, on its Tianhe-1A supercomputer platform. A series of three-model-day simulations were carried out with standard Aqua Planet Experiment (APE) designed within FAMIL to obtain the time stamp for the calculation of model speed, simulation cost, and model I/O efficiency. The results of the simulation demonstrate that FAMIL has remarkable scalability below 3456 and 6144 cores, and the lowest simulation costs are 1536 and 3456 cores for 12.5 km and 6.25 km resolutions, respectively. Furthermore, FAMIL has excellent I/O scalability and an efficiency of more than 80% on 6 I/Os and more than 99% on 1536 I/Os. 展开更多
关键词 大气模型 计算性能 高解析度 大气环流模式 速度模型 可扩展性 输入/输出 计算机中心
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Analysis and Application of Multiple-Precision Computation and Round-off Error for Nonlinear Dynamical Systems 被引量:4
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作者 王鹏飞 黄刚 王在志 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2006年第5期758-766,共9页
这研究由在 Lorenz 非线性的方程使用一条多重精确的途径在机器精确和步尺寸上在非线性的动态系统揭示浮点计算的相关性。论文也为与长期的集成和过去常识别最大的有效计算时间(MECT ) 和最佳的步尺寸(OS ) 的一条新 multiple-precision... 这研究由在 Lorenz 非线性的方程使用一条多重精确的途径在机器精确和步尺寸上在非线性的动态系统揭示浮点计算的相关性。论文也为与长期的集成和过去常识别最大的有效计算时间(MECT ) 和最佳的步尺寸(OS ) 的一条新 multiple-precision-based 途径在 Lorenz 系统获得一个真实数字解决方案表明过程。另外,作者介绍怎么在非线性的系统的一些典型盒子中在长期的集成分析舍入错误并且介绍它的近似估计表达式。 展开更多
关键词 非线性动力系统 数值计算 气候 误差
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Adjoint-based Sensitivity Analysis of a Mesoscale Low on the Mei-yu Front and Its Implications for Adaptive Observation 被引量:4
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作者 钟科 董佩明 +2 位作者 赵思雄 蔡其发 兰伟仁 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2007年第3期435-448,共14页
mei-yu 前面上的一中央规模 low 的伴随敏感分析在这篇论文被介绍。模拟错误的敏感坡度关于起始的分析的干燥精力被计算。并且在验证以后,线性的正切和伴随的能力当模特儿在非线性的模型,描述小不安敏感坡度分析详细被实现。关于不同... mei-yu 前面上的一中央规模 low 的伴随敏感分析在这篇论文被介绍。模拟错误的敏感坡度关于起始的分析的干燥精力被计算。并且在验证以后,线性的正切和伴随的能力当模特儿在非线性的模型,描述小不安敏感坡度分析详细被实现。关于不同的物理地的敏感坡度不是在紧张的制服,模拟错误对蒸汽很敏感混合比率。本地化和一致性是敏感坡度的水平分发的明显的人物,它为适应观察的实际实现是有用的。敏感区域与高度增加倾斜到西北;单个向量计算证明这倾斜描绘快成长的结构,它用领先的单个向量表示那确定适应观察区域是合适的。当在 mei-yu 前面上与中央规模 low 的模拟连接了时,敏感坡度有下列物理人物:明显的敏感区域是中央规模,在中间上面的对流层专注,并且在关键系统附近定位;并且不同的物理地的敏感坡度动态地相关。 展开更多
关键词 联合敏感性分析 梅雨锋面 自适应观测 中尺度低压
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Multiscale Combined Action and Disturbance Characteristics of Pre-summer Extreme Precipitation Events over South China
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作者 Hongbo LIU Ruojing YAN +3 位作者 Bin WANG Guanghua CHEN Jian LING Shenming FU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第5期824-842,共19页
The dominant frequency modes of pre-summer extreme precipitation events(EPEs)over South China(SC)between1998 and 2018 were investigated.The 67 identified EPEs were all characterized by the 3-8-d(synoptic)frequency ban... The dominant frequency modes of pre-summer extreme precipitation events(EPEs)over South China(SC)between1998 and 2018 were investigated.The 67 identified EPEs were all characterized by the 3-8-d(synoptic)frequency band.However,multiscale combined modes of the synoptic and three low-frequency bands[10-20-d(quasi-biweekly,QBW);15-40-d(quasi-monthly,QM);and 20-60-d(intraseasonal)]accounted for the majority(63%)of the EPEs,and the precipitation intensity on the peak wet day was larger than that of the single synoptic mode.It was found that EPEs form within strong southwesterly anomalous flows characterized by either lower-level cyclonic circulation over SC or a deep trough over eastern China.Bandpass-filtered disturbances revealed the direct precipitating systems and their life cycles.Synoptic-scale disturbances are dominated by mid-high latitude troughs,and the cyclonic anomalies originate from downstream of the Tibetan Plateau(TP).Given the warm and moist climate state,synoptic-scale northeasterly flows can even induce EPEs.At the QBW and QM scales,the disturbances originate from the tropical Pacific,downstream of the TP,or mid-high latitudes(QBW only).Each is characterized by cyclonic-anticyclonic wave trains and intense southwesterly flows between them within a region of large horizontal pressure gradient.The intraseasonal disturbances are confined to tropical regions and influence SC by marginal southwesterly flows.It is concluded that low-frequency disturbances provide favorable background conditions for EPEs over SC and synoptic-scale disturbances ultimately induce EPEs on the peak wet days.Both should be simultaneously considered for EPE predictions over SC. 展开更多
关键词 extreme precipitation event dominant frequency band multiscale combined action disturbance chara-cteristics South China
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Evaluation of the interannual variability in the East Asian summer monsoon in AMIP and historical experiments of CAS FGOALS-f3-L
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作者 Xiaoqi Zhang Bian He +2 位作者 Qing Bao Yimin Liu Guoxiong Wu 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2023年第1期14-21,共8页
对东亚夏季季风(EASM)模拟的评估可以提高我们对亚洲季风动力和气候模拟的理解.在这项研究中,通过使用中国科学院(CAS)全球海洋-大气-陆地系统(FGOALS-f3-L)模式参加的第六次耦合模式相互比较计划(CMIP6)中的大气模式相互比较计划(AMIP... 对东亚夏季季风(EASM)模拟的评估可以提高我们对亚洲季风动力和气候模拟的理解.在这项研究中,通过使用中国科学院(CAS)全球海洋-大气-陆地系统(FGOALS-f3-L)模式参加的第六次耦合模式相互比较计划(CMIP6)中的大气模式相互比较计划(AMIP)和历史(historical)试验,明确了EASM的年际变率的模拟能力.通过多变量经验正交函数(MV-EOF)分析发现,观测的EASM的主导模态为西太平洋上的太平洋-日本模态,并伴有局部反气旋异常.主导模态的方差贡献率为24.6%.历史(historical)试验可以基本再现这种空间模态,其方差贡献率较AMIP试验更接近于观测.与AMIP试验相比,历史(historical)试验还能更好地模拟EASM变率的时间频率.然而,由于历史(historical)模拟没有在积分开始时应用初始化过程,而AMIP试验受到海表面温度(SST)的约束,因此主成分(PC1)的位相在历史(historical)试验中没有得到较好地再现.进一步分析发现,印度洋和西太平洋热带地区的海气相互作用对EASM的模拟非常重要,而EASM气候变率的模拟可能与厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)的模拟能力有关,这值得进一步分析. 展开更多
关键词 东亚夏季季风 年际变化 CMIP6 模式评估 FGOALS-f3-L
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Impacts of the stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation on the tropospheric circulation and climate in the Northeast Asia-North Pacific region in early summer
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作者 Xiang Gao Jinggao Hu +1 位作者 Rongcai Ren Yifan Shen 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2023年第3期14-19,共6页
本文研究了平流层准两年振荡(QBO)对东北亚-北太平洋地区初夏对流层环流和地表气温的影响.在QBO西风位相年,东北亚至北太平洋地区存在一支由QBO引发的平均经向环流异常,该经向环流异常可在东北亚至北太平洋地区激发正涡度,并形成异常气... 本文研究了平流层准两年振荡(QBO)对东北亚-北太平洋地区初夏对流层环流和地表气温的影响.在QBO西风位相年,东北亚至北太平洋地区存在一支由QBO引发的平均经向环流异常,该经向环流异常可在东北亚至北太平洋地区激发正涡度,并形成异常气旋式环流.气旋左侧出现的异常偏北风导致6月东北亚地表气温下降.QBO东风位相年的结果与西风位相年大致相反.这些结果为QBO对热带外地区天气,气候的影响提供了新的证据,并为东北亚初夏地表气温的预测提供了新的线索。 展开更多
关键词 平流层准两年振荡 平均经向环流 初夏时期 地表气温 热带外对流层
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Interannual Variability of Snow Depth over the Tibetan Plateau and Its Associated Atmospheric Circulation Anomalies 被引量:4
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作者 Mao Jiang-Yu 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2010年第4期213-218,共6页
The interannual variability of wintertime snow depth over the Tibetan Plateau(TP) and related atmospheric circulation anomalies were investigated based on observed snow depth measurements and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data... The interannual variability of wintertime snow depth over the Tibetan Plateau(TP) and related atmospheric circulation anomalies were investigated based on observed snow depth measurements and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data.Empirical orthogonal function(EOF) analysis was applied to identify the spatio-temporal variability of wintertime TP snow depth.Snow depth anomalies were dominated by a monopole pattern over the TP and a dipole structure with opposite anomalies over the southeastern and northwestern TP.The atmospheric circulation conditions responsible for the interannual variability of TP snow depth were examined via regression analyses against the principal component of the most dominant EOF mode.In the upper troposphere,negative zonal wind anomalies over the TP with extensively positive anomalies to the south indicated that the southwestward shift of the westerly jet may favor the development of surface cyclones over the TP.An anomalous cyclone centered over the southeastern TP was associated with the anomalous westerly jet,which is conducive to heavier snowfall and results in positive snow depth anomalies.An anomalous cyclone was observed at 500 hPa over the TP,with an anomalous anticyclone immediately to the north,suggesting that the TP is frequently affected by surface cyclones.Regression analyses revealed that significant negative thickness anomalies exist around the TP from March to May,with a meridional dipole anomaly in March.The persistent negative anomalies due to more winter TP snow are not conducive to earlier reversal of the meridional temperature gradient,leading to a possible delay in the onset of the Asian summer monsoon. 展开更多
关键词 Tibetan Plateau snow depth interannual variability atmospheric circulation anomalies
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Determination of the Backward Predictability Limit and Its Relationship with the Forward Predictability Limit 被引量:1
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作者 Xuan LI Ruiqiang DING Jianping LI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第6期669-677,共9页
In this work, two types of predictability are proposed—forward and backward predictability—and then applied in the nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent approach to the Lorenz63 and Lorenz96 models to quantitatively est... In this work, two types of predictability are proposed—forward and backward predictability—and then applied in the nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent approach to the Lorenz63 and Lorenz96 models to quantitatively estimate the local forward and backward predictability limits of states in phase space. The forward predictability mainly focuses on the forward evolution of initial errors superposed on the initial state over time, while the backward predictability is mainly concerned with when the given state can be predicted before this state happens. From the results, there is a negative correlation between the local forward and backward predictability limits. That is, the forward predictability limits are higher when the backward predictability limits are lower, and vice versa. We also find that the sum of forward and backward predictability limits of each state tends to fluctuate around the average value of sums of the forward and backward predictability limits of sufficient states.Furthermore, the average value is constant when the states are sufficient. For different chaotic systems, the average value is dependent on the chaotic systems and more complex chaotic systems get a lower average value. For a single chaotic system,the average value depends on the magnitude of initial perturbations. The average values decrease as the magnitudes of initial perturbations increase. 展开更多
关键词 nonlinear local LYAPUNOV EXPONENT FORWARD and BACKWARD PREDICTABILITY LIMIT negative correlation average value
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Nonlinear Atmospheric and Climate Dynamics in China (2003-2006):A Review 被引量:1
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作者 丁瑞强 封国林 +3 位作者 刘式达 刘式适 黄思训 付遵涛 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2007年第6期1077-1085,共9页
Recent advances in the study of nonlinear atmospheric and climate dynamics in China(2003-2006)are briefly reviewed.Major achievements in the following eight areas are covered:nonlinear error dynamics and predictabilit... Recent advances in the study of nonlinear atmospheric and climate dynamics in China(2003-2006)are briefly reviewed.Major achievements in the following eight areas are covered:nonlinear error dynamics and predictability;nonlinear analysis of observational data;eddy-forced envelope Rossby soliton theory; sensitivity and stability of the ocean's thermohaline circulation;nonlinear wave dynamics;nonlinear anal- ysis on fluctuations in the atmospheric boundary layer;the basic structures of atmospheric motions;some applications of variational methods. 展开更多
关键词 中国 大气动力学 气候变化 非线性动力学 稳定性
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